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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
EUR/JPY
TP ✅ @: 130.021
SL 🔑 @: 130.436

The Euro extended losses with prospect of a war in Europe that would have a massive impact on the region that is already struggling under very high inflation and an energy crisis. Soaring inflation and the deteriorated risk sentiment support safe haven demand and the JPY. We are tightening the SL of our EUR/JPY. We have traded the impact of the worsened conflict between Russia and Ukraine close to perfectly.


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NO MORE MISSING OUT ❌✋

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
AUD/USD
TP ✅ @: 0.71116
SL 🔑 @: 0.71486

GBP/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.35116
SL 🔑 @: 1.35766

"The market is always right" - I often hear this from fellow analysts, and while there is a lot of truth to it, especially over longer time frames, the market is very often wrong in the short term. The fact that the market is wrong in the short term is one of the main reasons why we trade so successfully. Yesterday was another example of the market being confused. After the very high inflation data, the markets rallied sharply after initial losses (including risk sentiment). We, on the other hand, knew that the CPI reading would hurt the growth-sector, likely lead to more hawkish comments, and ultimately support the USD (and also weigh on risk sentiment). We now set SLs. We went a bit too early into the GBP/USD and got a bit surprised by the strong markets. We secure massive profits with our AUD/USD.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🔰
SELL NOW ↘️ GBP/(PREMIUM ONLY)

📋 The GBP saw strong support in recent days amid the Bank of England's clear signal to continue with its path to normalize monetary policy in an attempt to fight inflation that is running at a 30-year high. The ECB delivered a hawkish surprise when ECB president Christine Lagarde delivered surprisingly hawkish comments during the ECB press conference. It was a strong contrast to Lagarde's previous comments as the ECB president acknowledge the mounting inflationary pressure and no longer ruled out an interest-rate hike this year. Lagarde's comments suggest that the BoE and the ECB are no longer strongly divided on monetary policy - less support for the GBP. Investors wait for more clues about the ECB's stance later today when Lagarde speaks before the EU Parliament's Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs at 1545 GMT. For now, however, I see the (PREMIUM ONLY) regaining some of the strength (PREMIUM ONLY), (PREMIUM ONLY) (that indicate more inflation ahead), rising (PREMIUM ONLY) and growing expectations that (PREMIUM ONLY). Risk sentiment improved at the end of the previous week, but (PREMIUM ONLY)

📈 Try to get in as HIGH as possible.


———

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW ↗️ EUR/(PREMIUM ONLY)

📋 We also turn our positioning in the euro after ECB President Christine Lagarde, or the ECB revealed its complete failure and retracts its forecasts and long promises not to raise interest rates. While both the BoE and the ECB widely reacted as expected, i.e. another rate hike by the BoE (+25 bp) and no immediate changes by the ECB, Lagarde revealed a dramatic hawkish turn during the ECB press conference. Finally, Lagarde acknowledged the increasing inflation risks and stated that an interest rate hike in 2022 was no longer extremely unlikely. With this, the ECB now also seems to be turning to the Fed's course, which will drive the euro significantly higher again in the coming weeks. We trade the euro against the (PREMIUM ONLY). Although the (PREMIUM ONLY) inflation outlook, (PREMIUM ONLY). (PREMIUM ONLY) rude awakening later this year, but for now (PREMIUM ONLY), which will weaken the (PREMIUM ONLY). I also expect risk sentiment to remain shaky despite the rise in US tech stocks, (PREMIUM ONLY) volatile markets (PREMIUM ONLY) crazy ups and downs in even the biggest names on Wall Street.

📈 (PREMIUM ONLY)


——-

Out of our last 44 FX trades, we won 40 🎯
That is a SUCCESS RATE of 90.9%! 💵💴💶💷🔍

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
GBP/AUD
TP ✅ @: 1.91447
SL 🔑 @: 1.91179
(or CLOSE NOW ✅ 1.91300 (area)

We did it!

