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Nationalist, Classical Liberal, moderate centrist (circa 1900). You can plagiarize any of my writing & content. Follow: t.me/racerealismchannel

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Thuletide

Marco Rubio on the rising threat of leftist terrorism.

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Thuletide

European Broadcasting Union released new guidelines for covering women's athletics to "crackdown on sexualizing camera angles."

These guidelines epitomize the schizophrenic sexual gaslighting that plagues the West: women aggressively flaunt their sexuality, then chastise men for being attracted to them. I have seen literal OnlyFans whores on twitter complaining about "creeps" and "the male gaze."

Obviously, this is all an attempt for women to absolve themselves of accountability while gaining — or, more accurately, maintaining — power over men. They want pre-sexual revolution constraints on male behavior but unlimited freedom for themselves. "My body, my choice; your feelings, my choice. Heads I win, tails you lose."

https://www.ebu.ch/guides/open/report/raising-the-bar

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Thuletide

"The ICC is a global tribunal staffed by unelected globalists bureaucrats who claim their power is almost unlimited... It threatens every aspect of our political and legal system."

(video source)

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Thuletide

Ann Widdecombe, Reform UK's immigration and justice spokesperson, was assassinated.

Few details have been released, but apparently the suspect is a mentally retarded ("learning difficulties") recluse from Rotherham (located 270 miles from her home in Devon).

He somehow found her address, knew when she would be at home, broke into her house, murdered her, stole nothing, and then returned to Rotherham.

British cops concluded that there is "nothing to suggest it was politically motivated."

Very suspicious circumstances.

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Thuletide

A 2010 paper found a high level of social mobility and meritocracy in Britain, with more intelligent people moving up the social ladder and vice versa.

Hard to believe this would be true today, given that the country is systemically anti-White to a degree that makes other Western countries look like White supremacist states.

https://doi.org/10.1348/000712603322503097

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Thuletide

Immigration is a less immediate and arguably less significant threat to the future of America and the West than online censorship/surveillance throttling the only quasi-free source of information and discourse available today.

Social credit systems loom on the horizon and people either don't care or actively facilitate and applaud the encroaching tyranny: "I support totaldox because I'm too dumb to spot Indian engagement farmers and AI bots on Twitter, and I'm too irresponsible of a parent to protect my kids from porn via the variety of tools that are already at my disposal."

If by some miracle, social credit systems do not materialize: In America the woke will still ruin your life for saying what needs to be said under your real name and face, and things are far worse in Western countries with intentionally nebulous "hate speech" laws; people are frequently jailed for voicing milquetoast opposition to leftist regimes.

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Thuletide

"X likely wants device fingerprints so they can track/deanonymize users" — turns out it was even worse than I imagined, they want your biometric data: face and actual fingerprints. /channel/thuletide/8200

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Thuletide

Digital Panopticon Update: New deanonymization feature on X/Twitter.

Mobile-based accounts are locked then forced to download the app and provide biometric data.

Web-based accounts are forced to "confirm they are human" by scanning a QR code with their mobile phones (leaking privacy-compromising device information), which begins the same biometric data harvesting process.

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Thuletide

Sex bias in hiring does exist! Women are favored while men are discriminated against.

A meta analysis of real-world experiments spanning over four decades (1976-2020) found that all hiring bias against women has disappeared in the studied countries (mostly the West + China).

Since the 2000s, women have been favored for "female-type" and "gender-balanced" jobs, and since the 2010s, even "male-type" jobs have reached sex parity, meaning women are favored for "all jobs." [An odds ratio above 1 = male bias, below 1 = female bias].

The paper also surveyed US laymen and academics, who both overestimated sex bias in hiring practices to a significant degree — i.e. they hallucinated nonexistent discrimination against women.

Source: On the trajectory of discrimination: A meta-analysis and forecasting survey capturing 44 years of field experiments on gender and hiring decisions (2023)

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Thuletide

Digital ID in America is primarily pushed by cuckservative organizations and GOP lawmakers.

After Roe v. Wade was overturned, these bible-thumping busybodies needed a new flagship "save the kids" cause to virtue signal about: The total abolition of online anonymity.

They are playing directly into the hands of the left by further throttling the only relatively free source of information available today, while laying the foundations of European-style digital tyranny and a Chinese-style social credit system.

