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⚡️Daily analysis of the cryptocurrency market from open and closed sources. @Disclaimer_information @PaidPromotion_only @Insider_Private Channel owner:- @MrBybit
#MacroCRG
#BTC_Update
Big open interest cleanse on #BTC in the last 5 hours
$400M+ worth
A lot of longs got fucked / are winding down ahead of CPI tomorrow
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The first exchange rate for Bitcoin in 2009
1,000 Bitcoin for $1 is wild
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EUROPEAN GAS FUTURES JUMP 40%, BIGGEST GAIN SINCE MARCH 2022
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‼️🇺🇸The fight against inflation is about to get really interesting.
Here are expectations for CPI inflation according to the Cleveland Fed:
- June 2023 (Reported): 3.0%
- July 2023: 3.4%
- August 2023: 4.1%
Inflation is set to begin rising again just as a Fed “pause” is expected.
This is why the Fed is leaving all possibilities on the table.
The fight against inflation continues.
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International Monetary Fund says it's important not to grant crypto "official currency or legal tender status."
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$1 from the year 1800 is worth just $0.04 today.
Investing is the only way to REALLY save your money.
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#yokocrypto
💰 #eth/usd
Price dropped from rally phase, retested 200 target after gap down🧐
We has little crypto support news, expect further downside📉
Sharp $ETH decline expected in Q3 as $BTC may fill CME gap under 25k🤓
Targets include 1720-1740, 1650, and 1400 extreme case🎯
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RUMOURS: X (Twitter) will implement buying & selling of $DOGE & other Crypto. This is BIG🔥
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#glassnode
#Bitcoin block 800,000 has just been mined!
A quick 🧵 on some #Bitcoin network stats up until this point:
A total of 19.437M $BTC have been minted, and 268.7k $BTC in fees paid out to miners.
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This week, the Nasdaq will undergo a “special rebalance.”
A handful of tech stocks have been so hot this year that they’ve carried the market.
The top 10 Nasdaq stocks currently reflect a record 62% of the ENTIRE index.
After the rebalance, it will fall to 50%.
Incredible.
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#albertcryptos
💰 #ETH/USD bearish breakdown from wedge support could trigger correction📉
$1800 level with 200 MA is key demand zone to watch👀
Opposite, bounce at demand would prolong recovery towards $2050 resistance📈
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‼️🇧🇾 President of Belarus says Wagner Group forces in his country want to go on an 'excursion' to Warsaw, Poland.
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#Litecoin Halving is happening in 10 Days! 🔥
LTC Halving Countdown
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AGLD has recently experienced a serious pump and dump. After being pumped up to above $1.4 on July 20, it quickly fell sharply to $0.76 on July 21. It is suspected of market manipulation. DeFi^2, a well-known Bybit trader, found that there are 3 accounts on the Bybit leaderboard that have joined in the past 5 days, and only traded the AGLD U-margined perpetual contract, and have accumulated a profit of 1.268 million US dollars (these 3 accounts are currently ranked 4-6 on the Bybit 7-day perpetual leaderboard). — link — link
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The official Twitter account of Coinlist is suspected of being hacked, and it is posting phishing information about gifting token LIST. Do not click.
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🚨 10.08.2023, 12:30 (UTC) there may be increased volatility 📉📉
➡️ CPI data is coming out
Get ready ⏳
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#albertcryptos
💰 #BTC/USD
Based on history, a close above MA100 could trigger continued growth📈
Charts don't lie - less debate, more chart analysis😉
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‼️🇬🇧 The Bank of England warned that some 4 million households will face a sharp increase in mortgage costs, with the average borrower paying almost £3,000 a year more.
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Blame the meteorologists who predict the heat.
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#The_Golden_Ratio
#BTC_Update 12H
A flash details.
- Bitcoin breaks below the lower range of this ranging structure
- 12 Hours ATR support also has been broken down
- Bears clearly is taking over control right now
- My take is that a possible push lower at least toward $28.5k region.
- Keep in mind that the price has been gaining almost 2 times since the beginning of 2023 without any significant correction, that's why I'm betting to the downside mid term.
- The second half of 2023 (near the halving) is going to be very volatile.
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Binance announced that it will remove the following spot trading pairs and stop trading at 11:00 on July 26, 2023: ACM/BUSD, ALPACA/BUSD, BAR/BUSD, LSK/BUSD, QTUM/BUSD, TFUEL/BUSD — link
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‼️ 7/24-7/30 Schedule of Macro Events
● The most important macro event this week is the Federal Reserve's announcement of the interest rate resolution, and the market is currently forecasting a 25 bps rate hike is highly likely, and the market generally believes that this may be the last rate hike by the Federal Reserve, so the related meetings and discussions, especially Powell's speech, are also very noteworthy.
