Night night 💤
Athletics / blue jays under 10.5 -120
CFL
Yesterday's game was postponed. Today we have Hamilton (home favorite) vs Ottawa. Favorites and unders prevail on the sheets, so it's either Hamilton spread or Ottawa team total under. I'll go with...
Ottawa team total under 25.5 (-115)
HOME UNDERDOGS
Padres came through yesterday. 🥇 plays are now 10-4 with nearly 8 units of profit. Solid.
🥇 White Sox. Guardians are bad as away favorites + bad record off 1 loss (44-59).
🥈 Padres. My sheets still like Padres - 59.9% winning chance today according to them.
🥉 Giants. No way Dodgers lose 8 in a row, right? No.
Alright, here's the scoop on Australian Hockey betting😎
This league is a real high-scoring affair, and totals over bets have been hitting consistently. The season stats back it up: 46-25 in favor of the over.
Saturdays are especially hot, rocking an 80% win rate for the over (28-7). Also worth noting: these overs hit best in games with an away favorite (21-7) and in the first games of the day (17-5).
Today's Slate: There are 3 games scheduled. All three have the home team favored, and the first two start simultaneously (making them harder to single out).
My Recommendation: Given these factors and the strong numbers above, you've got two solid option:
Go for the over in all three games and expect at least 2 out of 3 to hit.
Watch how the early games start and then decide whether to bet the over in the Perth vs. Central Coast Rhinos matchup.
WNBA
Connecticut +18 (-110) — 1U
Connecticut / Seattle OVER 157 (-115) — 1U
Teaser (-110) 0.5U
Connecticut +22 & Over 152.5
Connecticut 1st quarter ML (+300) — 0.25U
INTEL MLB UNDERS
Reds under 9.5 -125
Guardians game 1 under 9 -115
Padres under 8 -112
Favorites are 58.6% on Fridays. Home favorites 60% on the season so far. So let's try to find one home favorite...
My choice would be Orioles today. They finally gained some momentum going 7-3 L10 games as underdogs. Today they are favored (-140) against the Marlins. Orioles are 38-26 on Fridays (+12.5% ROI). That would be my best favorite for today.
😀😀😀
We've all seen that Yankees were on a 0-15 OVERs run. Since then ... they are on a 11-0 OVERs run!
Yankees Friday overs: 23-27 (46%)
My spreadsheet AI has the over hitting at 62.2%
Yankees / Cubs over 9 (-125) today, anyone?
MLB dogs/favs
I'm looking into underdogs today, they do well on Thursdays. I'll cover home underdogs in the next post so let's see if there are away underdogs... Not much choice: Marlins (+145) and Nationals (+125). I like these options. Reds are 50/50 as home favs (-14% ROI), and Nationals are often underestimated this season and do well as underdogs (what they showed yesterday).
So, Marlins and Nationals today. You can split your unit and put halves on each team if you're tailing these.
MLB dogs&favs
I really liked two teams today: Tigers and Padres. And looks like it's good that I skipped the early game. So just Padres for today.
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
24-40 Wednesdays. No 🥇 play today.
🥈 White Sox ML. Underdogs are 19-12 SU in the first games.
🥉 Angels ML. They have to step up.
But I have a bonus play. My sheets show Reds have a 45.6% winning chance (opposed to 58% implied in the odds). So there might be some value in Marlins today. I also feel like Reds will be a pretty popular play among cappers which hasn't been a good sign recently.
WNBA
Golden State / Las Vegas under 156 (-115) — 1U
Saturday is the only day when underdogs are profitable (favorites are not profitable on any day), so let's look at away underdogs, shall we.
Not many option today, Rockies looks good but I'd do spread here, and I'm looking for outright winners...
Pirates ML. They've been getting us wins before.
😀😀😀
Lab unders 3-0 ✅
🥇 underdog of the day Padres ML✅
Fav of the day Orioles ML ✅
Night night ✅
Juiced favs went 1-2
WNBA went 2-2
And everything’s FREE!! 😳
if you are interested, i can even find a trend for australian hockey😂 it only takes 1 hour...
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CFL
It's simple here: Friday is a favorites & overs day.
Saskatchewan team total over 29.5 (-115)
JUICED FAVORITES 🧃
Juiced favs are 25-8 SU on Fridays. As usual, my advice is try to grab these teams live at decent odds.
Reds
Tigers
Brewers
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
Home underdogs went 5-1 yesterday and the only game I picked was postponed🫠
Today:
🥇 Padres ML. Not my lucky team, but AI suggests they have a 58.3% chance of winning (opposed to implied 43%) + great Fridays there.
🥈 White Sox ML. Same as yesterday, but not a 🥇 play because I don't like betting postponed games.
🥉 Angels ML. Dbacks aren't great on Fridays + Angels are great as underdogs.
Other home dogs:
Royals — good chances against Mets
White Sox game 2 — pretty sure they will take at least one game today
Athletics — inconsistent team, can't say anything about them
Little reverse sweep here yesterday. Might be the start of a drawdown on my analytics, so this is your warning if you're tailing these plays 🤓
Full slate today: WNBA, CFL, another night play. Back to work. Trust BD 😎
WNBA
All my trends were for early games yesterday and I missed them 🥲
Nothing big today, just one 0.5U play:
Washington -3.5 (-105) — 0.5U
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
There's a lot of them today. And Thursday is a good day for home underdogs.
🥇White Sox. They got me a win yesterday against Blue Jays. Today's matchup seems a bit easier. Guardians aren't great as away favs + 12-16 coming off 3 wins.
I also liked Angels but they are now favored against the Rangers. Twins might sweep the Cubs. Orioles and Padres - I don't like them today. Yankees - not betting them. No opinion on Athletics.
Home underdogs went 2/2 but yesterday wasn't great: the under didn't hit, Padres didn't hit, and I missed WNBA winners (there were 2 early games that qualified for the plays yesterday).
Most likely will have a night play today finally
Also I've noticed that these trends don't do well on Wednesdays, so next week I'll be careful.
🧃 JUICED FAVS
22-9 Wednesdays (although not profitable).
There's only Red Sox (-300) today. I wouldn't add them in all parlays today 😅
