⚡️ .The American stock market lost almost 2 trillion dollars just 15 minutes after the opening of trading
There is a major collapse in all global stock markets, what happened:
• It all started with Japan: the Nikkei 225 stock index (a key indicator that includes shares of 225 of Japan's largest companies) collapsed by 12.4%, setting a record since 1987 — all due to the deterioration of economic data in the United States, which made investors fear a recession in the country's economy
• The Istanbul Stock Exchange announced the termination of trading after the decline of the main Borsa Istanbul 100 index (BIST 100) by 6.72%
• South Korea's Kospi index is down 8.1%, China's Shanghai Composite index is down 0.9%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng is losing 1.8%, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 is down 3.5%
• The Bitcoin exchange rate drops below $50,000, losing almost 20% of its value in 2 days
• The Ether rate sank even more — a decrease of more than 20% per day
• The American stock market loses 1,900,000,000,000 dollars after the opening of trading
The trading volume of spot #BTC-#ETF #BlackRock #IBIT in the first hour amounted to $1.45 billion.
Bitcoin is in the moment. The first cryptocurrency briefly broke through the $49 thousand level.
Читать полностью…💬 Kule Capital:
🟠 .Bitcoin has returned to the lower end of the range, and additional downward deviations are possible in the near future.
🟠 .At the moment, about 110 days have passed since halving, and Bitcoin is slowly approaching the historical breakout point, which occurs 150-160 days after halving.
😙 The reasons for the fall of the # bitcoin exchange rate below $61,000
The unemployment rate was 4.3%, which is higher than expected, indicating a possible recession
The Bank of Japan raised the interest rate for the first time in 17 years, which led to an outflow of investments from risky assets
Increased geopolitical tensions (fear of a major world war)
😏Continued distribution of #BTC from #Mt.Gox and #Genesis
The head of #BlackRock #Lawrence #Fink promised that there will be a #pump #crypts in the fall.
Читать полностью…🎉 BIG NEWS! 🎉
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⏰ Here are the launch times for different time zones:
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London (BST): 4:00 PM
Berlin (CEST): 5:00 PM
Moscow (MSK): 6:00 PM
Tokyo (JST): 12:00 AM (August 2nd)
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💰 .Tether Holdings Limited has published an audit report for the second quarter of 2024, reporting a record net profit of $5.2 billion for the first half of the year and a net operating profit of $1.3 billion for the second quarter.
➡️ .The company's investments in U.S. Treasury bonds amounted to $97.6 billion, which placed it in 18th place among global holders of U.S. debt.
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Читать полностью…🦎 CoinGecko survey on BTC, ETH and SOL prices.
🪙 Bitcoin Expectations:
🟠 43.7% predict a peak above $100,000 in this cycle.
🟠 17.0% expect a range of $91,000-$100,000.
✧ The second screenshot shows how the estimates of different groups of survey participants differ significantly.
⚪️ Mixed expectations on the Ethereum price:
🔘 20.6% predict a peak above $10,000 - the most popular opinion.
🔘 19.2% expect a maximum of $5,000.
🧬 Conservative forecasts for Solana:
🔵24.9% of participants expect a peak of no more than $300 in this cycle - the most popular forecast.
🔵 14.7% predict the range of $300-$400 - the second most popular.
🖋 Methodology:
• Anonymous CoinGecko survey after halving.
• 2,558 participants, June 25 - July 8, 2024.
👫 Participants:
• 69% are long-term investors.
• 18% are short-term traders.
• 7% developers.
• 6% are observers.
🏅 Experience in Crypto:
• 46% are beginners (0-3 years old).
• 41% second cycle (4-7 years).
• The rest are veterans (8+ years old).
📣 Launched Ledger Flex.
🗣 Ledger Flex sets a new standard for Ledger devices by offering a secure E Ink screen, NFC and a new Security Key application. This will allow you to switch from complex logins to a convenient password-free login, right from your secure Ledger device.Читать полностью…
🥸 Above is a 10-year chart of significant #altcoins and the number of non-empty wallets (#hodlers) in the corresponding networks: #Litecoin: 8.08M wallets #Dogecoin: 6.69M wallets #XRP Ledger: 5.24M Wallets #Cardano: 4.48M Wallets #Shiba Inu: 1.39M wallets #Chainlink: 722K wallets
Читать полностью…📰 NEWS
😳 .Is it because of Jump Trading? Better look at the macro: Stock index futures in the United States and Europe fell sharply, as well as the stock markets of Japan, Korea and Taiwan collapsed.
🤨 Goldman Sachs has increased the probability of a recession in the U.S. economy in the next 12 months by 10 percentage points to 25%.
😨 .The biggest two-day drop in the Nikkei index in history, surpassing Black Monday. In Japan, TOPIX futures and government bonds have activated the "automatic brakes".
😔 The Australian stock market recorded the largest one-day drop since June 2022.
😨 .The South Korean KOSPI index fell by 8%, which triggered a protective mechanism and suspended trading.
🔽 Euro Stoxx 50 - fell by more than 1%.
↘️ .MSCI Asia Pacific Index - fell by 5%.
🏃KOSDAQ - fell by 8%.
🔽 .Taiwan shares closed down 8.35%, which was the worst one-day performance in history.
🤬 Media: The United States claims that Iran may attack Israel within the next 24 hours.
📉 .The yield on 2-year US Treasury bonds has fallen by 50 basis points in a few days, the market is strongly betting that the Fed will start a rescue regime.
🔽 .Nasdaq futures fell 3% and the Taiwanese stock market fell 1,700 points.
👨🦱 .Galaxy CEO: Japan's interest rate hike has provoked global risk aversion.
