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The official channel New Eastern Outlook https://journal-neo.su Contact us: @Journal_NEO
The Nippon Steel Acquisition of U.S. Steel: Winners and Losers
The acquisition of U.S. Steel by Japan's Nippon Steel for $14.9 billion in June 2025 represents one of the most complex and unusual international M&A transactions.
What began as corporate negotiations transformed into a complex diplomatic game. But can we now, several months after the deal was signed, determine which of its participants emerged as winners and which lost more than they gained? We will attempt to answer this question in this article.
Nippon Steel: Benefits and Constrai...
#Economics #Japan #JapanandtheUSA #Politics #USA
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🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 Some excerpts from the FT article I discussed in my last video;
▪️It notes the SBU (the NYT admits the US CIA has directed since 2014) is carrying out drone strikes on Russia;
▪️That this is continuity of agenda/continued escalation from the previous Biden administration;
▪️That some officials claim it is the US, not Ukraine both picking targets deep inside Russia, and facilitating strikes on them;
China’s Belt and Road at a Crossroads: Lessons from the Poland-Belarus Border
Recent developments in Central Europe - most notably the temporary closure of Poland’s border with Belarus - have, however, raised new questions about the reliability of the region as a transit corridor and the future of China’s connectivity strategy in Europe.
The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is one of the most significant infrastructure projects of the 21st century, aiming to connect China with Europe, Central Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. It encompasses investments in rail, mariti...
#Belarus #China #Economics #geoeconomics #Poland
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In an attempt to please its master across the Atlantic, Poland closed its border with Belarus for 13 days to protest against military exercises between Russia and Belarus, blocking 90% of Chinese freight destined for Europe in the process.
Despite the reopening of the China-Europe Railway Express (12 to 25 days of transport), Beijing did not appreciate the blackmail it suffered, akin to a highway robbery technique unworthy of a sovereign and responsible state.
Almost immediately, alternative routes were activated, via the Southern Corridor (Trans-Caspian, longer and more expensive, 20 to 40 days) and the Northern Corridor (18 days from Chengdu to Hamburg via St. Petersburg) by rail and then by container ship to Hamburg.
The Northern Arctic Sea Route is also increasingly being considered as an alternative by professionals.
One after another, European states will (hopefully) learn the hard way that their master across the Atlantic is ungrateful, and that they alone will bear the cost of policies hostile to China and Russia: in 2025, the bill will be paid immediately and at a high price.
🇺🇸🛠Perestroika, American Style
✍️Author: Mohammed Amer, Syrian publicist
👉Key Points:
➡Imperial Presidency
Trump has issued 206 executive orders and dismissed around 200,000 federal employees, consolidating an authoritarian system under the guise of “efficiency.”
➡Crackdown on Media and Education
The White House cut $9 billion in funding for leading universities and is pressuring independent media. A $15 billion defamation lawsuit targets The New York Times, while pro-Trump oligarchs eye the purchase of CNN.
➡Militarization of Domestic Politics
The military’s role in internal affairs is expanding under the pretext of fighting crime. The Defense Minister is now called the “Minister of War.”
➡Political Crisis and Polarization
A government shutdown, mass layoffs, and talk of a possible third Trump term deepen national division and fuel fears of internal conflict.
➡Oligarchic Autocracy
European commentators warn that U.S. democracy is collapsing, with a growing cult of personality around Trump and the country sliding toward a latent civil war.
#USA #Trump #Politics #Authoritarianism #Media #Oligarchy #Democracy #Crisis #Geopolitics #NewEasternOutlook
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🇺🇬🇹🇿🛢A Second Look into East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) and Hard Questions that Arise
✍️Author: Simon Chege Ndiritu, African political observer and research analyst
👉Key Points:
🔼Unequal Ownership
The East African Crude Oil Pipeline is 62% owned by French firm TotalEnergies, while Uganda and Tanzania hold only 15% each—raising questions about neocolonial control of African resources.
🔼Lost Industrial Opportunity
Experts argue Uganda could earn more by refining its own oil rather than exporting crude. A refinery could save $1.2 billion annually and boost regional trade.
🔼Lessons from Asia
Countries like Malaysia, Indonesia, and India have achieved prosperity through strong state control of oil resources, taxation, and value-added production—models Uganda has not followed.
