#KOLDINTEL
ALL PLAYS ARE TO WIN UNITS
1️⃣ | ⚾️ | orioles f5 -0.5 | -120 | 0.6 U
2️⃣ | ⚾️ | blue jays nrfi | -150 | 0.3 U
3️⃣ | ⚾️ | giants mL | -135 | 2.4 U
🤠Highest public concentrations...
🏀 NBA: Indiana - Indiana/Boston OVER
⚾️ MLB: Baltimore - Seattle/NY Yankees OVER
⚠️These are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.⚠️
Smart Money Sports and Trustmysystem heated up and are looking solid after a dip. Antares holds the first place. Duck Investments keeps surprising me, he's not in the top 3! Lawke It Up let the underdogs out, he's cashing! NHLONEBET - best ROI this month.
🥇 Antares ➕62.1%
🥈 SportsBettingCoach ➕61.0%
🥉Duck Investments ➕45.8%
LawkeItUp ➕42.4%
MoneyDuckBets ➕35.6%
BaseKnockBets ➕35.0%
VIP4FREE ➕30.3%
ThePickDon ➕22.2%
NHLONEBET ➕22.0%
Smart Money Sports ➕13.5% 🧹🧹🧹
Sammy ➕12.7%
The Baseball Lab ➕9.4%
Analytics Capper ➕2.7%
SteakKnife ➖ 3.2%
Porter Picks ➖ 5.7%
Cody Covers➖ 7.8%
Pardon My Pick ➖ 9.3%
BookieBomber ➖31.0%
NBAONEBET ➖40.2%
CbusPicks ➖42.0%
StoneCold ➖53.4%
Pitch Invasion ➖69.2%
Trust My System ➖94.0%🧹🧹🧹
🔌 Free picks | 🔬 Main channel | 👨💻 DM me with any questions | 👀 Paid content recaps | 💰 Sign up for paid content | 📈 Spreadsheets
#KOLDINTEL
1️⃣ | ⚾️ | yankees ML | -140 | 1.2 U
2️⃣ | ⚾️ | braves -1.5 game 2 | -120 | 0.6 U
🤠Highest public concentrations...
🏀 NBA: NY Knicks - Indiana/NYK OVER
⚾️ MLB: LA Dodgers - San Fran/Colorado OVER
⚠️These are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.⚠️
#KOLDINTEL
*ALL PLAYS ARE TO WIN UNITS*
1️⃣ | ⚾️ | twins mL | -125 | 0.6 U
2️⃣ | 🏀 | kyrie pts over 19.5 | -120 | 0.5 U
3️⃣ | ⚾️ | braves mL | -120 | 0.6 U
4️⃣ | 🏀 | **jalen Williams o 23.5 pts + rebounds ** | -110 | 0.3U
posted late today busy
FRIDAY RECAP
— Summary play went 3-2
— Cheat sheet plays went 2-2 (shouldn't have added AC POD fade there as we only fade NBA and NHL)
— #thesystem went 1-0 with Astros ML
— #KOLDINTEL picked up 0.7 units
— #againstthecrowd is a struggle. But if I say it's best to hold off for a while, this shit is gonna skyrocket. So I'm not gonna say anything 🙂
Overall cappers were right about Pacers and Dodgers. But it's Saturday today. And we all know how Saturdays can screw all bettors, so be careful today. Good luck!
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#againstthecrowd
- Rockies / Giants UNDER 7.5 -125 ❌
My theory is, ATC will perform better once NBA and NHL playoffs end. We'll see.
#KOLDINTEL
1️⃣ | 🏒 | Dallas Stars ML | +100 | 0.75 U ✅
2️⃣ | ⚾️ | phillies -1.5 | -115 | 0.6 U ✅
3️⃣ | 🏀⚾️ | pacers mL + braves mL | +120 | 0.3 U ❌
4️⃣ | ⚾️ | rangers ml | -180 | 0.25 u ❌
🚨upgrade Dallas stars to 0.75 U so add on 0.25 U
#KOLDINTEL
all plays are "to win" units
1️⃣ | 🏒 | Dallas Stars ML | +100 | 0.5 U
2️⃣ | ⚾️ | phillies -1.5 | -115 | 0.6 U
3️⃣ | 🏀⚾️ | pacers mL + braves mL | +120 | 0.3 U
Indiana to take on New York. Thoughts on the game 🏀
The second round of the playoffs is coming to an end, Knicks are up 2:3 in.
