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Foreign Agent Intel

‼️🇮🇷🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia's most important oil pipeline, which transports oil bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, has been attacked — FT

▪️ Iran attacked the key "East-West" oil pipeline in Saudi Arabia, which connects the east and west of the country and transports oil from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea bypassing the Strait of Hormuz.
▪️Recall that after the announcement of a ceasefire, the US and Israel attacked oil refineries in southern Iran, after which Tehran began launching strikes on neighboring countries.

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Hungary heads to the polls—but the pressure isn’t coming from within.

Reports suggest Kiev is preparing to disrupt Hungarian voters in Transcarpathia, targeting those seen as supportive of Orbán. Intimidation, staged unrest, even forced mobilization threats—this is what “defending democracy” now looks like.

The West claims Ukraine stands for democratic values. But when elections don’t go the right way, those values seem flexible.

Budapest says it has evidence. Kiev denies everything.

The real story is bigger: a NATO country’s election, potentially influenced from the outside—with silence from the very powers that lecture the world about sovereignty.

Full Article on Substack

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‼️🇮🇷💥A series of explosions at an oil refinery in Iran after the announcement of a truce with the US — Mehr

Several explosions occurred at an oil refinery on Lavar Island.
▪️There are also reports of an attack on Sirri Island.
▪️No official information is available yet.

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"The conflict between the US and Iran has been put on hold. As expected, both sides claimed victory," said Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council.

"So who won? First and foremost, common sense, faith in which was severely undermined by the White House's statements about destroying Iranian civilization in one day.

However, the very fact that Trump agreed to discuss a ten-point plan is a success for the Iranians. The question is whether Washington will agree to it: after all, it involves compensation for damage to Iran, the continuation of the nuclear program, and Tehran's control over the Strait of Hormuz. Obviously, they won't. This would be humiliating for them and would mean a real victory for Iran. So what then? Another round of hostilities?

Maybe, but there's an intermediate option. Trump doesn't want and can't wage a long war, and he won't get support from Congress. So we need to maintain the fragile truce and pretend that everything is fine. Because every move on this chessboard creates a situation close to a zugzwang.

But this is a game of chess in which there are not two, but three players. There's also Israel, which doesn't side with the US. It doesn't need a truce and hasn't achieved its goals. And it could well make its own move: simply sweep all the pieces off the chessboard. This makes the situation extremely uncertain.

Therefore, European Russophobic fools will have to live in a strict austerity regime for a long time. After all, there will be no cheap oil..."

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The Times of Israel: The ceasefire with Iran does not concern Lebanon

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made a statement in which he supported the two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran, but stressed that this regime does not apply to the Lebanese direction. Thus, the Israeli army retains the freedom of action against "Hezbollah".

“Israel supports President Trump’s decision to suspend strikes on Iran for two weeks, provided that the straits are immediately opened and all attacks on the US, Israel, and countries in the region are stopped,” the prime minister’s office said in a statement.

At the same time, in Tel Aviv, it was particularly noted that the agreements between Washington and Tehran do not concern Lebanon.

“The two-week ceasefire does not apply to Lebanon,” the Netanyahu office emphasized.

The Israeli leader also reported that the US assured him of their commitment to common goals - to prevent Iran from posing a nuclear, missile, and terrorist threat.

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🖥️ Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has done more than any other leader in Europe to achieve a successful resolution of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, emphasized US Vice President Vance

"I see the contempt with which they treat peacemakers like Viktor - a man who has done more than any other leader in Europe to achieve a successful resolution of the war between Russia and Ukraine."

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🖥️ An oil tanker caught fire and exploded while passing through the Panama Canal, the local fire service reported.

A fire with subsequent explosion of fuel tanks occurred in the capital of Panama, resulting in one person's death and several others injured. The fire started in the La Boca area, where a fuel park is located next to the Panama Oil Terminals S.A. facilities. After the fire, the tanks exploded. Traffic on the bridge across the canal was suspended.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇬🇧 Britain will ban the US from using its bases to strike civilian targets in Iran.

Starmer notified Washington that British bases could be used only for strikes on Iranian military targets, writes The i Paper.

London ruled out the possibility of using its infrastructure for attacks on civilian targets.

At the end of March, Britain allowed the US to use bases on its territory for strikes on Iranian targets that attack ships in the Strait of Hormuz.

