20802
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💼 The Bank of Russia presented a concept for regulating cryptocurrency circulation in the Russian Federation:
— The purchase and sale of digital currencies and stablecoins is permitted, but their use as a means of payment within the country is prohibited;
— The regulator continues to view cryptocurrencies as a high-risk instrument;
— Qualified investors will be able to purchase any cryptocurrency, with the exception of anonymous ones;
— Non-qualified investors will be able to invest only in the most liquid cryptoassets, the list and requirements for which will be established by law;
— Cryptocurrency transactions are permitted through exchanges, brokers, and management companies;
— An annual limit on cryptocurrency purchases for non-qualified investors has been established: up to 300,000 rubles when working through intermediaries;
— The circulation of digital financial assets and other Russian digital rights will be permitted on public blockchain networks;
— The legislative framework for regulating the crypto market is planned to be established by July 1, 2026;
— Russian residents will be able to purchase cryptocurrency abroad and transfer previously acquired assets abroad using Russian intermediaries.
We're in trouble, gentlemen. In a year, we'll be looking back on the good times—our free time 🖐
The Bank of Japan is raising its rate to 0.75%.
I'm watching to see how the market reacts. By the end of the Asian session, maybe there'll be a squeeze in the opposite direction.
🛑Tucker Carlson's Alarming Statement
The popular TV host, citing an unnamed member of Congress, claimed that US lawmakers allegedly received information about an imminent war with Venezuela.
According to him, the announcement could be made during Trump's scheduled speech in the Oval Office at 4:00 AM (UTC+2).
If the information is confirmed, markets could fall even further.
Here are the reasons for today's rally 😡
🇯🇵 The Bank of Japan is on the home stretch
A 25 bp interest rate hike is expected this Friday.
The probability is already 98%.
Some of the market believes this decision is largely already priced in. But there's another side to the story: a number of economists warn that Japan's tightening could trigger pressure on risk assets (as has happened previously) and push BTC all the way to $63,000.
Japan's interest rate: noise or a real market trigger? 💰
FEDERAL OFFICIALS CONFIRM RATE OUTLOOK, SIGNALING SMALL CUTS AHEAD
A few numbers to add to the podcast above:
Federal officials left their median forecasts for the federal funds rate unchanged: 3.6% at the end of 2025, 3.4% for 2026, and 3.1% for 2027 and 2028, with a long-term estimate of 3.0%. The forecasts imply a 25 basis point cut in both 2026 and 2027, though opinions on the path forward vary widely. Policymakers expect unemployment to reach 4.4% in 2026, PCE inflation to slow to 2.4%, and GDP growth to 2.3%.
Get ready for Powell to say that the contraction cycle hasn't begun and the Fed is forecasting a difficult economic reality in which they can only afford a 0.25% contraction PER YEAR. This will be the tone for all three sessions while he's in office, and Trump doesn't have an ideological majority at the Fed.
UPDATE: The crowd isn't reading any of this; they'll hear it all from Powell, and I think they'll be very upset. The short-selling idea is still relevant.
🇺🇸Markets are 86% anticipating a 0.25% Fed rate cut at Wednesday's meeting.
This is the key event of the coming week—liquidity, risk appetite, and investor positions will depend on the regulator's decision.‼️
Key Events This Week🔊
Monday, December 1:
4:45 PM - Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (letter)
5:00 PM - ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (sheet)
Tuesday, December 2:
3:00 AM - Fed Chairman Powell's Speech
5:00 PM - JOLTS Job Openings (ver)
Wednesday, December 3:
3:15 PM - ADP Nonfarm Payrolls (sheet)
4:45 PM - Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (letter)
5:00 PM - ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (letter)
5:30 PM - Crude Oil Inventories
Thursday, December 4:
3:30 PM - Initial Jobless Claims Unemployment
Friday, December 5:
5:00 PM - Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (MoM) (ver)
5:00 PM - Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Rs) (ver)
Have a great week everyone 💪🏻
That's where the rocket is 😨
Don't be too scared, I think we'll still grow quite a bit. BTC is rock solid!
🪙 #BTC
We've formed another daily imbalance in Bitcoin, with its midpoint at $97,350.
In my opinion, by capturing liquidity below, in the $94,000 area, the price could head toward breaking this imbalance.
The key is breaking the local high at $97,373.
If this level is broken, the uptrend toward $100,000 will be confirmed.
cheers bear
I myself was ready in the data center to go crazy and complain to the system administrator - well done in time.
