Nov/Dec 2025 price prediction for #Bitcoin
- ETF Approval Range $131,000 - $158,000
- Without ETF Approval $108,000 - $114,000
BTC DOMINANCE UPDATE
Expecting a move from Bitcoin in the near future, there is a convergence on the dominance. Moreover, it is forming a local Falling Wedge.
Holding Altcoins these days is quite dangerous.
BTC's inverse correlation with the U.S. Dollar has significantly weakened in 2023, dropping from -61% to -10%
Читать полностью…Buying some #AVAX here!
The price formed a double bottom and bounced from there to $13.9 resistance. Now Avax successfully broke it upwards and taking hold above it.
The way upwards is opened, time to catch it!
ADA: price showed a buy reaction around the already mentioned $0.305 support level. However, this is not enough yet to confirm that ADA has put a lasting low in place on June 10th. I am watching for further upside potential short-term, but price must prove a more lasting uptrend by developing a 5-wave structure, as highlighted in yellow. I am also tracking a bearish triangle option in parallel.
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BNB: price continues to move in an ascending wedge. These often break to the downside but recently a few cryptos broke out of such patterns to the upside. Nevertheless, this is not the norm. Typically a break to the downside occurs. As long as BNB does not break above $269, I have no evidence that price has formed a lasting low. Next support is $208.
Читать полностью…Elliott wave technical analysis on DGB. It needs a sustained break above $0.08 to provide something long-term more bullish. Also, with a relatively unclear chart like this which topped in 3 waves, you will get all sorts of different interpretations. Best to stick to clear charts.
Читать полностью…MASK: price likely reset wave 2 yesterday, but besides that it seems to have some more way to go to the downside.
Читать полностью…AVAX: this structure leaves a few question marks for me. I have adjusted support and as long as $11.23 holds, a C-wave higher can occur. But it is a very correctively looking structure so far.
Читать полностью…GENERAL MARKET UPDATE:
The recent news concerning XRP and the SEC has certainly sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency community. It feels as though the anticipation is at fever pitch as questions pour in from all corners about the likelihood of BTC and ETH having already bottomed out in their wave ii corrections. Though it's a thought worth considering, the current pattern seems somewhat reluctant to support this prospect of an immediate price explosion.
My bullish perspective is clearly communicated. After all, my predictions for BTC and ETH this year have consistently been eyeing the $40k and $3k zones respectively, and possibly even higher. Yet, it seems we're still fishing for solid clues that the price is about to burst forward, ready to rally in the heart of the third waves.
Bitcoin`s breakout point, for now, feels a little distant. However, we can't ignore the possibility of a more imminent breakout, with ETH seeming to edge closer to the relevant April top breakout point. Should ETH break confidently past the $2125 mark, I would be forced to recognise the possible commencement of wave iii. But, this is nothing new. I have always highlighted the likelihood of a direct escalation in a third wave, which is why I warned about not thinning out positions too much. But until such a decisive move is made, even a '5 up' price shift from last week's low would still leave us awaiting a pullback. Specifically, we'll be watching for a wave ii pullback, which is currently the preferred scenario.
In the grand scheme of things, there's still a long way to go. The markets are volatile and anything can happen. But the possibilities are exciting and with the right conditions, a breakout is certainly in sight.
So, here are the essentials to keep an eye on. What do we need to confirm we are in a third wave rally on the Bitcoin and Ethereum charts?
A) For ETH: A surge from last week's low in 5 waves trailed by a 3-wave pullback, ending with a climb over 2125.
For BTC: A surge from last week's low in 5 waves trailed by a 3-wave pullback, ending with a climb over 32,800.
or
B) For ETH: A continuous, no-stops climb above $2125, even though this scenario appears less probable at this stage.
A continuous, no-stops climb above $32,800, even though this scenario appears less probable at this stage.
Remember, the crypto market is a wild ride, so buckle up and keep your eyes open for these signals. The dance of the numbers continues and only time will tell where it takes us next.
XRP: the immediate bearish assumption has to be scrapped after today's news and rally. The white count is the bullish scenario to observe with support down to $0.56 in a wave (4) of wave 1. Price must hold wave 4 support and then rally once more in wave 5. Then, a 3-wave pullback in wave 2 must form. Until we have evidence for this, the ABC structure in yellow helps to keep us grounded, as it is a structure that can still take us to new lows. However, for now we keep focusing on higher due to the trend, which has shifted to the upside for now. I will stay close to this.
Читать полностью…#Altcoins vs. #DXY
2017 vs. 2020 vs. 2023
The TSI is one of the few indicators that predicts shortly after a bullish cross that $BTC will be in up only mode for many months.
It has ONLY crossed in 2016 and 2020.
Both times Bitcoin has risen strongly.