🔼Neocolonial Patterns Persist
Uganda’s decision to export crude under EACOP may keep it dependent and underdeveloped, mirroring old colonial dynamics.
🔼Call for Resource Sovereignty
The author urges African nations to reject unequal deals and reclaim control over their natural wealth, as Asian nations successfully did.
#EACOP #Uganda #Tanzania #TotalEnergies #Oil #Neocolonialism #Africa #Energy #Geopolitics #ResourceSovereignty #Development
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💥🚤🇻🇪 Another vessel off the coast of Venezuela with six people on board was destroyed by the 🇺🇸US Navy.
🇺🇸💬 Donald Trump claimed the vessel was carrying "narcoterrorists." There's no evidence to support this, just the word of the US President... The chief peacemaker of our time⁉️
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💜 🔈🎬 Here's the 35th episode of our "Russia-US Dialogue"!
🇷🇺🇺🇸 Watch this week:
00:50 - Nobel Prize: How a lady living in the jungle and calling for a violent overthrow of the country's government beat Trump
04:05 - What has changed in Latin America since Trump's last term? Will the region support a boycott of Venezuela?
06:00 - On the factors behind Trump's approval rating, a revealing trend in the US, and the looming midterm elections
09:40 - On White House officials' consideration of the possibility of using the law on the suppression of uprisings from 1807. And what was Chuck Palahniuk right about?
12:45 - A new challenge for Trump the peacemaker. What has gone unnoticed by most in the supposedly routine conflict between Pakistan and Afghanistan? What's happening in relations between Islamabad and Beijing?
22:45 - Qatari base in Idaho
24:25 - Is Gen Z doomed? How can they survive in the "new world"? Why are Asian countries robotizing faster than others? How are things with young people in Russia, China, and the US? Our wishes to the young people watching us.
📱📱 The link for YouTube, friends.
📹 The previous episode of the show is here.
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🇪🇺🤖The Escalating European Drone Panic: When Fear Becomes a Political Weapon
✍️Author: Ricardo Martins, PhD
International Relations & Geopolitics Specialist
➡️Key Points:
🔴Psychological Warfare: Russia's "grey zone" strategy uses €5,000 drones to trigger €1 million missile responses and justify €800 billion defense budgets - winning through psychological manipulation rather than military confrontation.
🔴Political Weaponization: Drone hysteria fuels right-wing populism (AfD, Lega), diverts funds from welfare to weaponry, and creates "industrial policy of fear" that erodes European social fabric.
🔴Strategic Distraction: Europe trading "welfare for weaponry, diplomacy for deterrence" while Putin achieves objectives without firing shots - keeping continent "divided, distracted and economically drained."
🔴NATO Fragility Exposed: Panic reveals deep divisions as Copenhagen summit clashes over drone defense coordination, with Hungary blocking sanctions and Greece/Italy protesting eastern-focused protection.
🔴Asymmetric Victory: Each false alarm reveals more about Europe's command chains than Russia's capabilities, validating Putin's claim that Western militarization stems from paranoia rather than real threats.
#DronePanic #PsychologicalWarfare #NATO #EuropeanSecurity #Geopolitics
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🇺🇸🇻🇪Rising tensions in the Caribbean
🔴The United States has deployed a force of some 10,000 military personnel to the Caribbean and created a new anti-narcotics task force under the command of the 2nd Marine Expeditionary Brigade. These steps indicate Washington's desire to establish a permanent military presence near Venezuela's borders.
🔴The recent activity of the American aviation confirms the seriousness of these intentions. The appearance of KC-46A and KC-135 tanker aircraft in the flight information zone of Maiquetía airport suggests that F-35 fighter jets are operating in the area.
🔴On October 7, an E-3 Sentry AWACS aircraft was spotted in the region. The US also requested permission from Grenada to deploy radar equipment at Maurice Bishop International Airport. Trinidad and Tobago's airspace has been actively used for P-8 Poseidon reconnaissance flights, and the Special Operations Support Vessel MV Ocean Trade has been observed off its eastern coast.
