Let's go through the list one by one
1. Analytics Capper POTD's:
17-9 in November
38-31 in the NCAAF — his only profitable sport.
2. Smart Money Sports 4U plays and above:
There's two of those plays today. 5U plays are hitting way better than 4U plays.
3. Porter Picks 5U plays and above:
Two of those were posted yesterday. Can't say anything.
4. TB Sports Betting:
Bad on weekends (16-22 on Saturdays).
5. Sean Perry:
Generally always bad. 0-3 run. 7-11 coming off 3 losses.
6. Duck Investments:
Heating up at the end of the month: 3-0 run. 13-16 coming off 3 wins. Sucks on Saturdays.
7. Vegas Ninja:
Good on weekends, sucks at NBA.
8. TMS:
Actually he's doing well on Saturdays: 77-58 over the last 14 months.
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
Cappers really like Twolves today. My two cents 👇
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Did I talk about “not overthinking it”? 🙄😂
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There's nothing outstanding in the cappers' action so far — all action is focused on the night game.
Since the money-printing machine in the face of the Lions jammed today, the next most obvious move would be to take the Cowboys.
Cowboys are coming off a very impressive win as a 10-pt underdog against the Commanders. Giants got blown out at home by the Bucs
Give me the Giants with the points
1.74 turkeys to win 3.23 turkeys
P.S. I absolutely suck at handicapping so be warned🤠
This NFL season has been all about not overthinking it... We have three home favorites today.
Home favorites are 71-35 SU and just 52-52-2 ATS this season
🏈 Lions x Bears 🏈
Lions ATS: 9-2 (4-1 ATS at home)
Chicago ATS: 5-4-2 (0-3-1 ATS on the road)
🏈 Cowboys x Giants 🏈
Cowboys: 3-8 ATS (0-5 ATS at home)
Giants ATS: (2-2 ATS on the road)
🏈 Packers x Dolphins 🏈
Packers ATS: 5-6 (3-3 ATS at home)
Dolphins ATS: 5-6 (3-2 ATS on the road)
We have Porter Picks' >=5U plays heating up: 4-1 L5. Others? Not sure. Wednesdays and Thursdays have been good days for cappers — 57% win rate on average. So wouldn't fade anyone rn. Yesterday was quiet so maybe something good pops up today.
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
The perfect guide to finding yourself a capper
There's so many touts selling sports picks these days because people by nature are a) are greedy and want to get rich quick and b) don't think for themselves and would rather give the money to someone else to give them sports picks
The guy from the screenshot above legit told me he hates his job and wants to start betting to get rich. Do you think he will succeed? Well I surely hope he does but I'm also sure he will be a daily sportsbook depositor because it simply doesn't work like that
Grow up people, it's a cruel world we live in
Looks like Ravens and OVER are the most obvious plays for today. And as always cappers have action on all sides of this game:
Cody (12-5 totals; 10-3 ML picks) has OVER and Ravens ML
Duck (3-11) has the OVER too...
And there's a ton of other cappers who have Chargers and unders.
No clear consensus today. So I can't jinx anything today 😭
25/11 Briefing
Hey everyone!
I didn't really expect Sunday to be full of winners. All I wanted was cappers to get on their streaks. LC, TPD did not do it. Only EP lost and is now coming off 2 losses. I will consider EP as the main option for today.
A couple words on the NFL. This season is tough — eye-test: cappers aren't doing even 60% of what they're capable of. I see the reason for such poor results in the fact that NFL is the hardest league to predict. Simple example: last season, 55.5% of all games stayed UNDER the total. This season: 53.5% OVERS.
The NFL's hottest betting trend the last few years has been primetime (Thursday, Monday, and Sunday Night Football games) UNDERs. Going below the point total hit at an 60.2% clip over the last six seasons and it hit in nearly 70% of Thursday, Sunday, and Monday Night games in 2023-24.
