MLB Home dogs 🌭
Gameday preview: /channel/mlb_lab/468
So. Home dogs are 17-12 SU on Thursdays. Let's see who we got today:
My list of home dogs looks like this:
1️⃣ Royals. Because Yanks are 17-21 SU on Thu
2️⃣ Orioles. They are 26-13 SU on Thu. But they've been dogshit this szn and Tigers are solid af.
3️⃣ Rockies & Brewers — nothing to highlight here
NFL
New channel dedicated to NFL previews similar to MLB: /channel/intel_football_lab
WNBA
DALLAS +7 0.5U -110
Aces / Sparks UNDER 168 -110
MLB Dogs 🌭
MLB preview is posted on the MLB Intel page (t.me/mlb_lab/466). Here I'll keep posting daily interesting angles we might find useful. For example, today it's home underdogs (17-12 on Wednesdays!). Here they are:
Guardians +108
Brewers +150
Padres +125
Royals +110
Rockies +190
But.
Now we have stats on all MLB night games since 2023
MLB
Let's see if underdogs take over after I switch to the favorites sheet 😁
Actually, MLB favorites are hitting 60% on Tuesdays so that's why it's their sheet today.
Currently adding more stats so no idea whether it'll be dogs or favs. I do think however that unders will be the move. MLB lab unders have been solid this month (18-8)! /channel/mlb_lab/465
NHL
Last game, Panthers and Oilers closed at equal prices, so technically the 12-2 June favs record stands...
Panther is a mf lock today! Or is it...
What you thinking?
🛢 — 🔥
🐆 — ❤️
Yeah my paid service is probably not for an average bettor but that's why I always say hit me up @realdeal666 for a free trial before paying 💯
Читать полностью…
Big Dog Motivation Reading 😎
We're all here for the same reason: to make that $ from sports betting.
If you're taking sports betting seriously, you must know that you are at a disadvantage from the jump because of the vig (aka juice aka margin) and you need to win 52.38 percent of your -110 (1.91) bets just to break even. Let alone the amount of information books and oddsmakers have access to unlike us regular gamblers.
If you're taking sports betting seriously, you should maintain a clear financial approach: no all ins, no chasing, none of that bs. Your bankroll should be divided into units / percentages and each unit should be used correctly depending on the size of your bankroll and goals. Do not expect that you will double your bankroll every month. Realistically, when the betting environment is ok, the real average figures are 10-30% profit monthly.
Betting environment = cappers that we track & leagues trends (e.g. no anomalies like current underdogs domination in the MLB).
But we have cappers & stats. Most cappers are pointless per se (barely profitable, can go cold at any moment, etc). But the reason I track all these cappers is to increase chances of winning by tailing certain cappers in certain spots, to offset the advantage of oddsmakers. In the long run, this allows us to allow us to win 2-3% more which is a solid increase in profit (56.27% win rate, 4.09% ROI since I started tracking the performance of the paid channel analytics back in April 2023).
Sports betting is a long-term thing. Everyone who says sports betting is easy can just fuck off. I know cappers say that it is easy so that their followers pay them asap. But it's pretty damn hard to maintain a consistent income. For me, it's still ups and downs.
It is also important to know when to bet. For example, cappers are a material to work with, most of them bet favorites (can't do anything about it). Right now, if you're only betting MLB favorites ... you're walking on a minefield. And I'm a fool for tailing cappers this past month with MLB favorites. Should've recognized earlier. Live and learn.
And now we transition to one thing that most sports bettors never heard off ... PATIENCE! Yes, it's fine if you take a day / week / month off. I'm fine with taking days off when I feel like betting environment I'm used to is not the same (right now cappers are doing really bad so I'm minimizing amount of bets)
Night Night 👍
WNBA
Washington / Connecticut under 156 (-110) 1U
0.5u teaser (-110):
Connecticut +12.5
Washington / Connecticut under 160.5
MLB
Dogs won't stop losing so I though "what might be the breaking point in the season when dogs stop winning so much?"
So I decided to compare the MLB season with the NHL season.
