Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

28 May 2023 20:09

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22 May 2023 21:14

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18 Mar 2023 19:41

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31 Jan 2023 12:24

📣The Walmart way

Don't miss the latest Seasonal Insights with Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph
Walmart is an American multinational retail corporation which focuses on discount department stores mainly in the US. With the US economy showing signs of slowing down and many analysts seeing a strong chance of the US heading into a recession Walmart stores can potentially see an uptick in demand. The rationale is that during recessions US shoppers will be more likely to visit discount retailers as their spending power falls.

Over the last 25 years, Walmart has gained 80% of the time between February 27 and April 6. The largest return has been over 30% in 2000 and the largest loss was 4.71% in 2018. Does it make sense to buy Walmart shares as we head into the end of February?

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

30 Jan 2023 11:49

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

27 Jan 2023 11:30

▶️ Platinum play?

Don't miss the latest Seasonal Insights with the Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph

Platinum tends to see gains around the start of the year as industrial purchases are made for the year 2022. Yes, global growth concerns have been growing, but many company orders for 2023 would have already been made and that could mean platinum demand holds up even as global sentiment wobbles.

Platinum has a strong seasonal pattern. Over the last 25 years, platinum has gained 20 times between January 29 and February 19. The average return has been a strong 4.11% and the maximum gain was over 25% in 2008. The largest loss was a relatively mild 4.13% in 2006.

Does this make a platinum play worthwhile?

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

20 Jan 2023 12:10

⚠️Managing risk for the new retail trader
The retail trader has it tough when it comes to managing risk. With little support and products with high leverage, the incentive for retail trader to lose all their money is high. Not only the incentive but also the potential. So, if you are new to trading here is a simple tip to help you manage risk.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

18 Jan 2023 10:52

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

18 Jan 2023 09:43

🇺🇸 What to expect from the Fed?

What to expect from the Fed on the 1st of February? The Fed should be about to pivot and it seems to be a question of ‘when’ and not ‘if’. In the last dot plot, the Federal Reserve stated that there would be no rate cuts in all of 2023.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

13 Jan 2023 11:53

⏰Time to back Buffet?

Keep up-to-date with the most recent Seasonal Insights with Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph

Berkshire Hathaway is an American multinational company owned by renowned investor Warren Buffet. The company has over $900 billion in assets and Warren Buffet is often sought after for his stock-buying advice. So, in these uncertain times, does it make sense to buy into Berkshire Hathaway stock and benefit from Buffet’s trading style?

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

12 Jan 2023 14:02

🔺What’s next for the SNB and the CHF?

What’s next for the SNB and the CHF? In December’s meeting, the SNB hiked rates by 50bps as expected to 1%. The SNB like central banks around the world has been responding to an uptick in its inflationary pressures. The latest headline inflation print for Switzerland is at 2.8% for December and that is well down from the August peak of 3.5%.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

10 Jan 2023 14:55

All in for #Alibaba?

Don't miss the latest Seasonal Insights with the Chief Market Analyst Kevin oghlan

Some investors have been cautious about investing in China’s tech stocks. However, recent comments from the party secretary of the People’s Bank of China that the tech sector’s heavy clampdown is coming to an end have given investors some confidence to move back into tech shares. This has led to Alibaba shares taking out the 100 EMA level on the weekly chart and they could potentially move even higher in line with China reversing many of its hard Covid lockdown rules.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

09 Jan 2023 13:24

📺#Netflix ’s noteworthy seasonals

Don't miss the latest Seasonal Insights with the Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph

Netflix earnings are due on January 19 and expectations have been rising that earnings will start to show a sharp drop in US companies. With a coming US recession seen as a base case for the market, there is still a chance that tech earnings surprise to the upside. Especially, if falling numbers are expected but there are some upside surprises, this could result in some relief rallies over the short to even medium term for some heavily sold tech stocks.

One stock that is worth looking at carefully is Netflix. This so-called ‘stay at home’ stock benefited from Covid stay at home orders as demand for its services rose. However, recent falling numbers have been a cause for concern. What will the latest earnings show on January 19?

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

09 Jan 2023 10:55

🔥What’s looking hot for 2023?

The first thing to realise about yearly looks ahead is that they can prove to be spectacularly wrong. So, when looking ahead always be aware that these outlooks can change as the incoming data changes too. Projecting the future beyond 6 months tends to be virtually impossible anyway as life is a constant engagement with change. So, be prepared to adapt as market conditions change. However, with that being said, here are some key themes that look to be ahead for 2023.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

05 Jan 2023 10:00

US labour data a major focus 🔍

One of the factors that has kept the Fed on its hawkish rate path has been the resilience of the US labour market. Yes, the cost of living has increased, companies are starting to factor in higher costs, consumers see leaner times ahead, but the labour market has remained strong and wages high. One of the contributing factors to firmer wages has been put down by some analysts to a number of workers taking early retirement during COVID which was made more attractive by record-high stock prices. This created a reduction of workers boosting wages and keeping labour data firm.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

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20 Apr 2023 15:49

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

31 Jan 2023 10:29

🇺🇸 What to expect from the Fed this week?

This is the time when the two competing narratives over the Fed’s path of rates get to test each other. STIR markets have been pricing in two rate cuts this year. However, the Fed’s communication has been that there needs to be more work done on inflation and the Fed has been reluctant to start talking about rate cuts. The December summary of economic projections saw no rate cuts projected at all this year. So, there we have the conflict. The Fed sees no rate cuts this year and STIR markets see two. So, which way will the Fed edge in its communication? Will it push back against STIR markets projections and stress no rate cuts? Alternatively, will it move away from its December projections and start talking about pausing rates/cutting on growth concerns?