🔴In response, Venezuela is building a multi-layered air defense system. S-300VM, Buk-M2E, S-125 and Pechora-2M air defense systems have been deployed. A significant addition to the force is the 20 Su-30MK2 multirole fighter jets, which together pose a serious challenge to any potential air invasion.
🔴Direct diplomatic contacts between Washington and Caracas have ceased. The Trump administration has halted negotiations conducted by special envoy R. Grenell, considering dialogue with Maduro futile. The only remaining channel of communication is Qatar's mediation efforts. Meanwhile, Washington is intensifying cooperation with Brazil and trying to include the Venezuelan issue in the bilateral agenda.
🔴Secretary of State M. Rubio is convinced that Maduro must go, and if he does not do so voluntarily, force should be used. On this platform he has secured the absolute support of CIA Director D. Ratcliffe and US Homeland Security Advisor S. Miller.
🔴Rubio, with Trump's likely approval, officially supported radical opposition leader María Corina Machado at the Nobel Peace Prize ceremony. Her nomination can be seen as an attempt to legitimize her candidacy before the international community and inspire the opposition. If Trump issued such an approval, the bet is most likely on a "regime change," and a mere pretext is needed to justify aggression.
🔴US military preparations in the region are nearing completion. Targeted air strikes are considered the most likely scenario. Eliminating Venezuela's political leadership could lead to chaos and a humanitarian disaster that would also affect the United States, while limited strikes could consolidate the population around the current government. Either scenario risks a protracted conflict with unpredictable consequences for the region.
#CSAI #LatinAmerica
🗣🔖"Thank You" - A banner thanking Trump appeared on a Tel Aviv beach.
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🇵🇰🔥🇦🇫Between the Lines of Conflict: Pakistan, Afghanistan & the Geopolitics of Shifting Sands
✍️Author: Salman Rafi Sheikh
International Relations Research Analyst
📍Key Points:
🔻Deadliest Border Clash: 23 Pakistani soldiers killed in Oct 12 Taliban counterattack after Pakistan's cross-border strikes left 200+ Taliban dead - marking worst escalation in recent history.
🔻Strategic Betrayal: Pakistan's "friendly government" in Kabul backfired as Taliban treat TTP as "fellow mujahideen," refusing to suppress them despite Islamabad's expectations.
🔻Afghanistan's India Pivot: Taliban upgrading Indian "Technical Mission" to full embassy while Muttaqi visits Delhi, seeking legitimacy and bypassing Pakistan via Chabahar port.
🔻US Re-engagement: Trump's Bagram base demand and Pakistan's offer of Balochistan seaport signal renewed American interest, with Washington eyeing Pakistani rare-earth reserves.
🔻Regional Domino Effect: Conflict threatens Chinese CPEC investments, Russian Central Asian security, and risks returning South Asia to Cold War-style great power competition.
#Pakistan #Afghanistan #TTP #Geopolitics #GreatGame
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A highly influential figure on Chinese social media (Douyin, the Chinese version of TikTok), 李国豪, explains in a few seconds why China can afford to use rare earths ONLY NOW to respond to the export restrictions (of semiconductors: machine tools and finished products) imposed on it by the US since 2018, then in October 2022, and again on October 7, 2025.
Until 2024, China depended on the US for 95% of its helium imports. Among other applications, helium is used as a cooling gas for ultraviolet lithography machines used in semiconductor manufacturing. No helium, no nanometry.
These machine tools are subject to a quasi-embargo on China, which has gradually found ways to manufacture them itself. But helium was the weak link in semiconductor manufacturing in China. If China had played the rare earth card too early in the trade war declared on it by Trump 1.0 and Biden, the US would have used the helium trump card and derailed China's efforts to make its supply chain sovereign.
Therefore, between 2020 and 2024, China used all the means at its disposal to either increase its local production or diversify its imports from suppliers less likely to militarize exports of this gas, which is essential to so many advanced industrial processes: Russia and Qatar mostly.
In just four years, China has gone from total dependence on the US, that is overtly hostile to China regardless of who occupies the White House, to a situation of relative security.
This is how technological sovereignty is achieved: through political courage, world-class diplomacy, and financial resources made available to national production.
This is the exact opposite of what we have in Europe, and in particular in France: vassalage of the state apparatus to a foreign power, diplomacy from another era, and production facilities relocated abroad for ecological reasons (pollution), profitability, or even betrayal of the nation's interests.
