Alright, here's the scoop on Australian Hockey betting😎
This league is a real high-scoring affair, and totals over bets have been hitting consistently. The season stats back it up: 46-25 in favor of the over.
Saturdays are especially hot, rocking an 80% win rate for the over (28-7). Also worth noting: these overs hit best in games with an away favorite (21-7) and in the first games of the day (17-5).
Today's Slate: There are 3 games scheduled. All three have the home team favored, and the first two start simultaneously (making them harder to single out).
My Recommendation: Given these factors and the strong numbers above, you've got two solid option:
Go for the over in all three games and expect at least 2 out of 3 to hit.
Watch how the early games start and then decide whether to bet the over in the Perth vs. Central Coast Rhinos matchup.
WNBA
Connecticut +18 (-110) — 1U
Connecticut / Seattle OVER 157 (-115) — 1U
Teaser (-110) 0.5U
Connecticut +22 & Over 152.5
Connecticut 1st quarter ML (+300) — 0.25U
INTEL MLB UNDERS
Reds under 9.5 -125
Guardians game 1 under 9 -115
Padres under 8 -112
Favorites are 58.6% on Fridays. Home favorites 60% on the season so far. So let's try to find one home favorite...
My choice would be Orioles today. They finally gained some momentum going 7-3 L10 games as underdogs. Today they are favored (-140) against the Marlins. Orioles are 38-26 on Fridays (+12.5% ROI). That would be my best favorite for today.
😀😀😀
We've all seen that Yankees were on a 0-15 OVERs run. Since then ... they are on a 11-0 OVERs run!
Yankees Friday overs: 23-27 (46%)
My spreadsheet AI has the over hitting at 62.2%
Yankees / Cubs over 9 (-125) today, anyone?
MLB dogs/favs
I'm looking into underdogs today, they do well on Thursdays. I'll cover home underdogs in the next post so let's see if there are away underdogs... Not much choice: Marlins (+145) and Nationals (+125). I like these options. Reds are 50/50 as home favs (-14% ROI), and Nationals are often underestimated this season and do well as underdogs (what they showed yesterday).
So, Marlins and Nationals today. You can split your unit and put halves on each team if you're tailing these.
MLB dogs&favs
I really liked two teams today: Tigers and Padres. And looks like it's good that I skipped the early game. So just Padres for today.
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
24-40 Wednesdays. No 🥇 play today.
🥈 White Sox ML. Underdogs are 19-12 SU in the first games.
🥉 Angels ML. They have to step up.
But I have a bonus play. My sheets show Reds have a 45.6% winning chance (opposed to 58% implied in the odds). So there might be some value in Marlins today. I also feel like Reds will be a pretty popular play among cappers which hasn't been a good sign recently.
Tigers ✅
WNBA ✅
🧃 Juiced favs ✅✅
Reds under ❌
🥇 Orioles ❌ 😔
Not bad but could've been better, Orioles had many chances. WNBA cashed by the hook (also matched Cabang's play). Juiced cardinals could've been live bet yesterday.
JUICED FAVORITES 🧃
Juice barely loses this month (11-1). Also 33-6 on Tuesdays. So Red Sox and Cardinals look like 🔨 today. Astros and Blue Jays are close too.
I'll wait for live bets.
MLB Dogs&favs
No pizzas today. My selection is clear today:
Tigers ML (-122). 63.5% probability winning according to my sheets compared to 55% listed in the odds.
😀😀😀
Reds under ✅
🥇 Home underdog Tigers ML ✅
🧃 Juiced fav cashed easy AND you could've live bet Red Sox ✅
⛹️♀️ WNBA 1-1 ✅❌
💤 Night night ❌
Not bad, sucks that night plays streak ended. Let's go for a new one.
if you are interested, i can even find a trend for australian hockey😂 it only takes 1 hour...
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CFL
It's simple here: Friday is a favorites & overs day.
Saskatchewan team total over 29.5 (-115)
JUICED FAVORITES 🧃
Juiced favs are 25-8 SU on Fridays. As usual, my advice is try to grab these teams live at decent odds.
Reds
Tigers
Brewers
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
Home underdogs went 5-1 yesterday and the only game I picked was postponed🫠
Today:
🥇 Padres ML. Not my lucky team, but AI suggests they have a 58.3% chance of winning (opposed to implied 43%) + great Fridays there.
🥈 White Sox ML. Same as yesterday, but not a 🥇 play because I don't like betting postponed games.
🥉 Angels ML. Dbacks aren't great on Fridays + Angels are great as underdogs.
Other home dogs:
Royals — good chances against Mets
White Sox game 2 — pretty sure they will take at least one game today
Athletics — inconsistent team, can't say anything about them
Little reverse sweep here yesterday. Might be the start of a drawdown on my analytics, so this is your warning if you're tailing these plays 🤓
Full slate today: WNBA, CFL, another night play. Back to work. Trust BD 😎
WNBA
All my trends were for early games yesterday and I missed them 🥲
Nothing big today, just one 0.5U play:
Washington -3.5 (-105) — 0.5U
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
There's a lot of them today. And Thursday is a good day for home underdogs.
🥇White Sox. They got me a win yesterday against Blue Jays. Today's matchup seems a bit easier. Guardians aren't great as away favs + 12-16 coming off 3 wins.
I also liked Angels but they are now favored against the Rangers. Twins might sweep the Cubs. Orioles and Padres - I don't like them today. Yankees - not betting them. No opinion on Athletics.
Home underdogs went 2/2 but yesterday wasn't great: the under didn't hit, Padres didn't hit, and I missed WNBA winners (there were 2 early games that qualified for the plays yesterday).
Most likely will have a night play today finally
Also I've noticed that these trends don't do well on Wednesdays, so next week I'll be careful.
🧃 JUICED FAVS
22-9 Wednesdays (although not profitable).
There's only Red Sox (-300) today. I wouldn't add them in all parlays today 😅
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
🥇 Orioles ML +110. Almost everything lines up here: first game on Tuesday 19-11 angle and trends suggest orioles, I don't see any other good options today.
Other home underdogs:
White Sox
Brewers
Twins
Angels
Athletics
😀😀😀
Night night (5-0 run with these)
Phillies team total over 3.5 -140