📈 Indiana is a 5.5-point favorite, O/U: 215.5.
🩼 Injuries: Anunoby will not play.
After losses in games 3 and 4, the Knicks simply blew out the Pacers in game five. And it's important to note here that New York changed some things, or rather, some people. After Anunoby's injury, Achiuwa was moved to the starting lineup, and that reduced the shooting potential. But after Game 4, Thibs removed Achiuwa and replaced him with McBride. As a result, the Knicks offense got going again, Brunson was able to find easy offensive opportunities and scored 44 points. Brunson's life got easier on pick-and-rolls too, he began to get away from defenders easier. And Pacers can't pull up to guard Brunson: the Knicks have too few players without a good shot.
All in all, New York's offense is fixed. And Indiana has to counter it with their own offense. When McBride was moved into the starting lineup, turned out there's no one to guard Siakam. Hartenstein is too big, Hart is too small. But it's not like Indy made NY pay for that: Siakam needs to get the ball on every possession, and then Knicks either suffer from inability to defend against him, or double team him and allow open shots. Or they have Achiuwa as a PF, and then there's troubles on offense. Achiuwa as a C to guard Siakam, and Hart to guard Turner — then the Knicks won't be able to rebound offensively like they did in game 5, Hartenstein is a must in that regard. So any solution to Siakam's problem is going to be painful for the Knicks, but for that to happen, Siakam has to be exactly that problem and constantly be involved in every offensive episode.
Aand Haliburton's activity wouldn't hurt, either, because the "star" ranked dead last among the starting lineup in terms of usage percentage in Game 5 (and it's not like he dominated the game with assists - only 5).
Also, in Game 5, Indiana looked lost, they were outrebounded, they constantly lost the ball in some silly situations, the Knicks had better and more fast breaks. So after the blowout in Game 5, Indiana definitely has mess things to clean up. Plus, they'll be playing at home.
A playoff series is a sequence of problems and solutions. The Knicks won the first two games, then Indiana adjusted and won the next two games, next it's the Knicks' turn again, and they take game five. Now it's Indy's turn, and again, they have a lot to answer for. That said, I doubt that answer will be enough to turn a crushing defeat into a relatively assured victory.
I have reasons to believe that Indiana's key to bounce back will be their offense. They are unlikely to be able to stop the Knicks, but they have to make their shots (although, if Indy's offense is at least decent, NY will have fewer opportunities for fast breaks, which will reduce their offense to a certain extent). And in this context, OVER 215.5 looks tempting, as does Pacers team total over 110.5. That's for Pacers believers. In my opinion, Pacers' chances are overrated. But my opinion is biased🙂 GO NEW YORK GO NEW YORK GO 🆖
NBA ECF: 🙂 CELTICS VS PACERS 👐
📌 Odds: Boston is a heavy favorite to win the series and for the matchup: -10. O/U: 221.5
📌 Injuries: Porzingis will not play in the first and most likely will miss the second game of the series.
📌 What to expect at the Pacers' half:
Boston's offense will probably be built on pick-and-rolls into Haliburton. Accordingly, Pacers' task is to "hide" the guard. It's tempting to put Tyrese against Holiday, it's easier for him to guard the pick-and-roll there. Jrue can beat Haliburton 1-on-1, but that's only closer to the rim, and Turner can help his point guard there.
Another is the pick-and-roll into the center. It's a good idea to keep Turner closer to the rim. It's very unlikely that Horford will be able to shoot threes often enough or accurately enough to affect the game. If he is able to, there's always an option to switch. Or pass the screen. And that's generally an interesting approach for the Pacers against the Celtics - to impose pressure on defense - to stay close after Celtics set screens and avoid missmatches.
And they need to be aggressive on defense to get Boston's offense going late, to get the ball to the wrong guy, and so on. It's almost as if it could all work, I'm just not confident in Pacers's ability to stay focused on defense for long stretches.