Bloody Deal: How Washington, Tel Aviv, and Most of Arab Countries are "Selling Palestinian Bodies"
Two years after the "Al-Aqsa Storm": The Palestinian people are facing not only Israeli tanks but also a total conspiracy of silence and normalization that is cementing their grave.
The Verdict from Beneath the Rubble
On the second anniversary of the October 7 "Al-Aqsa Storm" operation, Hamas issued a statement that sounded like a verdict. Hamas condemned the "shameful international silence and complicity, as well as an unprecedented betrayal by Arab states." Two years ago, when explosions...
#Genocide #IsraelandtheUSA #MiddleEastconflict #Palestine #Palestinesplight #USHypocrisy
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The Strange Definition of “Free and Fair” Elections—New Battle Front!
Recent elections across Eastern Europe and the Caucasus—in Moldova, the Czech Republic, and Georgia—reveal deepening tensions between Western-backed elites and nationalist, often anti-Western movements challenging EU and US influence in the region.
It has been a full week of elections in Eastern Europe and the Caucasus, with a highly contested election in Moldova on the 28th of September, the Czech parliamentary elections held on the 3rd and 4th of October, and the Georgian municipal electi...
#Doublestandards #electionrigging #Elections #Europe #Georgia #Moldova
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🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺NEW VIDEO: Tomahawks & Refinery Strikes: US Escalates its Proxy War on Russia
On YouTube: https://youtu.be/33aosa7tH20?si=UVoZzMb4Lpa2txgQ
▪️The Trump administration is continuing the US proxy war with Russia through Ukraine right where the previous Biden administration left off;
▪️Not only has the Trump administration failed to end the conflict as it campaigned on doing so “within 24 hours,” it has begun a process of escalation, division of labor, and strategic sequencing targeting Russian allies Iran and China as well;
▪️US Tomahawk cruise missiles are still being considered for deployment to Ukraine;
▪️The most likely platform for launching them would be the Lockheed Long Range Fires (LRF) launcher abandoned by the US Marines in 2023 but still under consideration by the US Army;
▪️Working examples of this platform exist and would provide sufficient mobility for Ukraine-based Tomahawk strikes on targets across Russia;
▪️The missiles would likely be used to expand an already ongoing US-directed campaign targeting Russian energy production which US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth announced would be pressured as early as February 2025;
▪️The US and Europe are preparing the European public for a wider and more dangerous role in the ongoing conflict as Europe will be needed to fill the void Ukraine’s collapsing fighting capacity is leaving;
▪️The US is and will continue to extend its campaign of political subversion, economic sanctions and tariffs, as well as encouraging US client states to begin seizing Chinese assets and ramping up for proxy and even direct war and blockades on China just as it has been vis-a-vis Russia;
New Eastern Outlook Presents
“The Coalition of the Future” — an illustrated book dedicated to the 80th Anniversary of the End of World War II.
This exclusive edition reflects on the lessons of the past and looks ahead to the alliances shaping tomorrow’s world.
Through imagery and expert commentary, “The Coalition of the Future” invites dear readers to rethink global cooperation, peace, and justice in the 21st century.
🔹 A tribute to the heroes of WWII
🔹 A vision for a new multipolar world
🔹 A call for unity beyond borders
📖 Read the full illustrated book (PDF): 👉 Download here
#NEO #WWII80 #TheCoalitionOfTheFuture #Peace #History #Unity #Geopolitics #NewEasternOutlook
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🇫🇷💰📉 France's Economy Sinking Deeper.
📝Judging by the first reports for September, the French economy is performing significantly worse than expected. This decline differs from the 2008-2009 crisis in that it is occurring against the backdrop of a sovereign debt crisis, a growing budget deficit, and enormous political uncertainty.
⚠️⚜️A total of 6,800 business bankruptcies were registered in France in September, the worst September since 2009. A report from the Altares group indicates that 14,371 collective proceedings were initiated in the entire third quarter, a record for the period and 5.2% higher than the previous year. The increase in bankruptcies in the manufacturing sector was 17% higher.
