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Explore how major economic events can move the markets and create rapid shifts in momentum. Prepare for periods of heightened volatility and fast-changing sentiment.
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🇯🇵📝 BoJ Signals Shake Markets
Hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan sparked a jump in global bond yields, but strong demand for JGBs helped stabilise Asian markets today.
💴📉 Yen Still Under Pressure
The yen remains weak against the dollar, increasing pressure on businesses and adding momentum to expectations of a December BoJ rate hike.
🏦📈 Asian Stocks Mixed
Japan edged higher, Hong Kong and Korea rallied, while mainland China lagged. Tech shares boosted the Kospi, with Samsung and SK Hynix leading the way.
💹📉 Bitcoin Drops Sharply
Bitcoin slid below key support on thin liquidity and rising yields. Traders are also watching the potential MSCI rule change that could trigger forced flows.
🇬🇧🏦 BoE Loosens Capital Rules
The Bank of England cut capital requirements after major lenders passed stress tests, signalling more confidence in UK financial stability.
🇬🇧📉 UK Pension Funds Trim US Exposure
Large UK pension schemes are reducing holdings in concentrated US tech stocks, citing AI bubble risks and market imbalance.
🌍🔎 What to Watch Next
All eyes on December: the BoJ’s decision, the Fed policy meeting, crypto index changes, and market reactions to rising global yields.
📈 Global Markets Start December Strong
Equities stay in the green and the MSCI World Index trades just below record highs. AI optimism and central bank support keep risk sentiment alive.
🛍 Holiday Spending Surges
Black Friday and Cyber Monday broke records again , with US holiday sales projected to exceed $1 trillion for the first time.
💵 Fed Cut Back on the Table
Markets are now pricing in -20 bps for December and -28 bps for January. Powell aims for consensus as recent data softens.
🇯🇵🇨🇳 Asia Faces Weaker Factory Activity
Japan and China PMIs remain in contraction territory, highlighting ongoing pressure on regional manufacturing.
💻 Tech Stocks Stay Volatile
Nvidia and Palantir slid in November while Alphabet surged on Gemini AI momentum.
🛢 Oil Rebounds After OPEC+ Hold
Brent climbs above $63 as OPEC+ maintains output pause and geopolitical tensions keep supply risks high.
🪙 Crypto Hit by $646M Liquidations
Bitcoin drops toward $86K as leveraged longs unwind across major exchanges.
💰 Gold and the US Dollar rose together in November, but both are unlikely to continue climbing in the coming months.
📅 16 December could be highly volatile, with two months of NFP data released alongside major economic reports.
⚖️ Weak NFP figures may push the Fed towards larger or more frequent cuts, supporting Gold and pressuring the Dollar.
🛢️ Oil is heading for the longest run of monthly losses in more than two years, as traders looked ahead to an OPEC+ meeting this weekend and US-led efforts to end the conflict in Ukraine.
🕊️ Putin said that a recent US-backed peace proposal ‘could serve as the basis’ for a deal. However, he did not indicate that a peace deal was imminent. Oil prices continue to trade below $60.
🏅 All metals traded higher on Friday with Platinum, Silver, and Palladium witnessing the strongest gains. Gold also trades 0.45% higher.
💵 The day’s best performing currencies are the New Zealand and Australian Dollar, as it has been over the past week. The worst performing currencies are the Euro, Swiss Franc, and Pound.
📈 Inflation in Japan again came in higher than expectations. Analysts were expecting inflation to fall to 2.7%, but the rate remained at 2.8%. However, the Japanese Yen still struggles to gain bullish momentum.
🏦 The European Central Bank (ECB) has issued a warning to euro‑zone banks with large U.S. dollar exposure: they should strengthen their capital and liquidity buffers to prepare for potential dollar‑liquidity stress.
🌍 Global markets are ending November with cautious optimism as investors increasingly price in a probable rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) next month.
📊 According to the Chicago exchange, almost 80% of market participants believe the Fed will cut interest rates. The exchange also notes that 24% of traders believe the Fed will also cut in January 2026.
