fundamental3 | Unsorted

Telegram-канал fundamental3 - Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

48117

https://t.me/+Rn8RmYm0XMZTagXs I'm not a SEBI registered advisor,the information provided by me is for educational purposes only.You are responsible for all investment decisions,plz note that I dont provide any tips/stock suggestion.

Subscribe to a channel

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

BEML says

FY26 Guidance
👉 20% Revenue growth with margins around 14.5%
👉 Order book will be approx ₹22k cr by FT26 end vs ₹14k cr currentlya

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Swing Trading , Short term trading
/channel/+ACRZlAqoLfNmNTM1

----

LIVE Stocks News update
/channel/+eGyBIduPgNY4OWE1

----

MOre than 500 Conference Calls Q4
/channel/+DyGeqpxOwkdlODk1

----

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Balance Sheet & Capital Plans
🔹Networth: ₹607.5 Cr | Gross Debt: ₹335.4 Cr
🔹Trade Receivables: ₹238.3 Cr
🔹Inventory: ₹600.6 Cr (build-up due to production ramp-up)
🔹₹816 Cr fundraise approved for WC + R&D + subsidiaries

Key Risks
🔸Working capital cycle still stretched
🔸Revenue lumpiness due to project-based delivery cycles
🔸EPS dilution risk from capital raise

Investor Compass View – Core Business Firing on All Cylinders
🔹81% PAT growth in FY25
🔹EBITDA crossed ₹125 Cr
🔹Order execution moving from prototype to production = operating leverage kicker

📌 Apollo is transforming from a Tier-2 tech supplier to a Tier-1 Defence OEM

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Operational Highlights
🔹Robust growth from high-value defence programs
🔹Margin resilience despite scale-up
🔹R&D Spend: 6% of revenue | Zero attrition in FY25
🔹Operating Cash Flow: ₹11.3 Cr (vs ₹(-78.5) Cr in FY24)

Strategic Integration & Expansion
🔹IDL Explosives Acquisition: ₹107 Cr all-cash deal; expands into ammunition & explosives
🔹Vertical Integration: Enables cost synergies + full-stack defence manufacturing

🔹Land Bank Advantage: Only 40% of acquired IDL land utilized – massive brownfield scope
🔹Unit-III Facility: 3.5 lakh sq ft | Hardware Park-II, Hyderabad
 ➡️ Phase-1 ops by Sept CY25 | Phase-2 by Q4FY26
🔹Unit-I: R&D hub | Unit-II & III: Dedicated for production scale-up

🔹 Capex Plan: ₹250 Cr earmarked (₹150 Cr in Phase-1, ₹100 Cr in Phase-2)
🔹 ₹816 Cr Fundraise Approved: For WC, R&D, subsidiaries & capacity unlock

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

GE Vernova T&D India Ltd – Blockbuster Q4
CMP: ₹1,884 | MCap: ₹48,239 Cr | P/E: 64.9x FY26E

🔹 Order Book: ₹12,660 Cr (vs ₹10,780 Cr QoQ) – 🚀 up 2x YoY
🔹 Revenue: ₹1,152 Cr (▲26.2% YoY)
🔹 EBITDA: ₹252 Cr (▲127% YoY) | Margin: 21.9% (vs 12.1% YoY)
🔹 PAT: ₹186.5 Cr (vs ₹66.3 Cr YoY) | EPS: ₹7.3

🔥 Strong execution + margin expansion = Rerating in play.

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Transmission is a Decadal Theme | India’s Silent Power Revolution

- I'm from the Power sector with 12+ years of experience.
- Here's why I’ve allocated 30% of my long term Portfolio in this decadal theme with huge tailwind

1️⃣ Massive Market Size & Tailwinds
Transmission market: ₹3.56 Lakh Cr
➡️ Huge headroom for growth

2️⃣ Tower–Substation–Conductor Value Chain
🔹Tower: ₹1.6 Lakh Cr (40%)
🔹Substation: ₹1.8 Lakh Cr (50%)
🔹Conductors: ₹20k Cr to ₹35k Cr (5 to 10%)
➡️ Major Cost sits in just these 3 - massive opportunity for infra players

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

SUBROS Management Says Long Term Revenue Target Of 30%

Aim For 25% Rev From Alternative Fuel Tech In FY26

New Technology A Key Driver Across Segments

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

SUN PHARMACEUTICAL FY26 GUIDANCE

Mid-to-high single-digit top-line growth. It is lower than before because of higher global uncertainty (MFN, tariffs, FX volatility)

FY26E R&D at 6-8% of sales (includes existing and new projects both)

Expecting $100 mn additional spend for commercialisation of new specialty products