This season? Primetime OVERS are slightly dominating: 18-17-1 to the OVER. Away favorites have been the most successful angle in the NFL this season so far: 40-29-3 (58%) ATS. Other than that, all other angles aren't hitting above 53%.
So what's the solution?
Well, we can just not bet on the NFL at all — less stress, less losses (less potential winners). There's enough room for betting without NFL. But we're paying cappers — they have to improve. Jumping from one capper to another is also not the smartest decision...
Maybe we (especially me since I'm the one to take all responsibility) just haven't been too smart to realize how silly we were 🤓 Because it feels like this season has been so easy and we were trying to find the traps and there was no traps at all.
Live and learn. Adjust. Be patient. That's how it goes in betting. Anyways, I'm good with not betting the NFL but I'll keep trying to find good stuff.
He’s back
I guess I’ll go sit in my corner 😭😭😭
This one is ugly. But should be good considering public is giving back in the NFL.
🚨 CAPPERS CONSENSUS:
NFL: COLTS +7.5
Consensus is 158-150-5 overall since we started tracking it:
NFL: 13-16-1
NCAAF: 12-11-2
MLB: 59-42
NBA: 36-31-1
NHL: 8-14
BOXING/UFC: 1-4
NCAAB: 32-34-1
SOCCER: 0-1
Cappers consensus is the plays I track whenever I see a lot of cappers on the same side. I don’t make these picks, I only track them.
Nice Saturday overall
Cappers did well, analytics did well grabbing 2 football winners. Analytics plays are now 14-9 on the month.
Full transparency — paid content recaps: /channel/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
DM for a free 1-day trial of the paid content — analytics, cappers, community — @realdeal666
We’re all betting Kansas this week too, right?
Colorado won’t cover right??
UFC starts at 3 AM EST. Set your alarm clocks. Or don't. It's Friday. Just try to get sober by that time.
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You see, I can't manipulate the big leagues. It's just the cappers. I'm a just a chill guy who tracks cappers and tries to make a living off sports bets. Browns won outright. It was pretty easy.
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My two cents on the Timberwolves/Clippers game
I really liked the clippers when I saw the point spread in the morning (-5) but since then it has moved to -6
Timberwolves are my favorite team to fade this season — they are just overvalued in 9/10 matchups. They are bad ATS, while Clippers have been covering.
And I feel like this is the “too good to be true” setup when Timberwolves actually step up and play like a contender team.
Not betting anyways
Hey everyone!
As I said yesterday I delivered more picks. The two cappers from the paid content did their job very well:
GL cashed both his plays and is now 24-4 on the season
Prof Locks cashed a 2U play (forgot to forward his pick but mentioned it in the game preview)
The rollover was no good. I warned you I suck at handicapping!
Friday is packed with action and we also have NFL today (note to self: do not overthink it 🤓). I'll try to share something like yesterday.
Good luck!
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
Dolphins / Packers. Mixed action as always.
On the one hand:
Prof Locks POW (Packers -3) (33-15 all-time, 13-5 NFL, 4-0 this month)
On the other hand:
TPD (Dolphins +3.5) (26-15 coming off 3 wins, 15-7 NFL on Thursdays)
AFS (Dolphins +3.5) (12-10 NFL, 19-8 on Thursdays, 22-8 coming off 2 wins)
BTBB (Dolphins +4) (28-10 on Thursdays)
Would've been great if Prof did not drop his POW on Packers. Not playing anything here. My two cents: the setup on Dolphins looks better.
Spontaneous Thanksgiving rollover
Live: Goff under 21.5 completions -135
I liked that prop pre game anyways. Only 4 times in 11 games has Goff made over 21 completions. Detroit has established a comfortable lead, so I'm expecting they will caryy the ball more and burn the clock.
Risking 1 turkey to win 1.74 turkeys
Happy Thanksgiving to all who celebrate this holiday!