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📈 Asian Markets Rise
Asian stocks gained after Wall Street rallied on hopes that the Fed may cut rates in December. Japan’s Nikkei was flat, pressured by a sharp drop in SoftBank as Google’s new Gemini AI sparked competition concerns.
🤖 AI Stocks Boost Wall Street
US markets kicked off the week strong:
• S&P 500 ↑ 1.5%
• Nasdaq ↑ 2.7%
• Dow ↑ 0.4%
Alphabet jumped 6.3% on Gemini AI enthusiasm, while Nvidia climbed 2.1%.
📊 Inflation Data in Focus
Traders await the US wholesale inflation report. A hotter reading could challenge December rate-cut expectations, but markets still price in an 85% chance of a cut.
🛢 Oil & Forex Move Lower
WTI dipped to $58.59 and Brent to $62.42. The dollar slipped to ¥156.70, and the euro edged down to $1.1517.
₿ Bitcoin Finds Some Stability
Bitcoin traded around $88,100 after a severe sell-off that erased over $1 trillion from crypto markets. RSI and options data now point to easing stress and a possible near-term bottom.
Markets are gearing up for a busy week ahead! ⚡️
Stay informed and keep your strategy ready for potential swings.
📅 See the full calendar here.
💬 What are you keeping an eye on this week?
🚀 NVIDIA beats earnings expectations! The tech giant’s strong revenue and optimistic guidance lifted the NASDAQ, fueling a broader tech rally.
📈 Join our Market Analyst Michalis, as he breaks down what this means for the NASDAQ and its outlook post-NVIDIA announcement. Full video below!👇
Join us live for real-time analysis of the US NFP report.
After the historic government shutdown, traders are on edge. Will the data calm the markets or spark volatility?
We break down what this could mean for the dollar, stocks, and interest rates, and how traders might react. Don’t miss it!
Watch the full analysis today at 13:10 GMT.
Youtube Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UGhflT6Y7g8
📉 Global Markets Turn Risk-Off
Wall Street opened the week under heavy pressure. The Dow dropped over 550 points, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq slid, and the VIX spiked 13% as sentiment fell into “extreme fear.” Investors are pulling back ahead of major catalysts.
🤖 Nvidia Earnings: The Week’s Biggest Test
Nvidia — now responsible for nearly 8% of the S&P 500 — reports earnings on Wednesday. Investors fear AI stocks may be overpriced, and any disappointment could trigger deeper sector-wide losses. Tech has already shed over 5% since October’s highs.
📊 NFP (Jobs Report) Delayed — Now Even More Critical
Thursday’s long-delayed U.S. jobs report is finally coming. Because expectations for a Fed rate cut in December have fallen from 94% to 45%, this NFP could decide the Federal Reserve’s next move.
➡️ Strong NFP → Fed likely pauses
➡️ Weak NFP → Economic slowdown fears surge
🌏 Asia Markets Hit Hard Overnight
Asian trading delivered another blow:
• Japan’s Nikkei -3%
• South Korea’s Kospi -3.1%
• Taiwan Taiex -2.3%
Tech stocks led the fall, with key chipmakers like Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix, Samsung and TSMC sharply lower.
A surge in Japan’s 30-year bond yield to 3.31% added pressure, fueled by expectations of higher government spending.
💱 Currencies: Yen Slides, Dollar Holds Firm
The yen traded above 155, its weakest since February, while the euro hit its lowest level against the yen since 1999. FX volatility is rising ahead of the U.S. data releases.
💸 Bitcoin Breaks Below $90K
Crypto continues its six-week sell-off. Bitcoin has now fallen 28% from its record highs, dragging crypto stocks like Coinbase (-7%) and Robinhood (-5%) with it.
📉 Market Rotation Continues
Investors are rotating out of overheated tech and into cheaper sectors. Analysts say this could help cool market “frothiness” and stabilize the ongoing bull run.
🛢 Oil & Commodities
Crude prices slipped again:
• WTI: $59.49
• Brent: $63.77
Adding another layer to the risk-off mood.
