47546
https://t.me/+Rn8RmYm0XMZTagXs I'm not a SEBI registered advisor,the information provided by me is for educational purposes only.You are responsible for all investment decisions,plz note that I dont provide any tips/stock suggestion.
what if they really pull this off at 19 p/e what will be upside ?. it is underdog in textiles
Читать полностью…
SBI ; SBI-Raises credit growth guidance to 13-15% for FY26
Читать полностью…
Power Grid Capex | Structural Supercycle Drivers
Why Different This Time
- 765 kV/HVDC focus: High-ticket, fewer suppliers
- ISTS dominance: Limited comp vs intra-state
- RE urgency: Execution non-postponable
- Multi-yr vis: OB full till FY29+
Key Takeaway
₹37k Cr FY27 signals 3-4 yr execution runway; HVDC/ISTS tailwinds create sustained order book multiplier for ecosystem.
Power Grid Capex | Conductors/Towers/BOP Volume Plays
Taril
- In-house EPC + mfg synergy
- Domestic + PGCIL tender gains
Rajesh Power
- Execution-heavy, asset-light
- Fast cash conv in cycles
Yash Highvoltage
- Xformer OEM component supplier
- Indirect high-vol from xformer surge
Quality Power
- Power quality/grid prot equip
- Secondary systems layer
Key Takeaway
Taril/Rajesh/Yash/Quality ride volume/utilisation upside as PGCIL's ₹37k Cr scales BoP execution.
Power Grid Capex | EPC Execution Leaders (OB Visibility)
KEC International
- Dominant in 765 kV lines & HVDC corridors
- Heavy Power Grid exposure + global div (ME/Africa)
- FY27-29 execution phase unlocks earnings leverage
Kalpataru Projects
- ISTS transmission line specialist
- High op leverage on accelerated execution
- Captures bundled line + substation packages
Transrail Lighting
- Niche EHV + railway transmission strength
- Small base = disproportionate capex growth
- Margins stabilise with scale execution
Key Takeaway
KEC/Kalpataru/Transrail primed for FY27-29 revenue inflection as Power Grid's ₹37k Cr shifts execution-heavy.
Power Grid scales capex 32% - Companies which benefit and their roles in India's transmission Supercycle
Читать полностью…
Power Grid: ~32% Capex Jump to ₹37,000 Cr in FY27 – 12 Quality Transmission Plays
Capex Acceleration
- Power Grid plans FY27 capex ₹37,000 Cr (up 32% from FY26's ₹28,000 Cr RE).
- Focus: 400kV, 765kV, HVDC networks for bulk evacuation & grid stability.
- Signals transmission build‑out surge, driven by inter‑state/high‑voltage projects.
Value Chain Flow
- Capex cascades to EPC, equipment, conductors, cables, grid systems.
- Tracks structure, scale, execution across ecosystem – educational lens, not trading calls.
- 12 quality stocks to study (full chain exposure):
1. Hitachi Energy (HVDC, transformers).
2. GE Vernova T&D (equipment).
3. Transrail Lighting (structures).
4. Rajesh Power (EPC).
5. Yash Highvoltage (insulators).
6. Quality Power (cables).
7. TARIL (towers).
8. Tata Power (integrated).
9. CG Power (switchgear).
10. Siemens Energy (systems).
11. KEC International (EPC).
12. Kalpataru Projects (EPC).
Key Takeaway:
Power Grid's capex ramp underscores India's transmission super‑cycle — study these plays for long‑term ecosystem positioning & execution tailwinds.
@Stockupdate9
Sambhv Steels: Massive Stainless Steel Capex Play
Capacity Expansion
Current stainless steel capacity: 58K MTPA
Target: 360K MTPA (6x increase)
Future plans: 1.2 MTPA post-FY27/FY28
Investment Breakdown
Total capex: ₹935 Cr
Debt funding: ₹600 Cr
Internal accruals: Balance
EBITDA Potential
Max utilisation: 70% (~240K MTPA)
EBITDA/ton: ₹13,000-14,000
Annual EBITDA from SS alone: ₹300-350 Cr
Execution Timeline
Commissioning: End of FY27
Strategic Rationale
Govt push to curb cheap Chinese stainless steel imports
Promote BIS-compliant domestic production
Targeting food-grade utensils, pharma applications
India imports ~1 MTPA currently
Industry Context
Jindal Stainless adding 1.2 MTPA capacity
Sambhv's smaller incremental capacity easier to ramp/utilise
Few players crack high-quality SS at scale
Risks Acknowledged
Potential industry oversupply risk exists
Opportunity remains attractive
Financial Upside
Total EBITDA potential: ₹550-600 Cr in 3 years
PAT: ₹300+ Cr
At 25x P/E: ₹7,500 Cr market cap (3x upside)
Key Takeaway
₹935 Cr stainless steel bet delivers ₹300-350 Cr standalone EBITDA, positioning Sambhv for 3x re-rating by FY28.
