Rangers respect the coin. Let's see how these three will do:
Kings / Devils under 6
Golden Knights ML
Rams / 49ers UNDER 49
Again, I do not suggest betting nor do I tail these myself. Trying to see if all this can make sense so need to track to have some data
Two specific examples:
Pardon My Pick's NBA picks & Fivestar's NCAAB picks. Two fairly lengthy leagues with games going on almost every day (unlike the NFL and NCAAF).
PMP hangs around 50% win rate in the NBA. Fivestar is sub 50% in the NCAAB.
And both are doing well on Wednesdays which also turns out to be the best day of the week in the 15k-picks sample.
Maybe Wednesday is the day when books are sleepy and they forget to "set traps" 😁
Or maybe it's all just a huge coincidence.
I doubt there's an answer. But I find it interesting.
Open to debate 👉 @realdeal666
NY Rangers caught some attention early on but it's not a cappers consensus. Twitter is full of Sabres mockery... Buy-low spot on Sabres?
Читать полностью…Yesterday:
Ninja's play lost like it should have (Predators are 🔥🗑)
PickzHub's play won again even though I was skeptical about it
Sean Perry's play lost by the hook. I liked it! Had this play in the paid!
Today:
The almighty PickzHub is 8-1 coming off 4 wins! Lock of the day?
TBSB is now coming off 2 losses and his picks are 23-14 in these spots.
Rest of intel — in the paid 🫢
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
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Cappers took it light yesterday and I'm sure today we'll see a ton of action. But even so, the trends worked fine:
TBSB's play lost as expected; PickzHub's square parlays keep hitting; Cody Covers is the king of Monday Night Football. There are interesting trends for today too:
1. Vegas Ninja: 25-27 coming off 3 wins (-20% ROI). Looks like a fade if it's an NBA pick. 41-37 on Tuesdays (-16.1% ROI)
2. PickzHub: 9-14 coming off 3 wins
3. Sean Perry: 42-29 coming off 1 win (15.8% ROI)
4. Prof Locks PODs: 35-18 Tuesdays 🤷♂️
5. TMS: 6-1 NBA run this month
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
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Sometimes I'm right, sometimes I'm wrong, but I'm right more often I'm than wrong:
Duck lost, Sean Perry lost, Cody won, GL won, PickzHub won. But that was yesterday. What about today.
1. TMS NBA picks are 6-1 this month. Wouldn't fade him.
2. VN is 25-27 coming off 3 wins. Would consider fading if it's NBA.
3. PickzHub is solid in the NFL (37-24).
4. TBSB is 15-26 after 2 wins.
5. Duck Investments is 4-12 in the NFL on Mondays.
6. Sean Perry is 18-29 on Mondays; 14-23 NFL.
7.Analytics Capper's POTDs are 34-45 coming off 1 win.
8. Prof POD's are 21-27 on Mondays.
9. Porter Pick's big plays (>=5U) are suspiciously good on Mondays.
As always, these are just trends, not always there is any correlation.
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
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P.S. yes, it’s a consensus
🚨 CAPPERS CONSENSUS:
NFL: Rams +3.4
Consensus is 159-154-5 overall since we started tracking it:
NCAAF: 12-13-2
NBA: 37-31-1
NFL: 13-16-1
MLB: 59-42
NHL: 8-14
BOXING/UFC: 1-4
NCAAB: 32-34-1
SOCCER: 0-1
Cappers consensus is the plays I track whenever I see a lot of cappers on the same side. I don’t make these picks, I only track them.
But overall cappers did not do well this Saturday. I may be skeptical but I doubt cappers will have a good Sunday.
Cappers who I would avoid today:
1. TMS — 40-53 on Sundays. Especially not great when he's going for ML picks instead of spreads. And it might be time for another short-term regression. I did a great job jinxing him when I said he's hot.
2. Duck Investments — 31-47 coming off 2 wins. This trend has been losing more than winning (which mean Duck has been winning) but anyways this trend is still out there.
3. Sean Perry — 4 wins in a row. 14-22 in the NFL, 19-24 on Sundays. Can he go for 5? Idk.
Who would I trust?
Funny enough Cody Covers has been doing really well not only with NFL but with all picks — he swept 11-0 yesterday. PickzHub is consistent. But of course there's much more cappers I'd trust in the paid 🙂👉 /channel/+dDPQ8pFUQNQ1ZmU6. Will drop GL who is on a 28-4 NFL run.
Good luck!