👀 Why This Week Matters
This is one of the most important weeks of Q4 for global markets:
✔️ Nvidia earnings
✔️ U.S. Jobs Report
✔️ Fed rate outlook
✔️ Asia bond yields
✔️ Tech + crypto volatility
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📊 Essential risk management tips
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🇺🇸 US government shutdown ends, but key economic reports like inflation and employment data may still face delays.
📊 Economists and analysts continue to expect the inflation rate to remain at 3%, with employment continuing to weaken.
🇬🇧 UK economic data continues to disappoint, with GDP contracting by 0.1% and GDP expectations also falling from 0.3% to 0.1%.
💼 UK Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, advises the UK budget, which is due to be released at the end of the month will be “challenging” and will create high volatility.
📉 Rate cut expectations fall from 66% to 52% after two Fed officials publicly opposed a December reduction pressuring stocks. The two members are Susan Collins, President of the Boston Fed, and Raphael Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed branch.
📈 The NASDAQ and S&P500 saw a day marked by contrasting performances between the first and second halves of the day. Stocks rose at first but then struggled during the US session.
⚖️ The performance of the stock market is likely to depend on whether inflation allows the Fed to cut interest rates in December. Analysts say inflation will likely play a bigger role in shaping the Fed’s next decisions.
💻 Cisco released its Q3 earnings, beating revenue estimates by $11 million and EPS by $0.02, with stronger forward guidance. Cisco stocks rose 7.00%.
📈 On Wednesday, 58% of the NASDAQ’s most influential stocks (weight above 0.50%) rose in value with AMD stocks witnessing the strongest gains (+9.00%).
💱 The day’s best-performing currencies so far are the Australian Dollar, Swiss Franc and Euro. The worst-performing are the US Dollar, Japanese Yen and British Pound.
🪙 The Metals market continues to push higher, trying to correct the decline seen towards the end of October. Gold trades 0.63% higher, but Palladium and Platinum are the day’s best performing metals.
💰 Gold surged nearly 3%, marking its strongest gain in six months as the US. shutdown nears an end.
📊 Investors anticipate fresh US economic data, including jobs and GDP reports, delayed by the government shutdown.
💵 The US Dollar weakened, boosting Gold, as markets expect softer data and potential Fed rate cuts.
🥇 The Metals market rebounds along with Gold and continues to increase on Tuesday. Silver, Gold and Platinum continue to be the week’s best performers.
🏛️ The White House proposed $2,000 payments to most Americans, though experts doubt congressional approval.
📈 Gold remains above key technical levels, showing continued buy signals with potential to hit new highs.
💷 The British Pound fell after weak UK employment data, increasing expectations of a Bank of England rate cut.
📉 The UK’s Unemployment claims have risen 29,000 according to today’s release. The number of newly added claims is higher than analysts’ previous predictions of 18,000 and higher than the previous 4 months.
💷 The UK’s Average Salary Index also fell from 5.00% to 4.8% and the Unemployment Rate rose to 5%, the highest in 4 years.
🇬🇧 The British Pound is the worst-performing currency of the day and is the second worst-performing currency of the month after the Japanese Yen.
📈 Rising optimism around the shutdown progress boosted demand for risk assets. The US stock market significantly rose on Monday, but is retracing during this morning's Asian session.
🇯🇵 Japan’s 30-year bond sale saw a weaker demand than the 12-month average as investors are disappointed with the level of hikes taken by the BOJ.
🌏 The Asian session’s best performing currencies are the Swiss Franc, US Dollar and Euro.
Traders, gear up! 🏁
The week ahead brings crucial economic updates that could shake the charts.
📅 Check the full calendar and stay ahead of the curve.
💬 What’s your trading outlook?
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🇺🇸📉 US Jobs Miss Fuels Rate-Cut Bets
A sharp 32k drop in ADP private payrolls boosted expectations for a 25 bp Fed cut on 10 December, sending Treasury yields lower and lifting US equities.
🇺🇸📈 Wall Street Near Record Highs
Falling yields helped the Dow (+0.86%) move closer to its all-time high, while the S&P 500 (+0.30%) and Nasdaq (+0.17%) also advanced despite early tech-sector weakness.
