Cody Covers surprisingly went 16-0 yesterday. I know no one tails his picks nor takes him seriously but that was wild. LawkeItUp proves haters wrong, I don't know why some are hating on him, his picks are good ๐คทโโ๏ธ TylersMindset worked on his mistakes and looks decent this month. Madcapped - another new capper - swept yesterday. Bosh Bets and Bass Picks keep doing a good job.
All in all, things went well after a shitty Saturday.
๐ฅCody Covers โ59.7% ๐งน16-0๐งน
๐ฅ LawkeItUp โ24.9% ๐งน๐งน๐งน๐งน
๐ฅ ๐ TylersMindset โ17.0% ๐งน๐งน๐งน
๐Pickz HUB โ14.9%
Bosh Bets โ13.8%
Bass Picks โ9.8%
Golden Gamblers โ7.1%
๐ Hidden Gem Bets โ6.2%
๐Madcappedโ5.6% ๐งน๐งน๐งน
StoneCold โณ
๐ Sammy โ 0.5%
Pardon My Pick โ 0.6%
The Baseball Lab โ 0.7%
DuckInvestments โ 1.0%
๐ Motor City Locks โ 2.1%
Trust My System โ 2.2%
Pitch Invasion โ 4.2%
MoneyLong โ 6.5%
FiveStar โ 8.2%
๐ Trapper Intelโ 12.4%
Smart Money Sports โ 12.4%
Ghidorah SI โ 17.4%
DropShot โ 20.0%
๐Safe Pickzโ 20.7%
ThePickDon โ 20.7%
VIP4FREE โ 22.6%
๐ Free picks | ๐ฌ Main channel | ๐จโ๐ป DM me with any questions | ๐ Paid content recaps | ๐ฐ Sign up for paid content | ๐ Spreadsheets
#KOLDINTEL
JULY 7th 2024
1๏ธโฃ | โพ๏ธ | tigers mL | -135 | 2.5 U
It was one of those Saturdays when most cappers fuck up. New cappers top the ranking, but I think it's just the beginning of the interesting part. #trustmysystem has been doing well with MLB. Hard to highlight someone else, hopefully it's temporary.
๐ฅ๐ TylersMindset โ12.1%
๐ฅ ๐ Hidden Gem Bets โ11.2%
๐ฅ ๐Pickz HUB โ11.2%
LawkeItUp โ9.8%
Golden Gamblers โ7.3%
Bass Picks โ5.3%
Bosh Bets โ1.3%
๐ Sammy โ0.6%
StoneCold โณ
The Baseball Lab โ 0.7%
Pardon My Pick โ 1.1%
Pitch Invasion โ 4.2%
MoneyLong โ 6.5%
Smart Money Sports โ 7.0%
Trust My System โ 8.6%
๐ Trapper Intelโ 10.9%
DuckInvestments โ 11.0%
๐Madcappedโ 12.3%
Ghidorah SI โ 12.4%
๐Vinny's Plays โ 12.4%
๐Safe Pickzโ 13.2%
๐ Motor City Locks โ 16.4%
DropShot โ 20.0%
FiveStar โ 20.6%
VIP4FREE โ 22.6%
ThePickDon โ 26.7%
Cody Covers โ 46.3%
๐ Free picks | ๐ฌ Main channel | ๐จโ๐ป DM me with any questions | ๐ Paid content recaps | ๐ฐ Sign up for paid content | ๐ Spreadsheets
๐ค Highest public concentrations...
๐ CFL: Montreal - CGY/MON UNDER
๐ WNBA: Indiana - NYL/IND OVER
โพ๏ธ MLB: Baltimore - BOS/NYY OVER
โ ๏ธThese are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.โ ๏ธ
Profitable approaches to betting MLB
On the examples of our top 4 cappers/systems at MLB this season
MLB is a bitch and very few cappers are actually good at it. But let's look at what has been profitable so far.
I'll be only covering the cappers & systems I've been tracking thoroughly as it is the only material I can work with. All stats are as of 7/5/24.
1. Betting trends (#MLBTrends)
67-41 | 13.49% ROI | 62% win rate
I started tracking how the very first and last games each MLB game day go for shits and giggles. As of 7/5/24, UNDERS are 52-40 (56.52%) in the first games and 49-47 (51.04%) in the last games this season. FAVORITES are 54-41 (56.84%) in the first games and 53-41 (56.38%) in the last games of the slate. So, knowing that, we can probably somehow profit, right?
Yep. I wait for these trends to get on short losing streaks and try to get a couple wins within a short period of time & doubling down in case of loss (sometimes. sometimes not).