Not only hiked the Bank of England its interest rate (by 25bp) for the first time back-to-back since 2004, we also see the general strong push towards tightening as UK's central bank begins tapering process (quantitative tightening) that we expected - the perfect trade. UK inflation soared to a 30-year high in December as higher energy costs, resurgent demand and supply chain issues continued to drive up consumer prices - it's the right step for the BoE to tighten monetary policy. The BoE is now a front runner. We secure massive profits with our GBP/AUD. The AUD saw additional pressure after yesterday's Facebook crash that worsened risk sentiment.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW ↗️ WTI (USOIL) 🛢

⚡️ Oil prices have not been able to move upwards significantly in recent, as more and more analysts believe that sellers are taking profits at current levels, already high oil prices could lead to demand destruction, as well as constant setbacks prevent oil prices from rising further. I don't see oil prices at a ceiling yet and believe that the OPEC+'s decision to only moderately increase output as planned (by 400.000 bpd per day starting in March) despite pressure from top consumers to raise output more quickly, will further support oil prices and push prices to new post pandemic highs. We also saw a decrease in US stockpiles as reported from the EIA against expectations for an increase. Also distillate inventories dropped showing strong demand in the US and in export market. We also see a weaker USD which further supports oil prices, as it makes oil more affordable for buyers of other currencies. We also see natural gas prices continue to soar - with natural gas 14% (!) higher for the day or 34.5% higher over the last 7 days.

📌 Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 9 - 11 (900% - 1,100%) trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [BDSwiss / Admiral Markets / Markets.com - Webtrader]

⏱ Signal delayed by 20 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group).


———

We have seen massive gains in oil and gas trading (including oil and gas companies) in recent weeks and will continue to benefit from increased volatility and limited oil/gas supply.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
EUR/JPY
TP ✅ @: 129.330
SL 🔑 @: 128.967

We already update our EUR/JPY with a relative tight SL. We found the almost perfect entry rate. The JPY is today's weakest major currency but may see a rebound in case the stock market experiences profit taking (which becomes increasingly likely). In a very tough forex market, we traded the EUR/JPY very strongly and took advantage of the hotter than expected German inflation data.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🔰
(PREMIUM ONLY) ↕️ WTI (USOIL) 🛢

📋 Oil prices mowed lower today during regular US trading after continuing to rise in Asian/early European trading. A surprisingly weak earnings report from Chevron (our LONG position already hit its SL very deep in profit yesterday - fortunately) and a slight correction after strong gains have pushed oil prices below yesterday's closing price and near (PREMIUM ONLY). (PREMIUM ONLY), I still see (PREMIUM ONLY), especially as (PREMIUM ONLY). We also see (PREMIUM ONLY)s as OPEC+ (PREMIUM ONLY). In addition, (PREMIUM ONLY) continue to raise concerns (PREMIUM ONLY) oil and gas (PREMIUM ONLY). We also see (PREMIUM ONLY) a very mild winter so far and t(PREMIUM ONLY) strategic oil reserves as countries (PREMIUM ONLY). We (PREMIUM ONLY) headwind from a strengthening USD in the coming week - after very ... (PREMIUM ONLY) ...

📈 (PREMIUM ONLY)

📌 Tip: (PREMIUM ONLY)

⏱ Signal delayed by 30 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group).


———

We have made massive gains trading oil and gas (including oil and gas companies) in recent weeks and will continue to benefit from the high volatility in the market.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🔰
SELL NOW ↘️ NZD/USD

📋 The demand for the USD remains unbroken after US rate outlook turned hawkish. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell pointed to more interest hikes this year than the three that had previously been factored in by saying that the US economy can withstand new coronavirus outbreaks and tighter monetary policy. Preliminary US GDP data showed a strong growth in Q4 with 6.9% q/q and 7% annual growth - the highest growth in nearly four decades and another reason for the Fed to push its tightening plans through. The strong USD put also weighed on commodity prices (in particular metal prices). In addition, we see weakness in the equity markets, which puts weighed on risk sentiment and thus the NZD. The NZD/USD reached a 15-month low today and remains in a very bearish channel. Performance of global stocks point toward more losses to wrap up a very wild week. Yesterday's rally at Wall Street was unable to push through and ended in profit taking (as we expected), which continues to keep risk sentiment dampened.

