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https://t.me/+Rn8RmYm0XMZTagXs I'm not a SEBI registered advisor,the information provided by me is for educational purposes only.You are responsible for all investment decisions,plz note that I dont provide any tips/stock suggestion.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

MTAR TECH: PRECISION HEART OF GLOBAL MEGATRENDS

Social Media Megatrends Converge
- AI infra, data center power crisis, India's nuclear renaissance, defence indigenisation, aerospace reshoring, energy storage boom — each a multi-billion $ opportunity.
- Investors hunting pure-play beneficiaries across platforms.

MTAR's Hidden Dominance
- Supplies mechanical heart of fuel cells powering US AI data centers.
- Machines rocket engines for India's satellites.
- Builds fuelling machines inside Indian nuclear reactors.
- Manufactures components for global giants: Thales, GKN Aerospace, Collins Aerospace, Elbit Systems.
- Executes all simultaneously from Hyderabad base.

Key Takeaway:
MTAR Technologies is the under-the-radar precision enabler of every major capex theme — positioning it for explosive multi-year compounding.

@Brokerage_report

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

MTAR TECHNOLOGIES

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

A&D INFLECTION POINT: TAILWINDS ALIGN

Policy & Order Catalysts
- Duty-free US access secured for Indian precision exporters.
- Domestic Nuclear PLI schemes valued at ₹20,000 crore imminent.
- Indian MoD clearances worth ₹2 lakh crore providing multi-year visibility.

Strategic Lock-Ins
- These tailwinds create 5–10 year revenue lock-ins for qualified players.

Winners & Losers
- True winners: Companies clearing FAI qualification bridge into volume production.
- Success demands strict capital discipline amid execution challenges.

Key Takeaway:
A&D hits operational inflection with unprecedented policy support — FAI completers maintaining capex discipline will dominate the next capex supercycle.

Credit: kumar saurabh

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

A&D WORKING CAPITAL REVOLUTION

Breaking The Specialty Metals Trap
- Aerospace demands Inconel/Titanium with long lead times traditionally locking up working capital.
- Management teams innovating to slash cash conversion cycles.

Raymond's Strategy
- Raw material inflation now fully pass-through in contracts — protecting margins from input volatility.

Rossell Techsys Model
- Shifting to "distributor-held" inventory — partners maintain stock.
- Company draws inventory purely on need basis, dramatically compressing working capital needs.

Key Takeaway:
Procurement innovations like pass-through pricing and distributor-led inventory are freeing up balance sheets, enabling faster re-investment in A&D growth.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

A&D MARGIN J-CURVE: INVESTMENT PHASE

FAI Optical Illusion
- Sector margins pressured by heavy First Article Inspections (FAIs) to onboard MNC clients and qualify new parts.
- FAIs consume engineering bandwidth and drag near-term profitability.

Lock-In & Leverage Ahead
- Creates "lock-in" effect with new MNC relationships and qualified parts.
- Transition to batch/volume production will unlock massive operational leverage.
- Expected to drive exponential margin expansion in coming quarters.

Key Takeaway:
Current margin compression is a classic FAI investment phase — positioning A&D leaders for structural profitability inflection as volume ramps materialize.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

INDIAN A&D SECTOR: STRUCTURAL METAMORPHOSIS

Q3FY26 Concall Insights
- Aerospace & Defense (A&D) plus Precision Engineering shifting from "low-cost outsourced component hubs" to "IP-driven system manufacturers".
- Global supply chain rebalancing creating decade-defining opportunities beyond headline numbers.

Investor Alpha Opportunity
- Real value hidden in non-obvious trends shaping the sector's trajectory for institutional portfolios.
- Q3FY26 reveals core structural shifts positioning India as a high-margin global player.