Must JOIN 👇🏻
@Concalls3
Budget 2026 BESS Boost | 25 Key Stocks Benefit
Duty Exemption Extended
Government extends basic customs duty (BCD) exemption on capital goods for lithium-ion cell manufacturing to include Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS)—previously limited to general battery cells.
Policy Impact
- Lowers setup costs for domestic BESS production
- Signals push for grid-scale storage critical to renewables integration
- Cost-reduction incentive (not direct subsidy) for manufacturers
SME Plays
- Oriana Power
- Bondada Engineering
- Maxvolt Energy
- Rajesh Power
- GP Eco Solutions
Small Cap Plays
- Pace Digitek
- Prostarm Info
- H.G. Infra
- Advait Energy
- KPI Green Energy
- Power Mech Projects
- ACME Solar
Mid Cap Plays
- Godawari Power
- Amara Raja Energy
- HBL Engineering
- Gujarat Fluorochemicals
- Himadri Speciality
- Exide Industries
Large Cap Plays
- Tata Power
- JSW Energy
- Reliance Industries
- Power Grid
- Waaree Energies
- Adani Energy Solutions
- Torrent Power
Key Takeaway:
Budget 2026's BESS duty relief accelerates domestic manufacturing, positioning listed players across market caps to capture renewable storage demand growth.
@Stockupdate9
Very good company and company revise the guidance towards upper side
Any decline could be good to accumulate
TRANSRAIL LIGHTING Q3 Concall | Stellar Execution
Order Book & Pipeline
- Unexecuted: ₹14,733 Cr (+L1: ₹18,216 Cr)
- Mix: ~90% T&D; Geo: 57% domestic, 43% international
- Pipeline: ₹1+ Lakh Cr next 12M (60% domestic, 40% international)
Key Projects
- Commissioned 765 kV K3 Narela transmission line
- Completed Ahmedabad–Lakhadia 765 kV project
- Executed OHE works for RVNL
Financial Performance
- Q3 Revenue: ₹1,796 Cr, up 32% YoY
- Q3 EBITDA: ₹228 Cr, up 27% YoY (Margin: 12.7%)
- Q3 Op. PAT: ₹126 Cr, up 36% YoY
- 9M Revenue: ₹5,017 Cr, up 49% YoY
- 9M EBITDA: ₹614 Cr, up 40% YoY (Margin: 12.2%)
- 9M Op. PAT: ₹320 Cr, up 61% YoY
Balance Sheet
- Net Debt: ₹463 Cr (D/E: 0.39x)
- ROCE: 25.25%
- Working Capital Days: 83 (vs 91 FY25)
Key Takeaway:
Transrail delivers 49% 9M revenue growth with robust order visibility—healthy balance sheet and T&D dominance signal multi-year upside.
@Stockupdate9
Rossell Techsys – Strategic Growth Update
• Expects to achieve ₹1,300 Cr cumulative revenue in 2 years vs 14 years historically, highlighting sharp execution momentum
• Focused on building a scalable, globally competitive organization as an independent listed entity
• Launched ₹300 Cr QIP to fund capacity expansion, enhance capabilities, and strengthen balance sheet
• Capacity expansion underway, including evaluation of additional leased facility for semiconductor, space, and defence programs
• Strong order book and new customer wins provide multi-year revenue visibility
• Management confident on execution at scale; Q3 performance validates operational resilience
Rossell Techsys Growth | ₹1,300 Cr Revenue Target in 2 Years
Acceleration Trajectory
- Expects ₹1,300 Cr cumulative revenue in next 2 years vs 14 years historically
- Building scalable, globally competitive organization as independent listed entity
Capital Raise & Expansion
- Launched ₹300 Cr QIP for capacity expansion, capability enhancement, balance sheet strengthening
- Evaluating additional leased facility for semiconductor, space, and defence programs
Order Book Strength
- Strong order book with new customer wins ensures multi-year revenue visibility
- Q3 performance validates operational resilience and scale execution
Key Takeaway:
Rossell Techsys shifts to hyper-growth mode with 2-year revenue compression, QIP-funded expansion, and defence-space order tailwinds.