2. Bunch of plays every day (Your Daily Capper, Scuzzlocks)
YDC: 93-62 | 8.55% ROI | 60% win rate (MLB only)
Scuzz: 105-70 | 11.14% ROI | 60% win rate (MLB only)
This approach applies to 90% of cappers. YDC has been the most profitable so far with 7% ROI over 152 plays (+11 units). However, this is all thanks to his 14-0 run. If it wasn't for this winning streak, he wouldn't have been here. But I can't say he was bad - longest losing streak at MLB was 5 losses in a row and the lowest profit mark he ever hit was -5 units.
Scuzz has had more winning streaks of 5-7 wins in a row, but his longest losing streak was 6 losses in a row. Other than that, his MLB has been much smoother and profitable all the time after the first ~20 picks (it took YDC over 100 picks to hit the 14-0 win streak).
3. One play a day (Parlay Paul POTDs)
57-31 | 7.86% ROI | 64.8% win rate (MLB only)
Paul has been doing well with MLB since the very start of the season and we hopped on that train (20-6 in April), but slowed down after that hot month. He ended May on a 6-0 run but overall it was a -1.6. And then there was a 12-0 run in June, although June was just +3.8 units. So, if you're doing just one play day get ready for steep losing and winning streaks.
However, I must say, there are other cappers who do just one play a day and don't have the same results. Maybe the answer lies in the fact the Parlay Paul mostly bets favorites and rarely underdogs on the run line (average odds - -140 / 1,70)
4. Martingale system (#KOLDINTEL)
19-17 | 10.79% ROI | 52.8% win rate (MLB only)
Quite an interesting approach Kold never told me fully about, but the essence is in multiplying the amount you bet by ~2.5x with each loss. He selects various cappers and has his own systems I don't know about but as long as it brings it's good. But if you want to try something like this on your own, you have to have a system that you will stick to - jumping from one team (or capper) to another wouldn't work.
UPD: I started writing this text yesterday when Kold was top 4 but his system lost 3.4 units on the Royals F5 yesterday so he is now top 8 ๐ฌ
To sum up, MLB can be tough as long as you don't have your own system and of course bankroll management which is always crucial in betting. And not all cappers who use the same or like approaches can be successful. I guess it's a matter of time to figure the right ones.
๐ Free picks | ๐ฌ Main channel | ๐จโ๐ป DM me with any questions
#KOLDINTEL
JULY 5th 2024
1๏ธโฃ | โพ๏ธ | braves mL | -135 | TO WIN 0.4 U
2๏ธโฃ | โพ๏ธ | marlins mL | -135 | TO WIN 0.4 U
/channel/+_UoKO4YQAaowOTli
๐ค Highest public concentrations...
๐ CFL: Ottawa - OTT/WPG OVER
๐ WNBA: Seattle - LV/LAS OVER
โพ๏ธ MLB: Baltimore - KC/COL OVER
โ ๏ธThese are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.โ ๏ธ
Free plays better than paid plays?
I've been looking at many many cappers and their plays for the last 3.5 years. One interesting thing I noticed is sometimes there are cappers who are doing extraordinary with their free plays. But when you pay for their services โ the results are not what you would expect.
I think the answer lies in the very human nature and our greed. You profit from free stuff, you think you can profit more by signing up for the paid content. As easy as that.
In reality, turns out that is not necessarily so. At best I would be breaking even - happened to me multiple times.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying it applies to all cappers. There are guys who occasionally sell their picks and they deserve to get tipped for what they do. And then there are loud cappers who easily trigger people to buy their stuff. And it's not bad either as long as they deliver good results - everyone is happy.
But if something seems to be working just fine - why change anything? Perfect is the enemy of good.
Also can't but mention CapCitySports - a winner of our cappers contest from a year ago. Long story story short, his MLB picks have been on a rise and he's already 4-0 in July.
ะงะธัะฐัั ะฟะพะปะฝะพัััั…
#againstthecrowd
White Sox ML +195 (6-7 on Thursdays)
Brewers / Rockies UNDER (5-8-1 on Thursdays)
ATC O/U plays are 2-0 after and 0-5 run and I think this month is when we start paying close attention to it. Underdogs are 0-2 L2 and 2-3 L5ะงะธัะฐัั ะฟะพะปะฝะพัััั…
#MLBTrends
Nationals / Mets UNDER 8.5 (live @ 7.5 -120) | 1U
Dodgers ML (-123) | 1U
#againstthecrowd
Rockies ML +150 (5-8 on Wednesdays)
Yankees / Reds UNDER 8.5 -105 (7-6 on Wednesdays)
๐ค Highest public concentrations...
