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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

PNB Hsg Fin mngmt Says Growth In Prime Book Will Be 9%

Current Retail Book Is At ₹68,000 Cr

Need To Grow At 17-18% Το Τouch 1 Lakh Cr Of Retail Book By FY27

Growth In Affordable Housing Book Will Be Higher In Roshni Home Loans

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Entire chemicals basket , Q2FY25 , financial performance updates, which are the stocks in chemicals you see value in ?

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

VST TILLERS

See 10-15% growth in Tillers, 15-20% in Tractors, 2X in Power Weeder this year

Look at >20% revenue growth in this year with 11-13% margins

Target 2000 Cr rev in FY26

International at 12-13% of sales, to be 25% in next 2 yrs

Eyeing M&A

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Bajaj Auto mngmt Says Gap In VAHAN & Wholesales Mainly Because Of Huge Surge In Files At RTOS

Difference Is Of Only 3,000 Units In Top 3 Position Holders In EV

Nigeria Retails At 36,000 For The Month, Hope To Hold Steady In December

Will Try To Beat Industry Growth With Upcoming New Launches

Gap Between Wholesales & Retail That We Are Seeing, Is Nothing Unusual

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

CDMO 🎯

$ 200 Bn business,Projected to grow to $ 300 Bn in 5 yr

Current market share for India is 7 Bn USD, China is at 25 BN USD

Sector growth+Some shift from China can take india from 7 BN to 20 BN USD - 3x Market in next 5 years

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Alisha Moopen Aster DM Mngmt Says Merger of CARE hospitals is one of the largest transactions this year

• Combined synergies include scalability which is important for Indian mkt

• The deal is EPS accretive & will see margin improve going forward

• Will see addl 10-15% EBITDA expansion in next 24-36 months

• Revenue CAGR for combined entity should be in the range of 18-20%

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Morning Update 1st December :

Stocks in news

- RBLBANK & Bajaj Finance decided to stop issuance of new co-branded credit cards

- KAYNES Kaynes Tech plans semiconductor subsidiary IPO in 5 years

- KPIGREEN The company won Coal India Limited's tender to set up a 300 MWAC solar PV plant at GIPCL’s Solar Park, Khavda, Gujarat.

- ZYDUSWELL is  in the process to buy  1.86% stake of NaturellIndia.

- DIXON to Manufacture Google Pixel Phones

- VISHNU Company has completed the acquisition of JPPL at an Enterprise Value of ₹ 52 cr

- PROTEAN The Board approved applying for listing the company's equity shares on NSE's main board. The application has been submitted.

- COCHINSHIP Wins order of 1000Cr. The estimated contract value is above Rs.1,000 crore and the estimated duration for the project is around 5 months

- CESC Purvah Green Power Pvt Ltd, a CESC subsidiary, acquired 100% of Bhojraj Renewables Energy Pvt Ltd For Rs 4.66 Cr, making it a step-down subsidiary effective today.

- CANTABIL Company has opened 7 New Showrooms/ Shops at different location in India during the month of November 2024.

Quick Takeaways

-Coffee prices at 47-year high on Brazil crop concerns

-IFDI Inflows into India Rise 43.1% to $13.6 Billion in Q2 FY24

-SriLanka's consumer prices fell by 2.1% in November, the highest deflation rate recorded by the economically fragile island nation since 1961.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Few of interesting chemical company for next 3 to 5 yr perspective one can study

DEEPAK NITRITE
ATUL LTD
PAUSHAK LTD
SRF LTD
FINE ORGANIC
PRIVI SPECIALITY
DYNEMIC PRO
LAXMI ORGANIC
SHREE PUSHKAR CHEMICAL
DIAMINE CHEMICAL

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Vimal Kejriwal of KEC International Says

Order inflow target of ₹25,000 cr in FY25, have already done ₹16,000 cr; expecting Q4 to be better for order inflows

Maintaining revenue growth rate of 15% for FY25 and FY26

See visibility for 5-6 years in power transmission segment

Don't have a large 11 position in rallways; have become selective in this segment

9-10% margin target for FY26; FY25 margins to be at 7.5%

Don't have a large 11 position in rallways; have become selective in this segment

• 9-10% margin target for FY26; FY25 margins to be at 7.5%

There has been a significant bump up in the int markets; international pipeline in US and Mexico is very large

There has been a significant bump up in the int markets; international pipeline in US and Mexico is very large

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Tilaknagar says Launched Luxury brandy 'Monarch Legacy', received export orders

Will distribute Samsara Gin & Sitara Rum

FY25 Guidance Revenue at Rs.1600-1700 cr

Appreciates 'Imperial Blue' doesn't clarify on interest in buying company

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Future Outlook:

Management is confident of achieving significant growth driven by increasing order book and market demand.

Plans for an experience center in Delhi to showcase acoustic solutions and enhance market presence.

Committed to enhancing operational efficiencies through ERP implementation and strategic hiring.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Challenges and Market Dynamics:

H1 revenue decline attributed to project execution timelines and milestone-based revenue recognition.

Seasonal impacts on project execution due to monsoon rains affecting construction timelines.

Management remains optimistic about the second half of the fiscal year, historically stronger in revenue generation.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Customer Segments:

Serving a diverse range of customers, including defense organizations (HAL, DRDO), automotive companies (Maruti, Honda), and large project management firms (L&T, Tata Projects).

Notable projects include noise control solutions for HAL’s fighter plane engine testing facilities and Tata Steel plant.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Product Offerings:

Manufacturing acoustic enclosures for turbines, compressors, and other noisy equipment.

