A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

27 Jun 2024 17:02

Looking at smaller timeframes on the SPX500 show that each drift higher is followed by quick sell offs and reset the gains for the day. Different areas of the market move in different directions from each other as well. When NVDA was down, other sectors were getting bought which ended up flatlining the gains.

The direction of stocks is really uncertain based off what's going on in the US economy and the lack of direction. From seeing unrealistic bull rallies in the past, this summer could just be a lull in direction. Even with all the warning signs of a giant correction, it can very well push higher until the bubble seems well beyond the expected move. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Jun 2024 19:39

S&P 500
The SPX500 is back to a bullish reading on the EdgeFinder with the rest of the indices. Retail sentiment is now majority short stocks after COT reports showed an increase in buying activity for the week. In this slow week of news, it is possible to see the market drift higher by the end of the week. However, stocks are not showing a clear sign of direction yet. The recent choppiness is still putting pressure on the market’s optimism as the major indices may be looking to cool off from the latest run higher.
-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Jun 2024 18:21

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

25 Jun 2024 20:25

EUR/USD
EURUSD falls on dollar strength this morning for the same reason gold might be falling. Price is now near a supportive trend line on the 1D timeframe where it has bounced before. If the pair can’t hold above this level, it may move lower to test the 1.064s. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

25 Jun 2024 19:16

S&P 500
Looking at the S&P after a minor pullback, stocks seem to want to cling to the uptrend. The summer months could be slow, and a lack of demand in the market might suggest sideways movement. Consumer confidence came out as expected this morning and lower than the previous month. Since January, consumer confidence has steadily declined nearly 14 points. It’s possible the market has topped for now, and support lies around $5,400.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

25 Jun 2024 17:27

BTCUSD 4H Chart

Nice start to this trade! Shared this buy signal yesterday during the selloff.

Longer term hold for me, as I'd like to have some exposure to crypto in my portfolio - but fully accept the volatility that comes with it!

Any crypto purchases could go to absolute zero, but the potential upside is very high if it becomes more mainstream over the years.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Jun 2024 22:06

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Jun 2024 20:21

Retail traders are still bearish on the UK100, USDJPY, GER30 and SPX500. The NASDAQ and gold remain mixed while other metals are the top bought. The RUSSELL- the most interest rate sensitive index - is majority long by retail traders as well.

Data from the A1 EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Jun 2024 19:25

Gold remains the only clear bias when looking at USD related assets. As the metal remains a strong bullish signal on the EdgeFinder, prices finally start to rebound from last week's levels. A major obstacle for gold, however, is the dollar's strength as rate cut hopes dwindle.

Other countries have begun to cut rates which could be a sign that the US will follow suit at some point this year. Gold could serve as a great hedge against the 'looming' correction and weaker dollar in the next couple years.

Data from the A1 EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Jun 2024 18:19

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Jun 2024 15:57

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Jun 2024 16:34

Ouch! Gave back some serious unrealized gains with that hotter than expected PMI numbers out of the US.

Holding, but if price breaks support I’ll be taking profits on my remaining position.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Jun 2024 14:52

Gold 4H Chart Update:

Price action looking very strong here. Price was able to breakout of this 4H downtrend channel, and holding steady at the 2300 support level on the daily chart.

My average entry price is about 2307. All updates have been shared in the VIP channel since I took this trade with members.

On the fundamentals side, things also look strong. Last night, we had weaker than expected PMI numbers out of Europe, continuing to suggest slowdown in global economies could lead to more rate cuts. A bullish case for gold!

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- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 Jun 2024 21:30

GBPUSD is now leaning bullish on COT sentiment and bearish on retail sentiment. Keeping rates the same now puts pressure on the Fed. The Fed may now consider keeping interest high until CPI does move where they want.

Data from the A1 EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 Jun 2024 20:23

Most indices are shorted by retail. Gold remains mixed along with EURUSD and GBPUSD. Metals are still the top bought asset on the list.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

27 Jun 2024 16:37

When you see an overly bullish market, you tend to also see small caps outperform as well. The pressure that small caps are feeling are from the fear of higher interest rates. But if the market continues higher without the RUSSELL, there may be a catch-up trade in the small caps.

