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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

DMCC Concall Notes - Nov 2024


Financial Performance:

Q2 FY25 top line reported at ₹103 crores, with an EBITDA margin of approximately 15%.

Profit before tax of ₹8.5 crores and profit after tax of ₹5.8 crores, indicating significant improvement compared to previous quarters and the same quarter of the previous financial year.

Growth attributed to increased volumes and improvements in the Boron business, while export sales have slowed down due to the European market downturn.

Boron Business:

Significant growth in the Boron segment due to debottlenecking efforts, which increased available products for sale.

Management is optimistic about developing downstream Boron products to reduce dependency on commodity sales.

Anticipate annualized revenue from Boron business to reach between ₹100 to ₹125 crores.

Challenges:

Export business, particularly in the agrochemical sector, has faced significant declines. The slowdown in Europe is impacting sales, with no clear recovery timeline.

The management expressed concerns about the European chemical industry's future, citing high energy costs, low investment appetite, and strict environmental regulations.

Capacity and Investments:

No significant new capital expenditures planned; current capacity is deemed sufficient for existing and anticipated demand.

Monthly debt repayment of approximately ₹2 crores; current cash flow allows for this, with potential for increased repayments if cash flow improves.

New Product Development:

Continued investment in process development for new products, though these have yet to significantly impact the bottom line.

Focus on launching two significant new products for the domestic market, with one targeting automotive applications.

Market Dynamics:

Domestic demand for chemicals is recovering across various sectors, including pigments, fertilizers, paints, and polymers.

Bulk chemicals are operating at over 90% capacity utilization, while specialty chemicals range from 50% to 85% utilization.

Future Outlook:

Management refrains from making definitive forecasts but expresses cautious optimism based on recent improvements in domestic performance and pricing.

Plans to monitor market conditions closely before making any significant investment decisions.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Geographical Revenue Split - FY23:

Exports ~33%,
Domestic ~67%

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Overseas Subsidiary:

In FY23, company's Subsidiary name was changed from Borax Morarji (Europe) GmbH to DMCC (Europe) GmbH. DMCC (Europe) GmbH is a 100% wholly owned subsidiary Company in Germany

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Clientele:
Alkyl Amines, Apcotex, BASF, Deepak Fertilizers, Deepak Nitrite, Ipca, Sanofi, Pidilite, Dr. Reddy's, Unichem, etc.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Product Application:

Detergents, Dyes, Fertilizers, Agro-chemicals, Detergents, Dyes, Thermal Power Stations, Detergents, Ceramic & Tiles Industries, Steel Industries, Electroplating, etc.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

DMCC was the first producer of Sulphuric Acid & Phosphate Fertilizers in the country. Currently, it is a fully-integrated Speciality chemical player in Sulphur, Boron and Ethanol chemistry

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Dee Development says

On Orders
👉 Order Book at ₹1300 cr, expect another ₹500-700 cr of inflows
👉 Should end FY25 with OB at ₹1500 cr

Guidance
👉 Margins will gradually scale to 20% vs 15% as of Q2FY25

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Make in India & import substitution play.

#ShreeKarni fabcom received first major order from Safari industries for 20,000 Omega 19fb black bag 🎒

This mark major move up value chain
From fabric to finished bags 🧳

They already fabric supply to
VIP
Safari
Samsonite
Tommy Hilfiger
Hidesign
Swiss military etc.

With dyeing unit coming March They will also eligible supply to global luxury luggage brands .

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Imagine opportunity size in coming years

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Packaging Film Companies
(Comparison)

Strong growth trends, profitability spikes and value opportunities!

- Garware Hi Tech
- Jindal Poly Film
- Nahar Poly
- Cosmo First
- Polyplex

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

HUDCO Management Says Very hopeful that PMAY 2.0 will be big for HUDCO

Net NPA is 0.31%, want to bring it below 0.3% in FY25 - CNBCTV18

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

SAMHI HOTEL

Growth projects would lead to inventory expansion of 700+ guest rooms and one F&B outlet along with significant repositioning of portfolio - Investor Presentation

Bangalore and Hyderabad to add -55% growth to our Upscale portfolio--2x higher revenue per room than portfolio avg.

Strengthen our share in key office markets of Bangalore and Hyderabad which continue to perform strong

Increasing share of variable leased assets to boost returns and provide capital efficient growth

Combination of operating asset, brownfield and future expansion allows short capex to revenue cycle

Growth to be funded from internal accruals and help in improving leverage ratio

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Medical Device Industry

80% Imports Dependency

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Motilal Oswal positive on capital market players
Preferred Picks in AMCs:
HDFC AMC: Buy, Target at ₹5200/sh
Nippon AMC: Buy, Target at ₹900/sh