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
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I told you Friday is the worst day of the week for most cappers. Only TMS is doing great this month. When he’s hot he’s HOT!
Higher expectations for cappers today. Saturdays are typically better.
Sean Perry is on a 3-0 run — 7-12 coming off 3 wins. Vegas Ninja is good on weekends (unless it’s NBA)
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
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Anyways. Friday action:
Scuzz (49-25 this season, 15-2 NHL on Fridays): Stars ML
Shark (48-19 this season, 3-4 NHL on Fridays): Stars ML
YDC (30-19 this season, 9-8 NHL on Fridays): Stars ML
Scuzz + Shark matching picks: 3-0
What a day it was! Today's trend remains the same capper: TBSB is 23-13 coming off 2 losses. I might have posted the wrong one yesterday, Anyways, TBSB is 23-13 coming off 2 losses. Prof Locks PODs are 20-30 on Fridays. I guess it is safe to say that today you can fade more cappers than usual — statistically Fridays are the worst day of the week for betting. And yesterday most cappers cashed anyways.
All I can say is good luck!
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
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Lions / Packers
Mixed action as always but let's see:
First thing that catches the eye is GL's pick — 27-4 NFL run — Lions ML + St Brown over 39.5 yds. YDC swept yesterday, might keep sweeping, he has Lions -3. Cody Covers (5-1 TNF ML picks) has Lions ML too. There's also Fivestar with Lions ML and PMP with Lions 1H ML.
At the same time, most other cappers have Packers with points. Scuzz is 2-0 with >=3U TNF picks. BTBB has Packers +4 — 4-0 run for him.
TNF Trends:
O/U: 6-7 (sequence: UUUU-OOOO-U-O-U-O-U)
Sides: 8-5 favorites
Good luck with whatever you're betting
Raptors was the lock of the century of the day, too bad no one played it right? Pacers are not it. Not only it was a cappers consensus, it was also TBSB's play (had Pacers ML), and Raptors won outright (TBSB's trends suggested he was more likely to lose than win 🙄).
One trend for today: Duck Investments. Coming off 2 wins: 30-47 (38.9%)
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
Paid content fumbled yesterday going 0-3 in the NHL (I'm mad). Check out the recap:
Paid content recaps & signups ⬅️ click
🚨 CAPPERS CONSENSUS:
NBA: PACERS -3
Consensus is 159-151-5 overall since we started tracking it:
NBA: 37-31-1
NFL: 13-16-1
NCAAF: 12-11-2
MLB: 59-42
NHL: 8-14
BOXING/UFC: 1-4
NCAAB: 32-34-1
SOCCER: 0-1
Cappers consensus is the plays I track whenever I see a lot of cappers on the same side. I don’t make these picks, I only track them.
🚨 CAPPERS CONSENSUS:
NBA: TIMBERWOLVES -7
Consensus is 158-151-5 overall since we started tracking it:
NBA: 36-31-1
NFL: 13-16-1
NCAAF: 12-11-2
MLB: 59-42
NHL: 8-14
BOXING/UFC: 1-4
NCAAB: 32-34-1
SOCCER: 0-1
Cappers consensus is the plays I track whenever I see a lot of cappers on the same side. I don’t make these picks, I only track them.
Paid content had a juicy day as most relied upon cappers did very well. Free stuff was not so great — Knicks really lost to the Hawks ☠️ and I thought PickzHub had a lock of the day parlay. Hope today will be better. I want everyone to win.
For today:
Prof Locks — 26-14 NFL on Thursdays.
Vegas Ninja — 26-25 coming off 2 losses but knowing he loves juice it's all bad bad — -12.8% ROI. NFL is good though. NBA picks are bad.
Sean Perry coming off 2 losses is 14-19; 21-23 NCAAB.
PickzHub: 44-29 coming off 1 L and 35-31 with cross-sports parlays. Good when he bets against most other cappers' NFL picks.
Good luck!
Rest of intel — in the paid 🫢
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
• Paid content recaps & signups ⬅️ click
Decided to ponder more on the correlation between capper results and days of the week. I know it's hard to believe that on certain days cappers perform worse or better and I'm sometimes skeptical about it too. And most likely we won't get a clear answer on this, but we can understand one thing.
On weekdays, cappers show better results than on weekends. That's probably because on weekends (Friday through Sunday), books get more public action. I don't really like the "books set traps" phrase but that might be it.
15k tracked picks sample proves this point.