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

GS ON OMCS

HPCL: Buy Call, Target Price Raised To ₹475/Sh From 425/Sh

BPCL: Buy Call, Target Price Raised To ₹410/Sh From 370/Sh

IOC: Neutral Call, Target Price Raised To ₹125/Sh From 110/Sh

OMCs In A Sweet Spot Amid Global Uncertainty & Believe Macro Set Up Is Improving Further

Raise FY26E/27 EBITDA By 26%/5% On Average

Mainly Reflecting Higher Refining And Marketing Margin

@Brokerage_report

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

MTAR TECH MISSES FY25 REVENUE & MARGINS GUIDANCE

FY25 REVENUE OF 676 CR V 725 CR GUIDANCE

EBITDA MARGINS OF 17.9 % V 21 % GUIDANCE

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Stovekraft says

FY26 Guidance
👍 Double digit revenue growth
👍 Margin improvement

🚨 Outgrowing industry & gaining market share 🚨

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

INTERARCH BUILDING FY26 GUIDANCE

Expect 17.5-18% Topline Growth In FY26

Expect EBITDA Margin To Improve Between 9.7-9.8%

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

TEAMLEASE Management Says Q1FY26 Margin Will Dip, But Will See Sequentially Improve Q2 Onwards

FY26 Headcount Addition Seen At 40,000-45,000 Vs 27,000 In FY25

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Electro Force : Co. to Set Up New Manufacturing Unit In Palghar, Vasai (East), Maharashtra

Product Line: Trolleys and various handling equipment.

Cost: Estimated investment of ₹25 crores.

Commercial Production Start: Targeted by Q3 FY26 (Oct–Dec 2025).

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

J Kumar Infra Management says Hope Of Getting ₹6,000-8,000 Cr Of Orders - CNBCTV 18

There Is A Strong Pipeline Of Orders Worth ₹25,000 Cr

Looking At Improving EBITDA Margin To 15%-16% Over The Next 6-8 Qtrs

Order Book Stands At Over 22,000 Cr As Of FY25

We Expect A Topline Of ₹6,000 Cr Or More In FY26

Will Bid For Pune & Thane Metro

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

BEML : CO ORDER BOOK GUIDANCE AT 18000CR VS 14000 CR

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Good morning friends

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Order Book & Growth Visibility
🔹150+ Defence Programs: Execution accelerating as projects move to production
🔹Key verticals:
 - Missile Systems: Akash, Rudram, Astra
 - Naval Platforms: Torpedoes, Underwater Mines, Decoys
 - Electronic Warfare & Secure Systems

🔹Management Guidance:
 ➡️ FY26–FY27 Revenue CAGR: 45–50%, core business only (excl. IDL)
 ➡️ Driven by strong order pipeline + transition from prototypes to full-scale rollouts
🔹Government Capex: ₹40,000 Cr approved under emergency powers (Op Sindoor) is this also mentioned
📌 Robust executable pipeline in play – Apollo is entering its monetization phase.

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Apollo Micro Systems – Q4FY25 & FY25 Result Analysis | Investor Presentation Highlights

Decent | Steady Growth | Capex-Intensive | Transition to Scale

Q4FY25 Performance (YoY)
⬆️ Revenue: ₹161.8 Cr (▲ +19%)
⬆️ EBITDA: ₹36.0 Cr (▲ +25%)
➡️ EBITDA Margin: 22% (vs 21%)
⬆️ PAT: ₹14.0 Cr (▲ +8%)
⬆️ EPS: ₹0.50 (vs ₹0.48)

FY25 Performance (YoY)
⬆️ Revenue: ₹562.1 Cr (▲ +51%)
⬆️ EBITDA: ₹129.2 Cr (▲ +54%)
➡️ EBITDA Margin: 23% (flat YoY)
⬆️ PAT: ₹56.4 Cr (▲ +81%)
➡️ PAT Margin: 10% (vs 8%)
⬆️ EPS: ₹1.9 (vs ₹1.2)

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

3️⃣ Government-Backed Capex Explosion
🔹₹4.25 L Cr (2022–27) + ₹4.90 L Cr (2027–32)
🔹Total: ₹9.15 Lakh Crores in 10 years
🔹42% of current transmission line capacity to be added
➡️ Once-in-a-generation policy-led cycle

4️⃣ Demand Drivers = Long-Term Secular Growth
🔹EV grid readiness
🔹AI/Data centers’ 24x7 power needs
🔹Renewable + Peak-load balancing = New substation demand
🔹Smart Cities & Tier 2/3 urbanization

5️⃣ Tech Upgrade: The New Backbone
CEA plan includes:
🔹HVDC (LCC + VSC), STATCOM, Digital Substations
➡️ Infra is moving from steel to silicon. This isn’t just capex, it's intelligence upgrade.

