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$METIS Macro update
Missed my Buy Zone 2 by $0.4 😂
Regained a very important horizontal (purple 1.618)
566 Days of Accumulation!
Targets remain.
My average buy price is $14 (70% invested)
If $METIS dips into my Buy Zone 2 next year I’ll add to my position there (30%)
#Bitcoin Cycle Analysis
TL;DR: Beware of a Shakeout that’s coming!
I see the bulls are euphoric as #BTC spent one month trading above $32k.
But just when everyone gets super bullish, the market slaps them in the face 👋
I think soon we'll have a fairly significant pullback. Why? 👇
Let’s compare all 3 cycles:
⬛️ Black - post 2012 halving Cycle
🟦 Blue - post 2016 halving Cycle
🟥 Red - post 2020 halving Cycle
As you can see, #BTC tops out and bottoms around the same time in cycle.
After the Bear Market Bottom (Accumulation phase) we have a similar Relief Rally 📈
Then a long and boring Correction follows (Cooling off phase, re-accumulation)
Then we break out violently to the upside again (+82% in 2016, +63% in 2020. Now we're up +54% so far).
📌 Interestingly, this pump usually occurs 1250-1270 days after the #Halving. I call it the Pre-halving Rally.
Those who didn’t expect this pump start to feel serious FOMO, because now everyone’s screaming that this is THE Bull Run, ‘THE HALVING IS COMING BRO’
And just when everyone turns bullish, the market slaps hard! 👋
-40% in 2016 & crazy -63% in 2020. We are yet to find out how hard the market will slap the late bulls this time. I think it can be something between -35-45% 📉
I call it the Ultimate Shakeout before THE BULL RUN 🚀
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$SUI TVL continues to grow 👀
+80% in less than a month
$KSM update
Nice rally off my bottom target
Important horizontal regained ✅
Bull Flag looks complete
🎯 Target of the flag is $36
$LDO is printing a bullish pattern on the 3 day chart 👀
I’d like to see a pullback to 0.786 or 0.618 Fib before the breakout because cause it looks overheated on 1D & 12h.
Although I wouldn’t be surprised to see $LDO pumping straight up despite that
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$DXY update
Well, checkpoint 1 (103) has been reached ✅
I recommend you to pay attention to $UNI here as it’s trying to break out 👀
I like this accumulation, higher low structure, downtrend line break & retest
$UNI looks very promising to me 📈
Remember this?
IMO even more BNB/Binance FUD to come
I'm not saying that $BNB will go straight down in one candle like $FTT, but I still don't like this picture
$INJ 1W update
I admit that I didn’t expect it to go above $13.
$13 -> $19 was overkill imo. Anyway, let’s take a look at $INJ one more time.
We closed the weekly and what did we get? A LOWER high on the RSI. Classic Bearish Divergence confirmed. (1)
It’s the first time in the history of this asset we have a confirmed bear div on the weekly timeframe. 🤫
(2) Yeah, it was a good pump but where’s the volume?
We have a volume divergence as well.
(3) EW perspective: $INJ is in the final 5th wave. Now we should be looking for a healthy ABC correction. I think the correction should take us below $7.
This is my view. I'm not telling you to go short or convincing you to sell.
Even if I think $INJ is done, it still can irrationally go higher (not much higher though).
I’m just sharing my opinion and trying to find a good entry for the long term. I don’t care if I buy higher than I could 6 months ago, because for me it’s not about where to buy, it’s about WHY to buy. 💡
There we go! $ALGO broke out as expected 📈
+15% profit gained with 3x leverage so far
$ALGO 4h symmetrical triangle 👀
I’m expecting a +15% breakout 📈
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#TOTAL2 👀
Well, #Alt are about to get Fully Sent 🚀
OR this is just a big Bull Trap 🐻
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$DOT 👀
Breakout -> Retest -> Continuation 📈
T1 - $7
T2 - $8
T3 - $9.5
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$ETH 2017 vs $INJ 2023 🧐
Same market structure!
This is what I’m taking about. $ETH is a great example of how it usually works.
Sorry guys, I can’t be bullish on $INJ here
Let’s switch from log to linear
Just look at this chart. $UNI really looks ready to take off 👀 📈
Some of you may not know, but I've been bearish on the $BNB/BTC pair since January!
📉 $BNB/BTC -56% since then
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⚡️ US Government seeks over $4 billion from Binance to end criminal case
Читать полностью…
#C98 update
I’m still very bullish on it. Target remains
Breakout -> Retest -> Continuation 📈