Yankees vs Mets — the clash of the two least profitable teams I track 🤩🤩
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Good morning!
Home underdog of the day - Blue Jays ✅ (cappers mushed Yankees so bad)
Away underdog of the day - Angels ✅
Juice fav - Dodgers ✅ (no chance to live bet there)
Unders went 2-2 ♻️
CFL - the underdog won outright ✅
Night night - ✅
Happy 4th of July everyone!Читать полностью…
no WNBA today. Here's night play:
Mariners / Royals under 7.5
CFL
Totals are 50/50 today. However spreads are lopsided: underdogs are 18-8 ATS on Thursdays (home underdogs are 28-38 SU - 20.4% ROI)
The move here is ... Calgary +5.5 (-110)
MLB dog/fav
So the task is pretty simple — just pick one team (dog or fav) according to the stats on the season... Any team that is not named Yankees...
Underdogs today. And I'm going with an away underdog. A team that rarely lets me down when they're underdogs.
You guessed it — Angels (+130)
😀😀😀
7/3 Intel MLB unders
Giants under 8.5 -110
Guardians under 8.5 -110
Rockies under 11.5 -125
Mets under 8 +100
Like I said, betting juiced favs pre game or waiting for live bets - both options work. I prefer live bets simply because I can't stand betting -200 plays
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MLB fav/dog
Underdogs are still doing slightly better than favorites overall, but I managed to pick a nice fav yesterday with Dbacks. Focusing on favs today again.
I see a buy low spot on the Yankees — yes, even after I said that betting on the Yankees is not a bright a idea. At least I don't see any better favorite today.
Yankees are 27-19 SU off 2 losses + 31-18 SU on Wednesdays
😀😀😀
JUICED ODDS FAVS 🧃
Rays
Astros
Dodgers
The three teams that qualify for now
Rays are -125 ML when posted *
Favorites of -200 or heavier are 20-9 on Wednesdays this season. Rays also fall into a 59-38 first game trend.
WNBA
Hopefully ladies start our July the way they finished June 🔥
— IND / MIN UNDER 158 (-110) 1U
— TEASER (-110) 0.5U:
Minnesota -6.5 & under 162.5
JUICED ODDS FAVS 🧃
Phillies got the job done easily yesterday.
Statistically, Tuesdays are the best day: 31-5 SU, 19-5 if you live bet the teams when they're down, 7-5 if you parlay all juiced favs together.
Today's juiced favs:
Dodgers (-340)
Borderline juiced favs:
Braves, Rangers, Cubs — all three teams close to being -200.
Just a reminder: I only track -200 or more juiced favs here. Betting such expensive favorites has been profitable this season.Читать полностью…
HOME UNDERDOGS
Nice day for home underdogs yesterday (Pirates opened as underdogs, still won).
Today:
🥇 Blue Jays ML. 17-10 as home underdogs.
🥈 Nationals. Because Tigers are 24-31 SU off 2 wins.
🥉 Marlins & Rockies.
Hey everyone! June was solid.
All the intel is free in here, and most of the times it's more valuable than what cappers sell lol.
Brief recap:
Giants ❌ (actually a bunch of solid cappers had Dbacks yesterday)
🧃 Phillies ✅
🙏 Mariners team total ✅
Unders ✅✅
Let's get a great July running 🔥
If you were looking to start your day with the Nationals / Red Sox game, I've got something for you:
Home teams in the fist game of the day on Fridays are 11-3 SU — applies to Nationals ML
(I'll wait for a live bet on the Nats here)
WNBA and night play coming later today
( had dodgers team total under and wsox +2.5 circled for night plays yesterday, put some 🍕 money on both but didn't post neither 🥲)
JUICED FAVS 🧃
Only Dodgers (-270) qualify today. Good live bet target. They often let opponents take the lead.
Home underdogs are doing ok so far in July (5 wins 4 losses at average +125). Thursday is also a good day statistically so let's see...
🥇 Blue Jays. "no way yankees get swept" type fade (also Yankees are 17-21 SU on Thu)
🥈 Rockies. Astros are 14-19 SU off 3 wins
🥉 Dbacks. I think 50/50 here.
There's also Marlins as home underdogs in the early game ... but on Thursdays home teams don't win as often (6-8) 🤓 And then there's Nationals ... but Tigers are 59-46 off 1 loss + 29-20 on Thursdays + 39-18 as away fav.
Yankees ❌ (I'll never trust them again)
Unders went 2-1✅
Juiced favs swept ✅ (could've live bet all of them too)
Full schedule today with WNBA and CFL to top it off 😎
7/2 Intel MLB unders
Orioles under 8 -115
Guardians under 8 -105
Padres game 2 under 8 -114
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
21-37 on Wednesday so taking a day off here
Hey everyone!
Nice start to the month
WNBA ✅❌ (big play cashed)
Dbacks ✅
Unders 0-1-2 ❌
🧃 Dodgers ✅
🙏 White Sox TT ✅
MLB Dog/Fav
Sticking with a favorite again today. And only sticking with home favs from now on, away favs are not worth betting.
Had Giants circled here yesterday, today I think Dbacks win again:
55-44 off 1 win
79-55 as home favs
37-25 SU on Tuesdays
😀😀😀
7/1 Intel MLB unders
Tigers under 9.5 -110
Yankees under 7.5 -110
Astros under 11 -105
HOME DOGS 🌭
No rankings today. Had Pirates circled as a 🥇 play but they're favored against the Cardinals now.
Just three home underdogs remain today:
Blue Jays (+133), Rangers (-103), Dbacks (+122). Orioles being away favs surprises me but stats show it's not a bad bet. Dbacks is not a good move, spoke about them earlier.
