Updates on home favorites and juiced favs later when lines settle
Читать полностью…
Yankees UNDER
Yankees are a hell of a rollercoaster in terms of over/unders. But today there is a few trends that suggest the under:
Tuesdays: 29-21 to the UNDER
Away underdog: 42-30 to the UNDER
Coming off 2 unders: 31-20 to the UNDER
The only problem: in July historically Yankees overs are good (41-24 since 2023).
Yankees v Blue Jays under 9 (-105)Читать полностью…
Not a lock of the century but some cappers might call it a lock of the year
Trends aren't doing so well now. Don't know why. Maybe they only work well in the first half of the season, maybe they will bounce back. Anyways, cant' recommend tailing them for now. But I will keep posting them.
Mostly unders today which are also regressing. And I will have a detailed breakdown on three games. You decide if you like it enough to tail or not.
Trends for 7/22:
Tigers under 8 -110
Yankees under 9 -105
Astros under 8.5 -105
Padres ML +110
Padres under 8 -110
Mets under 9 +100
Shitty day yesterday for the trends. But Night Night saves the day again.
WNBA is back today, I have a 1U trend. It was this 🤌 close to being a 1.5U play (4-0 on those, woulda slammed it!)
Stay tuned 😎
7/21 Night Night
Dodgers team total over 4.5 -130
Night night record: 10-6Читать полностью…
MLB HOME FAVORITES
Nothing outstanding on Mondays. -166 to -145 (1.60 to 1.69) favs are decent so let's see...
Marlins (-145)
Cubs (-140)
At the same time, home favorites priced in the -125 to -112 (1.80 to 1.89) range are 12-22 SU on Mondays:
Rangers (-115)
Mariners (-118)
Marlins and Cubs = good playsЧитать полностью…
Rangers and Mariners = bad plays
MLB INTEL LAB UNDERS
Reds under 9 -120
Mets under 8.5 -115
7/20 Night night
Just night play for me today, not taking anything else from my trends
Rangers / Tigers under 6.5 +110
HOME FAVS
Blue Jays 🔒 again
Was waiting to see how line closes. They are now -111. Was about equal (there is another trend on teams with equal odds, someday I'll share it)
Detailed breakdown on the 1U system play.
Seattle under 2.5 (yes, it's an alt line @ +180 — because I track overs&unders at 2.5 for all teams).
Seattle is the home favorite today...
29-32 to the over as home favorites (-15% ROI)
34-44 to the over on Saturdays (-18.5% ROI)
4-8 to the over off 2 overs (-42% ROI)
UNDER 2.5 is +180 which translates to 35.7% chance of hitting whereas I have it at 46.4%
I'll take UNDER 2.5 (+180). Do not attempt this at home. Take under 3.5 (-130) if you're tailing. GL!
HOME FAVORITES
I even made a separate sheet for Saturday home favs only. And favorites in the range of 1.80 to 1.89 (-125 to -111) do well (62%). There's a few teams near this range, all will depend on the closing lines. For now I see a few teams:
Phillies
Pirates
Rangers
Rays
...
Long story short, I would take Rays today. Because i have Orioles in my MLB Lab list and those trends suck on Saturdays. Will I bet it? Probably not.
CFL
Winnipeg team total over ... current number is 28.5. I locked in 26.5 in the AM... which was posted in the paid subscription where I share all the good stuff 🤓 Sign up here: https:/cappersintel.com or message me @realdeal666 and get access to all my plays + cappers that I track + our community
Go ahead and take 28.5 if you're tailing me.
Explanations on why this play and not any other play: /channel/intel_football_lab/328
JUICED FAVS
I don't remember if I showed this sheet. This one has juiced favs SPREADS.
Nothing interesting today, just sharing.
So far there's Phillies (vs Angels) and Dodgers (vs Brewers) that qualify for "juiced favs".
Imo, sketchy matchups, I think one of the two dogs wins. So I wouldn't add these teams in all parlays today. However, live betting these teams would be good. Especially since Dodgers game starts late and we'll know how Phillies game ends.
Nice parlay cash yesterday. WNBA wasn't nice but I didn't have any expectations (personally only tailing all 1.5U+ plays, you know).
