Bank of England preview: Christmas pause in cutting cycle
We expect the Bank of England (BoE) to keep the Bank Rate unchanged at 4.75% on Thursday 19 December in line with consensus and market...
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China economic and FX outlook: Scenario analysis
With China particularly sensitive to changes in U.S. trade and tariff policy, we find value in laying out scenarios for how China's economy and currency could evolve going...
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US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI declines to 48.3 in December, Services PMI improves to 58.5
US S&P Global Composite PMI rose to 56.6 in December's flash estimate from 54.9 in November, showing that the business activity in the US' private sector continued to expand at an accelerating...
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Rate cuts all around
The Dollar rallies strongly late last week! Another Engineered Takedown of the...
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AUD/USD faces pressure near 0.6380 ahead of flash US PMI, Fed policy in focus
The AUD/USD pair surrenders its intraday gains and turns flat after failing to extend its upside move above 0.6380 in Monday’s North American...
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CAD steady but trade tensions weigh – Scotiabank
There is no relenting in the still developing pressure on the Canadian Dollar...
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD finds support at $30.30 to trim some losses
Silver Prices (XAG/USD) are trading in a mild positive bias on Monday, trimming some losses after the rejection from levels above $32.00 last...
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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Cautious pressure amid looming Federal Reserve
The EUR/USD pair is under mild pressure on Monday as demand for the US Dollar (USD)...
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Oil: The final test of the year
The price of a barrel of WTI crude oil fell by 0.7% and was in danger of falling below...
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US Dollar mixed as PMI releases shake up markets
The US Dollar (USD) trades slightly lower on Monday after a string of data and headlines that took away the attention from the US Federal Reserve’s rate decision, which will be released later this week on...
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US net debt is likely to continue to grow rapidly – Commerzbank
The US current account is in deficit because the US economy constantly imports more than it...
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USD/CAD resumes uptrend to test long-term highs at 1.4240
The US Dollar keeps trading firm against its weaker Canadian...
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CAD: A few more months until the turnaround – Commerzbank
Given the combination of further rate cuts, a still-weak real economy, risks from US tariffs and a strong US Dollar (USD), expect the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to continue to struggle for several months, Commerzbank’s BoC is expected to end the cut cycle for the time being “In the meantime, we are even trading slightly above our expected peak of 1.41 in the first quarter of 2025 with USD/CAD at...
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Downbeat Eurozone projections boost Euro
The last European Central Bank meeting of the year delivered on what most of the market had expected: a 25 basis point cut, and a sombre downgrade of its expectations for Eurozone growth in 2025 and 2026, which Lagarde hinted could be negatively impacted by Trump’s...
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China: Growth normalised in November – Standard Chartered
IP growth picked up partly due to base effect; FAI and retail sales growth normalised from October...
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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Trades at make or a break near 0.5770
The NZD/USD pair rises to near 0.5785 in Monday’s North American session after refreshing a yearly low near 0.5750 on...
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USD/JPY Price Forecast: Soars past 154.00, ignoring upbeat Japanese data
The USD/JPY extended its gains as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains the laggard in the G10 FX...
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GBP outperforms modestly – Scotiabank
Despite some sloppy GDP data for October reported Friday and today’s less than stellar December PMIs, there is little anticipation of any BoE rate action this...
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CNY: Yields in free fall – Commerzbank
In China, the significant decline in the current interest rate for 10-year government bonds continues, and today's economic data are not likely to do much to stop this...
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USD mixed but retains firm undertone – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) squeezed out a sixth, if marginal, consecutive gain overall on Friday and the Dollar Index (DXY) is tracking marginally higher for a potential seventh to start the week off, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne...
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Pound higher as Services PMI rises, job report next
The British pound has moved higher on Monday, after declining 1% last...
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Tech holds tight, Gold tumbles – Will JJ stuff your stocking?
It’s Fed week…. (yawn). Former Fed members say, ‘Slow...
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Five fundamentals for the week: Fed dominates the last full and busy trading week of the year
Christmas is coming – but there's a high likelihood of wild price action before the holiday season...
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Santa Claus rally in 2024?
USD: Dec '24 is Up at 106.695. Energies: Jan '25 Crude is Down at...
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USD/CNH: Consolidate in recent range – OCBC
USD/CNH firmed but levels remain within recent range. Pair was last at 7.2916 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong...
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USD/SGD: Consolidation is likely near term – OCBC
USD/SGD resumed its rise, tracking the move higher in UST yield while weaker JPY and RMB saw negative spillover...
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Mexican Peso hovers around 20.00 as the US Dollar pulls back
The Mexican Peso (MXN) opens the week with moderate gains and consolidates near the 20.00...
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