*LEAVITT: TRUMP EXPECTS NETANYAHU, HAMAS TO AGREE TO HIS PLAN
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ELLIOTT EXPLORES STRATEGIC OPTIONS FOR BRITAIN-BASED DATA CENTRE FIRM ARK, SOURCES SAY
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🚨 WHITE HOUSE ON GAZA: VERY CLOSE TO DEAL
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🚨 PUTIN SIGNS LAW ON DENUNCIATION OF EUROPEAN CONVENTION FOR PREVENTION OF TORTURE - RIA
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FED'S HAMMACK: INFLATION IS A GREATER CONCERN TO ME THAN EMPLOYMENT
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FED'S HAMMACK: SEES FRAGILITY IN JOB MARKET DATA
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FED'S HAMMACK: ELEVATED SERVICES INFLATION IS A REAL CONCERN
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HEAD OF OSCE MONITORING MISSION, ON MOLDOVAN ELECTIONS: VOTE WAS COMPETITIVE BUT MARRED BY SERIOUS CASE OF FOREIGN INTERFERENCE
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$EA - ELECTRONIC ARTS SAID TO NEAR BUYOUT DEAL AT ABOUT $210/SHARE
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$TSLA - BENCHMARK REITERATES BUY ON TESLA (TSLA), PT $475
🔸 3Q25 preview: Tesla reports Thursday; Benchmark models 442K deliveries vs. consensus ~448K (some estimates mid-460K). Strong rebound from 2Q’s 384K.
🔸 Stock setup: Shares up ~28–32% in September, raising bar for upside surprise; risk of volatility if mix or ASPs disappoint.
🔸 Outlook: Policy changes may create 4Q demand “air pockets,” but seen as temporary.
🔸 Rating: Buy, $475 PT maintained.
(@WalterBloomberg)
*WALLER: STABLECOINS, WITH REG. PROTECTIONS. ADD PAYMENTS OPTION
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📅 PRESIDENT’S SCHEDULE — MONDAY, SEPT 29, 2025
🔸 9:00 AM — In-Town Pool Call Time
🔸 10:15 AM — Signs Executive Order (Oval Office, closed press)
🔸 11:00 AM — Greets Israeli Prime Minister (open press)
🔸 11:35 AM — Bilateral Meeting with Israeli PM (Oval Office, closed press)
🔸 12:00 PM — Bilateral Lunch with Israeli PM (Cabinet Room, closed press)
🔸 1:15 PM — Press Conference with Israeli PM (State Dining Room, pre-credentialed media)
🔸 3:00 PM — Meeting with Bicameral Bipartisan Leadership (Oval Office, closed press)
🔸 5:30 PM — Gold Star Families Reception (East Room, closed press)
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$MCD - MCDONALD'S: MONOPOLY GAME RETURNING TO U.S. FOR FIRST TIME IN NEARLY A DECADE
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GOLDMAN SACHS RAISES GLOBAL EQUITIES TO OVERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL RATING OVER THE 3-MONTH HORIZON
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Trump: ‘MAKE CRIME ILLEGAL AGAIN!’
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WHITE HOUSE: CALL FOR CLEAN GOVERNMENT FUNDING BILL
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WHITE HOUSE ON GAZA: WE HOPE THAT BOTH SIDES AGREE
WHITE HOUSE ON GAZA PROPOSAL: TRUMP WILL SPEAK WITH QATAR
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HSBC: KEY MILESTONES FOR S&P 500 RALLY
S&P 500 +33% since April, already above HSBC’s 6,500 year-end target, nearing bull case of 7,000.
Risks ahead:
🔸 Govt shutdown: Congress faces Sept 30 deadline; past shutdowns have been brief but disruptive.
🔸 Fed policy: Expected 25bp cuts on Oct 29 & Dec 10; historically, cuts outside recessions lift S&P ~8% in 6 months.
🔸 Trade: Tariff extensions—Mexico (Oct 31), China (Nov 10). Positive if extended or broadened.
🔸 AI investment: Q3 earnings should confirm rising hyperscaler capex; Mag7 set to deploy $414B of $1T cash into AI, with Apple likely to ramp up.
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*HAMMACK: NEED TO MAINTAIN RESTRICTIVE POLICY
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PENTAGON URGES MISSILE MAKERS TO BOOST OUTPUT
🔸 Pentagon asking suppliers to double or quadruple missile production amid concerns over potential conflict with China.
🔸 Request delivered in high-level meetings with top U.S. defense contractors.
🔸 Public companies involved include $BAESY, $BA, $GE, $GD, $HII, $LHX, $LMT, $NOC, $RTX.
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FED'S HAMMACK: TARIFFS ARE A BIG PART OF INFLATION STORY
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FED'S HAMMACK: SERVICES PART OF INFLATION HAS REMAINED ELEVATED AND THIS IS CONCERNING
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$EA - EA TO BE ACQUIRED BY PIF, SILVER LAKE, AND AFFINITY PARTNERS FOR $210 PER SHARE
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$AAPL - JEFFERIES: IPHONE 17 MOMENTUM COOLING
🔸 Strong initial sales, but delivery lead times falling, signaling weaker demand.
🔸 U.S. weakest market: zero-day lead time vs. double-digit days in other tracked regions; 17 Pro Max lead time ~4 days shorter than last year.
🔸 China: better-than-expected launch, but momentum also slowing.
🔸 Jefferies maintains Hold on Apple.
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BOFA SEES S&P 500 AT 7,200 IN 12 MONTHS
Bank of America raised its 12-month S&P 500 target to 7,200 (≈8% upside). Analysts cite stronger productivity, business investment, and easier monetary policy boosting rate-sensitive sectors.
Key points:
🔸 Profit drivers: operating leverage, efficiency gains, cooling wage inflation, deregulation.
🔸 Headwinds: tariffs, but costs mostly absorbed by consumers/suppliers; inventories still being worked through.
🔸 Megacaps: growth may slow due to size and high capex; AI monetization risks loom.
🔸 Opportunities: other sectors may benefit as the “AI train” shifts to energy and new use cases.
🔸 CEO sentiment: unusually optimistic, with EPS guidance at its strongest since post-COVID reopening.
🔸 Valuations: expensive on most metrics, but BofA argues stocks can trade higher if EPS delivers.
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🚨 *US GOLD RESERVES HIT $1 TRILLION IN VALUE AFTER RECORD RALLY
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BARCLAYS ON POSSIBLE US GOVT SHUTDOWN
🔸 Rates markets may see shutdown as tilting Fed policy toward easing.
🔸 High chance of Oct 1 shutdown, likely ≥5 days; could last longer.
🔸 Each week cuts GDP growth ~0.1pp; usually recovered later.
🔸 Key data (jobs report, CPI, retail sales) would be delayed.
🔸 OMB memo allows termination (not just furlough) of nonessential staff → bigger economic hit.
🔸 Limited Q4 GDP impact, but employment data may be distorted.
(@WalterBloomberg)
GOLDMAN SACHS CUTS GLOBAL CREDIT TO UNDERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL RATING OVER THE 3-MONTH HORIZON
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TRUMP TO ATTEND MEETING WITH TOP GENERALS ON TUESDAY - WASHINGTON POST
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TRUMP: WE HAVE A REAL CHANCE FOR GREATNESS IN MIDDLE EAST
TRUMP: WE WILL GET IT DONE
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