Key Takeaway:
A&D's value-chain climb unlocks alpha — watch for IP-led innovators as supply chain realignment drives the next decade's outperformance.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

BRIGADE INDUSTRIAL PARK | DEEP DIVE

## Project Specifications
- 25-acre campus in Devanahalli, North Bengaluru near airport.
- ~2 Mn sq ft leasable area targeting plug-and-play industrial units.
- Multi-story + single-story formats for aerospace, defence, electronics, data centres.

## Strategic Location Edge
- 5-10 min drive from Kempegowda International Airport cargo terminal.
- Proximity to Honda/Nissan plants + upcoming Boeing MR O facility.
- Bengaluru industrial absorption 15 Mn sq ft annually; vacancy sub-5%.

## Market Timing Perfect
- PLI schemes driving EMS/aerospace capex; data centre pipeline +10 GW.
- Industrial rents +15% YoY; yields 8-9% vs office 7-8%.
- Brigade captures Chennai/Pune spillover with faster approvals.

## Financial Model Shift
- Annuity rental income vs lumpy residential sales; REIT unlock potential.
- Target 70% pre-leased by FY27 at ₹45-55/sq ft/month.
- 20-25% EBITDA margin vs 15-18% residential; stable cash flows.

## Portfolio Impact
- Industrial ~10% of Bengaluru portfolio post-completion (FY28).
- De-risks residential cyclicality; 25-30x P/E multiple vs current 45x.
- Re-rating catalyst if leasing hits 1 Mn sq ft within 12 months.

Key Takeaway:
Airport-adjacent industrial park perfectly timed for PLI/data centre boom—leasing velocity to drive re-rating from residential multiple compression.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

15. Ratnaveer Precision

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

🔥Top 15 SmallCap Stocks Consistently Growing Quarter by Quarter.

▫️Multibagger Potential
▫️Sales Growth 20% Above
▫️Q0>Q1>Q2>Q3

1. KPI Green Energy

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Parag MilkFoods - Installed capacity (Combined)

Plant-Level and their Strategic Specialization

1. Manchar (Maharashtra) flagship plant; cheese, whey, paneer, SMP
2. Palamaner (AP) UHT milk, beverages, ghee

3. Sonipat (Haryana)fresh dairy for North India

This gives national distribution coverage with limited logistics cost.

@Stockinfo333

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Will share you strong stocks

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

AZAD order book 6,500 cr+

33%–35% EBITDA margin business
40% of its revenues from US
25%+ revenue growth expected

Clients: GE, Mitsubishi, Siemens, Rolls-Royce,Baker Hughes, and Honeywell

Currently trades at 43.8x EV/EBITDA and 85.6x PE

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Nalanda's Experience in 2008 Lehman's Collapse

They Bought the most successful investment Page Industries at TTM PE 18! (107X)

His funds have generated 20% CAGR for last 17 Years (2023 Data)

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Deepak Nitrite Promoter buying at 5 year low prices

Let's see what happens next

Execution and Commercialization of Capex can be big trigger

@Stockupdate9

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Emkay on Sandhar technologies –

Sandhar has transitioned from an intense capex-building phase (FY18–22) to consolidation and margin repair (FY23-25), and is now entering the harvesting phase (FY26E-28E) when operating leverage, lower capex, and overseas recovery are likely to lift RoCE and cash flows

SRc – Emkay report, no reco, biased

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

MTAR TECH: ARCHITECT OF EVERY MEGATRENDS

Hyderabad's Multi-Theme Powerhouse
- Direct beneficiary across AI, data centers, nuclear energy, defence indigenisation, aerospace, green hydrogen, battery storage, oil & gas.
- Not peripheral exposure — at the core of each revolution.

Strategic Positioning
- Precision engineering expertise positions MTAR as quiet architect linking global megatrends to Indian manufacturing.
- Wakes up daily to diversified, high-barrier tailwinds spanning tech, energy, and defence.