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

30 Jan 2023 11:48

Amazon earnings are due out this week for Q4 2022 and expectations are for an EPS of 0.17 and revenue of $145.77 billion. Since the start of the year, Amazon has been preparing for a coming global turndown by cutting 18,000 jobs which was an increase of the 10,000 reported at the end of last year. This is the largest round of job cuts in Amazon’s history and the majority are due to come from their core retail and HR departments. Bloomberg reports that shareholders are concerned about the amount of money Amazon is losing in its core retail business. Does this mean that Amazon has some more downside ahead? Will earnings surprise to the downside?

If earrings do surprise lower, and the stock falls, is this a good time to buy into Amazon for the long haul? Is this a dip worth buying?
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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

23 Jan 2023 10:47

🗒️ Getting the most from reading market opinions

When it comes to markets it seems everyone has an opinion. One commentator sees US stocks making new highs this month, while another commentator sees a 10% falls. Initially, it can seem a waste of time to read market opinions. Is everyone just guessing? However, market opinions can be so helpful because they show the application of analysis and how it relates to market moves. A good analyst can become a good trader as he applies his market knowledge to the current market conditions. When Warren Buffet speaks or Paul Tudor Jones, people listen for a good reason.

Well, let’s see how to get the most out of market opinions with a little test to help you filter out the opinions to listen to.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

20 Jan 2023 11:31

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18 Jan 2023 10:30

📺 #Netflix earnings ahead

The latest Seasonal Insights with the Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph

At one point in 2022, Netflix was down -75% from its all time high, but this fall also brought in dip buyers picking up Netflix at cheaper prices. One of the key reasons for Netflix’s fall last year was the decline in subscriber numbers. So, with earnings out on Thursday expect subscriber numbers to be a major focus again.

However, Netflix has a number of other challenges including growing subscription TV competition from Disney+, Apple TV, Amazon Prime, HBO, and others. Netflix also tried to increase subscriptions by offering a ‘with ads subscription service’. Was this to counter the cost of living rise consumers are facing? Will it work?

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

17 Jan 2023 10:14

✨Where next for gold?

Last week saw gold taking another rally higher on further relief/confirmation that US inflation has peaked. The US CPI headline print was in line with the consensus of 6.5% and the core was too at 5.7%. These readings were also both down, lower from the prior, and the market continued to sell the USD after these prints even though they had been anticipated.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

13 Jan 2023 11:44

:balloon: Inflation fades
This week started with a continuation of USD weakness on the expectations that headline and core US inflation would be falling lower. Thursday’s US CPI print was as expected, but the market had a dovish reaction to the print. This increased STIR market’s probability to 92% of a smaller 25bps hike at the Fed’s next meeting in February. It looks like the market is starting to price in an even wider discrepancy between its own pricing and the Fed. Remember, the Fed’s latest dot plot still sees no rate cuts this year, but STIR markets now see two rate cuts. So, watch out for further volatility moving forward as the path of US rates remains uncertain.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

11 Jan 2023 15:33

⏰ Time to back health care?

Don't miss valuable insights on Cardinal Health with Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph

The 14th highest revenue-generating company in the US is Cardinal Health. The company has a wide range of health care services and health care as a sector can often be well place to ride out a recession. Why? This is because health matters are often prioritised when it comes to the spending habits of consumers. With the US expected to fall into a recession shortly is Cardinal Health worth backing? With over 50% gains in the last 6 months can those gains continue?

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

10 Jan 2023 11:57

👀 The USD opportunity to be aware of

There is a discrepancy between the market and the Fed that provides a potential opportunity and it can impact the USD. In brief, the Fed projected no Fed rate cuts this year in its December meeting. However, STIR markets are seeing the Fed making two rate cuts by the end of 2023.

This has impacted the market’s positioning on the USD with hedge funds increasing their USD short bets in the last CFTC report. Asset managers are now below the 20 percentile for their short positioning showing they are heavily skewed one way. This is helpful knowledge if they have to suddenly make a shift.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

09 Jan 2023 12:32

🇺🇸US inflation data on Thursday
The latest Fed minutes sum up the conundrum for the market nicely when it comes to understanding what the approach to the USD and Fed policy is. The Fed minutes show that no Fed participants see a rate cut appropriate for 2023. However, Fed fund futures expected 2 rate cuts at the start of the year. So, the market is fighting the Fed on the way down. The general rule of thumb is ‘never fight the Fed’.

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

05 Jan 2023 12:04

✨Gold surge ahead?

Don't miss the latest Seasonal Insights on #Gold with the Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph

The outlook for gold has been improving since the US10Y bond yield appeared to cap out around the 4.35% region at the end of October last year. The USD also gave up its September high adding to support for gold.

One of the expectations for this year is that the US economy is heading towards a stagflationary one with high inflation and low growth. Many analysts see a stagflationary environment as positive for gold. So, is this time for gold’s seasonals to play out?

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Forex Trading Experts 📊 HYCM

04 Jan 2023 10:13

New year, new fears: Where are stocks headed in 2023?

Last year global stocks had their worst year since 2008. World stock market capitalisation fell nearly 20% which, in recent history, was only eclipsed by the near 50% drop in 2008. However, it should be remembered that the decline followed unprecedented levels of fiscal stimulus from governments and years of low-interest rates from central banks.

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