🤷♂️ . Arthur Hayes wrote on social media that he learned from traditional financial news channels about the collapse of a "major player" who sold all his crypto assets.
😬 .The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 50 basis points in September is 69.5%.
‼️ . According to CMC, during this sharp morning drop in the USDB, the stablecoin officially released by Blast once dropped more than 5% to $0.9421. Currently, the USDB has recovered to about $0.9945. The USDB is mostly tied to DAI.
💵 .Neiro transferred 17.1 billion Neiros (4% of the total) to Vitalik's address in order to promote him as the largest holder. Vitalik then sold 17.1 billion Neiros for 44.4 ETH, which led to a 60% drop in the price of Neiro.
❕ .Ethena Labs reports negative annual revenue against the background of market trends.
😉 .Robert Kiisosaki: "BITCOIN and all markets are collapsing. Hooray. I'm getting ready to buy more gold, silver, bitcoin...".
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💰 #BTC as a strategic reserve
The law with a strategic reserve of 1 million #BTC, which was promoted by Cynthia Lamis, was officially submitted to the Banking Committee for consideration.
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🤑#BTC will cost 350.000$ !!!
CEO of #VanEck says that #Bitcoin will make up half of the total market capitalization of gold and reach $350,000.
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🙊 “On.. went.. on..” – we are learning to distinguish swear words from terms from the crypto world!
Cryptocurrencies are an unusual and challenging market. Over the years, Cryptans have invented many words to describe what is happening around them. And we have compiled a dictionary of the most important of them for you:
➖ #Wallets are a key vault for different cryptocurrencies. There is no crypt on the wallet itself, it is located in the blockchain and is assigned to your addresses. Wallets can be "cold" and "hot".
➖ #DeFi – decentralized finance. Such crypto projects do not have a specific “manager” or “supervisor”. Interactions between users are managed by smart contracts.
➖ #Smart contract - algorithms in the blockchain that control user actions and execute commands and conditions embedded in them.
➖ #Proof-of-Work (POW, proof of work) is an algorithm for confirming transactions in the blockchain (achieving consensus) using the computing power of its participants (mining)
➖ #Proof-of-Stake (POS, proof of stake) – all transactions in the blockchain are confirmed using cryptocurrency in the wallets of participants
➖ #Staking – placement of POS-blockchain tokens in a wallet for a reward. The POS system needs coins to function. A more convenient and effective form is liquid staking.
➖ #Gas – payment for transactions on the blockchain. When the activity on the network increases, so does the gas charge.
➖ #Fork – updating/changing the blockchain: its technologies and rules
➖ #Mixers are platforms that mix tokens of different users, hiding the history of transactions and previous owners.
➖ #Bridges (cryptomostes, cross-chain bridges) is a service for transferring crypts from one blockchain to another. Without them, different blockchains and crypto projects cannot communicate with each other.
➖ #NFT is a unique digital certificate confirming the ownership of a digital object: anything, but most often a song, a picture, an object from a game.
➖ #Stablecoins are coins backed by reliable real assets (dollars, government bonds), and therefore stable in price: 1 to 1 with the dollar.
➖ #Memcoins are often coins created “for fun". They are popular among speculators, but some coins “grow up” and try to create full-fledged projects.
➖ #Profitability farming is earning money by providing your tokens for trading to other users in liquidity pools on a decentralized crypto exchange.
➖ #Airdrop – free distribution of crypto project coins for user activity: try out the project, tell about it on social networks
🟢 Market situation:
-Bitcoin in the area of 69, 322$;
-Ethereum is about $3,343;
-Fear and greed index: 74;
-Bitcoin dominance: 56, 65%;
-Altseason index: 20;
-Capitalization: $2.41 trillion.
Maybe this week the price will rise above 72K❓
The #USA will become the crypto capital of the planet, #Trump said at the #Bitcoin 2024 conference.
😎He called bitcoin a miracle of human achievements and stated that one day the first cryptocurrency will surpass gold in terms of capitalization.
💰Trump also promised that under his administration, #bitcoin will take off "like never before."
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🎙 Miles Deutscher:
To be honest, the drop in $ETH is not at all surprising.
When the #Bitcoin spot ETF was first launched, its price dropped by 20% in 14 days.
🔼After that, $BTC increased by 91% in 51 days.
So this decrease can be considered as an opportunity.
🤓 By the way, Kaiko reported on the likely outflows in the first month. In short: If we apply the same proportion of outflows as GBTC (23% of assets) to ETHE with assets of $11 billion, we can expect a potential outflow of about $2.53 billion in the first month.
😡 Bitstamp will start distributing payments to Mt.Gox creditors today. Interestingly, BTC has already broken through 200 MA, how much will the decline be?
🤔 Is it time to buy on a drawdown?
😂 Especially for you. In general, history is beginning to repeat itself, as with the BTC ETF in the USA and the BTC ETF in Hong Kong.
🗣 UPD with information from Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg - Eric Balchunas:
⏺ Here is the trading volume after the first 15 minutes: the total volume was $112 million for the group (which is a lot compared to a regular ETF launch, but only about half of the trading volume for Bitcoin ETFs on the first day, although 50% already exceeds expectations, in my opinion). Bitwise also shows the best result at the start.Читать полностью…
By comparison, BlackRock launched a $MADE themed ETF last week. Its volume on the first day amounted to $300 thousand. $ETHA reached 100 times the volume of this indicator in the first 30 minutes of trading.
⏺ Note: my comparison of Bitcoin ETF trading volume did not include GBTC (since it had just started trading at that time), so if you add GBTC, then the volume of Ethereum ETF is about 20-25% of the volume of Bitcoin ETF. I will use comparable data in the future.