📈 Try to get in as HIGH as possible.

📌 Tip: You can multiply your usual lot size by ~ 1.25 - 1.50 (125% - 150%) trading NZD/USD

⏱ Signal delayed by 30 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group).


———

We won 36 of our last 38 forex trades*.
That is a success rate trading forex of 94.7% since the beginning of December 2021.

*USD/JPY still open - deep in the money

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID FREE OPTIONAL SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW ↗️ USD/JPY

I see more upside potential for the ↗️ USD/JPY, which you can also add to your portfolio. I have shared this trade with many of you in addition to yesterday's EUR/USD, but didn't want to post it for everybody, as we were also positioned in the AUD/USD (all FX positions ended well in profit). The USD continues to benefit from the hawkish Fed, while other central banks, such as the Bank of Japan, see little reason for tightening the pandemic stimulus measures. I also expect an improving risk sentiment which will weigh on the JPY (and CHF).

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.11860 (opt.)
SL 🔑 @: 1.12686

AUD/USD
TP ✅ @: 0.70926 (opt.)
SL 🔑 @: 0.71266

After the USD lost some of the recent gains with apparently some investors expecting a dovish surprise, the Fed delivered and showed determination to move forward with its monetary tightening plans. We update our USD LONG positions now with a still wide SL - however, the USD will remain supported from the Fed, which positions itself much more hawkish than most other central banks. The signal is clear - the ultra cheap money policy will end - and the Fed feels urgency to move forward. The AUD/USD will test again the 0.71000 level as we expected.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

📰 MARKET UPDATE 📰

❗️Fed signals March hike and additional tapering

The Federal Reserve showed determination to begin raising rates and to tighten the ultra loose monetary policy in an attempt to bring the hot inflation under control.

While the Fed keeps rates unchanged for now, expectations for a March hike are now very high and also expectations of four instead of three rate hikes have increased significantly.

Additionally, the Fed is planning to double the pace of at which it tapers monthly bond purchases to $30 billion each month, with a view to end its QE program by mid-March - this is now taken as a rather hawkish stance and resulted in a slide of the growth sector.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

🤜 Patience is not only the key to most situations but also to trading success. Without it, traders will quickly find themselves trading second-rate setups and losing money left and right.
🤜There is an opportunity cost that comes with overtrading.
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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

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SELL NOW ↘️ EUR/GBP

📋 The euro remains under pressure as geopolitical tensions in Europe are high and the USD is strengthening due to safe haven demand and rising expectations that the Fed will further accelerate its rate hike plan. The USD is a the beginning of many rate hikes in 2022/23 with the first rate hike not later than in March. While ECB president Lagarde acknowledged the higher inflation and inflation to remain elevated likely for longer (after calling the inflation even longer transitory than the Fed), Lagarde back-pedaled again and spoke of no rash decisions that would only damage the economy and the labor market. It remains a mystery how Lagarde still talks about rash decisions and is obviously not aware that the ECB is massively lagging behind. Her statements keep the euro weak (whether intentionally or not). The pound is also suffering from the geopolitical tensions and the dollar strength but is supported by measures of the BoE to fight inflation. It will be a busy week for the GBP with unemployment tomorrow (which could again show the tight labor data) and inflation data and retail sales on Wednesday. I expect the data to support a more hawkish BoE positioning, which will lead to further downward pressure on the EUR/GBP.