Key Takeaway:
MTAR Technologies embodies India's convergence of capex supercycles — a rare multi-decade compounder at the nexus of structural growth themes.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

TTK PRESTIGE: FROM 1928 DISTRIBUTOR TO KITCHEN KING

Distribution DNA Endures
- Founded by T.T. Krishnamachari; pioneered Horlicks/Cadbury distribution in India.
- Today reaches 100,000+ retail touchpoints nationwide — unmatched penetration.

Market Dominance
- 37% share in pressure cookers.
- 31% share in cookware — near-monopoly positioning.
- Evolved from "Jo Biwi Se Kare Pyaar" to "Smarter Kitchens" with aesthetics focus.

Pristine Balance Sheet
- Zero long-term debt — net cash fortress.
- Current ratio 3.8:1 (cash covers liabilities 4x).
- Interest coverage: 22.45 — resilient through rate hikes.

₹500 Cr Reboot Strategy
- ₹300 Cr capex: Automation + new plants.
- ₹200 Cr soft opex: R&D + digital transformation.
- Short-term margin hit, but builds path to ₹5,000 Cr revenue.

Modular Kitchens Pivot
- Ultrafresh Modular Solutions — captures at home-buying stage.
- Ticket size leap: ₹3,000 (pan) to ₹2,00,000 (kitchen) — pure operating leverage.

Value Defense
- Judge brand grew 43% YoY — mass-market weapon vs. cheap locals.
- Protects Prestige premium while penetrating Tier 2/3.

Regulatory Tailwind
- 2025 BIS safety standards to sideline unorganized players, creating vacuum for trusted brands.

Recent Wins & Resilience
- Won major IP battle vs. Butterfly Gandhimathi.
- 700+ Xclusive stores + tri-ply premiumization despite rural/MFI headwinds.

Key Takeaway:
TTK Prestige's debt-free fortress, reboot capex, and regulatory moat position it as the premium compounder in India's kitchen consumption upcycle.

@Stockupdate9

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

A&D ECOSYSTEM MOATS DEEPENING

Integrated Supply Chain Barriers
- Entry barriers rising through single-ecosystem moats and expanding wallet share.

Aequs Advantage
- Built single-SEZ fully integrated ecosystem: forging, machining, surface treatment.
- Enables 100% in-country value-add for critical parts like commercial aircraft wheels.

Wallet Share Runway
- Raymond: Current kit value per aircraft engine at just 0.1%–0.3%.
- Massive headroom as Airbus/Boeing ramp deliveries and diversify supply chains.
- Potential to capture higher wallet share on existing engine platforms alone.

Key Takeaway:
Aequs' integrated SEZ and Raymond's low wallet-share base create durable moats as OEM diversification accelerates multi-year revenue compounding.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

A&D MEETS AI/SEMI: COLLIDING MEGATRENDS

Beyond Traditional Demand
- Precision engineering demand exploding from AI & semiconductor megatrends, not just aero/defense.

MTAR Technologies
- Aggressively scaling solid oxide fuel cell capacity to 30,000 units.
- Directly targeting 24/7 power needs of AI-driven data centers.

Rossell Techsys
- Experiencing rapid scale-up in complex wire harnesses for semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
- High-volume, low-mix profile offers superior economics vs. traditional aerospace.

Key Takeaway:
AI/semiconductor tailwinds are supercharging A&D precision plays — MTAR's fuel cells and Rossell's harnesses unlock diversification beyond cyclical defense cycles.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

A&D VALUE-CHAIN CLIMB: FROM COMPONENTS TO SYSTEMS

Strategic Shift Accelerates
- Indian precision players rejecting "build-to-print" contracts; aggressively scaling to full system integration.

Apollo Micro Systems
- Transitioning from subsystem supplier to complete weapon system manufacturer.
- Acquiring explosives capabilities for full backward integration.

Data Patterns
- Protecting ~44% EBITDA margins through 100% in-house Indian IP.
- Developing complete Radar & Electronic Warfare suites; writing off development costs instead of importing basic components.

Key Takeaway:
India's A&D leaders are rapidly climbing the value chain — Apollo's integration and Data Patterns' IP dominance signal multi-year margin sustainability.