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

1. Welspun Living Ltd

2. Vardhman Textiles Ltd

3. KPR Mills Ltd

4. Garware Technical Mills Ltd

5. Trident Ltd

6. Arvind Ltd

7. Nitin Spinners Ltd

8. Jindal Worldwide Ltd

9. Alok Industries Ltd

10. Vedant Fashions Ltd

11. Orbit Exports Ltd

12. Bombay Dyeing Ltd

13. Sangam India Ltd

14. Page Industries Ltd

15. Century Enka Ltd

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Quaterly perforamance

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Revenue Breakup - FY23:

Sale of Chemical Products ~99%,
Other Operating Revenue ~1%

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Export Countries:

USA, Mexico, Italy, Japan, Australia, UAE, Turkey, Spain, France, Germany, Belgium, United Kingdom, China, Peru, Colombia, Netherlands

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Manufacturing Facilities:

Company has 2 production facilities in Roha, with an installed capacity of ~300 MT /day of Sulphuric Acid, and in Dahej,with 50% of total area available for further expansion after completing of upcoming capex

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Product Portfolio:

a) Bulk Chemicals:
Sulphuric Acid, Sulphuric Anhydride, Oleum, Chloro Sulphonic Acid

b) Speciality Chemicals:
Benzene Sulfonic Acid, Phenol Sulfonic Acid, Sodium Benzene Sulfonate, Sodium Phenol Sulfonate, Menthyl Lactate, Methane Sulfonic Anhydride, Diphenyl Disulfide, Diethyl Sulfate, Diphenyl Sulfone, Sodium Vinyl Sulfonate, 4.4 Dihydroxy Diphenyl Sulfone, Methyl p-Toluene Sulfonate, Para Chloro Thiophenol, Isethionic Acid Sodium Salt

c) Boron Chemistry:
Boric Acid, Borax Pentahydrate, Borax Decahydrate, Trimethyl Borate, Zinc Borate

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

DMCC SPECIALITY CHEM
CMP: 364.8

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

India Stock Brokers market share

1) Groww: 25.8%
2) Zerodha: 16.5%
3) Angel: 15.4%
4) RSKV (Upstox): 5.8%
5) ICICI Sec: 4%
6) Kotak Sec: 3%
7) HDFC Sec: 2.7%
8) Motilal Oswal: 2%
9) Others 24.8%

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Today we discuss about One Company in detail

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Getco alone plans 96,000cr investment by 2030

Plans to add 1000 new substations
850 will be 66kv
150 will be 220kv 400kv 765kv

Gujarat & Rajasthan will lead the transmission infra demand

Copled with Renewable infra planned

Regional transmission players may benefit

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

With huge capital expenditure planned for FY25-FY32, the Transmission & Distribution(T&D) sector is witnessing significant growth in both substation capacity and transmission networks.

National Electricity Plan (Volume II) is likely to be credit positive for EPC companies in the transmission & distribution (T&D).

9 lakh crore investment expected by 2032. Government is looking for PLI scheme for different power transmission components in the value chain.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

EPC players in T&D segment are set to experience tailwinds never like before.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Any stock from this counter ??

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

MOFSL Covers P N Gadgil TP 950💹

FY24-27E🔥
REV/EBITDA/PAT: 23% / 31% / 36% CAGR

FY24-27E, 30% store expansion CAGR🔥
- 36 ~ 80 by FY27

FY19-24 REV/Store CAGR
- PNG : 20%/4%
- Titan : 20%/19%
- Kaylan : 14%/13%
- Senco : 16%/10%
- Thangamayil : 22%/13%

Second-largest organized jewelry player in Maharashtra in terms of the number of stores, with ~8% market share in Maharashtra

Aims to become the leading jewelry retailer in Maharashtra within a few years (Tanishq leads in store count at present)

Footfall reported 27% CAGR over FY21-24

Over the last 3 years, the studded ratio has improved by 250bps to 7%, aims to take this ratio into double digits in the coming year (15+%)

Studded jewelry yields higher profit margins as it includes gemstones or diamonds

For Titan & Kalyan, studded share is at 28-29%

Levers for Operating Leverage
- As studded mix improves, margins will expand
- To reduce debt from IPO proceeds. As gold metal loans increase, finance costs will reduce
GML carries a low-interest rate at 3-4%

FY24 Return Ratio: best among peers
- RoE: 34%
- RoIC: 24%

Inventory turnover for PNG is over 5-6x (2-3x higher than the industry)

Risks
- Higher competition
- Gold price volatility

Very comprehensive report by MOFSL

#PNGJL #PNGadgil

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

PATANJALI FOODS CEO Says High Palm Oil Prices Have An Impact On The Soaps And Biscuits Segment

Expect To See Some Impact Of The Increase In Palm Oil Cost

Contribution Of Palm Oil Is 20% In Biscuits And 20%+ For Soaps - CNBCTV18

Expect ₹3,100-3,200 cr in FY26 revenue from Patanjali's HPC business

Q3 festive season was muted, H2 will be better than H1

FY26 revenue growth seen b/w 7-8% and earnings growth of 8-10%. Expect to see some impact of the increase in palm oil cost

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Textiles Sector Has Huge Growth Opportunity in India ✨

15 Companies Which are Actively Focusing on the Textiles Sector

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