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*COINBASE DOWN 5%
*MICROSTRATEGY DOWN 4%

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The Week Ahead | @infinityhedge

Solar Eclipse on Oct. 2

Macro:
*Powell Speaks on 30
*China’s Golden Week holidays Starts from Oct. 1
*VP debate: Walz & Vance CBS debate on Oct. 1
*U.S. Initial Jobless Claims on Oct. 3
*U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate on Oct. 4

Crypto:
*Transfer restrictions on the EIGEN token are expected to be removed on 30
*Axelar Network Announcement on 3
*SEC deadline to appeal XRP ruling on 7 [SEC Expected to challenge the July 2023 ruling by Judge Torres that deemed only some of Ripple's sales of the XRP crypto token violated securities laws]
*Event: Ethereum Kuala Lumpur 2024: Conference: 5-6 Oct., Hackathon: 4-6 Oct.

Token Unlocks: $900M [%'s are of Cir. supply]
⊷ ZETA: 13.4%: $40M on 1
⊷ MAV: 9.5%: $8.7M on 1
⊷ ENA: 22.5%: $158M on 2
⊷ SUI: 2.4%: $120M on 2
⊷ IMX: 2%: $5M on 4
⊷ NEON: 93.4%: $19M on 7
⊷ MODE: 38.4%: $6.5M on 7

October Month:
*Uniswap v4 Launch
*Starknet Staking
*Avalanche's 'Avalanche9000' Upgrade
**LAZIO Token Unlock ~20%: $4M
*TIA Token Unlock worth around $1B
*FTX voting results filing, confirmation of the Plan hearing, Omnibus Hearing

What Bloomberg Economics Says:
“We expect a robust headline print for September nonfarm payrolls, which could even revive talk of “no landing” for the US economy. But we think the headline figure will overstate labor-market strength, partly because of overstatements related to the BLS’s ‘birth-death’ model, and partly due to temporary seasonal effects.”

Earnings/Charts/Articles ⬎

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Israeli special forces have been carrying out small, targeted raids into southern Lebanon, gathering intelligence ahead of a possible ground incursion that could come as soon as this week: WSJ

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HEZBOLLAH LEADER HASSAN NASRALLAH KILLED IN MASSIVE BEIRUT AIRSTRIKE ON FRIDAY

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IDF attacked the Central HQ of Hezbollah in Beirut

*Target of the strike on Beirut was Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah: FoxNews/Axios

*This was the biggest Israeli strike in Beirut since the 2006 war in Lebanon

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SEC CHAIR SIGNALS DESIRE TO FINISH PLAN THAT MAY AFFECT DEFI

SEC CHAIR GENSLER STILL SEES REGULATORY GAP IN EXCHANGE REGISTRATION

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*OpenAI CTO Mira Murati Leaves The Company: X Post

*OpenAI Plans Restructuring to For-Profit Model, Aiming for $150 Billion Valuation

*Sam Altman to receive equity in OpenAI for the first time [OpenAI is discussing giving Sam a 7% equity stake]

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Binance launches pre-market spot trading service with 'actual tokens': TheBlock

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Caroline Ellison [former CEO of Alameda Research] sentenced to two years in prison, three years supervised release and also ordered to forfeit $11B for FTX Fraud

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EtherFi Frontend Compromised

Team: There’s a malicious takeover of our domain and subdomains, do not click on any links or interact with any emails from the EtherFi domain.

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POLYMARKET CONSIDERING TOKEN LAUNCH: THE INFORMATION

POLYMARKET IN TALKS TO RAISE OVER $50 MILLION

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The Week Ahead | Q3 END | @infinityhedge | SEC Week

*Carolyn Ellison [former CEO of Alameda Research] is set to be sentenced on 24
*SEC [Gensler] Testifies before Financial Committee on 24
*Gensler Testifies before Banking Committee on 25
*BOJ's monetary policy meeting minutes on 26
*Fed's Chair Powell Speaks on 26
*SEC's Gary Gensler Speaks on 26
*U.S. GDP on 26
*U.S. PCE on 27
*$5.7B in Bitcoin options [Max Pain $58k & Put/Call Ratio 0.61] and $1.9B in Ethereum options [Max Pain $2.5k & Put/Call Ratio 0.44] are set to expire on 27
*Changpeng Zhao aka 'CZ' expected to release from prison on 29
*Transfer restrictions on the EIGEN token are expected to be removed on 30.
*Uniswap v4's launch set for Q3
*OP Unlocks: $53M on 30
*SUI Unlocks: $95M on Oct. 1