JOIN @Stockupdate9
CASTROL INDIA
CO MANAGEMENT SAY that there are trial ongoing for immersion coolants that are used in data centre
adding that it is a big opportunities
RAILTEL Says
Expect Healthy Orderbook Implementation Next Year As Well
Cancellation Of Bihar Project Will Not Affect Annual Biz
Seeing Uptick In Order Value From Telecom Sector
Data Centre Capacity to increase 3-4x over the next 7-10 yrs
Cumulative investments of 2.3 Lac Crore will be needed to fuel this growth.
Source: ICRA Report on Data Centers, Sep 2025.
Huge opportunity 📊
Deepak Nitrite , Aarti Industries and Jubilant Ingrevia Q3FY26 end and Capex ( incremental tracker) and capacities delta, very detailed
Читать полностью…
Power Grid Capex | Investor Playbook
Core Thesis
Rewards EPC execution discipline, HV equipment depth, balance sheet strength
Short-term price action irrelevant - track order conversion + execution velocity
Key Takeaway
₹37k Cr FY27 supercycle demands execution focus over entry timing.
Power Grid Capex | Integrated Power/Mfg Plays
CG Power
- Transformers/switchgear scale w/ grid spend
- Utilisation-led op leverage
Tata Power
- Indirect via grid-linked RE evacuation
- Subsidiary execution benefits
Key Takeaway
CG Power's xformer/switchgear + Tata Power's RE grid synergy capture integrated mfg upside from PGCIL supercycle.
Power Grid Capex | HV Equip Leaders (Margin/Tech Plays)
Hitachi Energy
- HVDC/765 kV xformers/grid automation leader
- Direct RE evacuation proxy
- Limited comp = pricing power
GE Vernova TD
- Substations/breakers/prot systems
- Complex grid nodes (not plain lines)
Siemens Energy
- GIS substations/grid digitalisation
- Urban/congestion node specialist
Key Takeaway
Hitachi/GE/Siemens capture highest ROCE slice via HVDC/GIS tech in Power Grid's upgrade supercycle.
Power Grid FY27 Capex | ₹37k Cr Supercycle Beneficiaries
Capex Evolution
- FY27 capex ₹37,000 Cr (↑32% vs ₹28k Cr prior); cap ₹30k Cr
- Shift: Award-heavy FY25-26 → execution FY27-28
- Drivers: ISTS accel, 765kV/HVDC RE corridors, RE add (solar/wind/hybrid)
Capex Waterfall
EPC (Lines/Substations)
- Kalpataru Proj (tower/EPC leader, ₹66k Cr OB)
- KEC Intl (turnkey EPC, 2.3x FY rev OB)
- Skipper (world#1 tower mfr, low-cost backward integ)
Primary Equip (Xformers/GIS/Reactors)
- GE Vernova (70+ 765kV units PGCIL win)
- Siemens Energy India (HVDC/GIS/switchgear ~30% capex slice)
- Transformers & Rectifiers (shunt reactors, HVDC bushings)
Secondary Systems (Prot/Control/SCADA)
- HBL Power (battery/prot relays for substations)
- Ruttonsha Intl (prot relays/SCADA)
Conductors/Cables/Hardware
- Apar Ind (cond/oil cables)
- Sterlite Tech (OPGW fibre optics)
- Tata Power (hardware fittings)
Key Takeaway
Power Grid's ₹37k Cr FY27 signals transmission supercycle peak; EPC/equip leaders (Kalpataru/GE/Siemens) best positioned for accelerated execution inflows.
Corporate Update,
Quaterly result,
Management Guidance,
Management Intervire highlights,
Stock news Live,
Business updates,
Block, Bulk deal,
Institute buy sell,
Monthly sales updates,
And many more Join 👇
@Stockupdate9
Vintage Coffee & Beverages: Growth Roadmap Confirmed
Tax Rate Clarity
Management confirms 25% tax rate henceforth (concall update).
Capex Execution
4500MT capacity live in Q4FY26
Q1FY27: 100% utilisation of new capacity
Premium Capacity Addition
5500MT freeze dry coffee capacity
40% more premium product mix
Live in FY27 Q4
Global freeze dry market growing 10%
Long-Term Capacity
FY29 total capacity: 21,000MT
Order Book Strength
Q4FY26 completely sold out as of today
Price Volatility Management
Fixed price contracts (quarterly basis)
Coffee price fluctuations passed through to customers
Key Takeaway
25% tax + premium freeze dry capex + sold-out Q4 positions Vintage for multi-year capacity ramp to 21K MT by FY29.