Capacity Additions – Already in Motion

6️⃣ Transmission Line:
- FY22: 4.56 L ckm
- FY27E: 5.71 L ckm → FY32E: 6.48 L ckm

Substations (MVA):
- FY22: 10.7M → FY32E: 23.4M MVA
➡️ More than 2x growth = multi-year compounding across the value chain

7️⃣ Who Benefits? Transmission Value Chain Stocks ?

🏗 Tower:
🔹KEC International – India’s largest tower EPC player with global presence
🔹Skipper Ltd – Export-driven tower manufacturer with substation ambitions
🔹Transrail Lighting – Full-spectrum EPC with monopoles, civil, and rail electrification
🔹Techno Electric – Asset-light EPC player focused on HV towers and substations
🔹Bajel Projects Ltd – New demerged entity with strong tower + GIS EPC pipeline
🔹Kalpataru Projects International (KPIL) – Global transmission EPC giant with ₹64K+ Cr OB, active in 75 countries

🏭 Substations:
🔹ABB India – Leader in HVDC, STATCOM, and digital substations
🔹Siemens Ltd – High-tech player in automation, protection & control systems
🔹Bajel Projects Ltd – Active in 220kV & 400kV GIS/AIS substations
🔹Shilchar Technologies – Supplies power transformers for EHV substations
🔹TARIL – Trusted grid transformer supplier, expanding into 765kV ultra high-voltage market

🔌 Conductors:
🔹KEI Industries – Key cable supplier across power infra and exports
🔹Apar Industries – India’s largest conductor maker with HTLS leadership
🔹Dynamic Cables – Fast-growing conductor + cable supplier for T&D projects

📌These players are at the heart of India’s $9.15L Cr grid overhaul. Some will be 5x–10x over the decade.

- Any major We missed out . Do mention in comment
- No Buy/Sell recommendation

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

GREENPANEL IND FY26 GUIDANCE

Target ₹1,700 Cr Topline For FY26

Target 0.84 Lk Cbm In Export MDF Volumes In FY26

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Astra Micro Management says FY26 Revenue Guidance Is At 1,200-1,300 Cr - CNBCTV 18

Orderbook Visibility Looks Good

Time Period For Order Translation To Sales Is Around 24-30 Months

We Are Predominantly A Defence Company

Incremental Growth From Selling Counter Drone Systems Will Be A Positive Surprise

Have A Diversified Revenue Stream

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

MAX ESTATES FY26 GUIDANCE

PRE SALES OF
6000-6500 CR ( GROWTH OF 13-22 % V 189 % GROWTH IN FY25)

LAUNCHES OF 9500 CR ( GROWTH OF 66 % V 210 % GROWTH IN FY25 )

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

MTAR Q4FY25

Management Says Nearly Rs. 200 Crs of revenue is generated from new products added over the past couple of years underscoring the trust of our customers and technological leadership.

There shall be a sequential improvement in EBITDA margins over the coming quarters as we scale up the production of first article orders across various sectors.

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Good morning friends

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

RVNL FY26 GUIDANCE

FY26 revenue of Rs 22,000 cr ( Growth Of 10.4 % Yoy V -9 % Growth In FY25 ) and margin at 6-6.5% V 6 % In FY25

FY26 order realisation will be Rs 24,000-25,000 cr out of the Rs 97,000 cr orderbook

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Pearl Global Management Says Target Revenue CAGR of 12-14% Over The Medium Term

Goal Is To Compete With Large Global Players

Will Grow Around 25-30% In The Next Couple Of Quarters

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

NALCO Management Says Guiding for ₹16,000 crore revenue in FY26

Aiming for EBITDA margin in the range of 36-37% in FY26

Expect aluminium prices to be in the range of $2,400-2,500/ton in H2 FY26

Expect alumina prices to be in the range of $450-500/ton in FY26

Benefit from higher alumina and aluminium production will not sustain in FY26

Working on increasing efficiency, reducing costs, and increasing volumes

Not expecting any incremental revenue from the new refinery in FY26

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

PFC Says Infra Sector To Not Materially Add To Loan Book In FY26

Resolution Of One Asset Worth ₹1,200 Cr Aided Profit Growth

See Loan Growth At 10-11% In FY26

PFC: LOAN GROWTH GUIDANCE 10-11% VS 14-15% PREVIOU

Читать полностью…

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Cms Info Systems says

🎯 Target Revenue Growth @ 14-17% CAGR
🎯 Gained market share across verticals
🎯 Managed Services revenue share will move to 45% in coming quarters

Читать полностью…
Subscribe to a channel