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

You have everything you need

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Mergers & Acquisition is a big trend happening within the Auto Industry

1. Belrise recently merged its 2 unlisted subsidiaries at an average PE of 8.3 times and at book value+They recently acquired an entity in France which gives them access to Aerospace vertical.

2. Shri Ram Pistons recently acquired Grupo Antolin, the co specialises in Car interior products like Door Trims, Touch components & Floor consoles.

3. Gabriel India recently announced it will be merging 2 of its unlisted entities. And they have given a combined sales target of 50k crores by FY30.

4. Lumax Auto recently decided to acquire full stake in IAC india, thereby reducing minority profits from 24-25% of its overall PAT to 14-15%.

Most of these M&A are either happening to improve governance or to get into products that the companies aren't making today.

Industry wide phenomenon

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

4. Thangamayil Jewellery

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Hope you understand One Day 😊🙏

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Good opportunity for coming days

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Investor Return Formula: Mental Model of Great Investors

1. Return = Earnings Growth + P/E Expansion

2. Retail investors miss the 2nd part

3. Infosys (2000), Trent (2024), Eternal (2025): High Starting PE ➝ No PE Expansion ➝ No Return

P/E Re-rating Powers Investor Returns:

Infosys 2000: The Dotcom Bubble

a. In March 2000, Infosys stock traded at a P/E of 200. Investors priced in decades of future growth.

b. 2000 to 2009: Infosys profits grew 20X in 10 yrs (₹286 cr in 2000 to ₹5,819 cr in 2009). Very few companies in the world achieve that growth.

c. Investor Returns from 2000 to 2009: Flat (Zero returns). Why? Because the valuation multiple (P/E) normalized from 200X to 25X (87% decline).

Lessons for Investors

a. P/E multiples normalize over time because growth normalizes over time. New competitors enter, new technologies happen, founders get rich and lazy, consumer preferences change.

b. For example, you may be euphoric today about Eternal’s growth. But over the next 10 years, you may no longer be so euphoric. If their growth normalizes, you could end up with zero returns over 10 years.

c. Retail investors ignore future P/E normalization because that is the hard part to calculate. Legendary investors only focus on that part.

d. P/E re-rating changes everything. If starting P/E is low, and earnings growth improves over time, long-term investor returns can be extraordinary. If the opposite happens, long-term returns will be poor.

When Does a Stock Deserve High P/E?

a. If a company can continue to re-invest its profits at high returns for a long time-period, only then a high P/E multiple is justified. Three conditions must be met:

(1) High return on capital employed (high ROCE)

(2) High re-investment rate (large opportunity to re-invest a major portion of annual profits)

(3) Long duration of annual re-investment cycle (long runway)

b. Example: The following business performance deserves a high P/E multiple:

ROCE = 25%
Re-investment Rate = 60%
Earnings Growth =
ROCE x Reinvestment Rate
25% x 60% = 15% CAGR
Growth Duration: 20 yrs

This is 15% YoY profit growth without any need for external capital (debt or equity dilution). Just 60% of annual profits are re-invested year after year.

c. The critical factor in the above example is how long the re-investment cycle can last? Will it last for 5 years or 20 years? The compounding power of 20 years is extraordinary. But if it lasts only 5 years, and you paid high starting P/E, capital destruction will happen. (Example: Trent)

How Do 100-Bagger Returns Happen: Low Starting P/E, Steady Growth, Long Runway

a. In 2002, Titan’s P/E ratio was 8 or 10 because future growth expectations (which determine P/E multiples) were modest.

b. Titan’s branded jewellery business did not enjoy an explosive growth rate of 25% or 30% YoY. Instead, there was a reasonable growth for a long period. Brand trust increased gradually, store expansion happened steadily.

c. P/E Re-rating: Once the market recognized Titan’s long runway, P/E multiple changed from 10 to 60~80. In other words, investors were willing to pay 8X more for the same stock.

d. MATH: Assume these hypothetical figures for Titan in 2002:

EPS = ₹1
P/E = 10
Stock Price = ₹10

Earnings (EPS) Growth:
15% CAGR x 20 yrs

EPS after 20 yrs = ₹16.37

P/E after 20 yrs = 70

Stock Price = EPS x PE
= ₹16.37 x 70 = ₹1,146

Price Change in 20 Yrs:
₹10 to ₹1,146 = 114X

How did 114X returns happen?