However, it is likely that the large cap tech companies' AI move could carry SPX and NAS higher and leave RUSSELL in the behind. There's too much speculation and potential risks involved that it is hard to trade a directional play unless you stare at your screen all day.

Data from the A1 EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Jun 2024 18:59

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

26 Jun 2024 18:18

DXY Daily Chart:

Price looks like it may continue higher for the time being, with this strong price action today. Higher highs and higher lows can be seen on the 4H chart.

Meanwhile, Australian & Canadian inflation came out higher than expected this week, so the dollar may struggle at the previous highs if we get there.

If we see a strong breakout on higher than expected inflation readings on Friday (Core PCE is released), it could lead to a breakout through the highs. Conversely, a lower than expected read may reverse this dollar strength.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

25 Jun 2024 19:55

Gold
More weakness in the gold market occurred after consumer confidence today. Price is still stuck in a consolidation zone and is having a hard time making any moves. The 2 year treasury yield is higher as today which could be a result of higher interest rate expectations for longer. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

25 Jun 2024 17:46

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

25 Jun 2024 17:23

Gold 4H Chart:

I am still long, curious to see if price action can find support in this area.

Fundamentally I still like the global trend towards rate cuts, uncertainty with upcoming elections, and geopolitics globally still under the surface.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Jun 2024 21:59

Smart Money is buying oil, bond notes, and gold. Meanwhile, institutions continue to retreat from the indices. This could be a precursor to a correction in the stock market, especially if NVDA cracks.
Data from the A1 EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Jun 2024 19:54

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Jun 2024 18:38

Out of the Big Three, blue chips are the only ones to prevail today. The S&P and NAS had a rather muted open this morning, but the US30 ripped higher. The correlation between this index and the rest of the market have been a bit divergent as the US30 has been struggling to keep up with the other market rallies.

There has been speculation of a massive rotation from heavy speculative plays such as the AI trade with NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, etc. to be in more reliable companies with dividends and more stability in high interest rate environments.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

24 Jun 2024 18:07

The EdgeFinder struggles to pick a side when it comes to the stock market and the S&P which has remained a neutral score for some time. Despite this, the index has continued to move higher each week without much hesitation.

The problem with this is that there are only a few companies that prop prices higher, while the rest stumble. Now that NVDA has been falling the past few days, index returns are limited to the upside or mute for gains.

Data from the A1 EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Jun 2024 20:56

🏦 TRADING STRATEGY: Institutional Position Tracking
Frank's trading strategy is heavily reliant on tracking institutional trades from banks. That's why he and Nick crafted the EdgeFinder's COT data to provide comprehensive insights into the movements of smart money.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 Jun 2024 15:08

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 Jun 2024 21:50

The inflationary trend in the UK shows us much more promise than in the US, where there is no real trend at all. CPI in the US is in the same spot it was one year ago suggesting no progression at all.

Data from the A1 EdgeFinder
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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 Jun 2024 20:45

How the heck is gold going up on, while USD is ALSO going up?!?

Before you fall into the trap of just thinking markets are manipulated, here is the reason!

- Gold is going up because globally, central banks are beginning to cut interest rates. They're doing so because economies are slowing, and inflation is coming down. Today, we saw a surprise rate cut from the Swiss national bank, and implications that the bank of England will also be cutting soon. We've also seen the ECB and bank of Canada already cut rates. Globally, this loosening of monetary policy is very bullish for gold!

- Meanwhile, the USD is going up because of the Federal reserve's cautious and slow approach to cutting interest rates - since strong growth has led to persistent US inflation. So - while other banks are cutting rates, the fed is not. This divergence makes the dollar look strong relative to its peers.

Before you get frustrated and convince yourself that its all one big scam - do your homework! The dollar and gold CAN move in the same direction, and it makes total sense if you know your fundamentals.

Trade safe.

Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 Jun 2024 19:39

The decision to keep UK rates where they are could make the September cut in the US less official. This also suggests that the BoE is playing it safe while the Fed could be taking a huge risk of cutting in the fall. Now the pair is mixed and fraught with uncertainty.

Data from the A1 EdgeFinder
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