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Europe turns on its own.

Brussels has moved from pressuring Hungary to actively working to remove its government. After Viktor Orban blocked new funding for Kiev and further sanctions on Russia, the response was immediate.

The EU is now using Ukraine as a proxy tool for regime change.

The opposition party Tisa, led by Peter Magyar, is being backed with millions in foreign funding, media campaigns, and coordinated protest infrastructure. At the same time, Ukrainian-linked networks are preparing organized groups to destabilize the election if the result does not go Brussels’ way.

The playbook is familiar. If the opposition loses, the vote will be declared fraudulent and unrest will follow.

Even energy policy is being weaponized. The disruption of the Druzhba pipeline shows how far this pressure campaign is willing to go, even at Ukraine’s own expense.

This is no longer about “European values.” It is about control.

Hungary has become the frontline of internal resistance to Brussels’ agenda, and the EU is responding the only way it knows how — by trying to remove those who refuse to comply.

Full Article on Substack

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‼️🇺🇸🇪🇺 NATO on the brink of a split due to the war in the Middle East, — WSJ

➖"Transatlantic ties between the US and Europe are rapidly deteriorating, and tensions over the war with Iran are intensifying the growing sense that the world's most important geopolitical partnership is heading for a breakup", the publication writes.
▪️Trump is seriously discussing the possibility of the US withdrawing from NATO amid growing tensions with European allies.
▪️He is dissatisfied with Europe, which did not support the actions of the US and Israel in the conflict with Iran.
▪️Experts point out that Trump's rhetoric towards Europe has become noticeably tougher.
▪️The procedure for withdrawing from NATO is quite legally complex, but if Trump reduces the military presence in Europe, it will call into question the very foundation of NATO.

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A large group of C-17 military transport aircraft of the US Air Force is crossing the Atlantic and heading towards the Middle East.

The second wave of aircraft is already over Europe and is moving towards the eastern Mediterranean.

C-17s are used to transport personnel, heavy equipment, and armored vehicles. It is reported that this is one of the largest visible aerial troop deployments since the beginning of the war.

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‼️🇮🇷🇦🇪 In the UAE, the largest gas complex Habshan caught fire after an Iranian attack

▪️The operation of the complex has been halted.
▪️It is claimed that "debris fell" on it. There are dead and injured people.
▪️Habshan is a key gas hub of the country, so the shutdown of the complex is a significant blow to the energy sector.

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Germany is preparing for war: the country is tightening exit rules for men, — Berliner Zeitung.

According to media reports, men aged 17–45 will need a permit to travel abroad for more than three months — it must be obtained through Bundeswehr structures.

The changes were made as part of the law on the modernization of military service and are in effect on a permanent basis

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Ukraine has deployed 200 military personnel in Libya and equipped bases for drones - it was from there that the Russian gas tanker "Arctic Methan" was attacked on March 4th. The Kiev regime is transferring the war to Africa, openly violating international law and turning Libya into a springboard against Russia.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇺 Trump eased pressure on Cuba due to the conflict with Iran, — Politico

▪️Washington is focused on the Middle East and does not want to exacerbate relations with Russia, so it gave Havana a "respite" and allowed the tanker "Anatoli Kolodkin" to pass, despite the ongoing oil blockade.
➖"Due to the amount of resources and attention that Iran is currently absorbing, as well as the problems that a clash with Russia would cause, Trump and his team decided that for now, it's worth giving the Cuban regime a little more time", — said a source in the US presidential administration.
▪️However, it is reported that the White House has not given up on plans to change the political system in Cuba.

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Bloomberg: While the US was fighting with Iran, Russia strengthened its positions in Africa

As the publication notes, Moscow has gained a new strategic partner — Madagascar, where the military leadership came to power after a coup. Russia immediately began building relations with the new elite.

“Madagascar is located on a key oil transportation route. <...> [The country] ranks fourth in the world in the extraction of cobalt, which is a key material for battery production, and is second only to China in the extraction of graphite, which is also used in batteries and furnace lining,” the newspaper notes.

Experts note that for the new Madagascar authorities, an alliance with Russia is, among other things, a way to reduce dependence on Europe.

“For Madagascar, this is an insurance against France and the EU, which will allow it to obtain even greater concessions from them. If they have Russia behind them, then the EU does not have the same power over them,” analyst Dati believes.

