Next 15 days, in absense of FII, operator will have a free hand. Wild swings with large mtm fluctuations. Focus will be on capital protection rather than ROI
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Aakanksha Gupta
SEBI registered RA
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good day... played long very slow after big gap up in nifty and kept on rolling strikes slowly.
Читать полностью…Nifty on track towards 22400 by April 2024. Markets are now in a goldilocks scenario wherein it will price in a 3rd term for BJP in 2024 and with Fed asserting that it is done with rate hikes and rate cuts will now be natural, we are in a for sustained period of bullishness in 2024. Best time to be in equities. We will now wait for 22400 by April 2024 or before. Longer term trend is extremely bullish and we can see targets of 30000 also by FY 2026-27. 19800 now becomes a strict SL for all upside targets. Till 19800 is held all upside targets will come.
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good day , shorted bn in open and booked gains in some pos. In upmove , booked losses but kept view same and rolled back strikes and made some adjustments which resulted in mtm green .
Читать полностью…we captured the entire rally from 19800 to 21000 nifty and caught the trend change to short from yesterday. now nifty at 20834 spot .
power of good analysis
By confirming that it is done with rate hikes and rate cuts will now be next action, what fed has done is to divert the global money flow from risk free assets like bonds to risky assets like equities. US 10Y rates have fallen below 4% (from around 5% a month earlier)and they are expected to touch 3% by end of 2024. It essentially means that global money flow will now get parked in equities instead of bonds. Today's rally is just the beginning of this inward flow towards equities.
India with it's favorable political climate, strong economic growth, booming domestic participation and young population will get a big chunk of this money flow which will aid in taking our markets to new highs. The only risk to above analysis is geopolitical war or Covid 19 like disease if any such event occurs than the above analysis not materialise.
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high vix markets has one benefit, you can from come loss to profits as market gives good moves.
in low vix , if you missed the move then you cant manage your losses