📌 What to expect at the Celtics' half:
There are two pain points here. The first is the Haliburton pick-and-roll into Horford. Al is unlikely to switch on defense. While I expect Indiana to try to cut off the Celtics' stars from the role players so that the Celtics' leaders attack a lot off the dribble, I also expect the Celtics, on the contrary, to try to get the ball out of Haliburton's hands by passing to the Pacers' role players.
Then there's Siakam, who will probably prove to be too big for White. That's where Boston will have to rotate to avoid a switch, or to cover White when a switch does happen. That is, again, increased attention to the opposing star, which will trigger ball movement. At least that's how Boston played in the early series.
The problem is that Indiana has a shooting center, and that's much different than the Celtics' early playoff opponents, hiding Horford will be more difficult. On the other hand, Indy has plenty of unstable shooters.
📌 What's important to remember:
First, Indiana has a better bench, and McConnell will certainly clean up the mess.
Second, Porzingis, sooner or later, has to come back. And that's when the Pacers defense will be out of options. Well, if Porzingis does come back and can be himself in big minutes.
Overall, Boston is rightfully the favorite, Indiana is basically hoping the Celtics cause problems for themselves. But that's what Miami was counting on last year, and it sometimes happens to Boston. Shout out Joe Mazzulla.
Yankees and Brewers stole a lot of coin yesterday. Let's see how cappers bounce back.
Free picks, as usual, posted here: /channel/betting_intel
#KOLDINTEL
1️⃣ | ⚾️ | yankees ML | -140 | 2.8 U
2️⃣ | ⚾️ | braves -1.5 game 2 | -120 | 0.6 U
3️⃣ | ⚾️ | astros f5 -0.5 | -135 | 0.3 U
Also upgrade yankees to 2.8 U
4️⃣ | ⚾️ | tigers vs royal o 8.5 | -115 | 0.3U
NBA was ass, MLB was ok. Sunday recap:
— Summary went 2-3
— Cheat sheet plays went 2-1
— #againstthecrowd got the W with the under (side was Mariners ML ❌)
— #KOLDINTEL got robbed with NBA. It was brutal for everyone
🔌 Free picks | 🔬 Main channel | 👨💻 DM me with any questions | 👀 Paid content recaps | 💰 Sign up for paid content | 📈 Spreadsheets
Big Sunday! SportsBettingCoach aka mr. Bet-the-House hasn't lost such a bet yet, and hopefully it'll never happen. Antares and The Pick Don are hot hot, Lawke It Up is cashing underdogs, Smart Money Sports swept (9-0!!), Duck Investments swept one of the cards too!
🥇 SportsBettingCoach ➕81.0%
🥈 Antares ➕62.1%
🥉 BaseKnockBets ➕38.0%
LawkeItUp ➕34.7%
🔥ThePickDon ➕34.7% 🧹🧹🧹 (6-0 LAST BEST BET)
VIP4FREE ➕33.6%
Duck Investments ➕33.1% (6-0🧹 1/2 sets)
MoneyDuckBets ➕27.0%
NHLONEBET ➕18.6%
Sammy ➕1427%
The Baseball Lab ➕9.4%
Smart Money Sports ➕7.9% (7-0 big sweep🧹)
Porter Picks ➕4.3%
Analytics Capper ➕2.7%
Cody Covers➖ 0.6%
Pardon My Pick ➖ 1.3%
SteakKnife ➖ 3.2%
BookieBomber ➖30.0%
StoneCold ➖33.4%
NBAONEBET ➖37.7%
CbusPicks ➖42.0%
Pitch Invasion ➖69.2%
Trust My System ➖104.9%
🔌 Free picks | 🔬 Main channel | 👨💻 DM me with any questions | 👀 Paid content recaps | 💰 Sign up for paid content | 📈 Spreadsheets
#KOLDINTEL
1️⃣ | ⚾️ | blue jays | -115 | TO WIN 0.3 U
2️⃣ | ⚾️ | royals vs athletics under 9.5 | -130 | TO WIN 0.6 U
3️⃣ | 🏀 | knicks mL | -150 | TO WIN 0.8 U
4️⃣ | 🏀 | nuggets -4.5 | -115 | TO WIN 0.3 U
🥇 Antares ➕62.2%
🥈 BaseKnockBets ➕43.0%
🥉 SportsBettingCoach ➕36.1%
VIP4FREE ➕35.5%
MoneyDuckBets ➕32.0%
LawkeItUp ➕29.9%
NHLONEBET ➕18.0%
Duck Investments ➕17.7%
ThePickDon ➕17.0%
Cody Covers➕16.4%
Sammy ➕14.7%
The Baseball Lab ➕9.4%
SteakKnife ➕7.8%
Analytics Capper ➕4.9%
Pardon My Pick ➕ 2.9%
Porter Picks ➖ 4.5%
Smart Money Sports ➖11.4%
BookieBomber ➖28.8%
CbusPicks ➖32.0%
StoneCold ➖33.4%
NBAONEBET ➖41.9%
Trust My System ➖66.9%
Pitch Invasion ➖69.2%
🔌 Free picks | 🔬 Main channel | 👨💻 DM me with any questions | 👀 Paid content recaps | 💰 Sign up for paid content | 📈 Spreadsheets
🤠Highest public concentrations...