The Digital Childhood Alliance is funded by Meta btw.

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Thuletide

Early Medieval 'Slavic Period' (~600-900 AD) samples from southern Poland and northern Ukraine had variable levels of Germanic, Balkan, and Greco-Roman ancestry, as per the recent study on Slavic migrations (Gretzinger 2025). I think these early Slavs also had Scythian and minor Uralic ancestry.

It's currently unknown whether or not these samples represent the Proto-Slavic population, but I suspect that they don't.

They were found in close geographic proximity to the theorized Proto-Slavic homeland, but the Czechia_EarlySlav sample (also from the early Slavic Period) has significantly less Balkan, Germanic, and Scythian ancestry. I suspect that the Proto-Slavs were more similar to this sample — i.e. more Baltic-like — than those from Grodek and NW Ukraine.

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Thuletide

Rebel News uploaded the Montreal shooter's 104 page manifesto to their website. They claimed it was riddled with virulent anti-semitism, but Jews were only mentioned briefly in one footnote.

The shooter said that the "Zionist elites" are bad, but the problem in the West is "capitalism, not the Jewish race."

He then went on to praise Jews for being "some of the most renowned and effective combatants against the western bourgeois class."

https://www.rebelnews.com/manifesto_reveals_alleged_montreal_gunman_s_antisemitic_far_left_and_incel_ideology

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Thuletide

Cash transfers and fertility (2024):

In 2016, Poland began to give households a cash benefit of $130 USD per month per child under 18.

All families with 2+ children qualified regardless of income, as did low-income 1 child families.

The results of this policy were:
- Increased birth probability among women aged 31-35 (+1.8 percentage points) and 36-40 (+0.7 pp)
- Decreased birth probability among women aged 21-25 (-2.2 pp) and 26-30 (-2.6 pp).
- Negative effect among higher-income women (-1.1 pp).
- No significant effects for women under 21 or over 40.

Source: Cash transfers and fertility: Evidence from Poland’s Family 500+ Policy (n=87,006)
https://demographic-research.org/volumes/vol51/28/51-28.pdf

#fertility

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Thuletide

Housing and Fertility:

A recent study used Brazilian housing credit lotteries to investigate the relationship between home ownership and fertility.

20-25 year olds randomly obtaining housing increased their probability of having children by 32% and more children by 33%.

The lifetime fertility boost for 20 year old winners was double that of 30 year old winners.

The effect was stronger for men than women (other studies have found that financial/economic incentives increase male but not female TFR, see: /channel/thuletide/8097, /channel/thuletide/7921, /channel/thuletide/8102)

The housing lottery had no effect on the fertility of winners over 40.

Source: Housing and Fertility (July 15, 2025)
https://ssrn.com/abstract=5046571
http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5046571

#fertility

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Thuletide

The age gap "pedophilia" moral panic, spawned by feminism and kicked into overdrive during the #MeToo era that began circa 2017, is a potentially civilization-ruining phenomenon. I am, of course, not referring to very real problems, like grooming gangs in Britain, but the fact that 18-year-old boys are frequently accused of being an "Epstein diddy blud" merely for talking to 17-year-old girls. If you wanted to vaporize our already plummeting birth rates, stigmatizing any age gap larger than that between identical twins is a great way to do it.

Girls typically reach physical sexual maturity (adult secondary sexual characteristics) between the ages of 15 and 17, while boys mature a couple of years later. Yet, it is disturbingly common to conflate an 18-year-old dating a 16-year-old — a relationship between two biological adults, legal everywhere in the West aside from a handful of deranged US states — with a 40-year-old raping a 9-year-old. Apparently, the people who do this have no problem with trivializing actual pedophilia (the sexual abuse of prepubescents), which causes immense and long-lasting harm.

The crux of this issue is that healthy male heterosexuality — the preference for younger but sexually mature women — has effectively been criminalized. Meanwhile, older-female age gap relationships are constantly celebrated by the Gynocratic World Order (see e.g. the safe-horny "dommy mommy" phenomenon), to the extent that female teachers who sleep with their male students are routinely spared jail time and socially excused: "Where was she when I was a student?!"