After 3 years, the next bullish cross is imminent.
2 whales (probably the same person) bought a total of 788,877 $LINK ($6 million) for $7.62 just now.
The whale swapped all 3,074 $stETH ($5.87M) and 71 $ETH ($136K) for 788,877 $LINK.
This purchase increased the price of $LINK by 6.5%.
Buying some #ENS at this support
There is an overall positive vector, moreover we have a $9.5 level reclaim.
This is a quite risky trade, Bitcoin can ruin the party at every moment. We are entering with a small amount.
ELLIOTT WAVE TRADING TIPS +++
Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to work their ways through their respective wave ii structures, and while doing so, we witness choppy price action. We may have entered or soon will the "B"-wave of these wave ii structures, at least if it goes according to the primary scenario. I wanted to take the opportunity to write some important facts about B-waves to help you understand the issues we have with this type of waves.
B-waves, according to the Elliott Wave Principle, can be intriguingly unpredictable and, as such, they have a reputation for causing a lot of confusion for traders. They do not follow a typical pattern as the other waves in the Elliott Wave pantheon, leading to an increased degree of uncertainty. They can basically unfold as any corrective structure: simple, complex or triangle. They can be very short or very long.
Given this inherent ambiguity, B-waves are often not used for creating precise targets. They may be omitted in certain scenarios unless the A wave was composed of five waves, or if the A wave forms the third wave in a diagonal. In these instances, providing support zones for B waves could prove to be useful. The term "omitted" in this context means "left out" or "excluded." When referring to B waves being "omitted," it suggests that these waves are often not used or considered when formulating trading strategies or setting trading targets due to their unpredictable nature. They're not necessarily ignored or overlooked; rather, they might not be given as much attention or focus as other waves in the Elliott Wave principle because of the challenges they pose in forming reliable trading strategies.
B waves are commonly known to retrace between .382 to 1.38% of the A wave in linear scale , and up to 1.5% in log scale. This wide range of possible retracements earns B waves the somewhat colloquial label of 'B is for Bastard', implying their unpredictable nature. This unpredictable characteristic is seen more in cryptocurrencies than in other asset classes, leading to some truly glorious B waves.
The ability to establish a target for the C wave within a B wave becomes possible once the internal A and B waves have formed. However, without this structure, formulating a target for a B wave based solely on the A wave of the same degree can be challenging, if not practically impossible.
In general, it's advisable to avoid trading B waves due to their unpredictable nature. Instead, traders should shift their focus to a higher degree wave and its associated targets. Trading within the range of this higher degree wave can help mitigate the risk and uncertainty associated with B waves. As trading is inherently challenging, there's no need to unnecessarily increase that challenge by attempting to trade the notoriously unpredictable B waves. This pragmatic approach could potentially help traders navigate the challenging world of wave-based trading with more confidence and less risk.
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🦋 ETH UPDATE
The price is approaching the $2040 resistance for the third time, so now chances of breakout are much higher than they were before.
Moreover, there is an overall upward vector that lasts since November 2022.
Locally, there is a great setup on BREAKOUT of the resistance. Local targets are $2190 and $2390.
👉 If Bitcoin goes down to $28,000 - 29,000 zone, Ethereum will retest the ascending channel support another time which is a good entry point as well.
🐝 BTC OVERALL UPDATE
The overall game is quite simple with a few exceptions:
1. If the price breaks above the $31,800 resistance, the full-fledged bullish market will begin
2. If the price breaks down the $22,000 support level, we will come back into the bearish market (low chances to happen)
3. At the moment the price is trying to determine if we are ready to enter a bullish market or not we need more accumulation in the $22,000 - $28,000 zone.
🧐 What are the exceptions?
Crypto market loves deviations. There are high chances of breaking the $31,800 resistance upwards, trade a few weeks above it (we can even reach $34,000) and then dump below the $30,000 again with the following consolidation in the $20,000 - $30,000 range for a couple of months.
Put it simply: Monthly closure above the $31,800 will mean a beginning of a Bullish Market.
LTC: updated wave count after price broke through the small support range yesterday. Price is still in the larger support area relevant for the current wave 2 retracement that was communicated earlier this week. Relevant bullish support is $88. Below $88 I have now added the 88.7% fibonacci retracement level to the chart. I did this as I am concerned about the length of this C-wave. As wave A was so long, wave C is running out of space, but certainly has a chance to hold support if the micro count is being followed.
Читать полностью…https://cointelegraph.com/news/crypto-indonesia-to-launch-crypto-exchange-in-july
Читать полностью…XLM has reached the resistance area I suggested 1-2 weeks ago. If we get 5 waves up here, then we may track a 3-wave pullback for a more bullish interpretation in the future.
Читать полностью…Most of our confidential members have a bag of XRP when it's was .47.
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