🏀 NBA: Dallas - OKC/Dallas OVER
⚾️ MLB: NY Yankees - Colorado/San Francisco OVER
🏒 NHL: Edmonton - Vancouver/Edmonton OVER
⚠️These are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.⚠️
Great day, 4 sweeps, close race for the #1 spot.
🥇 SportsBettingCoach ➕56.1%🧹🧹
🥈 Antares ➕47.6% 🧹🧹🧹
🥉BaseKnockBets ➕43.0%
VIP4FREE ➕36.6%
MoneyDuckBets ➕33.2%
LawkeItUp ➕30.9% 🧹🧹🧹
Duck Investments ➕29.9%
Cody Covers➕23.8%
Sammy ➕14.7%
NHLONEBET ➕14.5%
Analytics Capper ➕10.3%
ThePickDon ➕10.2%
The Baseball Lab ➕9.4%
SteakKnife ➕7.8%
Porter Picks➕0.4%
Pardon My Pick ➖0.3%🧹🧹🧹🧹
Smart Money Sports ➖3.4%
CbusPicks ➖22.0%
BookieBomber ➖31.4%
StoneCold ➖33.4%
NBAONEBET ➖39.4%
Pitch Invasion ➖69.2%
Trust My System ➖119.9%
🔌 Free picks | 🔬 Main channel | 👨💻 DM me with any questions | 👀 Paid content recaps | 💰 Sign up for paid content | 📈 Spreadsheets
#MLBTrends
Same thing today
- Rockies / Giants UNDER 7.5 -125 ❌
- Giants Team Total Over 3.5 -125 ✅
Unders are hitting 52% in the last games of the slate so far (there were streaks of 5 and 6 consecutive OVERs and a streak of 10 consecutives UNDERs, so this one is sketchy). Favorites score over their team total in 53% - decent for doubling down in case of loss, no long W/L streaks there.
These are not locks. Just trying to create another system for MLB that we can keep here.
Ok, here's the deal:
Lot of cappers on the Pacers today. Knicks haven't looked somewhat convincing on the road + still no Anunoby. Makes sense.
Also a lot of Dodgers -1.5 / Dodgers ML (parlay pieces). Dodgers lost to the Reds 7:2, gotta bounce back, right? No way they lose again, RIGHT?
Shit load of public money on Knicks and Dodgers. Think.
🤠Highest public concentrations...
🏀 NBA: NY Knicks - NYK/IND OVER
⚾️ MLB: Philadelphia - PIT/CHC OVER
🏒 NHL: Colorado - DAL/COL OVER
⚠️These are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.⚠️
P.S. MLB has been a hard nut to crack the past few days (even PP) for most cappers. I think we will see the same situation as last year — MLB hadn't been going well for most cappers UNTIL NBA / NHL playoffs ended. So what I think we should do is focus more on NBA & NHL which are going quite well for us and the cappers. And for now we track the cappers and see who adapts to MLB better (overall the tendency is pretty clear here, but more data never hurt nobody).
👍 / 👎 ?