**TIA Unlocks: ~$1B on Oct. 30
**Kamala Harris To Release New Economic Policies This Week

Earnings/Charts/Articles ⬎

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MICROSTRATEGY BOUGHT ~7,420 BITCOINS FOR ~$458.2M SEPT. 13-19: BBG

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*US JOBLESS CLAIMS 219K IN SEPT. 14 WEEK; EST. 230K
*US CONTINUING CLAIMS 1.829M IN SEPT. 7 WEEK; EST. 1.854M

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POWELL: IF ECONOMY REMAINS SOLID, WE CAN DIAL BACK PACE OF CUTS; EQUALLY IF LABOR MARKET DETERIORATES WE CAN RESPOND

POWELL: NO ONE SHOULD LOOK AT 50BP CUT AND SAY THIS IS NEW PACE

POWELL: OWN SENSE IS WE'RE NOT GOING BACK TO LOW NEUTRAL RATE

POWELL: 'NO, WE'RE NOT' DECLARING VICTORY ON INFLATION

POWELL: FED WANTS TO SEE INFLATION CLOSE TO 2% FOR SOME TIME

From WSJ's Nick: It’s definitely a series of cuts, albeit a "recalibration," ahead: “We have in fact begun the cutting cycle now.” — The larger cut was mostly about risk management: “We don’t think we’re behind…. You can take this as a sign of our commitment not to get behind.” — The slowdown in the labor market “bears watching, and we’re watching.” — One note that wasn't unabashedly dovish: "It feels to me the neutral rate is probably significantly higher than it was back" before the pandemic, when it looked like the real neutral rate might be negative.

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SoftBank to Invest $500 Million in OpenAI: TI

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Crypto Exchange Bithumb Weighs U.S. Nasdaq Listing: Coindesk

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Binance will list EigenLayer (EIGEN) at 2024-10-01 05:00 (UTC).

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BINANCE FOUNDER CHANGPENG ZHAO 'CZ' RELEASED FROM US CUSTODY: BBG

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ROBINHOOD, REVOLUT SAID TO EXPLORE LAUNCHING OWN STABLECOINS: BBG

*ROBINHOOD SAYS `NO IMMINENT' PLANS TO OFFER A STABLECOIN

*A Robinhood spokesperson said it has “no imminent plans to launch Stablecoin.”

*A Revolut spokesperson said the company plans to “further grow” its crypto product suite, without confirming a future stablecoin.

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Ethena plans to launch new stablecoin 'UStb' backed by BlackRock's tokenized BUIDL fund: theblock

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PAYPAL ENABLES BUSINESS ACCOUNTS TO BUY, HOLD & SELL CRYPTOCURRENCY

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Visa Working On Tokenized Asset Platform For Banks, Seeks To Launch Initial Pilot In 2025 On Ethereum: Blockworks : Tree

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SEC DELAYS OPTIONS ON BLACKROCK SPOT ETH ETF TO NOVEMBER 10, 2024

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SEC CHARGES CRYPTO COMPANIES TRUSTTOKEN AND TRUECOIN WITH DEFRAUDING INVESTORS REGARDING STABLECOIN INVESTMENT PROGRAM: SEC

*SEC CLAIMS 99% OF TUSD RESERVES WERE INVESTED IN 'SPECULATIVE OFFSHORE FUND'

*WITHOUT ADMITTING OR DENYING THE ALLEGATIONS, TRUECOIN AND TRUSTTOKEN HAVE AGREED TO SETTLE THE SEC’S CHARGES

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Celestia Foundation raises $100M

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SEC APPROVES OPTIONS ON BLACKROCK SPOT BITCOIN ETF

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S&P 500 OPENS 1.7% HIGHER, NASDAQ GAINS 2.3%

*APPLE +2%
*NVIDIA +4%
*COINBASE +6%
*MICROSTRATEGY +6%

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Reports: Reportedly Telegram Bot 'Banana Gun' Wallets Compromised — Team investing the issue, bot is currently offline.

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*FED PROJECTIONS IMPLY 50 BPS OF ADDITIONAL RATE CUTS IN 2024 FROM CURRENT LEVEL, 100 BPS MORE IN 2025, ANOTHER 50 BPS IN 2026

*FED POLICYMAKERS SEE 4.4% UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AT END OF 2024 AND 2025 VERSUS 4.2% NOW

*FED POLICYMAKERS SEE 2.0% GDP GROWTH IN 2024 VERSUS 2.1% IN JUNE

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