⏱ Signal delayed by ~ 30 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group)


———

We won 42 out of the last 48 forex trades*!
That is a SUCCESS RATE of 87.5%! 🎯

DON'T MISS OUT ON ANY FX TRADE 💵💴💶💷📈

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID SIGNAL 🔰
SELL NOW ↘️ EUR/(PREMIUM ONLY)

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW ↗️ Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

⚡️ We are betting on deteriorating risk sentiment and SHORT the EUR, which has already lost some of its recent gains after the latest US inflation data further increased pressure on the Fed to further accelerate its monetary tightening plans. The euro was also weakened by another (worrying) statement from ECB President Christine Lagarde, who said in an interview that raising interest rates now would not lower record inflation in the eurozone, but would only hurt the economy. The economy running hot is part of the inflation problem, but again, the ECB and Lagarde seem to be living on a different planet. We are also positioning LONG in gold, even after gold jumped higher. I have been assuming that gold would have risen into the $1850 - $1860 range in the coming week even without more geopolitical tensions. This means that gold still has significant upside potential despite the additional safe haven demand due to the Ukrainian-Russian conflict. We also see rising demand for commodities in general (including as a hedge against inflation and due to tight supply).

📌 Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 – 0.8 (60% - 80%) trading Gold (XAU/USD).

⏱ Signal delayed by 30 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group).


——-

❌❌❌ NO MORE MISSING OUT ❌❌❌

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW ↗️ WTI (USOIL) 🛢

⚡️ Oil prices saw a small correction after signs of progress in the US-Iran nuclear talks. However, I see little hope for actual progress and believe that concerns about increasingly tight supply will dominate again this week. Demand expectations also continue to rise as more countries lift their travel restrictions. Even Australia, which was known for its tough measures and zero-COVID strategy, is opening its borders to vaccinated tourists and other visa holders for the first time in nearly two years on Feb. 21. Tensions in Eastern Europe remain high, supporting oil and gas prices. There are also signs that OPEC+ countries are unable to meet their production quotas, despite growing pressure from major oil consumers. In addition, winter storms continue to move across the US, bringing with them cold weather that keeps U.S. oil and gas consumption high.

📌 Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 9 - 11 (900% - 1,100%) trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [BDSwiss / Admiral Markets / Markets.com - Webtrader]

⏱ Signal delayed by 30 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group).


———

Our profits in the oil and gas sector (including oil and gas companies) are stunning and will continue.

STOP 🤚 NO MORE MISSING OUT ❌

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🔰
SELL NOW ↘️ AUD/USD

📋 Analyst's focus on the nonfarm payrolls report was more on wages than the actual number of news jobs. We see non-farm payrolls now at +467K much higher than the expected +150K - which shows that companies were able to hire (despite a tight labor market). More importantly average hourly earnings increased by a massive 0.7% m/m or 5.7% y/y in January (both higher than expected). Wages continue to rise due to the tight labor market which will also further increase inflation. The Fed will now have more reason to tighten monetary policy, as wages increase faster than expected, while the labor market is already very strong (or even very tight) and certainly doesn't need supportive monetary policy from the Fed.

⏱ Signal delayed by 5 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group).


———

The USD can rebound from "positive" NFP data and rising wages which will likely lead FOMC participants leaning towards the more aggressive end of monetary policy expectations.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
WTI (USOIL) 🛢
TP ✅ @: 88.970
SL 🔑 @: 88.190

CAD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 90.789
SL 🔑 @: 90.484

While Wall Street fell sharply today after 5 days of gains, a turn-around that we traded almost perfectly today, the commodity market remains buoyed - exactly as I had forecast in my daily update. We have seen this many times in recent weeks. Commodities are new safe-haven assets, with expectations of more supply shortage ahead and rising prices even as stock markets come under pressure. Oil rebounded strongly and hovers around 7-years highs again, which also pushed our CAD/JPY extremely deep in profit again. We secure profits with our CAD/JPY and our WTI position.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🔰
SELL NOW ↘️ EUR/USD