🇯🇵🏦 BOJ December Hike Looks Set
BOJ Governor Ueda reportedly secured political backing for a 0.75% rate hike this month. Longer-term guidance remains unclear, keeping Japan’s bond market volatile.
🇯🇵📈 JGB Yields Hit 2007 Highs
Japan’s 10-year yield climbed to 1.92%, its highest since before the global financial crisis. The 30-year briefly hit 3.44%, before strong auction demand eased pressure.
🌏📊 Asian Markets Mixed
The Nikkei jumped 2.3%, supported by expectations of a US rate cut. SoftBank surged 9.2% on renewed AI focus. Hong Kong gained, Shanghai slipped, and the Kospi dipped on tech weakness.
💷📈 Pound Surges on Strong UK Data
GBPUSD posted its biggest daily gain since April, rising 1.1% after UK Composite PMI beat expectations at 51.2. Dollar weakness added support.
💰📈 Crypto & Commodities Firm
Bitcoin rebounded above $93,000, while oil prices edged higher: WTI at $59.40 and Brent at $63.07.
🌍🔎 What to Watch Next
Fed rate decision on 10 December, BOJ’s December meeting, global bond-market volatility, and continued FX reactions to shifting yield expectations.
Another week, another round of key releases shaping the markets! 🚨
Stay informed and keep your strategy sharp.
📅 Tap here for the full economic calendar and insights.
💬 What are you watching most closely?
Stay ahead of the markets with expert insights! 👀
Learn how to identify long-term trends, manage risk and build a disciplined strategy. Plus, uncover recurring seasonal patterns, refine your trading timing and make more informed decisions. 📈
Secure your spot for Tuesday and Wednesday today!
🌍 The GBP rose against all currencies after the UK releases its latest budget.
💰 The Chancellor’s tax measures are expected to raise £26.1 billion by 2030, mainly through frozen income tax thresholds, higher vehicle taxes, and a ‘mansion tax.’
📊 Personal allowance and income tax thresholds will remain fixed (£12,570, £50,270, £125,140) until 2030, pushing government revenue to a historic 38% of GDP.
📉 According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME Group) FedWatch Tool, the probability that the regulator will adjust the interest rate by -25 basis points at the end of this year is now 85%.
🚀 Tesla rose after positive momentum followed CEO Elon Musk’s announcement on X that Tesla plans to expand AI chip production. The company aims to replace the AI4 chip with AI5, begin work on AI6, and release new versions annually.
🇺🇸 The US Dollar is likely to witness lower volatility as the US market will be closed for Thanksgiving.
📈 Global equities are riding a wave of optimism as hopes rise that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December.
💵 Even though the US Dollar Index remains under pressure, the latest US releases support a stronger Dollar. The US weekly unemployment rate fell to 216,000, lower than expectations and the lowest since April. In addition to this, the Durable Goods Figure also came in above expectations.
⛏️ Goldstarted the day with a decline, however, traders should note that all other metals traded higher on Thursday. Metals are known to be positively correlated.
🥝 The day’s best-performing currency is the New Zealand Dollar. The worst performing currencies are the Swiss Franc and GBP.
📈 Australia’s CPI (inflation rate) rose from 3.5% to 3.8%, higher than previous expectations.
💱 The Reserve Bank of New Zealand decided to lower the Official Cash Rate from 2.50% to 2.25%. Both the Australian and New Zealand Dollars increased in value during this morning’s Asian session.
💷 The British Pound came under pressure as investors await the release of the UK’s Autumn Budget.
📉 UK Chancellor Reeves's fiscal rules have driven up borrowing costs, slowed growth, and forced welfare cuts, leaving a projected £20-35 billion deficit that can only be closed through higher tax revenues.
🏠 Political experts expect the chancellor to announce a ‘mansion tax’ on properties above 2 Million GBP and a Tourist Tax.
🛒 The US retail sales figure slightly fell below expectations, as did the US Core CPI figures. As a result, the US Dollar took a significant hit.
🔻 With employment softening and producer inflation easing, odds of a Fed rate cut are rising, the FedWatch Tool now puts the chance of a December cut at 80%.