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🇵🇰🔥🇦🇫Rising Border Tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan
✍️Author: Taut Bataut, researcher and writer on South Asian geopolitics
👉Key Points:
➡ Deadly Clashes at the Border
On October 11, intense fighting erupted after Pakistan’s alleged airstrikes on TTP hideouts in Kabul, followed by Afghan retaliatory fire on Pakistani posts.
➡Terror Threats Escalate
Pakistan accuses the Taliban-led Afghan government of sheltering terrorist groups like TTP and BLA, responsible for deadly attacks inside Pakistan.
➡Regional Fallout
Violence risks destabilizing the region, giving non-state actors room to exploit the chaos and worsening Pakistan’s security crisis.
➡ Diplomatic Shifts
Afghanistan’s warming ties with India add new pressure on Islamabad, complicating its regional strategy.
➡Call for Dialogue
Analysts warn that only peaceful negotiation—not military confrontation—can prevent broader instability and protect regional peace.
#Pakistan #Afghanistan #TTP #Taliban #Terrorism #BorderConflict #SouthAsia #India #Geopolitics #RegionalSecurity
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🇵🇱🔔🇩🇪 Poland is calling on Germany to stop prosecuting Ukrainians suspected of blowing up the Nord Stream gas pipelines in 2022.
🇵🇱Warsaw argues that Germany's ongoing legal actions are incompatible with NATO's unified position, and that prosecuting individuals for damaging infrastructure linked to Russia's military economy runs counter to the collective interests of the West.
💯Earlier, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated that his country does not intend to extradite the suspects.
📰Slawomir Cienkiewicz, head of Poland's National Security Bureau, told the Financial Times that such prosecutions serve Russia's interests and undermine NATO unity.
🤕🇺🇦The publication adds that the Polish judiciary recently extended the pretrial detention of a Ukrainian suspect held in Poland, while another suspect, detained in Italy, is resisting extradition to Germany.
⚠️🇺🇸 So, a NATO member state is voicing its position that it's in NATO's interests not to investigate an act of state terrorism solely on the grounds that it doesn't serve the Alliance's interests? What is that if not support and justification of terrorism?
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🇺🇸🇨🇳Escalation of the US-China trade war
🟢On October 9–10, the United States and China committed to significantly escalating their ongoing trade and economic confrontation. China tightened its export controls of rare earth elements (REEs), introducing for the first time extraterritorial measures for technologies related to REE extraction and processing. This decision is considered China’s first serious signal of dissatisfaction with the progress of negotiations with the United States.
🟢Starting December 1, companies using more than 0.1% of Chinese REEs or related technologies in their production will be required to obtain Beijing’s authorization to export the relevant goods, regardless of the country of origin. While these new measures are unlikely to affect most civilian manufacturers, they will substantially increase China’s leverage over foreign defense industries and advanced high-tech sectors. For example, separate licensing will be required to produce advanced microchips and AI systems with potential military applications.
🟢In response, the Trump administration announced a 100% tariff, effective November 1, in addition to existing tariffs, which would bring the total to around 155%, or much more if the “tariff truce,” set to expire on November 11, is taken into account. The administration also announced its intent to impose “export controls on absolutely all critical software.” The US president also questioned an anticipated meeting with Xi Jinping. Judging by Trump’s negotiating tactics, the US-China meeting is likely still being planned by both sides, though it seems that the only possible outcome is a return to an “acceptable” level of confrontation.
🟢The markets of both countries reacted with a noticeable decline: in the US the Friday trading session saw the S&P 500 index fall by 2.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 1.9%, and the NASDAQ by 3.6%; in China, the CSI 300 dropped by 2%, the SSE Composite by 0.9%, and the Hang Seng by 1.7%. Technology companies in both countries incurred the most significant losses (a decline of 4–6%). Major Chinese battery manufacturers, CATL and CALB, recorded sharp drops of 6–10%.
🟢Experts in both countries believe the current pace of confrontation is unsustainable and that the period between November 1 and December 1 is the most likely timeframe for reaching potential agreements. However, if escalation continues through the end of the month, all the positive momentum achieved in the previous four rounds of negotiations will be lost, including deals concerning TikTok, Boeing aircraft, and US soybean purchases.
