Another good day huh
Away underdogs I listed: 3-1
Home underdogs: 1-1
And another night play cashed ✅
Today’s updates coming soon 🔜
HOME UNDERDOGS
2/3 yesterday with another 🥇 play cash.
I would place Nationals as the top play today but only if they were underdogs. So…
🥇no play
🥈 Marlins
🥉 Rockies
There’s also Guardians on 7 losses — that’s their max loss streak in 3 years of data. But Tigers are doing great off 2 losses and as away favorites. So I’ll skip this game.
If you were looking to start your day with the Nationals / Red Sox game, I've got something for you:
Home teams in the fist game of the day on Fridays are 11-3 SU — applies to Nationals ML
(I'll wait for a live bet on the Nats here)
WNBA and night play coming later today
( had dodgers team total under and wsox +2.5 circled for night plays yesterday, put some 🍕 money on both but didn't post neither 🥲)
JUICED FAVS 🧃
Only Dodgers (-270) qualify today. Good live bet target. They often let opponents take the lead.
Home underdogs are doing ok so far in July (5 wins 4 losses at average +125). Thursday is also a good day statistically so let's see...
🥇 Blue Jays. "no way yankees get swept" type fade (also Yankees are 17-21 SU on Thu)
🥈 Rockies. Astros are 14-19 SU off 3 wins
🥉 Dbacks. I think 50/50 here.
There's also Marlins as home underdogs in the early game ... but on Thursdays home teams don't win as often (6-8) 🤓 And then there's Nationals ... but Tigers are 59-46 off 1 loss + 29-20 on Thursdays + 39-18 as away fav.
Yankees ❌ (I'll never trust them again)
Unders went 2-1✅
Juiced favs swept ✅ (could've live bet all of them too)
Full schedule today with WNBA and CFL to top it off 😎
7/2 Intel MLB unders
Orioles under 8 -115
Guardians under 8 -105
Padres game 2 under 8 -114
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
21-37 on Wednesday so taking a day off here
Hey everyone!
Nice start to the month
WNBA ✅❌ (big play cashed)
Dbacks ✅
Unders 0-1-2 ❌
🧃 Dodgers ✅
🙏 White Sox TT ✅
MLB Dog/Fav
Sticking with a favorite again today. And only sticking with home favs from now on, away favs are not worth betting.
Had Giants circled here yesterday, today I think Dbacks win again:
55-44 off 1 win
79-55 as home favs
37-25 SU on Tuesdays
😀😀😀
Nothing interesting in the CFL today
On the one hand, home underdogs are 29-38 (23.2% ROI), on the other hand favorites dominate on Fridays.
Same with totals - July is all about unders but on Fridays there’s mostly overs.
If I had to choose something, I’d go with the under. But I’m not forced so I’ll just skip.
MLB dog/fav
Underdogs prevailed yesterday (6-4 SU). Looking at underdogs again today.
If i haven’t said I would not bet on the Yankees, I’d go with them today: 38-31 SU as away underdog for +21% ROI). But I can’t.
Instead, I’d do a 3-way split:
Yankees ML (38-31 SU as away dog for +21% ROI)
Astros (46-34 as away dog for +22.7% ROI)
Orioles ML (59-51 as away dog for + 20% ROI)
Looks like at least 2/3 would hit here. Can also add Royals (Dbacks are 31-36 on Fridays + 21-26 off 2 losses). Such good setups that it looks like away underdogs sweep today.
Yankees vs Mets — the clash of the two least profitable teams I track 🤩🤩
Читать полностью…
Good morning!
Home underdog of the day - Blue Jays ✅ (cappers mushed Yankees so bad)
Away underdog of the day - Angels ✅
Juice fav - Dodgers ✅ (no chance to live bet there)
Unders went 2-2 ♻️
CFL - the underdog won outright ✅
Night night - ✅
Happy 4th of July everyone!Читать полностью…
no WNBA today. Here's night play:
Mariners / Royals under 7.5
CFL
Totals are 50/50 today. However spreads are lopsided: underdogs are 18-8 ATS on Thursdays (home underdogs are 28-38 SU - 20.4% ROI)
The move here is ... Calgary +5.5 (-110)
MLB dog/fav
So the task is pretty simple — just pick one team (dog or fav) according to the stats on the season... Any team that is not named Yankees...
Underdogs today. And I'm going with an away underdog. A team that rarely lets me down when they're underdogs.
You guessed it — Angels (+130)
😀😀😀
7/3 Intel MLB unders
Giants under 8.5 -110
Guardians under 8.5 -110
Rockies under 11.5 -125
Mets under 8 +100
Like I said, betting juiced favs pre game or waiting for live bets - both options work. I prefer live bets simply because I can't stand betting -200 plays
Читать полностью…
MLB fav/dog
Underdogs are still doing slightly better than favorites overall, but I managed to pick a nice fav yesterday with Dbacks. Focusing on favs today again.
I see a buy low spot on the Yankees — yes, even after I said that betting on the Yankees is not a bright a idea. At least I don't see any better favorite today.
Yankees are 27-19 SU off 2 losses + 31-18 SU on Wednesdays
😀😀😀
JUICED ODDS FAVS 🧃
Rays
Astros
Dodgers
The three teams that qualify for now
Rays are -125 ML when posted *
Favorites of -200 or heavier are 20-9 on Wednesdays this season. Rays also fall into a 59-38 first game trend.
WNBA
Hopefully ladies start our July the way they finished June 🔥
— IND / MIN UNDER 158 (-110) 1U
— TEASER (-110) 0.5U:
Minnesota -6.5 & under 162.5
JUICED ODDS FAVS 🧃
Phillies got the job done easily yesterday.
Statistically, Tuesdays are the best day: 31-5 SU, 19-5 if you live bet the teams when they're down, 7-5 if you parlay all juiced favs together.
Today's juiced favs:
Dodgers (-340)
Borderline juiced favs:
Braves, Rangers, Cubs — all three teams close to being -200.
Just a reminder: I only track -200 or more juiced favs here. Betting such expensive favorites has been profitable this season.Читать полностью…