📊 All indices trade higher during this morning’s Asian session as the stock market continued to take advantage of the last positive earnings reports and the potential December rate cut.
🚀 76% of the NASDAQ’s most influential stocks increased in value on Tuesday, pushing the NASDAQ close to a 10-day high.
🥇 Gold and Silver continue to trade higher as the US Dollar declines despite the Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations progressing. Ukraine’s leader, Zelenskyy, told journalists he is willing to ‘move forward and discuss sensitive points’.
🐉 China’s growth outlook has been nudged up, with GDP now forecast at roughly 5.0%, 4.6%, and 4.5% for 2025-27, supported by stronger exports and expansionary policies.
🇩🇪 Germany’s Q3 GDP came in flat quarter-on-quarter and up 0.3% year-on-year, signalling stagnation amid US tariffs, pressures that could weigh on the Eurozone and prompt further rate cuts.
📉 The worst performing currencies of the day are the Japanese Yen and British Pound. However, traders should note the volatility is likely to significantly increase after the UK’s new budget release.
📈 US Futures Rise
US stock futures climbed Monday as traders entered the Thanksgiving week, buoyed by hopes of a Fed rate cut. Dow +0.2%, S&P 500 +0.5%, Nasdaq 100 +0.7%, extending Friday’s bounce.
💬 Fed Rate-Cut Hopes
New York Fed President John Williams hinted that a December cut is possible. Despite this, November has been weak: the S&P is down 3.5%, Nasdaq over 6%, the Dow nearly 3% for the month.
📊 Economic Data Returns
Key reports resume after the US government shutdown. Watch September retail sales, producer prices (Tuesday), and jobless claims (Wednesday) for a better read on the economy and Fed moves.
💼 Earnings & Market Schedule
Earnings are light this week: Alibaba, Dell, Kohl’s, Best Buy. US markets are closed Thursday for Thanksgiving, early close Friday at 1 p.m. ET.
💰 Gold Pulls Back
Gold slipped near $4,055/oz as traders weigh Fed rate-cut chances. After a record high in October, the metal is consolidating but remains up ~55% this year. Spot gold traded at $4,052/oz; silver was steady, while platinum and palladium gained.
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🚀 Asian Markets Jump After Nvidia’s Earnings Blowout
Nvidia delivered stunning quarterly results, beating expectations and boosting global sentiment. The momentum sent Asian equities sharply higher and lifted US futures ahead of the next trading session.
📈 Japan & South Korea Lead the Gains
The Nikkei surged after tech stocks rallied on Nvidia’s revenue surprise. South Korea’s Kospi also climbed strongly, with Samsung and SK Hynix among the top performers as semiconductor optimism returned.
🇨🇳 China Lags on Property-Sector Concerns
Hong Kong and Shanghai slipped as investors reacted to reports of additional government measures aimed at stabilising the struggling property market. The PBOC kept loan prime rates unchanged, weighing on sentiment.
🇺🇸 Wall Street Turns Higher Ahead of Key Data
The S&P 500 snapped a four-day losing streak, while Nvidia jumped again in after-hours trading. Traders are now focused on the US jobs report and what it means for the Fed’s next rate decision.
🛢 Oil Prices Steady Before Russia Sanctions
Crude stabilised after Wednesday’s drop as markets prepare for US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil. Brent is holding near $64, with WTI trading below $60.
💱 Dollar Strengthens, Yen Weakens
The US dollar climbed to 157.58 yen, nearing its highest level of the year, as expectations grow that Japan may delay fiscal tightening under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's stimulus-focused agenda. The euro eased slightly to $1.1523, reflecting cautious sentiment in FX markets.
📉 Wall Street Extends Its Slide
US indices fell for a fourth straight session, marking the S&P’s worst run since AI-bubble fears resurfaced. Tech and consumer discretionary led the declines.
⚠️ AI Valuation Jitters Ahead of Nvidia Earnings
Markets are on edge as Nvidia reports on Wednesday. The event could trigger a $320B market-cap swing, the largest in the company’s history. 🏚 Home Depot Drops Over 6%: Weak results added pressure to retail and consumer-related stocks.