Must JOIN 👇🏻
@Concalls3
TD Power Systems 10% Surge | Concall Catalysts
Demand Visibility to 2030
Management flagged strong YoY growth from prime mover OEMs, with gas turbines/gas engines leading—high demand from Europe/US.
Key Growth Drivers
- Data Centers: Shift to captive power amid grid tariffs/power needs
- Grid Stabilization: Synchronous condensers gaining traction
Export Momentum
- New US gas turbine customer (engineering stage, imminent machine order); large forecast + another major client in talks
- US railway export orders secured (supplies from FY27)
Forex Margin Boost
- Rupee depreciation vs USD/EUR aids exports (stopped hedging 6 months ago)
- Spot rates enhance profitability vs domestic rupee orders
Margins & Costs Managed
- Stable margins via low-cost inventory consumption
- New orders priced for higher copper; renegotiated contracts offset input rises
Capacity Ramp-Up
- Third plant operational Dec 18 (Q3 one-offs from machinery shift)
- Current setup supports ₹2,600-2,800 Cr peak revenue (existing at ₹1,800 Cr run-rate)
Guidance Snapshot
- FY26 revenue: ₹1,800 Cr
- FY27 revenue: ₹2,200 Cr
- Quarterly order adds: ₹575-600 Cr
Key Takeaway:
TD Power's bullish outlook—data center/exports/forex tailwinds, capacity headroom, and firm FY26-27 targets—ignited the 10% rally on execution confidence.
INDIA BATTERY STORAGE REVOLUTION
Читать полностью…
TD Power Systems | Data Center + Renewables Play
Core Business Fit
TD Power Systems manufactures industrial generators, renewable energy generators, and power equipment—positioned at the intersection of AI data centers and green energy infrastructure.
Massive Market Opportunity
India's Budget emphasizes AI data centers (~₹6 Lakh Cr capex potential), which demand high-capacity backup generators, grid stabilization, and reliable power systems.
Dual Tailwinds
- Data Centers: Power-hungry facilities needing uninterrupted backup
- Renewables: Solar/wind expansion requiring balancing and integration solutions
Analyst Outlook
Targets up to ₹911 driven by capex revival, order inflows, and infra themes.
Reality Check
Success hinges on execution, margin stability, and sustained order momentum amid broader market trends.
Key Takeaway:
TD Power Systems emerges as a structural beneficiary of data center buildout + renewable push, blending immediate backup demand with long-term green infra growth.
Join @Stockupdate9
NETWEB
ANANT RAJ
Budget 2026 Exempts Notified Foreign Cloud Companies Using Indian Data Centres - CNBC-TV18
4 Conditions: Notified Foreign Entity, Indian Data Centre, Meity Approval, Indian Reseller
No Risk Of Global Income Being Taxed In India
Indian Data Centres & Resellers Remain Taxable As Domestic Entities
15% Safe Harbour For Related-party Data Centres
WELSPUN CORP Says EBITDA ₹2,500cr+ in FY26; >15% growth visibility
Jal Jeevan Mission tailwinds, FY26 issues behind
Sintex scaling to ₹1,000cr in FY27
Welspun Specialty bright outlook, ₹1,100cr+ potential
AWIS SOLUTIONS Says
30% Revenue Growth Guidance For FY261
ANAND RATHI Aerospace Mfg Watchlist | Bullish Picks
Engines / High-Complexity Machining
- Azad Engineering
- Raymond
- Godrej & Boyce (Godrej Aerospace)
- PTC Industries
Aerostructures / Structures & Build Packages
- Aequs
- Dynamatic Technologies
- LMW
- Mahindra Aerospace
Avionics / Electronics / Integration
- Rossell Techsys
- Centum Electronics
- Cyient DLM
- Rangsons Aerospace
- Axiscades Technologies
Machining / Multi-Segment
- Unimech Aerospace & Manufacturing
- Samvardhana Motherson International
- Sansera Engineering
Key Takeaway:
Anand Rathi's curated list taps India's aerospace boom—focus on engines, structures, avionics for multi-year defence/export tailwinds.
Fundamentally strong Company and Revise guidance to higher side must watch
Читать полностью…