A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Mar 2024 17:45

CAD is down today after reporting cooler inflation numbers across the board. This made the UC pair more bullish on the news as the Bank of Canada may be more likely to cut rates before others. The dollar is stronger overall today as we approach tomorrow’s FOMC which will probably result in a more hawkish Fed after higher CPI in the US. -Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Mar 2024 16:53

CAD CPI y/y came in lower this morning to 2.8%. Expectations were above 3% which suggests that Canada is lowering inflation at a quicker rate than most countries. In the race to be the first to cut, Canada may take that place. This could be potentially dovish news for CAD if their central bank does decide to start easing again. -Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Mar 2024 14:31

"Great tool for fundamental analysis. It really helps me with my trading and i love the visual representation of the COT data."

Thanks for the review Monastirski! We're so happy to hear that the EdgeFinder has improved your fundamental analysis.
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Mar 2024 20:02

Japan released their rate statement today which remained unchanged for the quarter at -0.10%. Forecasts still have rates moving higher throughout 2024 however. Expectations go as high as 0.37% by the end of the year.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Mar 2024 19:02

NZDUSD ticked up one point today but is still in the bearish territory. Retail sentiment is now under 60% long, COT suggests dollar bullishness and kiwi bearishness, and the score flip from March 14 suggests further moves lower.

Investors might be gearing for a stronger dollar this week as the Fed may want to keep rates higher for a while. New Zealand also releases their GDP numbers on Wednesday which is expected to come in higher than last month.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Mar 2024 18:08

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 Mar 2024 20:39

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Mar 2024 20:06

(im)patiently waiting for COT to drop

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Mar 2024 17:27

SILVER UPDATE 4H:

I am still long, and with today's clean break through the highs, I've trailed my stop further.

Why is silver exploding? The same reason I believe gold is bullish as well.

Economic reads like PMI, retail sales, GDP, and NFP are all pointing towards a slowdown in the US economy. China and Europe are also facing the same trend.

At the same time - inflation is still a sticky issue in the US, with both PPI & CPI hotter than expected this week.

This combination is a strong one for metals - as people fear an economic slowdown and stubborn inflation, they may look to alternatives like metals and possibly even crypto. - Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Mar 2024 15:32

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 Mar 2024 20:47

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 Mar 2024 19:26

Retail bullish sentiment is declining while smart money continues to buy the commodity. The price is more so reflecting COT activity which anticipates higher oil prices in the future.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 Mar 2024 16:37

NAS100 is a neutral reading with the rest of the US indices right now. Yesterday's score was 0 and today is +3. This move is due to the retail sales news that came out this morning. The categories that moved the index score came from the Economy tab and our Labor market scoring tab which looks at weekly unemployment claims.

Stocks are overextended for sure, but there are a lot of factors that keep investors from becoming overexposed to the market. What we have mentioned before is the potential stagflation issue happening in the US. Higher CPI and lower GDP and slower labor numbers can lead to a weaker stock market and USD.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 Mar 2024 15:52

USOil is now a +7 on the EdgeFinder after moving up 4 points today in the score system. The US reported higher PPI and retail sales this morning which added strength to the commodity. The combination of this and hotter inflation has been good for oil prices.

Oil is now making moves for the first time out of the rangebound area and is topping the high for the first time since March 6th. The categories that brought up oil's score were labor market, economy and trend reading.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

13 Mar 2024 18:55

NAAIM exposure growing towards 100% could be a concerning sign for the market. As sentiment grows more euphoric, the scarier the market becomes. Right now, we are nearing a full greed state which is why each green day on the US indices seems more and more risky. -Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Mar 2024 17:14

Watch out for CADJPY after today's CPI in Canada and BOJ's surprise rate hike. If Canada gives any indication of rate cuts in their next bank statement, we could be looking at a flip in monetary policy. Japan has just begun raising their interest rate.
-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Mar 2024 15:27

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 Mar 2024 00:50

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Mar 2024 19:34

Cryptos are now the most bought assets in the retail crowd. They also seem to be majority dollar short, index short, and oil mixed.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Mar 2024 18:20

Gold is still holding itself above support on the previous all time highs around $2,148. With today's candle showing rejection from the lows and a possible bullish hammer, the metal may be able to hold itself above support.

Although the dollar is rising today, gold is also up. After a meteoric run to new highs, the metal may be ready to take a break for a while before the FOMC. Traders are looking out for the potential weakness in gold's market if the Fed does not show any concerns around inflation. -Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 Mar 2024 17:22

USOil remains in the bullish camp according to EdgeFinder analysis. At +6, the commodity is back above a significant resistance level on the 1D timeframe. The score moved up 2 points today on retail sentiment leaning more towards neutrality and a higher trend reading.

What we will likely see from the Fed on Wednesday are unchanged interest rates as inflation may start to be more of a threat to monetary policy. This will likely either mean high rates for longer and a delay on the rate cuts. It seems pretty improbable for the Fed to hike at this time now.
-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

16 Mar 2024 16:33

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Mar 2024 17:41

This week's trade signals:

Nick:
EURUSD Long ❌
Gold Long ✅
Silver Long ✅
FXI covered call ✅
XLY puts sold ✅

Frank:
Gold Long ✅
Oil Long ✅

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 Mar 2024 16:24

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 Mar 2024 21:10

Unemployment Claims came in lower for this week which can also be interpreted as a healthy sign for the labor market in the US. Higher retail sales could be a good sign for the indices as well.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 Mar 2024 20:27

Hungry for a strong setup 🤤

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 Mar 2024 18:02

Retail is still short indices and is now mixed USOil. JP225 is now shorted by the crowd and most USD pairs are mixed.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 Mar 2024 16:06

Gold is down today and is probably taking a break from the recent consecutive days of running higher. Higher retail sales from last month was probably taken negatively for gold as it wants to see worse economic conditions.

However, PPI was also higher. The Producer Price Index is a measure of inflation which also went higher today. With mixed news, gold may consolidate between the all time highs and the previous high around $2,148 for at least this week.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 Mar 2024 15:01

Squidward 100% thinks fundamentals aren't real 😂

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

13 Mar 2024 18:02

Gold continues to surprise investors as it sits near the recent record all time high. Hotter inflation yesterday may have caused weakness in the dollar due to the potential narrative switch of monetary policy. What used to be good news is now bad news for USD - higher inflation is now a bearish sign. If gold is to continue higher, it may take some time, and price may be stuck between the previous and current all time highs.
- Frank

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