🏦 Fed Cut Bets Revived
Dovish comments from Fed’s Waller (‘can’t envisage not cutting in December’) boosted expectations of a 25 bps rate cut. Soft jobless claims and ADP data supported the move.
📉📈 Bonds & Commodities React
• 2-year yield → 3.575%
• 10-year yield → 4.117%
• Gold → up to $4,070
• Oil → recovering to $60.70 after hitting $59.31
🤖 Nvidia: The Market’s Make-or-Break Moment
Consensus expects:
• EPS: $1.26
• Revenue: $55.2B
• Data Centre: $49.3B
• Gaming: $4.4B
A beat or miss will likely move the entire AI sector.
💸 Big Names Exit Nvidia
Peter Thiel’s fund and SoftBank both unloaded their Nvidia positions, adding to caution about stretched valuations.
🪙 Bitcoin Slides Nearly 30% From Peak
BTC briefly dipped below $90K, the average ETF entry level, before rebounding to ~$93K.
Crypto continues to underperform gold, bonds, EM equities, and even utilities.
😬 Fear Rising in Crypto Markets
Demand surges for downside protection at $85K–$80K. Options market assigns under a5% chance of BTC retesting its highs this year.
📉 U.K. Inflation Slips Again
UK CPI eased to 3.6% y/y in October, down from 3.8% previously. The drop was slightly smaller than Bloomberg’s forecast of 3.5%, but inflation continues moving in the right direction. The data broadly aligns with the Bank of England’s projections, giving both hawks and doves something to debate.
A December rate cut remains possible — but still depends heavily on the Autumn Budget.
📌 Bottom Line
Markets remain fragile.
Nvidia’s results will shape sentiment across tech, AI, and crypto into the year-end.
Traders, stay sharp! 🏁
This week’s releases could drive momentum, or spark reversals across the markets.
📅 Visit the link for the full calendar and insights.
💬 What’s your strategy for the week?
📉 Market chances for a December rate cut fell to 50%, the lowest in over a month. Stocks and Gold reacted negatively. If the Fed do not cut in December, the NASDAQ potentially may keep falling toward $24,303.10
📊 US stocks fell sharply, with NASDAQ down 2.20%, driven by tech heavyweights like NVIDIA.
⚡ Overall, 84% of the NASDAQ’s most influential stocks fell on Thursday, signalling strong downward momentum.
🚀 NVIDIA remains a key market driver, with November 19 earnings needing 5-6% above expectations to boost demand.
💵 US Dollar Index weakened despite hawkish Fed signals; European officials consider pooling dollars to reduce US reliance.
🌍 European officials are exploring pooling Dollars among non-US central banks to reduce reliance on US funding mechanisms and the US financial system.
📊 The US Labour Department's Bureau of Labour Statistics cancels the US CPI release due to a lack of data. NFP for October may not be released at all.
🇬🇧 UK bond prices dropped, banks tumbled, and sterling fell to a two-year low versus the euro, ahead of the budget. Investors fear budget deficits due to no income-tax rise.
🛢️ Oil prices saw a sharp increase as the US shutdown ended, but analysts remain cautious as prices remain below key levels.
💱 The day’s best-performing currencies are the New Zealand Dollar and Swiss Franc. The GBP is the worst-performing due to UK tax plans.
📉 ADP warns of job sector weakness, with recent data showing a sharp drop in employment during late October.
📊 Weak employment expectations are increasing bets on a December Fed rate cut, with odds rising from 62% to 66%.
📈 US stock markets are rising due to the weak data, as investors anticipate rate cuts that could boost liquidity and growth.
🕒 Economists expect the US shutdown to end this evening, meaning investors will instantly turn their attention to inflation and employment. Analysts expect tomorrow’s inflation data to remain at 3.00%.
💹 The Dow Jones outperformed, gaining 1.25% as investors shifted from tech to blue-chip and pharmaceutical stocks for stability.
🤝 Donald Trump confirmed that the United States and Switzerland are working on a trade agreement which would reduce the cost of Swiss exports from 39.0% to 15.0%.
