#againstthecrowd
Giants ML +110 (5-8 on Sundays)
Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 8 -123 (8-5 on Sundays)
🤠Highest public concentrations...
🏈 CFL: Hamilton - HAM/OTT OVER
🏀 WNBA: Indiana - ATL/NYL OVER
⚾️ MLB: NY Yankees - NYY/TOR OVER
⚠️These are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.⚠️
Ian Garry ✅
Both UFC Analyst and Dagger had him today. Terrible fight but a win is a win lol
🤠Highest public concentrations...
🏈 CFL: Calgary - WPG/CAL OVER
🏀 WNBA: Seattle - Las Vegas/Washington OVER
⚾️ MLB: LA Dodgers - Texas/Baltimore OVER
⚠️These are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.⚠️
Relentlesssportsconsulting
06/29/2024 EXCLUSIVE UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka Card
1. LOTC PARLAY -120 {⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️}
- Gillian Robertson ML (UFC) 🥋 4:30 PM PST
- Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka Fight Will Not Go The Distance (UFC) 🥋 9:00 PM PST
2. LOTC PARLAY -110 {⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️}
- Andre Fili ML (UFC) 🥋 6:00 PM PST
- Joseph Pyfer ML (UFC) 🥋 6:30 PM PST
3. LOTC SINGLE -150 {⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️}
- Roman Dolidze ML (UFC) 🥋 PST 8:00 PM
4. LOTC SINGLE -150 {⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️}
- Diego Lopes ML (UFC) 🥋 8:30 PST PM
5. LOTC SINGLE EVEN {⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️}
- Jean Silva ML (UFC) 🥋 5:30 PM PST
And what action we'll have here in this channel today:
1. Relentless Sports Consulting — experienced MMA bettor, a while ago he was my go-to UFC capper and it was ok, but #UFCAnalyst replaced him. Overall decent MMA results.
2. Hammer Investments - also tracked him a while ago, but among his picks UFC stood out the most due to good win rate. But most of the times it was parlays.
3. Lucrative MMA - haven't tracked him, but heard good things about him from subscribers. Guess he's not bad after all.
4. Porter Picks - all around guy, also covers UFC. I don't remember a single bad UFC card from him, but he doesn't have much action either.
So, the choice is wide and I hope you make right choices with UFC today. And if you want more options - you're always welcome to our subscription
Giants was the move 😭
Cheat sheet plays went 1-2. TMS confused me with his 3u play. They've always been complete dogshit but suddenly they're 3-0 L3. Scuzz had Giants as a 4U max... Other than that, Pirates/Braves F5 over 4.5 was the lock!! — TPD is coming off a losing streak + his MLB O/U picks are his best stuff. Oh, and Mets decided to fuck it up too scoring an unnecessary run. I am pissed!! Full recap: /channel/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
The 34-4 run #NL capper had 3 plays yesterday and is now 35-6.
The system got a much needed W from MDB. Join the system plays for free: https://whop.com/cappersintelsportshub/?pass=prod_1Bi8QuGF7ULzJ (
Getting prepared for UFC today. Expect a text and picks later 🤌
DM: @realdeal666
🤠Highest public concentrations...
🏈 CFL: Montreal - Montreal/Toronto OVER
🏀 WNBA: Connecticut - LA Sparks/Phoenix OVER
⚾️ MLB: NY Yankees - Texas/Baltimore OVER
⚠️These are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.⚠️
Yesterday was all about soccer: Pitch Invasion and MoneyLong swept, Bosh Bets cashed the big play. Overs in Copa also cashed like I predicted.
MLB was ass. Many cappers were square and they paid for it. However, The Pick Don who was on a losing streak is heating back up!
🥇🆕 FiveStar ➕108.9%
🥈🆕Bosh Bets ➕37.2%
🥉Pitch Invasion ➕32.7%🧹🧹🧹
Trust My System ➕31.2%
🆕ScuzzLocks ➕27.1%
🆕DropShot ➕19.1%
The Baseball Lab ➕18.8%
LawkeItUp ➕10.6%
SportsBettingCoach ➕9.5%
Smart Money Sports ➕7.5%🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹
🆕T-REX picks ➕6.3%
🆕 Bass Picks ➕5.3%
Analytics Capper ➕2.5%
NHLONEBET ➕2.2%
🆕Prop Bully ➕1.8%
🆕 MoneyLong ➖ 1.1%🧹🧹
PorterPicks ➖ 5.2%
Antares ➖ 7.0%
VIP4FREE ➖ 8.0%
🆕Ghidorah SI ➖ 9.5%
MoneyDuckBets ➖ 9.7%
Pardon My Pick ➖ 11.5%
NBAONEBET ➖ 14.2%
Cody Covers➖ 18.4%
DuckInvestments ➖ 30.5%
🆕Golden Gamblers ➖ 31.5%
StoneCold ➖ 31.9%
ThePickDon ➖ 42.6% 🧹🧹
🔌 Free picks | 🔬 Main channel | 👨💻 DM me with any questions | 👀 Paid content recaps | 💰 Sign up for paid content | 📈 Spreadsheets
#KOLDINTEL
JUNE 27 2024
1️⃣ | ⚾️ | yankees mL | -135 | TO WIN 0.4 U
10 units this month like promised 😎Читать полностью…
Yesterday I talked about a capper, today let's talk about a BET TYPE — OVERS/UNDERS.
Why's that? 🤔
Well, firstly, most cappers tend to better with totals rather than money line picks / spreads. Secondly, I have some stats that might provoke some thoughts.