📋 The ECB is in a dilemma of its own making. The central bank's credibility is already being called into question by a series of forecasting errors and sharp upward revisions to its forecasts, especially for inflation, which continues to overshoot significantly. Eurozone inflation was at a record 5.1% in January (highest since the introduction of the euro), increasing pressure on the ECB and its president, Christine Lagarde, to acknowledge that inflation is becoming a growing problem and has not the transitory character the ECB describes it has. While analysts' expectations for ECB rate hikes in 2022 continue to rapidly increase, I don't think Lagarde will change her mind in today's statement and the ECB will continue in its "clueless" wait-and-see mode. While Lagarde will certainly address record high inflation and perhaps point to further price pressures, I don't expect any policy changes. It is a real problem that the ECB is not facing reality, as the problem of inflation will continue to rise and hit especially the smaller households. At the same time, we see the USD strengthening again as risk sentiment has worsened after yesterday's after hours Facebook crash.

📈 Try to get in as HIGH as possible.


——-

We have won 92.7% of our forex trades* in the last three months (since December 2) and thus most likely traded forex better than all other traders in this world (and in difficult market conditions) 🏆

(*CAD/JPY & GBP/AUD still open)

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW ↗️ GBP/(PREMIUM ONLY)

📋 The GBP has seen a strong performance in recent days benefitting from an improving risk sentiment, a weaker USD and expectations that the Bank of England will follow in the Fed's footsteps and push the tightening of its monetary policy forward amid the hottest inflation in the UK since 1992. I believe that the strong rally at the stock market will soon come to an end, although further strong earnings (such as later today from Meta, Alibaba and Qualcomm) could extend the rally into a fifth day. A less enthusiastic market would, however, weigh more on the (PREMIUM ONLY) than the GBP. I also expect the BoE to show determination tomorrow and again hike rates - it would be the first back-to-back rate hikes since 2004. I do not expect, unlike many other analysts that the Monetary Policy Committee or BoE Governor Andrew Bailey point to the Omicron pandemic as a severe uncertainty factor. Instead, he will likely point to rising inflation in combination with ... (PREMIUM ONLY) ...

📈 (PREMIUM ONLY)

⏱ Signal delayed by 15 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group).


———

We won 38 out of the last 41 forex trades*!
That is a SUCCESS RATE of 92.7%! 🎯

DON'T MISS OUT ON ANY FX TRADE 💵💴💶💷📈

(*CAD/JPY still open)

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW ↗️ CAD/JPY

⚡️ The Japanese yen bounced back from yesterday's sharp losses when markets extended a strong rally (lead by tech). The recovery in tech was so substantial, that tech the S&P 500 tech sector ended January with less losses than the overall S&P 500, but still with harsh losses in January (S&P 500 tech sector -3.8% in January / S&P 500 -3.9%). The yen saw also some demand during Japanese trading as Asian stocks (including the Nikkei 225) were unable to use the positive handover from Wall Street and expectations that the two day rally comes to an early end. I still see the risk sentiment improved from the previous week due to strong earnings and stocks rebounding, which should support riskier perceived currencies. We also see that oil prices have recovered from profit-taking during early European trading. Oil prices remain bullish for February/Q1 and longer term.

⏱ Signal delayed by 20 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group).


———

We won more than 90% of our Forex trades over the last three months. Let's trade forex together 💱💻

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW ↗️ EUR/(PREMIUM ONLY)

⚡️ The German consumer price index was just released (data came in slightly delayed). Preliminary data of the CPI suggest a higher inflation in Germany than expected (+ 0.4% m/m in January vs. -0.3% expected // +4.9% y/y vs. 4.3% expected). While the data would suggest a slight slow down in inflation (in comparison to December), inflation remains way over target of the ECB and Deutsche Bundesbank. I expect slightly increased expectations that the ECB will continue to make steps tighten its monetary policy (but without rate hikes). We trade the EUR against the (PREMIUM ONLY). The EUR also benefits from a slight improvement in (PREMIUM ONLY) and (PREMIUM ONLY).

⏱ Signal delayed by 10 minutes
(non-delayed signals in VIP group).