๐ WNBA: Phoenix - Phoenix/Dallas OVER
โพ๏ธ MLB: Milwaukee - Cincinnati/NY Yankees OVER
โ ๏ธThese are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.โ ๏ธ
Motor City Locks is proving with deeds, not words, that he can be a competition to Scuzz. Both Golden Gamblers and Bass Picks swept, Bass's algorithm bets are especially good. PickzHub seems to be hot. PitchInvasion keeps dropping solid soccer picks. The Baseball Lab seems to be very consistent with MLB - not a single losing month and not much action at decent odds (mostly plus-money). Bosh Bets is struggling but last month's start was rocky too, so I think he'll get out of it. Also adding CapCity to the list, he's been doing great recently.
๐ฅ ๐ Motor City Locks โ14.1%
๐ฅ ๐Pickz HUB โ8.7%
๐ฅ Golden Gamblers โ7.7% ๐งน๐งน
Pitch Invasion โ5.1%
The Baseball Lab โ4.4%
Bass Picks โ0.8% ๐งน๐งน๐งน
๐ Trapper Intelโ0.2%
DropShot โณ
CapCitySports (3-0) โณ
๐ Sammy โณ
StoneCold โณ
Smart Money Sports โ 0.9%
Ghidorah SI โ 1.0%
Pardon My Pick โ 1.0%
FiveStar โ 1.4%
๐ TylersMindset โ 1.8%
Cody Covers โ 2.4%
๐ Hidden Gem Bets โ 4.9%
MoneyLong โ 5.0%
VIP4FREE โ 6.4%
DuckInvestments โ 9.0%
ThePickDon โ 10.1%
Trust My System โ 17.5%
๐Bosh Bets โ 17.5%
๐ Free picks | ๐ฌ Main channel | ๐จโ๐ป DM me with any questions | ๐ Paid content recaps | ๐ฐ Sign up for paid content | ๐ Spreadsheets
Let's see what we've got going:
1. Yankees F5 -0.5 โ #NL. Probably the best option I see so far. There's also one more new hot capper on the same play - /channel/betting_intel/2480
2. Astros ML โ #TPD has been hot with MLB, this might also be a good move
#fivestar and #scuzzlocks both have Cubs, I don't know about them, this team has failed us too many times this season. Cubs are also getting increased attention from cappers today.
However, I think it is safe to say that all Scuzz's picks can be tailed today - he's consistent and I doubt he will reverse sweep. But that's if you don't want to dig for nuggets.
#MLBTrends
Red Sox / Yankees UNDER 8.5 (-110) | 1U
๐ค Highest public concentrations...
๐ CFL: B.C. - Hamilton/BC OVER
๐ WNBA: Connecticut - Dallas/Las Vegas OVER
โพ๏ธ MLB: Baltimore - San Francisco/Cleveland OVER
โ ๏ธThese are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.โ ๏ธ
#KOLDINTEL
JULY 6th 2024
1. Bobby witt jr over 3.5 total hits + runs + rbis ( go to player props the combo should be there ) | +100 | to win 1 U
2. Rays mL | -105 | to win 1 U
/channel/+_UoKO4YQAaowOTli
Bosh Bets sweeps again and gets the first place. Yesterday was full of underdogs in the MLB, in such cases Lawke It Up and CapCitySports are feeling fine. Vinny's Plays started ok, tennis cappers are always wanted.
๐ฅ Bosh Bets โ31.3% ๐งน๐งน๐งน
๐ฅ ๐Pickz HUB โ16.2%
๐ฅ Golden Gamblers โ7.3%
๐ TylersMindset โ7.0%
LawkeItUp โ5.5%
๐Vinny's Plays โ5.2%
The Baseball Lab โ4.4%
๐ Hidden Gem Bets โ1.8%
Pitch Invasion โ1.1%
Pardon My Pick โ0.9%
๐ Sammy โ0.6% ๐งน๐งน
StoneCold โณ
Bass Picks โ 1.1%
๐Safe Pickzโ 5.7%
๐Madcappedโ 6.1%
MoneyLong โ 6.5%
๐ Motor City Locks โ 6.7%
Ghidorah SI โ 7.4%
Smart Money Sports โ 10.8%
DuckInvestments โ 11.1%
ThePickDon โ 11.7%
๐ Trapper Intelโ 13.2%
DropShot โ 20.0%
FiveStar โ 20.0%
VIP4FREE โ 22.6%
Cody Covers โ 28.9%
Trust My System โ 30.5%
๐ Free picks | ๐ฌ Main channel | ๐จโ๐ป DM me with any questions | ๐ Paid content recaps | ๐ฐ Sign up for paid content | ๐ Spreadsheets
Posted review of today's cappes' action on the second channel: /channel/betting_intel
ะงะธัะฐัั ะฟะพะปะฝะพัััั…
#MLBTrends
Dodgers ML (-200) | 1U
Classic jinx โ as soon as I recommend cappers they lose. Motor City Locks goes 1-5, CapCitySports loses his only play. Duck Investment tops the ranking, his guaranteed picks are 4-0 (he also started last month at the top and ended at the bottom). Bosh Bets had a good read on the Argentina game. Added LawkeItUp back, added 3 new cappers โ Safe Pickz, Madcapped and Vinny's Plays. We'll track and see how it goes.