Classic shitty start to everything new hehe. Keeping on tracking.
Again, I do not suggest to bet these nor do I bet these myself. Trying to see if all this can make sense so need to track to have some data
Let's see what a few days of work can lead to. Added more stats to the sheet that I posted a few days ago with NHL teams and their trends. But that's not the most interesting part...
Today's picks are:
Maple Leafs @ Devils over 6 -120
Panthers @ Kraken over 6 -103
Will track it for the rest of the month to see how it goes.
It's a quiet Monday with very few games to bet.
I even made this new neat sheet but there's nothing to add to it 😁
Solid Sunday across all leagues in the paid:
AFS ✅ (129-85)
Tommy NBA capper ✅ (155-115)
Shark NHL capper ✅ (50-21)
GL ✅ (29-4 NFL)
Prof Locks POW ✅ (35-10)
Full recap: /channel/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
Good old cappers like Fivestar and YDC had a good day too (I don't really like them because of high volume of picks but everyone has their own taste 🤓)
Rest of the year special 👉 @realdeal666
Bills are coming off an impressive and relatively easy win over the 49ers. And now cappers are all over the Rams. Who’s slamming the Rams?
Читать полностью…First week of December Premium recap
All cappers who were bad in November are now doing well in December and vice versa (see Dec Unit Profit & Nov Unit Profit columns)
Only AFS is somewhat consistent (just 0.5U profit this month but whatever, 3 weeks of the month left). Tommy NBA capper is off to a 6-0 start (was also 6-0 last month and then hit all-time long losing streak hehe).
Anyways. Recaps of the paid content: /channel/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
You know the drill: DM me for a free 1-day trial of the paid content — analytics, cappers, community — @realdeal666
🚨 CAPPERS CONSENSUS:
NCAAF: TULANE -4.5
NCAAF: UNLV +4.5
Consensus is 159-152-5 overall since we started tracking it:
NCAAF: 12-11-2
NBA: 37-31-1
NFL: 13-16-1
MLB: 59-42
NHL: 8-14
BOXING/UFC: 1-4
NCAAB: 32-34-1
SOCCER: 0-1
Cappers consensus is the plays I track whenever I see a lot of cappers on the same side. I don’t make these picks, I only track them.
Speaking of what I can do...
I did something new and in my opinion interesting. Dug up some NHL stats, and while it is still not 100% complete (need to add odds for the purity of the experiment), we can already see some things.
In short, I looked at 8 of the more or less consistent and frequently-bet NHL teams and got the results of their games since the 21/22 season. Same sheets which we use for cappers.
As a result we got interesting trends for the teams: their streaks, results by days of the week, etc. There are good spots. For example, yesterday there was a good spot for Hurricanes ML (they were 40-19 on Thursdays) which was supported by YDC's pick. Anyways, these sheets can be used both separately and in combination with cappers for cross-validation.
For today, there is one play that qualifies for this new sheet:
Vegas Knights game over 6 (-115). Knights' games go OVER the total 70% of the times over since the 21/22 season (21-9).
Anyways, I'm planning on working further on this type of sheet. Will add NBA trends too. I will cover more details in the "admins' selections" folder, will send a link there in a few minutes (I will forward this message to the free channel, there's no need for everyone to have access — it will stay behind the paywall)
Our chat had a day yesterday
Even I cashed a parlay and didn’t jinx all cappers
Fun fact: capper who I was tailing for 2 days straight hit a 0-3 losing streak. But swept yesterday. When I didn’t tail. Hehe. I’ll just keep posting his picks I guess and won’t touch him.
You know the drill: dm @realdeal666 if you’re interested in a free 1-day trial of the paid content
Everyone (almost everyone) is winning. Will it stay this way? Probably. At least Thursday is looking like a decent day for them.
TBSB is 23-13 coming off 2 wins; 26-14 on Thursdays.
Sean Perry snapped his 0-7 run; 41-29 coming off 1 win.
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
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Patterns worked just fine yesterday, could've faded nearly everything. TMS swept though. Maybe he will get hot for a few days. Can't predict this guy. One trend for today:
TBSB is 15-25 coming off 2 wins
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
Rest of the best — in paid
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A lot of love on Timberwolves today. Again.
Definitely staying away from them today (and as always). Idk why cappers keep picking them (maybe because they don't bet any of their own money hehe)
Twolves are 2-8 ATS at home, Lakers are 1-3 ATS as away underdog
Twolves are not it. Ant Edwards is not him.