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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East. If you want to help support my reporting: https://buymeacoffee.com/amk_mapping. All links to my interactive maps, twitter account, etc: https://linktr.ee/AMK_Mapping
Ukrainian Neptune cruise missiles are flying to Sevastopol, Crimea.
Explosions and air defence activity is reported.
Yesterday, a group of Russian DRGs was able to infiltrate from Kostyantynivka for at least 10 km behind Ukrainian lines, and kill 3-4 Ukrainian drone operators in the city of Druzhkivka. The drone operators were unarmed in their positions at the time of the ambush, not expecting any attack, and were shot on spot after having their throats cut.
This occurred following the withdrawal of the majority of Ukrainian drone operators from Oleksijevo-Druzhkivka, who redeployed to Druzhkivka because of the approaching frontline and increased KAB strikes on Oleksijevo-Druzhkivka. In my opinion, it's likely that Russian forces monitored the withdrawals of Ukrainian drone operators and sent in a DRG after the new position was identified. I mapped the most likely route they took on the map.
This is a consequence of Ukrainian manpower shortages, and a lack of soldiers concentrated near the line of contact overall caused by massive drone activity. When your lines are held largely by drones, events like what we witnessed here will inevitably happen. And this is not the first time this has happened - this is just the most publicised and shocking occurrence. Additionally, there is a near-unbroken chain of built-up urban areas leading from Kostyantynivka to Druzhkivka (then further to Kramatorsk), which provides a lot of cover from drones.
The DRG group was not killed, and may still be active within Druzhkivka. It's reported that they changed into civilian clothes and is hiding somewhere.
This one was mixed up with Russian S-300 air defence activity against Ukrainian drones near the border with Kursk.
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These are Zircons again. They disappeared near Poltava City.
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The threat from Bryansk is likely due to Russian S-300 air defence activity against Ukrainian drones.
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These limited Ukrainian counterattacks north of Kupyansk occurred around a month ago, which is when I reported on them.
Deepstate has only updated their map now due to OPSEC.
Ahead of the upcoming ballistic missile attack on Kyiv, Zelensky announced that Ukraine has received a small batch of Patriot interceptor missiles.
AIM air-to-air missiles and Crotale short-range surface-to-air missile systems were also reportedly delivered in a new military aid package.
Scheduled launches of S-500 air defence systems are expected to occur at Kapustin Yar Testing Ground, Astrakhan Oblast, until August 27.
During this time, additional Oreshnik IRBM threats may be issued, with sirens sounding in all regions of Ukraine.
Most likely, S-500 air defence systems are being tested at Kapustin Yar Testing Ground, which triggered an Oreshnik threat.
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Also Iskander-M threat from Taganrog, Rostov Oblast.
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Oreshnik IRBM threat from Kapustin Yar, Astrakhan Obalst
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Following the unannounced 4-hour visit of CIA director John Ratcliffe to Moscow, all U.S. flags were removed from the American embassy Moscow.
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Russian Su-34s over Crimea, flying west to their launch lines in the western Black Sea.
They may launch cruise missiles to Odesa OBlast.
It’s 2am here in New Zealand, and I’m thinking back to February 2024 when I made the decision of fully committing to reporting on the Ukraine war. At the time I was 17 years old doing geolocations for OSINTers, completely unknown in the information space, and had about 50 followers on Twitter.
2.5 years later, with over 225,000 followers and nearly 1 billion cumulative views across two platforms, I wonder how different things could’ve been for me if I chose not to pursue this path. It has been a focus for me ever since, with several thousand hours poured into my work.
It’s been incredible so far, and I’ve met so many amazing people. I only wish it was on a more positive topic. It’s been an honor to be able to post about this war to such a great audience and community, and I hope to continue well into the future. Although, the ideal outcome would be this horrible war ending as soon as possible.
A huge thanks to everyone who has supported me along the way, especially @kalibrated who helped me reach my first 1,000 followers at the beginning, which allowed me to grow so much further from there.
I am beyond grateful, and so incredibly lucky to be in this position.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SkBnIxxdcSg
Foreign volunteers of Ukraine's 23rd Assault Regiment of the Corps "Khartiia" recaptured the blue area southwest of Dvorichna: 2 forests and the northern part of Zapadne, for a total of 7.5 km².
At the appropriate time, more will follow.
Work loves silence...
Regarding the potential Russian ballistic missile attack on Ukraine that may take place tonight:
The highest threat is to the western, southwestern, northwestern, and southeastern districts of Kyiv, specifically the zones shown on the map. Other areas of the city may also be targeted. It's likely that military factories will be hit here.
In Kyiv Oblast, the highest threat is to Boryspil and areas west of Kyiv in the area of Vyshneve and Sviatopetrivske, where logistical warehouses may be hit.
Elsewhere in Ukraine, there is a threat to the cities of Poltava, Cherkasy, and Kremenchuk. In Kremenchuk, Russia may strike the oil refinery.
Between 20 and 30 Iskander-M ballistic missiles are expected to be used. Between 2 and 8 Kn-23 ballistic missiles *may* be launched. Between 6 and 12 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles are expected to be used. Launches will likely occur from Bryansk Oblast (Klintsy & Pochep), Kursk Oblast (Manturovo & Zheleznogorsk), Voronezh Oblast (Liski), and Rostov Oblast (Millerovo).
If the attack does indeed take place tonight, launches will presumably occur anywhere between 11:30pm and 2:30am.
The aforementioned information is preliminary and approximate. I plan to give another update in the morning after I get some sleep.
No threat to Ukraine.
S-500 missiles were launched as a part of a training exercise.
NOTE: The Oreshnik IRBM CANNOT be detected by current Ukrainian radars.
If it is launched, it will only be detected on arrival.