🪙 The metals market continues to rise with Silver and Gold particularly witnessing strong upward price movement. If the market continues to increase expectations for a December rate cut, Silver and Gold may continue to rise.
🏦 Fed board member Stephen Miran, during a TV interview urged faster rate cuts to support growth, suggesting 50 basis points, with a minimum of 25.
🤖 Analysts advise AI is triggering high layoffs within certain sectors of the economy. Job cuts last month rose by over 153,000, the highest October jump since 2003, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
💱 The best-performing currencies of the day so far are the Australian Dollar, US Dollar and Canadian Dollar. The worst-performing currencies are the Japanese Yen and British Pound.
🔥 The 41-day shutdown, the longest in US history, may conclude within 24 hours after eight moderate Democrats vote with Republicans.
💹 US bonds have been dropping as optimism grows around progress in resolving the ongoing federal government shutdown.
📈 Global stocks, especially the NASDAQ and European markets, rose as investors reacted positively; last week, the NASDAQ fell 4.5%, creating buying opportunities.
📉 The VIX declined by more than 3.50%, indicating a shift in the market’s risk appetite. However, the Put-to-Call Ratio remains above 0.70% which indicates a neutral risk appetite.
🥇 Gold and the Metals market significantly rebounded after declining for more than two consecutive weeks. Gold trades more than 2% higher on Monday.
🗓️ Over 10 key US reports, including NFP, GDP, Retail Sales, and Core PCE, were postponed during the shutdown, but will be released in batches as early as Wednesday 12th.
⚡ Economists and political experts suggest the delayed data may be released in batches over three consecutive weeks or all at once, causing potential market volatility.
📊 Despite bullish momentum and RSI indicators, the NASDAQ trades below main moving averages; buy signals may appear above $25,427 if momentum continues.
🏦 The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee took a more dovish tone and vote than previously predicted. Investors expect the Bank of England to vote for a rate cut at the next meeting. Tomorrow’s UK employment data to play a key role for the GBP.
🇬🇧 A positive note for the UK is that it has upgraded its economic‑growth forecast for 2025 to 1.5%, driven by stronger‑than‑expected first‑half activity.
💰 Donald Trump proposed a $2,000 ‘tariff dividend.’ The Treasury says it would likely come from existing tax cuts, not a new program.
🌏 The best-performing currencies of the day are the Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar. The worst performing are the Japanese Yen and US Dollar.
Join us live for real-time analysis of the US NFP report.
We’ll break down the numbers, track instant market reactions, and highlight the trading opportunities that could surprise traders.
The US jobs report has already been postponed once due to the shutdown, and uncertainty still looms. Even if the U.S. jobs report doesn’t arrive on time, traders are already positioning for what comes next. Don’t miss this high-volatility event!
Watch the full analysis today at 12:30 GMT.
Youtube Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2sad9crJEnk
📉 The NASDAQ fell 1.75% along with all US indices to a 2-week low as high-tech valuations and the ongoing 38-day US government shutdown weighed on investor sentiment.
📊 Technical analysis shows the NASDAQ trading below the main moving averages, forming lower lows and lower highs, with bearish momentum being the main bias unless it rises above $25,512.
📈 Only 11% of the most influential NASDAQ stocks rose in value, indicating weak market breadth rather than major individual losses.
💴 Japanese investors sold about ¥581 billion (~US $3.85 billion) in foreign stocks in early November, reacting to hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve and stretched valuations.
📑 The US ADP Employment Change rose above expectations, but the lack of broader employment data is keeping the market and the Fed cautious.
🤖 AI concerns and fears of a valuation bubble are pressuring tech stocks; Meta’s high AI infrastructure costs and Palantir’s sell-offs highlight investor doubts.
⚖️ Investors are watching the US Supreme Court review of trade tariffs, which could increase volatility for US stocks and the US Dollar. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the White House will seek alternative protectionist measures if the decision is negative.
🏦 The Bank of England faces a possible rate cut to 3.75% amid signs of easing inflation and labour-market softening, with markets increasingly pricing this in.
💵 The best-performing currencies of the day are the US Dollar and the Australian Dollar. The worst-performing are the New Zealand Dollar and Australian Dollar.