○ This week is a big macro week, in the context of the current poor macro-crypto correlation, the above macro events still have the ability to have an impact on the crypto market trend, but the market's overall expectations are more consistent, and if there is an uptick in IV prior to the event, then it will be a good SELL Vol opportunity.
● This week's crypto-related meetings is the US House of Representatives voting on cryptocurrency legislation, and it will also be interesting to see if there are any significant conclusions at that time. In addition, the crypto finance company Delio's crash is still festering, so related investors need to be aware of the risks.
o The crypto field is an emerging industry, and policy risks, technology risks and project risks in the development process should be noted, and safety comes first.
7/24 Monday *(UTC+8)
● Crypto finance company Delio will suspend some services and stop paying interest on virtual assets to users on July 24th
7/25 Tuesday *
● The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee will hold a monetary policy meeting on July 25-26
7/26 Wednesday *
● The U.S. House of Representatives will hold a meeting on cryptocurrency.
● U.S. House of Representatives votes on cryptocurrency legislation
7/27 Thursday ***
● Fed announces interest rate resolution, previous 5.25%, forecast 5.50% (02:00)
● Fed Chair Powell holds monetary policy press conference (02:30)
● ECB main refinancing rate decision, 4.00% prior, 4.25% forecast (20:15)
● U.S. initial jobless claims for the week to July 22, 228,000 prior (20:30)
● ECB President Lagarde's monetary policy press conference (20:45)
7/28 Friday ●
● U.S. June core PCE price index annual rate, 4.6% prior, 4.2% forecast (20:30)
● U.S. July final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, 72.6 prior, 72.6 forecast (22:00)
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Automation by AI is coming to the US a lot quicker than many expect.
25% of all work tasks in the US are expected to be automated by AI.
46% of all admin tasks and 44% of legal work is expected to be replaced by AI.
Is AI revolutionizing the world?!👀
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‼️Key Events This Week:
1. Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday
2. New Home Sales data - Wednesday
3. Fed Interest Rate Decision - Wednesday
4. Q2 2023 GDP data - Thursday
5. PCE Inflation data - Friday
6. ~20% of S&P 500 companies report earnings
Action packed week ahead.
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This Week We Have👀
FOMC & Fed Interest Rate Decision
Some Volatility is expected on Wednesday📈📉
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#onchained
Bitcoin Price Trends and Short-Term Holder Behavior: A Market Cycle Analysis (2018-2023
From 2018 to 2023, Bitcoin's price showed an upward trend with peaks and troughs denoting various market phases:
Accumulation Phase: Marked by low prices and volume, observed during stable periods like early 2019 and early 2020. Investors accumulate BTC in anticipation of a future bull market.
Markup Phase: Characterized by rising prices and increasing volume, seen during rapid price increases in mid-2019 and late 2020 to early 2021. More investors enter the market, driving prices higher.
Distribution Phase: Characterized by high prices and volume, observed during periods of high volatility like late 2021. Investors might sell to take profits or in belief of price peaks.
Markdown Phase: Characterized by falling prices and decreasing volume, seen during rapid declines in late 2019 and late 2022. Investors from the markup phase could experience losses.
Short-term holders' behavior is represented by the STH RP (Short Term Holders Realized Price) line, which follows the overall market trend. In periods like early 2019 and early 2022, STH RP is below the average Bitcoin price, indicating buying at lower prices during Accumulation and Markdown phases.
The MVRV STH (Market Value to Realized Value for Short Term Holders) line represents the ratio of market value to realized value for short-term holders.
High MVRV STH indicates that the market value of Bitcoin held by STH is significantly higher than their buying price, possibly indicating a Distribution phase where STH might be selling to take profits.
Low MVRV STH suggests that the market value of Bitcoin held by STH is close to or lower than their buying price, possibly indicating Accumulation or Markdown phases, during which STH may buy more or hold onto their Bitcoin despite paper losses.
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XRP attorney Deaton said the SEC’s appeal against XRP would not be a major setback for Ripple. Even on appeal, it will take two years for a second-level court to reach a decision. In the interim, Judge Torres' ruling will remain in effect. — link
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#captaincryptosignal
#BTC_Update 4H
Nothing changes yet. Still holding the $29.5k support. Next week will be very crucial. Fed is going to announce their rate hikes next week (25th July) so till then didn't expect much movement.
As of now in market there are two types of coins only. One is STMX (Only up) and the rest is (Slowly going down). In this market condition better to stay aside and wait for the right market conditions to trade.
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Ripple CEO: An important topic has come up about protecting retail. The SEC created this mess by proclaiming it was the cop on the crypto beat when it had no legal jurisdiction. Legislation – not more regulation by enforcement – is the only way forward to provide clear rules and protect retail. — link
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