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So what if $ETH cycle top is in and it's gonna print a giant Accumulation Structure (a Triangle or a Zigzag) and break out of it, say, in 2028? 🤔
In that case we would accumulate more energy for a breakout and, as the result, the targets would be much higher 🚀
Other big caps like $XRP $ADA $XLM had a great pump in Nov-Dec, but somehow we didn't get a new $ETH ATH 🤷♂️
What I'm trying to say is that $ETH could be the lame duck of the cycle. Crowded coin that just can't pump with so many people on board.
In 2021 this lame duck was $XRP - it also had a weird market structure during that bull, no impulse and didn't manage to break its previous cycle top.
So what we have here:
- ETHUSD - weird market structure that actually looks corrective (no impulse)
- ETHBTC just keeps falling
- We're running out of time (this cycle has like 9 months left)
- QE ain’t coming soon
- Trade wars
- $ETH community has to come up with something new to take advantage of the new ramified L2 infrastructure
Note that in 2022 $ETH was stronger than #BTC: it found the bottom in June and didn't make a lower low since then (unlike #BTC which broke that June's low in November on the FTX crash)
Читать полностью…Let's talk about $ETH 🧵
I don't understand #Ethereum's poor performance this cycle. ETFs are not willing to buy it. Staking ETF can be a game changer but we're running out of time (~ 160-280 days of the cycle left)
Back in October 2024 I was very confident in a new #BTC ATH but not now.
According to the #BTC Puell Multiple indicator we had one last leg up on Price and as you can see we got it - #BTC went from $60k to $110k 📈
But the problem is we didn’t get a Higher High on the indicator 🤔
So now we have a Higher High on Price and a Lower High on Puell Multiple - that’s a BEARISH Divergence❗️
We had this Bearish Divergence only 2 times - Cycle Top in 2013 & Cycle Top in 2021
This is something to think about if you’re a #BTC bull
$W #Wormhole 1W chart update
$W is finally showing first signs of strength. Today’s pump is exactly what I was waiting for.
Good chance March 11 was the bottom.
Yes, I didn’t expect it to go that low but if that was needed to reset the market and clear the way to new highs, then I’m okay with that.
The BTC.D chart still gives me hope. My expectations are almost the same - New ATH for $W
What a strong recovery! $ZRO 💪
$ZRO is doing what $SUI did in August 2024 😏
Few.
According to the 4-Year Cycle Theory, this cycle should end in October-November 2025. So we basically have 8 months to see #Altseason ⌛️
Given the poor performance of $ETH & #ALTs that we have seen so far, do you believe this cycle can break the classic 4-year cycle and last another year (2026)? 🤔
$SD 1W update
Like the rest of the market, $SD has seen a big correction since the Dec breakout but if we take a look at the chart, it's not so bad actually. We're back inside the channel and currently sitting on the 0.618 Fib support. When the market catches a bid again $SD will have a real breakout imo. My plan remains the same 🎯
No further investor unlocks after March and much awaited Stader quarterly buyback happening this week
Imo still a very undervalued project that keeps building despite the market conditions.
And don't forget about Stader’s Cabbage - a single platform that gives all the tools you need (AI curated feed, smart money movements in real-time, social momentum and any potential risks).
$ZRO bottom is likely in
My targets are still pretty much the same
$INJ 1W chart
#Injective is also cooked.
Imo this is the most likely scenario. March 2024 was the Cycle Top.
By the end of 2025 we should have a nice Bounce (X) (Dead Cat Bounce) to $25 and then another painful ABC down to $3-4 📉
#ZKsync is the second-largest RWA chain with 24% RWA market share
Probably nothing 😌
#BTC 1D update
Almost reached the MA365. Now trying to regain the MA200 👀
Let's see if bulls show more strength here
$ETH vs $XRP | 1 Cycle behind
Instead of pumping to a new ATH it took almost 4 more years for $XRP to build the giant accumulation structure - Symmetric Triangle - and finally $XRP melted faces in Nov-Dec 2024 🚀
So what if $ETH is just in a bigger cycle than we all think? 🤔
Think about it : the cycle is coming to an end and $ETHBTC keeps making new lows. We don’t have the time for a proper ETH/BTC uptrend, what we can get this year is just a relief bounce 📈🤷♂️
It's been almost a year since the #BTC halving, and $ETH/BTC keeps making new lows!
Читать полностью…$ETH has a very strange market structure this cycle.
$ETH/USD hasn't been able to even break the 0.786 Fib (tried 3 times!)
Here’s another one - #Bitcoin MVRV
That white Resistance Line 👌
IMO #BTC upside is limited here
$ZK 1D chart
Copy-pasted the 2020-2021 $ADA PA (post Covid crash)
Just for fun (or maybe not, who knows 🤭)
The 18-year real estate cycle 🧐
2025 - 'Winners Curse'
2026 - Cycle Peak
$AAVE update
So far so good. Following my projection nicely 👌
One last leg up coming which should take us to my Target 2 ($1065)
Let's take a look at my $INJ chart on a linear scale
Look how low it has fallen from its March 2024 peak -84.6%
I mean, do you really think it can make a new ATH in the remaining 8 months of this cycle?
Well, anything is possible, but the question is how likely is it?
Even though I think $SOL is cooked, I still expect a good bounce (Dead Cat Bounce) in the medium term 📈
Imo $SOL will spend several months above Key Support before the inevitable breakdown 📉
It will be one giant Distribution above the $110 level
#BTC 1W update
Nice weekly close. The Support held 👌
This support is the last hope for the bulls
#Bitcoin 1M Big Picture update
'Lower High on Stoch RSI and a Higher High on price' ✅ 👌😎
What if this was really the cycle top for #BTC? 🤔
Anyway, regardless of that, #Altseason is inevitable