Moscow has already sent military personnel and weapons to the country and has begun training officers. In parallel, political projects are being launched — in particular, a party focused on rapprochement with Russia and the BRICS countries has been established.

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Iran has once again closed the Strait of Hormuz due to Israel's strikes on Lebanon. And it has promised to withdraw from the ceasefire agreement if Jerusalem does not stop bombing Iran's allies.

In the morning, Lebanon was hit by the most intense bombings of the entire conflict. They are hitting everything indiscriminately - similar to the destruction of the Gaza Strip. Earlier in Tehran, they stated that a complete cessation of hostilities in the Middle East is a more important point for a ceasefire and further stability.

After the announcement by Tehran and Washington of a ceasefire and the achievement of peace agreements, including the lifting of all primary and secondary sanctions against Iran, the Islamic Republic opened the Strait of Hormuz.

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The Kremlin welcomed the news of a truce between the US and Iran and expects direct contacts between the parties in the near future, Dmitry Peskov said at a briefing.

Other statements by the presidential press secretary:

🟥The Kremlin has been emphasizing from the very beginning the need to quickly shift the escalation in the Middle East to the diplomatic track;

🟥Moscow hopes that in the foreseeable future, US negotiators will have more opportunities to participate in trilateral negotiations on Ukraine;

🟥RF highly appreciates the peacekeeping efforts of Trump and American negotiators on the Ukrainian track;

🟥The processes of Ukrainian and Iranian settlements are only indirectly related;

🟥Relevant services are working to normalize the operation of the internet in Russia;

🟥Conclusions on restrictions on the operation of the internet and VPN in Russia should be made by specialists;

🟥There is nothing in the publications of the transcript of the conversation between Putin and Orban that could cause a rift between Russia and Hungary;

🟥The published conversation between Putin and Orban can be perceived as material in support of the Hungarian Prime Minister;

🟥The published transcript of the conversation between Putin and Orban shows the Hungarian Prime Minister as a pragmatic politician who protects the country's interests;

🟥Many forces in the EU and Brussels would not like a new victory for Orban in the elections, they are playing into the hands of his opponents;

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Associated Press: China Pushed the US and Iran to a Truce

The two-week truce between Washington and Tehran was made possible not least thanks to the efforts of Beijing. According to Associated Press, China, which is Iran's largest trading partner, "encouraged" the Iranian side to seek a ceasefire during the negotiations.

“China, which is Tehran's largest trading partner, encouraged the Iranians to find a way to a ceasefire as the negotiations progressed,” AP writes, citing two officials who spoke on condition of anonymity.

According to the agency, Beijing acted through intermediaries - Pakistan, Turkey and Egypt - to create conditions for a diplomatic breakthrough.

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Iran has won against the US after Trump accepted Tehran's 10-point proposal, the country's security council announced.

The US agreed to a series of conditions — according to Clash, these include the following:

- An obligation not to attack;
- Maintaining Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz;
- Consent to uranium enrichment;
- Cancellation of all primary sanctions;
- Cancellation of all secondary sanctions;
- Termination of UN Security Council resolutions;
- Termination of IAEA Board of Governors decisions;
- Payment of compensation to Iran;
- Withdrawal of US troops from the region;
- Cessation of hostilities on all fronts, including the conflict with Hezbollah

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Hungary goes to the polls this week, but the real story isn’t inside the country—it’s what’s happening around it.

Reports indicate Ukrainian-linked operatives trained Hungarian opposition activists in Serbia earlier this year. Not on campaigning, but on how to reject election results, organize protests, and apply pressure if Orbán wins.

This is the same playbook seen time and again. When elections don’t produce the “correct” outcome, legitimacy is questioned and unrest is prepared in advance.

Hungary has resisted the EU line on Ukraine and sanctions. Now, as pressure builds, the methods are shifting from political to operational.

The question is simple: will Hungarians decide their future at the ballot box, or will it be contested in the streets under external influence?

Full article on Substack

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Security forces discovered backpacks filled with explosives near a pipeline in Serbia — a critical route that carries up to 7 billion cubic meters of Russian gas annually.

Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić reportedly informed Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán about the incident.