Offering sound test chambers for various industries, including home appliances and automobiles.

Development of B2C products such as soundproof doors and windows, targeting residential markets.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Market Opportunity:

Growing awareness of noise pollution and its health impacts is driving demand for acoustic solutions.

Expansion in infrastructure and industrial sectors is creating opportunities for noise control products.

Targeting both B2B and B2C segments, with plans to introduce products aimed at individual consumers.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Logistic Sector 🚛

Market Size:
The Indian logistics market was valued at approximately $300B & it is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9-12% from 2025 to 2030

GDP Contribution - 14%

Segments
1. Transportation: 60% of the market share
2. Warehousing: 20% of the market share
3. Freight Forwarding: 10% of the market share
4. Value-added Services: 5% of the market share
5. E-commerce Logistics: 5% of the market share

Key Players:
1. DHL
2. FedEx
3. Blue Dart
4. Gati
5. Safexpress
6. Mahindra Logistics
7. Allcargo Logistics

Growth Drivers
1. E-commerce growth
2. Government initiatives (Gati Shakti, Bharatmala, etc.)
3. Infrastructure development (roads, ports, airports, etc.)
4. Increasing demand for cold chain logistics
5. Growing need for efficient supply chain management
6. Dedicated Freight Corridor

Overall the growth trajectory looks good for the next 3-5 years

Study it at young stage

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Balu Forge Industries Ltd

Key highlights from Investor/Analyst Meet (Dec 2, 2024):

Capacity expansion updates, workforce growth, cash flow improvements, and strong progress in Railways, Defence, and Aerospace segments.

Credit Saksham via X

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Signature Global mngmt Says On Track To Meet FY25 Guidance

Have Done ₹5,800 Cr Of Sales In H1

Collections At ₹2,100 Cr In H1, Guidance For The Year Is 76,000 Cr

Have Done ₹9,000 Cr Of Launches Vs 16,000 Cr Planned For FY25 In H1

We Own Good Amount Of Land, So Sustained Supply Of Projects is Possible

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

HDFC BANK MNGMT SAYS

Expect Robust Growth In Credit Cards For HDFC Bank

Slowdown Has Happened in Unsecured Segment For The Banks

Outlook On Growth Remains Robust

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

SHEELA FOAM MNGMT SAYS Demand Is Good, Wedding Season Has Seen Good Traction So Far

FY25 Revenue Growth Would Be Close To 10%

H2 Should See 13-15% Growth

Will Get To ₹1,000 Cr Annual Run-Rate For Kurlon By Q4

Market Share Of Consolidated Entity In The Organised Space At 30%

Margin For Kurlon Targetted At 12-13%

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Stocks to Buy for an Upside Potential of upto 58%

1⃣ Timken India
Target Price: ₹4080
Upside Potential: 23%
Recommended by: ICICI Direct

2⃣ L&T Finance
Target Price: ₹200
Upside Potential: 42%
Recommended by: ICICI Securities

3⃣ Ambuja Cements
Target Price: ₹710
Upside Potential: 44%
Recommended by: Motilal Oswal Financial Services

4⃣ Astral
Target Price: ₹2666
Upside Potential: 49%
Recommended by: Anand Rathi

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

https://youtu.be/FoV6nvgHbV0

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

ENVIRO MNGMT SAYS Topline Growth Expected At 30-35%

Have Orders From 8 States, Increasing Footprints In Other States

Orderbook Is At ₹1,906 Cr As Of June 30

For Last 3 Years Topline Has Grown By 80%, PAT CAGR Growth At 132%

Few Projects Have Been Tendered By The Govt This Yr, Due To Elections

Few Projects Have Been Tendered By The Govt This Yr, Due To Elections

See Projects Coming Up In The Jal Jeevan Mission & Waste Water Segment

Have A Visibility Of 2 Years From Current Orderbook

Received A Project Of ₹267 Cr In July

EBITDA Margin Seen In The Range Of 24-25%

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

UNION Bank Mngmt Says Gross NPA Ratio Will Be At Same Level In FY25 As H1FY25

Deposit Growth Has Been Behind Loan Growth

Not Seeing Broad-based Deterioration In Asset Qualit

Expect Credit Growth Of 10-11% For FY25

Gross NPA Will Be Contained Around Present Levels Of 4.3-4.4% Level By End Of FY25

Rate Cuts Have Been Postponed, Liquidity Continues To Remain Tight

Slippages Rose In Q2 Due To Stress In A Large Corporate Account

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Transmission
Renewables
SemiConductor
Textiles
CDMO
Defence
Data Centre

Above Theme looks atttractive in coming times

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Margin Guidance:

Current EBITDA margins around 25%, expected to compress initially due to fixed costs associated with the new facility.

Long-term target margins of 22-25% even with lower-margin orders during ramp-up phase.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Innovation and R&D:

Strong focus on innovation with in-house expertise, including collaborations with top technocrats.

Continuous testing and development of products to meet international standards and certifications.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Strategic Partnerships:

In advanced discussions with Siemens Energy for export opportunities in the European market.

Exploring collaboration with IIT Delhi for noise barricading solutions aimed at hotels and multi-story buildings.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Capacity Expansion:

Current manufacturing facilities are fully occupied; expanding capacity from 2,000 square meters to 10,000 square meters.

New facility expected to come online within 2-3 months, aiming for a potential revenue increase of 5x over the next three years.

Anticipation of reaching full capacity utilization by FY '26, targeting ₹180-200 crores in revenue at full capacity

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

WIDE APPLICATION INDUSTRIES

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