Tigers ✅
WNBA ✅
🧃 Juiced favs ✅✅
Reds under ❌
🥇 Orioles ❌ 😔
Not bad but could've been better, Orioles had many chances. WNBA cashed by the hook (also matched Cabang's play). Juiced cardinals could've been live bet yesterday.
JUICED FAVORITES 🧃
Juice barely loses this month (11-1). Also 33-6 on Tuesdays. So Red Sox and Cardinals look like 🔨 today. Astros and Blue Jays are close too.
I'll wait for live bets.
MLB Dogs&favs
No pizzas today. My selection is clear today:
Tigers ML (-122). 63.5% probability winning according to my sheets compared to 55% listed in the odds.
😀😀😀
Reds under ✅
🥇 Home underdog Tigers ML ✅
🧃 Juiced fav cashed easy AND you could've live bet Red Sox ✅
⛹️♀️ WNBA 1-1 ✅❌
💤 Night night ❌
Not bad, sucks that night plays streak ended. Let's go for a new one.
WNBA
Dallas / Phoenix under 163.5 (-110) 1U
Phoenix -6 (-110) 1U
P.S. A great WNBA capper Ronald Cabang is on Wings +6: /channel/betting_intel/7886. His plays are 0-2 on Mondays. So are my WNBA plays 😂 But I'm going with my plays today
JUICED MLB FAVORITES 🧃
Juiced favs are hot! 10-1 this month, 17-2 on Mondays...
Put Red Sox ML in all your parlays or wait for a live bet
😀😀😀
MLB dogs & favs
Favorites today. They're decent on Mondays. And I don't have much to choose from: either Astros, Padres or Reds. I have good trends on al three. Reds, for instance, are 33-15 on Mondays. Astros and Padres carry some value in listed odds. At the same time, Astros and Reds are bad as home favorites.
So I don't see any plays that are worth betting. Maybe all three teams in a pizza money parlay is good here.
🍕🍕🍕
MLB favorites had a helluva day yesterday (unlike a week ago). WNBA and CFL came in handy.
Top home underdog ❌ 🥇 underdog plays move to 8-3
WNBA ✅ >=1U plays are 6-0 L6
CFL ✅ 4-0 L4
Tigers score in the top of 9th inning with no hits…
😡
WNBA
Liberty / Storm UNDER 167.5 (-110) 2U
Teaser -110 (0.5U):
Liberty / Storm UNDER 172
Connecticut +22
CFL
Home underdog again today. Home underdogs is probably the best angle in the CFL. Even outright ML plays are profitable in the long run here. But I have two options: either the spread or Edmonton team total. I'm sticking with...
Edmonton +1.5 (-110)
P.S. The line has moved towards Edmonton, so buying points to get to +3 (-150) is expensive here. As always, live bet is an option.
And here's an article on key numbers in CFL vs NFL: https://www.sportsbookbonus.ca/key-numbers-in-cfl-betting/Читать полностью…
🧃
Juiced favorites are 19-12 on Sundays for -16% ROI. There's a few of them today:
Phillies
Red Sox
Tigers
Cubs & Dodgers are close to -200
But there's one thing I've noticed: underdogs with long odds are doing well on Sundays (which is why I would skip juiced favs today and go with the underdogs — will elaborate in the next post 🔜
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
Home dogs on Sunday are consistently 50/50 which means they carry some value.
Here's my choice:
🥇 Guardians (+195)
🥈 Mets (+165)
🥉 no play
I ran some AI tests on my sheets and asked it to calculate probabilities for these teams. It suggested Guardians have 43.75% chance of winning (which translates to +129 odds), Mets — 43.97% (+127). So according to my stats these teams have more chances of winning than the listed odds suggest = value.
Guardians +1.5 is +110, Mets +1,5 is +100 — feel free to take the spreads.
MLS
NY Red Bulls under 3 -110 — risk 0.5U
Atlanta DRAW +240 — risk 1U
Charlotte DRAW +260 - risk 1U
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
🥇 Orioles ML +110. Almost everything lines up here: first game on Tuesday 19-11 angle and trends suggest orioles, I don't see any other good options today.
Other home underdogs:
White Sox
Brewers
Twins
Angels
Athletics
😀😀😀
Night night (5-0 run with these)
Phillies team total over 3.5 -140
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
Pretty simple today: Tigers have a few strong trends.
🥇 Tigers ML (+100)
🥈 Angels ML (+115)
🥉 White Sox ML (+150)
There's also Giants and Brewers but I don't like these plays today.
Edmonton is cruising!
Not a great day of MLB plays, but WNBA and CFL save the day (unless Elks pull the guardians move lol)
I love seeing your feedback! I’m glad all this stuff I track has started converting to winning plays.
P.S. yes I also bet these plays. Not all of them though.
P.S 2. No night night play today — nothing stands out so no point to force action
There's also a great hedge / middle opportunity: OVER 156.5 (-120)
Читать полностью…
Got a 2U WNBA play for the early game. Do you guys want it? 🤠
Читать полностью…
Favorites are winning 41.9% of games on Sunday this season so let's look at underdogs.
I spoke about home underdogs earlier so there's two away underdogs that look good:
Reds (+190)
Cardinals (+175)
There are also some nice trends on the Reds today. Again, AI suggests they have a 54.75% win chance - huge value compared with the +190 odds. Reds +1.5 is also an option.
First game home teams are 10-4 on Sundays (favorites are 9-2)
Braves ML -150
Last time I posted this "first game of the day" angle, Nationals got absolutely crushed by the Red Sox 😭Читать полностью…
I’m not a capper but I give you more value than a thousand cappers 🫡
✅ MLB home underdog 🥇 play (8-2 on these)
✅ WNBA
✅ CFL (3-0 run)
✅ Night play (5-0 run)
Don't forget about Soccer LAB⚽️
Sweep with 2 DRAW🧹😎