I won't overload you with numbers today, I'll just try to deliver more picks so we all get the sauce for dinner 🦃
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
I was wrong. NFL is easy. Just bet all away favorites:
52-21 (71.2%) SU
41-29-3 (58.6%) ATS
But that didn't help AC who lost another 12U play (Chargers +2.5). Cody Covers had a day though - cashed both Ravens and Over (so did Duck). Fun fact: Cody holds 67.4% win rate on Monday night football picks and if I isolate it to ML / Totals only it's 75% (24-8) since last season.
Anyways, what I can say about free cappers:
TBSB is 22-12 coming off 2 losses
Sean Perry is 13-18 coming of 2 losses
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
They told me to sit in the corner yesterday
Now they tell me I will suffer
You guys crack me up 🤣
But we’re all betting on Monday night football anyways, right?
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Hey everyone!
Expectedly, NFL was a rollercoaster. Probably the hardest league to handicap. I'll drop my opinion on that a bit later. For now I'll just highlight the angels in the free content.
AC lost his big play like most other cappers yesterday. Still sits at 68% win rate this month. 25-19 on Mondays.
TBSB was the perfect read yesterday — Rams +3 was a big L. Nothing today though.
Sean Perry is just Sean Perry. I don't like him and on Mondays you shouldn't like him too — he is 18-27 on Mondays.
Porter Picks (>=5U) might have a good move today; 23-8 on Mondays.
Duck Investments — 3-12 in the NFL on Mondays.
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
By the way, I hope this format is pretty clear. You all know what to do with this intel right?
RIGHT?
👍 — aye aye captain
👎 — just give us the LOcKs already 😭
Update: public did not give back, the Lions are a money-printing machine
Brrrrr
Sunday. NFL. Cappers.
AC — this guy has been on fire this month and nothing can stop him. Maybe I will jinx him and he'll lose today but his POTDs are 27-18 in the NFL.
TBSB — main fade candidate: 15-24 coming off 2 wins, 15-23 on Sundays.
Sean Perry — been winning more than losing recently.
Porter (>=5U plays) — 24-26 on Sundays, 28-32 in the NFL.
Duck — hard to say anything about him here, he's been doing ok with NFL picks lately, But of course I would put my money on where his picks are.
Vegas Ninja — even though he took an L yesterday he's doing well on Weekends
TMS — bad at Sunday football. There are exceptions of course but overall his picks are fade material.
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
Weekend = ton of action
Briefly the angles that might be interesting:
TBSB — 15-22 on Saturdays
Sean Perry — 40-28 coming off 1 win
TMS — 74-55 on Saturdays
AC — 31-45 coming off 1 win
Duck — 7-1 NHL on Saturdays (most likely will drop 2 NCAAF picks but still)
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
Anyways. Will we see the whole sheet painted red by the end of the month? I think yes.
There's nothing quite interesting for today. TMS cashed a 10k play yesterday (Browns +4) but already lost today's play.
Duck Investments Top Plays are still pretty hot. Can't say they're fade material now. Can't tail them either.
Vegas Ninja is 82-47 coming off 1 loss which is today's setup. But bad on Fridays.
Analytics Capper is now 2-4 after his 11-0 run ended. Due for more losses.
• Free picks were and will be posted here ⬅️ click
Good luck!
P.S. If you've made a fortune fading the fade parade cappers consider joining the paid content 👀 /channel/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
We did not see this coming 🫢
(Cappers also love the UNDER)
🚨 CAPPERS CONSENSUS:
NFL: BROWNS +3.5
Consensus is 157-150-5 overall since we started tracking it:
NFL: 12-16-1
NCAAF: 12-11-2
MLB: 59-42
NBA: 36-31-1
NHL: 8-14
BOXING/UFC: 1-4
NCAAB: 32-34-1
SOCCER: 0-1
Cappers consensus is the plays I track whenever I see a lot of cappers on the same side. I don’t make these picks, I only track them.