No WNBA or MLS today, but we have CFL. My play is on the screenshot (Montreal team total under 30.5 -110).
Why this play and what else you can bet today — read here: /channel/intel_football_lab/325
Will also drop a post on NCAAF in that channel ^ soon.
See y'all tomorrow with MLB action!
Padres UNDER
Another team that has been consistent with UNDERs is Padres. Stats:
Tuesdays: 33-30 to the UNDER
Away underdog: 62-40 to the UNDER
Coming off 1 under: 57-44 to the UNDER
Padres v Marlins UNDER 8 (-110)Читать полностью…
It's giving me a lock of the month vibes.
Astros UNDER
The chart suggests that Astros are a consistent UNDERS team. Stats:
Tuesdays: 44-20 to the UNDER
Away favorite: 60-44 to the UNDER
Coming off 2 overs: 27-23 to the UNDER
Astros v Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 -115Читать полностью…
That's a lock of the century right there
HOME UNDERDOGS 🌭
Home underdogs are consistent and profitable on the season. So I'll just list the teams:
Pirates (+110)
Nationals (+120)
Rockies (+140)
Diamondbacks (+104)
P.S. no 🥇 play. I was choosing between pirates or nationals but I don't want to choose the one that might lose and the other win 🤓
JUICED FAVS 🧃
18-2 SU on Mondays 🔥 and 14-6 if you take them on the -1.5 run line. Btw that's spreads sheet on the screenshot.
Who do we have for today:
Phillies -1.5 (-117)
Rays -1.5 (-112)
*juiced favs = favorites -200 or shorter (< 1.50 odds)
HOME UNDERDOGS
Home dogs did not do well yesterday, good thing I skipped the 🥇 selection.
Just three home dogs today: Nationals, Blue Jays & Rockies.
Reds and Yankees have a few solid trends so I wouldn't bet against them. Rockies... it's Rockies.
🥉 Rockies ML (+140) — tracking as a 0.25U play.
50/50 yesterday again. But night play cashed easily (the only play I bet yesterday).
But check out the graph: 200+ plays tracked, the graph is going up 📈 — tracking all plays that I emphasize.
Personally I don't bet everything, only the stuff that I send to cappers intel + subscription.
Moving on. Only MLB today but I'll try to find something good. Maybe home underdogs or night play. Stay tuned
HOME UNDERDOGS
36-37 this month for +12.5% ROI (+8.7 units) flat betting
Everything was fine, except everything I had planned for parlay lost ... 🥴
Home underdogs swept, home favorite (Rays) won, Dodgers over was easy. Moving on.
Show your engagement please. I know you're capable of dropping 100 reactions here 🔥
Check this out
Last 3 Dodgers games all did not hit the over. Dodgers coming off 3 unders are...
16-6 to the over off 3 unders
5-1 to the over off 4 unders
1-0 to the over off 5 unders (max unders streak)
76% chance that in the next 3 games dodgers hit the over. here's what I'll do:
Dodgers / Brewers over 8.5 -105 (to win 0.25U) today. In case of loss will do to win 0.5U tmrw and so on.
HOME UNDERDOGS
Saturdays are decent. Time to choose:
🥇 Blue Jays ML (+110). Home underdogs are 21-13 SU in 1st game of the day
🥈 Nats ML (+130). Fading Padres trend
🥉 Rockies (+165). Longest odds of the day. Don't like anything else.
INTEL MLB UNDERS
Reds under 8 -105
Padres under 8.5 +105
Yankees under 8.5 +100
HOME UNDERDOGS
Friday is not the best day for home dogs so no 🥇 play (still 10-6 record on those)
🥇 skip
🥈 Rangers ML (+105)
🥉 Marlins ML (+100)
MLB is back. Posting all updates as usual: home underdogs, juiced favs, etc.
Personally already locked a few plays for today. Will post my CFL play here.
Night night play & my parlay only posted in the paid subscription.
You can sign up @ https://cappersintel.com for weekly/monthly/yearly and get access to all my plays + top cappers that I track.
Updates coming soon.