Let's start with MLB ⚾️
We are tracking plays against the covers.com contestants (againstthecrowd). This season this scheme is not working as we would like it to and so far we have a record of 47-42 and -0.35 units (only talking about over/under picks here). But let's look at the big picture:
Over the past 2.5 seasons (including this season), stats are 261-208 (55.6%) - I think that's what the average is in MLB with the predominance of UNDERS.
Now let's turn to NFL 🏈
Over the past 2 seasons, betting AGAINST the top consensus play Covers contestants would've been 71-51 (58.2% of the time they were wrong, most of the times they were picking OVER). And overall last season 128 games went OVER, 157 - UNDER: 55.1%. Again we observe the superiority of UNDERS.
And now let's look at Soccer, as there are two major tournaments - Copa and Euro - going on right now, here it's more relevant than ever.
Euro 2024 ⚽️
Here I have already predicted the 3rd round of the group stage to be low scoring (here's proof; it's also a good example of how cappers can be of help when assessing games). In fact, 8/10 games stayed UNDER the projected totals. Some more numbers:
Group stage 2024: 22 unders vs 14 overs (61% of games stayed under).
Playoffs 2020 (2021 cuz of covid): 7 overs vs 8 unders - not much of a discrepancy, however...
However you can expect game days that will not see a lot of goals! For example, after a game day with two games that went OVER the total you can expect UNDERS, usually in the matchups where an average bettor would not expect it at all.
Same thing applies to Copa America ⚽️
Group stage 2024: 8 unders vs 4 overs (66% under)
Group stage 2021: 12 unders vs 8 overs (I must add, there was a different system of distribution of teams in groups - 2 groups of 6 teams; this season there are North America teams in Copa)
This simple stat suggests that there should be some regression in the Copa matches and we can expect more high-scoring games. It's like the opposite of the Euros. We'll see if I am right or not.
And even if my predictions about Euro / Copa don't come true, I hope that some of you will develop a greater interest in numbers in terms of stats rather than the numbers that cappers show you on their bet slips. Use your brains 🧠
One early lesson I learned from a mentor was to always look first at underdogs and unders.
One play one win
Great UFC card. Mainly because there were just 2 underdog winners I think. But overall cappers.
Didn't touch MLB yesterday, but there was a bunch of winners in the paid channel and the free channel.
Let's focus on soccer first and then see what we've got going in the MLB today.
Apparently Ortega got sick and was replaced by Dan Ige… All bets will get voided I suppose.
Читать полностью…UFC
So, it looks like there is no clear consensus on these UFC fights, however I see there’s plenty of Diego Lopes ML plays out there. I love the guy too, but our #UFCAnalyst has Ortega as the dog of the day. So I’d rather lay this fight off.
Cappers also kind of like Pereira/Prochazka to NOT go the distance…
If there are any updates, I’ll post here 🫡
LucrativeMMA
UFC
Straight Picks
Marc-Andre Barriault - 3 unit bet @ +260
Prop Bets
Mayra Bueno Silva wins by submission - 1.5 unit bet @ +333
Charles Jourdain vs Jean Silva OVER 2.5 rounds - 3 unit bet @ -140
Andre Fili vs Cub Swanson UNDER 2.5 rounds - 3 unit bet @ +110
Payton Talbott vs Yanis Ghemmouri OVER 1.5 rounds - 3 unit bet @ -150
Andrei Arlovski wins by decision - 3 unit bet @ +300
Carlos Hernandez vs Rei Tsuruya fight goes to decision - 3 unit bet @ +155
Diego Lopes vs Brian Ortega fight goes to decision - 3 unit bet @ +150
Jiri Prochazka vs Alex Pereira UNDER 2.5 rounds - 3 unit bet @-160
Marc-Andre Barriault wins in round 3 - 0.5 unit bet @ +2000
Michelle Waterson wins by decision - 1.5 unit bet @ +230
Payton Talbott wins by submission in round 2 - 0.25 unit bet @ +1600
Payton Talbott wins by submission in round 3 - 0.25 unit bet @ +1800
lan Garry wins via decision - 3 unit bet @ +155
Let's talk about UFC which has already become a much anticipated event for betting.
What cappers we have in our subscription:
1. UFC Analyst - we've had his picks for nearly a year now, all I can say is he's just great: 13-4 on his main plays, 9-8 on underdog plays, 7-10 on parlays. But of course the main value is the main plays.
2. Dagger - a new capper who really wanted me to track his UFC plays. He claimed he's better than most popular MMA cappers, and I didn't believe him at first but he gave me his picks, I tracked them, and yes - he's good. Great odds, great ROI, 6-0 on his big 5U plays. Great.
Not many cappers concentrations today. There's a lot of games today. However, cappers seem to like Blue Jays, Red Sox and especially Brewers today... Although after yesterday I think we can have a bit of squareness in our veins 🤠
Читать полностью…Like I said, yesterday went horrible for most cappers - underdogs were all over the place in the MLB 🐶
Paid content still was close to breaking even:
— Cheat sheet plays went 2-2
— Additional highlighted plays went 2-2
— The system went 0-1
Full recap: /channel/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
Copa America
🇵🇦 Panama vs USA 🇺🇸
⭐️⭐️ Panama to score (1.92) - RISK 0.5 UNIT✅
🇺🇾 Uruguay vs Bolivia 🇧🇴
⭐️⭐️⭐️ Over 2.5 goals (1.79) - RISK 1 UNIT✅
Federico Valverde to score (3.20) - TO WIN 1 UNIT✅
On a side note, cappers decided to be squares today...
First, it was mostly Twins and Cubs (both favorites). Now more action coming in on Phillies, Orioles, Yankees and Cardinals.
Seems too easy, doesn't it?🤠
#MLBTrends
Twins ML (-110) | 1U
Free picks posted here just in case: t.me/betting_intel