For all of human history until very recently, older-male-age-gap relationships were regarded as normal and good; the average age gap in America from 1850 to 1950 was 4.5 years. Even today, in face of widespread moral hysteria, the average 23-year-old white man and woman in the West prefer partners who are 2 and 3 years older than themselves, respectively. The evolutionary theory is simple: Men prefer fertile women, women prefer men who can provide for offspring; women are most fertile when young, men accumulate resources with age.

Older-male age-gap relationships produce more children, with total lifetime fertility peaking at +7 years (although the variation from +3 to +13 years is very small). The negative fertility effect of older wives begins immediately at +1 year and declines linearly; at +3.5 years, couples produce 0.5 fewer children, on average. Obviously, this is due to women's limited fertility window, which is much smaller than commonly believed: by age 31, ~10% of women are sterile and ~50% are subfertile (they have difficulty conceiving, decreased egg quality, etc).

In case it were not immediately obvious, I will state explicitly that I do not endorse procreation between e.g. 16-year-old girls and 60-year-old grandpas with mutationally-loaded sperm. The risk of deleterious de novo mutations increases with age, and while the effects are small, they compound over generations, as the botched are no longer filtered out of the genepool via natural selection. Moreover, Joseph Bronski has provided evidence of a paternal age effect on leftism, whereby older fathers produce more hereditarily left-wing babies.

To increase birth rates and reduce dysgenics, early marriage should be encouraged, particularly among the intelligent. Ideally, both husband and wife should be in their late teens to very early 20s. Older-male relationships between young adults (~16-25) should also be destigmatized. Society should be restructured to ensure that intelligent couples can have as many children as possible before age 30-35; reduce time spent in education, prioritize youth for high-paying jobs, give intelligent young men huge lump sums per child (funded by e.g. abolishing welfare), and so on.

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Thuletide

Prime example of what I was describing in this post: Concept creep warping the definition of "pedophilia" and thus trivializing actual pedophilia (the sexual attraction to and/or abuse of prepubescents, the latter causing immense and long-lasting harm).

I have seen people accused of "pedophilia" for: liking short women, liking women with small breasts, liking women with pink feet, playing a videogame that has attractive adult female characters, a two year age gap between adults in their early 20s, etc.

We are at the point where the colloquial definition of "pedophilia" is so far removed from the official definition that it would be more sensible to use a completely different term entirely - perhaps "child sexual abuse" or "child sexual attraction"? Although, I would rather not use the latter term as it is reminiscent of the whitewashed "minor attracted person."

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Thuletide

Since the popularity of magic weight loss drugs (Ozempic/GLPs) is skyrocketing, I think it's important to redpill everybody on the Fat Pig Question.

Obesity is almost has heritable as IQ, at ~70%. Heritability is highest during adolescence, lowest during childhood.

The physiological traits that make an individual susceptible to weight gain may be adaptive under conditions of sporadic food scarcity, but we do not live under such conditions.

Moreover, mere susceptibility to weight gain does not make an individual fat. This is largely caused by the psychological/behavioral traits that correlate with fatness: Low IQ, low impulse control, various mental disorders, etc.

In brief: Fat people are dysgenic, and the fact that fat people can now mask (and spread) their fat genes via magic weight loss drugs is an unmitigated catastrophe. Do NOT breed with ex-fatties.

NB: Optimal body fat range for men and women is 18-24% and 21-28%, respectively (best for metabolic health, hormone balance longevity, etc.)

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Thuletide

Trump admin aims to dismantle the International Criminal Court.

"The US is launching a diplomatic campaign with a single message—sovereign states over globalism... Using all the tools at our government's disposal, working beside every all with whom we can make common cause, we will dismantle the ICC—brick by brick, if necessary" - Marco Rubio

Summary from Reuters:
- Options under consideration include travel bans, visa revocations and increased sanctions
- Rubio and other US officials are pressuring countries to diplomatically isolate the ICC
- Countries relying on US assistance could face increased scrutiny if they refuse

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Thuletide

I have been reading 2010s studies on fiscal impact of immigration. So many papers include quotes like: "If we assume retarded unemployed thirdies will 'assimilate,' they might make a net-positive economic contribution by next century. Policy Recommendation: Increase gibs by 1 trillion dollars."

This is barely even hyperbole; the image contains snippets from a European Commission JRC study.