Earnings Growth x PE Expansion

16.37 x 70

Market rewarded shareholders with a massive P/E expansion of 7X because of steady growth, long runway, and low starting P/E.

ENDQUOTE

“In the short-run, the market is a voting machine. (You can vote even for a fool based on narratives.) In the long-run, it is a weighing machine. (Scientific measurement based on unemotional facts.)” – Warren Buffett’s Guru Benjamin Graham, “The Intelligent Investor,” 1949

Credit Vikas vij

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

As per a 50 year study of all major wars & geopolitical shocks since the 1970s, equity markets always recover within 6 to 12 months. Investors with cash & a time horizon of 8 to 10 years should not miss the present opportunity to invest in equity.

Don't be worry

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

KRISHNA DEFENCE – BUILDING INDIA’S LARGEST AUTONOMOUS UNDERWATER VEHICLE “JALKAPI”

Strategic Defence Project
Krishna Defence & Allied Industries Ltd (KDAIL) constructing JALKAPI, India’s largest Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV)
• Designed by the Indian Navy
• Construction underway at Halol, Gujarat facility

Project Timeline
• Construction started with plate-cutting ceremony on 10 June 2025
• AUV designed for 30–45 days endurance missions
• Platform weight ~20 tonnes

Mission Capabilities
Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance (ISR)
Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW)
Mine Countermeasure operations
Subsea survey and monitoring missions

Advanced Technology Features
EO/IR sensors for surveillance
Satellite communication (Satcom)
Acoustic sensor systems
AI-based autonomous navigation systems

Strategic Partnerships
• Collaboration with Indian Navy Directorate of Naval Design (DND-SDG)
• Technology support from CSIR – National Institute of Oceanography
• Material support from Steel Authority of India (SAIL)

Make in India Significance
• Supports India’s indigenous defence manufacturing push
• KDAIL has already indigenized multiple naval components, including:
Bulb bars for warships
Welding electrodes
Armour steel profiles

Company Expansion
Manufacturing capacity doubled in 2025
• Dedicated facility for advanced defence engineering projects

Other Business Segments
High altitude heaters (Bukhari) for defence forces
Stainless steel products
Dairy processing equipment

Industry Opportunity
• Global Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV) market projected to reach ~$6.69 Bn by 2033

Investor Perspective
• Entry into advanced underwater defence systems could significantly enhance KDAIL’s strategic positioning
• If successfully executed, projects like JALKAPI can place the company in a high-value niche defence technology segment 🌊⚓️

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Counter Drone Market Expected to Grow by 28% CAGR

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

Smallcap With Good Value (PEG Wise)

1) BLS Int: 0.25
2) Tilak Nagar: 0.40
3) Action Cons: 0.43
4) Kirloskar Bros: 0.45
5) Banco Product: 0.50
6) Manorama Ind: 0.50
7) Elecon: 0.50
8) Lemon Tree: 0.59
9) ASK Auto: 0.61
10) Va Tech Wabag: 0.67
11) Pricol: 0.70
12) Time Techno: 0.70
13) Voltamp: 0.70
14) Marksons Pharma: 0.81
15) Sumitresearch: 0.81
16) Fiem Ind: 0.81
17) EPL: 0.81
18) SML Mahindra: 0.84
19) Indegene:0.86
20) Sharda Motors: 0.86
21) Yatharth: 0.88

PEG <1 is Good Value

Disclaimer: No Recommendation, Just Data

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