๐ฅ DuckInvestments โ18.0%
๐ฅ ๐Bosh Bets โ11.5% ๐งน๐งน
๐ฅ ๐Pickz HUB โ8.7%
๐ Hidden Gem Bets โ7.8%
๐ TylersMindset โ7.2%
Golden Gamblers โ6.8%
The Baseball Lab โ4.4%
Pardon My Pick โ3.1%
Pitch Invasion โ2.1%
StoneCold โณ
๐Vinny's Plays โณ
LawkeItUp โ 0.8%
Bass Picks โ 3.0%
Smart Money Sports โ 3.5%
MoneyLong โ 5.0%
VIP4FREE โ 6.8%
๐ Motor City Locks โ 9.3%
๐ Sammy โ 10.0%
Ghidorah SI โ 11.0%
ThePickDon โ 11.7%
๐Safe Pickzโ 11.9%
๐Madcappedโ 12.8%
Cody Covers โ 13.7%
๐ Trapper Intelโ 15.5%
FiveStar โ 17.7%
DropShot โ 20.0%
Trust My System โ 31.5%
๐ Free picks | ๐ฌ Main channel | ๐จโ๐ป DM me with any questions | ๐ Paid content recaps | ๐ฐ Sign up for paid content | ๐ Spreadsheets
#KOLDINTEL
JULY 4th 2024
1๏ธโฃ | โพ๏ธ | royals f5 +0.5 | -140 | TO WIN 2.5 U
/channel/+_UoKO4YQAaowOTli
Couple words on the new promising capper - Motor City Locks
W/L: 23-19 overall (11 days in)
Profit: +8 Units
Max unit record 1-0 (Panthers Game 7 ML for 3 units)
Just one underdog play so far yet still profitable at 54.7% win rate โ bankroll management keeps him afloat. If you were to tail all picks as 1u you'd be down. Overall so far so good.
๐ค Highest public concentrations...
๐ CFL: Toronto - TOR/SAS OVER
๐ WNBA: Las Vegas - LV/WAS OVER
โพ๏ธ MLB: Milwaukee - CIN/NYY OVER
โ ๏ธThese are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.โ ๏ธ
Hey everyone! Happy 4th of July! Hope you all a good and safe day!
So far MotorCityLocks is the one who brings us a holiday of betting, he's off to a strong start, TylersMindset is back with a 2-0 day. Duck Investments guaranteed picks are on a 3-0 run. PardonMyPick is on a 2-0 run with his 2U plays (he decreased unit size to 2u from 5u, must realize MLB is tough). #fivestar and #trustmysystem are at the bottom, I'm afraid this month can be very bad for them. Other than that no major changes.
#againstthecrowd O/U plays are 2-0 after and 0-5 run and I think this month is when we start paying close attention to it.
The System had a 2-1 day, unders went 2-0, Yankees sucked it up! Feel free to join the channel: /channel/+_UoKO4YQAaowOTli
๐ฅ ๐ Motor City Locks โ26.7% ๐งน๐งน
๐ฅ ๐Pickz HUB โ8.7%
๐ฅ Golden Gamblers โ6.8%
๐ Trapper Intelโ6.5%
DuckInvestments โ6.4%
Pitch Invasion โ6.1%
The Baseball Lab โ4.4%
๐ TylersMindset โ2.7% ๐งน๐งน
Pardon My Pick โ1.5%
StoneCold โณ
๐ Hidden Gem Bets โ 1.2%
Bass Picks โ 1.9%
DropShot โ 2.5%
๐ Sammy โ 5.0%
MoneyLong โ 5.0%
Ghidorah SI โ 6.0%
ThePickDon โ 6.7%
Cody Covers โ 8.0%
VIP4FREE โ 8.4%
Smart Money Sports โ 9.8%
๐Bosh Bets โ 17.5%
FiveStar โ 32.4%
Trust My System โ 47.5%
๐ Free picks | ๐ฌ Main channel | ๐จโ๐ป DM me with any questions | ๐ Paid content recaps | ๐ฐ Sign up for paid content | ๐ Spreadsheets
#KOLDINTEL
JULY 3rd 2024
1๏ธโฃ | โพ๏ธ | Rangers ML | -150 | TO WIN 1 U
#MLBTrends
Orioles / Mariners UNDER 7 (-108) | 1U
Mariners ML (-132) | 1U
Feels as if cappers see a โfree moneyโ button betting the Cubs todayโฆ
ะงะธัะฐัั ะฟะพะปะฝะพัััั…
#MLBTrends
Dbacks / Dodgers UNDER 9 (-115) | 1U