🧬 #SOL
The Solana recently saw a trend reversal to an uptrend, and now I'm inclined to believe the price will gradually move higher to cover the imbalance.
The midpoint of this imbalance is at $175, and the upper boundary (where it completely ends) is around $182.
💵 #USDT DOM
Tether's dominance reached the 5.32% support level, after which it began to form a counter-reaction. It's currently trading around 5.41%.
The current structure doesn't give me any clear direction yet.
There are no clear patterns on the chart that could indicate further movement, either up or down.
Therefore, at this stage, I prefer to simply observe and wait for a clearer signal.
USDT dominance is directly opposite to Bitcoin's movements.
Btc / USDT 🧪
For Bitcoin, I've highlighted the area of interest in green, where I'll be building my medium-term position.
I don't see a $100,000 decline from current levels. We'll likely see continued sideways movement and further trading in the $106,000-$110,000 range 🌎
I'm closely monitoring the nearest local lows – we'll take them and see a reaction!
The Fed plans to inject $6.8 billion into the market this week.
The total volume of infusions over the past 10 days is $38 billion.
💰The question is simple:
will this amount of liquidity change the current dynamics of BTC and the crypto market?
Yes, the market will react - 👍
No, it's not enough - 👌
Venezuela deployed naval vessels to protect tankers from the US Navy, according to The New York Times.
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TUCKER CARLSON, CITING AN UNINDITED MEMBER OF CONGRESS, SAID THAT AMERICAN LAWS WERE INFORMED YESTERDAY ABOUT AN IMMINENT WAR WITH VENEZUELA, WHICH HE SAID WILL BE ANNOUNCED THIS NIGHT (5:00 AM MSK THURSDAY) DURING TRUMP'S SCHEDULED SPEECH IN THE OVAL OFFICE AT 9:00 PM WASHINGTON TIME.
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Oh, wow. Last night, important papers came out of the US Congress, which quietly lobbied Atkins and company to approve the storage of pension assets in crypto.
Do you know who's been feasting on the AI sector and that American retirees have been the main investors in the S&P 500 and gold in recent years?
Have you seen this news? Neither have I. But everyone's already in the red.
Capital is flowing into #BTC and #ETH.
🪙Bitcoin has recovered to around $90,000 after $2 billion in liquidations last week, and the total crypto market capitalization has risen to approximately $3.25 trillion.
Volatility remains high, as investors choose calmer, more profitable strategies without significant market risk, instead of aggressively betting on altcoins, awaiting signals from the Fed and the macroeconomy.👀
The shutdown is almost over 🗣
The US Senate has approved the government reopening bill ~ the required number of votes has been reached. The final vote will take place tomorrow, and the House of Representatives will consider the document on Wednesday.
Therefore, the US government could reopen as early as this week.
Trump stated: "We're close to ending the shutdown. Everything will become clear very soon."
The market reacted with growth 🕶
Bitcoin rose above
$106,000
Ethereum broke through
$3,600
Alts rose by an average of 15-30% in a day.
💬 Guys, do you think this is truly positive news or another attempt at market manipulation? 😈
❗️BTC and ETH options expire today! (Deribit)
$13.1b in #BTC options and $1.7b in #ETH options.
▫️Main interest zone in BTC = $98,000
▫️Main interest zone in ETH = $3,400
#SPX6900
The asset continues to move in an uptrend. Locally, we are trading within a descending channel, which more closely resembles a bullish flag formation.
This pattern usually indicates the likelihood of continued upward movement.
Given the current structure, I expect some further consolidation within the channel,
followed by an upward move and a subsequent test of the $0.68 level.
🔥 #NVDA Nvidia company report – earnings per share amounted to $1.30 (with forecast of $1.26)
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🇺🇸 Donald Trump now claims that the consequences of lifting the tariffs could exceed $3,000,000,000,000.
He claims that the US Supreme Court was presented with incorrect data, and if the court rules against the tariffs, it will pose a serious threat to national security and could have catastrophic, possibly even fatal, consequences for the country's future.
I think the market will soon be ready for strong growth, but it’s still a bit early.
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🇨🇳🇺🇸 Trump announced a new trade deal with China
🔥 Average tariffs on Chinese goods have been reduced to 47% (previously 57%)
🌾 China will resume purchasing American soybeans
🧪 The rare earth metals issue has been fully resolved
🗓 The agreement is for one year with the possibility of extension
✈️ Trump announced he will visit China in April
💬 A new stage in the easing of trade tensions between the US and China.