-----—

LET'S TRADE TOGETHER 🧑🏾‍💻👩🏼‍💻👨🏻‍💻🤝

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 115.889
SL 🔑 @: 115.339

We update our USD/JPY. Most of you went in near 115.300 yesterday. The USD remains supported even after its strongest week since seven months.

The USD/JPY is our 9th successful forex trade* in a row. Since 2 December, we have won 37 out of 39 forex trades. In one of the most chaotic times for the FX market, we have broken the world record for consecutive winning FX trades (26 in a row) and have a 94.9% success rate. The most successful professional forex traders try to achieve forex trading success rates between 63% and 73% - which gives you an idea of how much better we trade compared to other professional traders. Congratulations to us 🎉

*NZD/USD still open

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
EUR/CAD
TP ✅ @: 1.41216
SL 🔑 @: 1.41641

S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 4434.00
SL 🔑 @: 4381.90

We are further tightening our SL for our S&P 500. We hit the recovery of the market perfectly but profit taking becomes increasingly likely now. After days of struggling, the Dow is now more than 400 points up an hour after NYSE opening (the S&P 500 rose more than 1.1%). We also update our EUR/CAD position, which pushed deeply in profit with oil prices rising and the stronger USD putting pressure on the EUR. Exactly as we expected, the Bank of Canada did not change its monetary policy but Governor Tiff Macklem acknowledged in comments that inflation, which hit a 30-year high at 4.8 % in December, is "uncomfortably high." The BoC signalled that interest rates are now on a rising path also supporting the CAD from a monetary policy perspective. A great trade, which we secure now as oil sees some profit taking.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
USD/CNH
TP ✅ @: 6.38297
SL 🔑 @: 6.35987

USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 115.777
SL 🔑 @: 114.987

It was surprising for me how long the USD/CNH didn't make the turn-around that we expected - especially given the increasingly bearish stance of the PBOC. We already expected in our USD/CNH analysis that the Fed will show determination to tighten its monetary policy and that the USD will receive strong tailwinds from it. We were once again steps ahead of the market and especially the analysts, which increasingly believed that the Fed may slow down the tightening process given the weakness in the stock market / uncertainty due to record Omicron infections (they were wrong, while our reading of the market and the Fed was close to perfect). We now secure profits of our USD/CNH.

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Focal Community Group (FXSignals)

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📋 The Fed didn't surprise, but it also showed determination to move forward in tightening monetary policy by rising rates and accelerating its tapering with the QE ending in March. It remains unclear when the Fed will start shrinking its massive balance sheet of nearly $9 trillion, but overall the Fed delivers clarity to the markets, which should calm them down even as the Fed is more on the hawkish side (but not a hawkish surprise). However, the Fed puts now strong pressure on other central banks, in particular the ECB which remains in a wait-and-see mode and still believes that most of the inflation will edge lower as market conditions normalize. With energy prices rising, however, I don't see much hope that what the ECB thinks will become reality. The very different positioning of the the Fed and ECB continues to put pressure on the EUR/USD pair. I see further downside potential.

📈 Try to get in as HIGH as possible.

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📋 The euro hovered near its weakest in more than a month versus safe haven currencies USD and JPY. Weakness in the equity markets and in particular rising tensions between the West and Russia weighed on risk sentiment. Most analysts also believe that the Fed will show determination to fight the very hot inflation in the US, further boosting the USD hurting the world's second most important reserve currency. We see oil prices making a small dip on profit taking, but I expect oil prices to remain bullish for the current and upcoming week with supply worries still very present. Also the Bank of Canada will announce its policy decision today. While most analysts believe that the BoC will delay hikes and stay rather passive due to the rise of Omicron cases which also lead to some lockdown measures in Canada (in December and January) I believe that the BoC will be clear that its the central bank's goal to bring inflation back into target range. While unemployment rate in Canada is higher than (the very low) unemployment rate in the US, recent updates showed a positive trend with unemployment rate edging down to 5.9% in December (from 6.0%). It was the lowest unemployment rate since February 2020 before the pandemic and not many percentage points of record low of 5.4% in May 2019.

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