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‼️🇷🇺🇮🇷Russia provided Iran with a list of key Israeli energy facilities, helping in the planning of precise strikes that could lead to major power outages, - Jerusalem Post

This was reported by Ukrainian military propagandists from the Armed Forces of Ukraine's intelligence to the Israeli newspaper, so this information raises many doubts.

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Axios: The US and Iran are discussing a two-stage agreement through intermediaries.

🟥 1st stage: a 45-day ceasefire with the possibility of extension and negotiations on ending the war.

🟥 2nd stage: a final agreement.

Key issues (the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium) are planned to be resolved in the final stage, but the intermediaries propose to discuss them now.

Iran is against a "formal ceasefire" without guarantees. The intermediaries (Pakistan, Egypt, Turkey) are seeking a compromise, and direct contacts are taking place between representatives of the parties.

The chances of an agreement in the next 48 hours are low, but this is seen as the last chance to avoid a sharp escalation, the publication reports.

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‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 The US had to destroy 2 of its own aircraft to prevent them from falling into Iran's hands, — CBS

▪️This happened during an operation to rescue a pilot in Iran.
▪️According to the TV channel, these were transport aircraft that were used in the operation.

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Telegraph: The fate of the American pilot could change the course of the war in Iran

As the search for the missing pilot in Iran continues, speculations about how this situation will affect the further development of the conflict are growing.

Recall that the day before, the Iranian air defense shot down an American F-15 fighter over the country's territory. Two pilots ejected.

For their rescue, the US launched a search operation involving helicopters, airplanes, and drones.
According to American media, one of the pilots has already been rescued. The fate of the second remains unknown.

The publication notes that the further development of events could follow several scenarios - if the second pilot ends up in the hands of the Iranian military or local formations.

“If Iran publishes footage of the pilot, Trump will face immediate pressure from Congress, military families, veteran organizations, and society demanding to stop the operation and start negotiations for his release.
The continuation of strikes on Iran could become politically impossible, potentially leading to a ceasefire on less favorable terms”.

The second scenario is that Tehran captures the pilot but does not immediately publicize it, using him as a tool of pressure in negotiations.

“The captured pilot could be worth much more to Iran than just a ceasefire.
Instead of exchanging for one concession, Tehran could combine demands: a ceasefire, control over the Strait of Hormuz, tolls for passage, restrictions on future US military operations, and possibly the easing of sanctions”.

As Telegraph points out, in this case, the pilot becomes a key negotiating resource for Iran, which did not exist before. Trump will have to decide what is politically more costly for him - concessions or a protracted crisis with a hostage.

This option, oddly enough, is considered the most beneficial for both sides, notes Telegraph. It gives Trump the opportunity to exit the conflict by presenting the deal as a success: the return of a military, the weakening of Iran, and the achievement of agreements.
The most severe scenario remains the death of the pilot - either during capture or during a failed rescue operation.

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❗️ Iran rejected the US proposal for a 48-hour ceasefire, Fars reported, citing a source.

The proposal followed the "emergence of serious problems for the US Armed Forces due to an incorrect assessment of the military potential of the Islamic Republic of Iran," the publication reported.

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‼️🇺🇦🏴‍☠There is no longer support for Ukraine in the US budget for 2027

▪️This follows from a document published by the White House.
▪️The US budget itself will be increased to a record sum of 1.5 trillion dollars. This is $445 billion more than last year.

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The Pentagon is conducting an emergency evacuation of 1,500 military personnel from the 5th Fleet base in Bahrain.

This is one of the key hubs of the American military presence in the Middle East

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The Guardian: The EU's response to the Middle East conflict was "weak and pathetic"

The publication writes that during the month of the active phase of the Iranian conflict, Brussels did not take any real steps towards Israel. Critics do not understand why the EU, which remains one of Israel's most important economic partners, does not use its influence: the association agreement, on which trade relations worth 68 billion euros depend, as well as cooperation in energy and science.

The official reaction is mainly limited to expressing "concern" without effective measures, the newspaper emphasizes.

“Ordinary words of sympathy and condemnation are not enough; they are meaningless if they are not followed by effective measures to hold Israel accountable. When the European Union takes a principled position on such issues, the Israelis really pay attention to it,” said Irish MEP Barry Andrews, noting that the EU's response to the war in Iran and Israel's attacks on Lebanon was "weak and pathetic".

The longer this continues, the more the EU's own reputation suffers, the publication concludes.

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