Favorites were winning in both leagues at the start of the seasons, then underdogs took over. In the NHL, favorites took over again after the All Star break (circled on the screenshot).
So maybe we'll see the same kind of dynamics in the MLB. But while underdogs are winning, try taking advantage of it.
NHL
Last time I called it perfectly. Oilers won, panthers scored first. But oilers deserved it. Bobrovsky is not him so far. Although skinner is also not perfect.
Anyways. My opinion is the same. I think oilers win again. Let me remind you that since 2023 in June, favorites are 12-2 SU.
And overall I think Panthers will not see back to back Championships.
🛢 - 🔥
🐆 - ❤️
WNBA
ATL / CON OVER 158.5 (-110) 0.5U
LA -1.5 (-110) 1U
NBA
A lot of cappers on OKC — that's the only thing that I am suspicious of. But there are also good cappers on OKC. I expect OKC to start strong and cover in the 1st game.
Do what you want with this intel, I'll enjoy a 3-1 day with MLB plays 🫡
NBA
The under was so close last game! I don't know about you but I'm a fan of unders in the finals. Especially if I fade the public. So my guess will be under 227.5 (-115).
🤫🤫🤫
Never mind. 17-12 is the Thursdays stats. We wait till tomorrow 😂
Читать полностью…
WNBA
The plays were supposed to be IND / ATL UNDER 160.5 (1U) and a Chicago spread & IND / ATL Under teaser (0.5U) but I forgor 😭
It was always Rays 😀 ... and other winners from the paid content ✅
Intel Analytics cashed with Rays F5 / full game
Daily full recaps: /channel/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
SUMMER PROMO STILL GOING ON: /channel/betting_intel/7414
Any doubts — hit me up @realdeal666 for a free trial before paying
MLB
Just when I switched over to the underdogs on the sheet ... favs went 10-5. But still underdogs are doing well so sticking with this sheet for now. Monday is pretty chill, new series of games, and not a lot of trends.
But a few trends suggest that Dodgers is a mf lock today.
What do you think?
😀 — ❤️
😀 — 🔥
All the MLB intel I've gathered comes in handy.
Not only we had ISW 2.5U MLB on Guardians, but also knew that Guardians were 20-3 SU off 3 losses. 21-3 now. Don't forget about that next time they're on 3 losses 😉
Dodgers -1.5 was another sweet spot. 0-7 run for their -1.5 run lines. And they covered.
Actually trying to make our betting easier with all the intel 🤓👍
As always, daily full recaps of the premium content: /channel/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
NBA
Idk about you but I'll keep fading the covers.com public — the under has to be the move again.
And there's absolutely no way Pacers win or cover today right? Thunder fans won't handle two losses at home.
Who wins & covers today?
🆗 — 🔥
👐 — ❤️
MLB
Switched up the charts — now we'll watch the underdogs progression 😁 And they're progressing pretty consistently. Especially home underdogs — almost 20U profit and 6% ROI.
More detailed stats on home underdogs on the second screenshot. It's as if you can't go broke by only betting home underdogs this season. 153 wins, 163 losses. Not bad given that the average odds are +130.
WNBA
Finally picking up something here.
0.5U teaser (-110):
Seattle -1
LV / GS over 156
0.5U single:
Seattle -5.5 (-110)
MLB
Not much change. Dogs are still winning the majority of games. Let me share the dogs I think are good:
Cubs
Reds
Padres
If I were to choose favorites I would do the first and the last games again (Rays already won). So let’s see if Braves win.
just look at the fans' faces😅 I don't think they were expecting this kind of ending, but we were expecting exactly this kind of final game🔥 Haliburton, who are you?👽
And yes, UNDER cash 💰 2-0 nhl&nba finals
NBA
It's going to be a great Finals. We should see 4:1 at best 😂
But I'll root for Pacers to put up some kind of fight.
But If I'm posting then I have some intel to share. And I'm sharing covers.com consensus. So, in June consensus totals are just 1-9. And of course the public is pouring in on the OVER. So I have no choice but to route for the under.
👍 — OVER
👎 — UNDER