Most seem to follow this pattern:
- Real-world data proves thirdies are economically catastrophic
- Authors create fictional model based on delusional assumptions
- Model "proves" thirdies become economically beneficial at some point in the future
- Sponsored by EU & UN

Fortunately, we have more recent & reliable data, primarily that released by the Danish government and Amsterdam University (see here).

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Thuletide

I'd like to believe that Elon will come to his senses regarding digital ID etc., he's evidently open to having his mind changed and seems to take the opinions of twitter anons seriously, but I'm skeptical.

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Thuletide

X/Twitter worked on the Kids Online Safety Act, part of the KIDS Act (recently passed in the House). They are 100% on board with digital identity and deanonymization.

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Thuletide

Looks like 2022 Thuletide was correct about the first part. I hope I'm not vindicated on the second.
/channel/thuletide/2688

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Thuletide

Digital Panopticon Update: The KIDS Act passed within the House and only 32 Republicans voted against it.

It includes 14 bills (e.g. the Kids Online Safety Act) aimed at throttling online freedom.

- Age verification for using websites that host porn or other sexual content (this includes every social media platform)
- Age verification to send private messages
- Age verification to use in-game chats
- Most web/app features disabled by default unless age verified
- Restrictions on encrypted messaging
- Restrictions on AI chatbots
- Government-directed moderation / restriction of lawful speech
- etc.

As I said
, while the digital ID agenda has bipartisan support in America, it is primarily pushed by myopic GOP tradcuck retards who either don't understand or don't care that they are playing directly in the hands of the left. These people are a plague.

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Thuletide

The most absurd aspect of this cuckservative push to "protect children" online is that the entirety of modern Western civilization is riddled with filth from top to bottom.

The shit kids see in the average city, the shit they see on TV, the shit they're taught in school, etc. can hardly be more harmful than the shit they see online.

To truly protect children, you'd have to take them off grid and live in the wilderness. Even then, you're likely to drive past a degenerate billboard or two.

Why don't they campaign to bring back modesty laws or something?

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Thuletide

Digital Panopticon Update: People who create a new Apple account in Texas will be asked to verify that they're over 18

"Apple will introduce age verification in the App Store for users in Texas starting on Thursday, June 4th. The move, as spotted by MacRumors, comes just days after a federal appeals court allowed Texas’ App Store Accountability Act to go into effect while a lawsuit against it proceeds."

"People in Texas who are creating a new Apple account will need to verify they’re over 18 using a credit card or government ID."

Source: Apple is bringing age verification to Texas this week

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Thuletide

Nonsuicidal self-harm is 37% heritable for men and 59% heritable for women.

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Thuletide

Clown world failed mass shooting in Canada:

An incel communist tried to shoot up the HQ of a company in Montreal that operates multiple prominent pornography websites, including Pornhub.

The shooter killed a male muslim cop called Mohamed, then a female cop accidentally killed a fleeing civilian named Moshe Mizrahi, who happened to be a rabbi. The female cop was wounded, the shooter was killed (not by the female cop, obviously), and nobody else was harmed.

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Thuletide

If you give women UBI, they have less children. If you give their husbands UBI, they have more children.

Caveats: Study focused on low-income women and the experiment lasted two years; possible (but unlikely) that long-term fertility effects could differ from these results.

Source: How Changes in Cash Transfers Can Affect Childbearing Among Low‑Income Women: Evidence from the Finnish Basic Income Experiment (2025)
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-025-09735-9

#fertility

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Thuletide

Murder rate vs. incarceration rate in El Salvador, 2000-2024

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Thuletide

The claim that younger age at marriage (late teens to early 20s) causally increases divorce risk was debunked by two relatively recent studies.

Older papers were confounded: the increased risk is caused by "unobserved factors" such as the innate traits of those who typically marry young today (impulsive, low IQ, low SES, etc.).

The 2021 paper found that young midnight marriages induced by the Vietnam war were actually slightly less likely to divorce. This is not necessarily a universal trend, just evidence that young marriage per se does not cause an increased risk of divorce.

Neither paper looked specifically at very young teen marriages, but I think we can conclude that normal* young people from age 18-25 can safely marry without increased risk of divorce.

* "Normal" defined vaguely as "not retarded, mentally unstable, impulsive, etc."

#fertility

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