I can’t believe some cappers are trying to snipe a Yankees win during their losing streak
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Home underdogs 🌭
Home underdogs went 0-4 yesterday, so I was right not picking a 🥇 play.
Today:
🥇 Twins. Home underdogs are 19-11 in the first game
🥈 Guardians. Fading my Tigers trend, they’re not doing well on Saturdays.
🥉 Mets. Same Yankees trend fade
Another good day huh
Away underdogs I listed: 3-1
Home underdogs: 1-1
And another night play cashed ✅
Today’s updates coming soon 🔜
HOME UNDERDOGS
2/3 yesterday with another 🥇 play cash.
I would place Nationals as the top play today but only if they were underdogs. So…
🥇no play
🥈 Marlins
🥉 Rockies
There’s also Guardians on 7 losses — that’s their max loss streak in 3 years of data. But Tigers are doing great off 2 losses and as away favorites. So I’ll skip this game.
If you were looking to start your day with the Nationals / Red Sox game, I've got something for you:
Home teams in the fist game of the day on Fridays are 11-3 SU — applies to Nationals ML
(I'll wait for a live bet on the Nats here)
WNBA and night play coming later today
( had dodgers team total under and wsox +2.5 circled for night plays yesterday, put some 🍕 money on both but didn't post neither 🥲)
JUICED FAVS 🧃
Only Dodgers (-270) qualify today. Good live bet target. They often let opponents take the lead.
Home underdogs are doing ok so far in July (5 wins 4 losses at average +125). Thursday is also a good day statistically so let's see...
🥇 Blue Jays. "no way yankees get swept" type fade (also Yankees are 17-21 SU on Thu)
🥈 Rockies. Astros are 14-19 SU off 3 wins
🥉 Dbacks. I think 50/50 here.
There's also Marlins as home underdogs in the early game ... but on Thursdays home teams don't win as often (6-8) 🤓 And then there's Nationals ... but Tigers are 59-46 off 1 loss + 29-20 on Thursdays + 39-18 as away fav.
Yankees ❌ (I'll never trust them again)
Unders went 2-1✅
Juiced favs swept ✅ (could've live bet all of them too)
Full schedule today with WNBA and CFL to top it off 😎
7/2 Intel MLB unders
Orioles under 8 -115
Guardians under 8 -105
Padres game 2 under 8 -114
CFL
There's one trend for tonight — it's the under. Was debating between the underdog's team total or full game. I think full game under is the move here.
Montreal / BC Under 50.5 (-115)
No juiced underdogs yet. Blue Jays are really close to -200
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MLB Dogs/Favs
Switched to away underdogs right on time yesterday. Doing the same today. So I’m thinking Angels right away - one of the most profitable underdogs this season. At the same time, there’s solid trends on Reds, Orioles and Royals.
So I’m not going to be picking one and will do a 4-way split like yesterday. At least 2 hit - good. 3 underdogs hit - great.
Angels +155
Reds +150
Orioles +110
Royals +115
Nothing interesting in the CFL today
On the one hand, home underdogs are 29-38 (23.2% ROI), on the other hand favorites dominate on Fridays.
Same with totals - July is all about unders but on Fridays there’s mostly overs.
If I had to choose something, I’d go with the under. But I’m not forced so I’ll just skip.
MLB dog/fav
Underdogs prevailed yesterday (6-4 SU). Looking at underdogs again today.
If i haven’t said I would not bet on the Yankees, I’d go with them today: 38-31 SU as away underdog for +21% ROI). But I can’t.
Instead, I’d do a 3-way split:
Yankees ML (38-31 SU as away dog for +21% ROI)
Astros (46-34 as away dog for +22.7% ROI)
Orioles ML (59-51 as away dog for + 20% ROI)
Looks like at least 2/3 would hit here. Can also add Royals (Dbacks are 31-36 on Fridays + 21-26 off 2 losses). Such good setups that it looks like away underdogs sweep today.
Yankees vs Mets — the clash of the two least profitable teams I track 🤩🤩
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Good morning!
Home underdog of the day - Blue Jays ✅ (cappers mushed Yankees so bad)
Away underdog of the day - Angels ✅
Juice fav - Dodgers ✅ (no chance to live bet there)
Unders went 2-2 ♻️
CFL - the underdog won outright ✅
Night night - ✅
Happy 4th of July everyone!Читать полностью…
no WNBA today. Here's night play:
Mariners / Royals under 7.5
CFL
Totals are 50/50 today. However spreads are lopsided: underdogs are 18-8 ATS on Thursdays (home underdogs are 28-38 SU - 20.4% ROI)
The move here is ... Calgary +5.5 (-110)
MLB dog/fav
So the task is pretty simple — just pick one team (dog or fav) according to the stats on the season... Any team that is not named Yankees...
Underdogs today. And I'm going with an away underdog. A team that rarely lets me down when they're underdogs.
You guessed it — Angels (+130)
😀😀😀
7/3 Intel MLB unders
Giants under 8.5 -110
Guardians under 8.5 -110
Rockies under 11.5 -125
Mets under 8 +100
Like I said, betting juiced favs pre game or waiting for live bets - both options work. I prefer live bets simply because I can't stand betting -200 plays
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MLB fav/dog
Underdogs are still doing slightly better than favorites overall, but I managed to pick a nice fav yesterday with Dbacks. Focusing on favs today again.
I see a buy low spot on the Yankees — yes, even after I said that betting on the Yankees is not a bright a idea. At least I don't see any better favorite today.
Yankees are 27-19 SU off 2 losses + 31-18 SU on Wednesdays
😀😀😀