🟢China’s economy requires a predictable and stable international environment as it prepares its 15th five-year plan. However, Beijing is unlikely to make any concessions before the final meeting between the two leaders, at which another "détente" could be negotiated. Therefore, it is most probable that both sides will maintain a high level of tension through the end of October. This will trigger a sharp surge in foreign economic activity in both countries in the short term.
#CSAI #AsiaPacific
🎤Jaziri Alkaf Abdillah Suffian: “There is so much room for cooperation”
🌍On the sidelines of the First World Public Summit, former senator and former Malaysian MP Jaziri Alkaf On the sidelines of the First World Public Summit, former senator and former Malaysian MP Jaziri Alkaf Abdillah Suffian told New Eastern Outlook that he would be happy to attend a second such summit.
Read our exclusive interview and find out what stood out to him the most about this event and how important it is for all of us in the modern world to unite for the benefit of our planet.
#Interview
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8️⃣0️⃣🇰🇵On the 80th Anniversary of the WPK
✍️Author: Konstantin Asmolov, PhD
Leading Researcher, Russian Academy of Sciences
📍Key Points:
➡️High-Level Diplomacy: Russia (Medvedev) and China (Premier Li Qiang) sent second-highest ranking officials, signaling Pyongyang's strategic importance despite Western "CRINK" stigmatization attempts.
➡️Military Breakthroughs: Parade showcased Hwasong-20 solid-fuel ICBM capable of reaching US East Coast, new destroyers meeting global standards, and kamikaze drones - confirming qualitative leap in deterrent capabilities.
➡️Russian-North Korean Brotherhood: Medvedev signed party cooperation agreement, praised DPRK's "significant" military achievements, while "Shaman" concert and Kim's embrace shattered stereotypes about North Korean cultural isolation.
➡️International Rehabilitation: Vietnam's leader visited after 20-year hiatus, joined by Indonesia, Nicaragua, Laos - demonstrating DPRK is no longer "pariah state" avoided by developing nations.
➡️Internal Reforms Hinted: Kim Jong Un announced "watershed moment" and party renewal ahead of 2026 congress, continuing anti-bureaucracy campaign to adapt WPK to "new century demands."
#NorthKorea #WPK80 #MilitaryParade #RussiaDPRK #Geopolitics
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🇺🇳🌐Post-UNGA Reality Turns the Global South into the Author of Tomorrow’s Agenda
✍️Author: Rebecca Chan
Independent Political Analyst
📍Key Points:
🔻Narrative Power Shift: UNGA transformed from "Western courtroom" to "Global South tribune" - applause erupted for justice/sovereignty topics while Western security mantras met "polite silence."
🔻African Ultimatum: Leaders demanded Security Council reform and continental inclusion in key decisions, invoking Ezulwini Consensus in challenge to global power structure.
🔻Asian Practicality: Focus on infrastructure, transport corridors, and petroyuan trade routes displacing military narratives with "development as core substance" of new global agenda.
🔻Sanctions Fatigue: Western punitive measures generating irritation rather than unity, resembling "courtroom with prewritten verdicts" that Global South refuses to legitimize.
🔻Moral Capital Redefined: Leadership now measured by political solidarity and majority support rather than "aircraft carriers or sanctions lists," ending Western "divine right" to dictate.
#UNGA #GlobalSouth #MultipolarWorld #UNReform #Geopolitics
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🇺🇸🇺🇦 US Likely Considering Smaller "Long Range Fires" Launcher for Tomahawk Deployment to Ukraine
▪️Much smaller than the existing Typhon launcher, the LRF platform existed as working prototypes tested by the US Marine Corps before ultimately being abandoned because it didn't meet requirements for austere coastal environments, conditions that are not an issue in Ukraine;
▪️ It had been considered as a compliment for the Typon by the US Army since, and is the most realistic option should the US deploy Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine since it involves existing, working hardware;
▪️Obviously every aspect of its use in Ukraine would be overseen by the US, not Ukrainians who would require years to effectively use the systems & would still require ISR from the US even then;
Read more in this TWZ article from all the way back in 2025: https://www.twz.com/land/usmcs-tomahawk-cruise-missile-launching-drone-truck-eyed-by-army
🕊🩸Peacemakers...
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⚡️🗣"The war is over," Trump said in the Knesset.
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👁Tel Aviv from Trump's plane.
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