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BTC: The price is still quite stable, but I would like to see a break above the green line at $44,070 for an indication that wave (4) is complete.
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LINK: Wave B might have formed a top now. I would still like to see a break below $14.25 for additional confirmation. The price also has another chance to find support at the trend line. Eventually the preferred scenario still suggests for the price to enter the orange support zone in wave C of 4.
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RUNE: The price might have started blue wave 4 with support at $6.15.
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LINK: In line with previous updates, the price formed a triangle and broke out to the upside. This upward move had to be expected and I currently see this as wave (c) of B. Can it be something more bullish? Yes, but I need to see more evidence for this. Also, the price has really only just now reached the resistance area for wave B. Next resistance levels are at $16.14, $16.61 and $18.30.
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RUNE: The price is progressing smoothly within the fifth wave of the blue pattern. Currently, the price seems to be in the third wave of this fifth wave. The target range for this third wave is set between $6.80 and $7.25. The critical support zone, essential for maintaining the upward trend, lies now between $5.88 and $6.08. If the price remains within or above this bracket, we can expect a potential rise to $7.70 or more, completing the larger wave 5 of the third circle wave. It's also possible that the price is still in the midst of forming the yellow b wave. This would become clear with a sustained break below $5.88.
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BLZ: The BLZ correction makes an unfinished impression and one more low in the yellow support region would be preferred.
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LDO: The price might have topped in wave b and it looks increasingly likely that wave c is unfolding. $1.65 is the critical support level and should this level hold than we can expect the price to reach $6+ when the uptrend continues.
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LUNC: The price may have formed a low in wave b where it needed to. Again I want to warn that this chart is unreliable, but also unreliable charts respect the fibonacci levels from time to time.
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LINK: The price seems to make some progress in its B-wave.
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BLZ: The current price chart shows only a minor corrective rally, which doesn't clearly suggest that the second wave is complete. There's ample space for further decrease within the support range.
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In conclusion, trading is a blend of strategy, psychology, and continuous learning. Every trade teaches you something new, and every mistake is an opportunity for growth. Embrace this journey with patience and a willingness to learn, and you will find your path to success.
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AVAX: The price has nearly reached the communicated $29/$30 target. It looks as if wave 3 of c is still unfolding. A break below $23.50 would indicate that a top of sorts has formed and that circle wave B is starting. However, this would require additional confirmation. For now I am still watching for higher prices and will reassess the situation once the $29/30 level is reached.
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RNDR: The next main fibonacci level is at $4.20. Watch for a reaction there. But if my micro wave count is correct wave (3) of (c) should reach at least $7.06. However, I am not confident about the micro structure due to the shallow wave (2), as mentioned before. Basically this assumption relies on an unusually shallow wave (2).
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LINK: I am watching if wave C has started. It takes a break below $15.29 to indicate that this is the case. A break below $14.29 would confirm it.
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BTC: The price could be close to forming a top, marking the end of wave (i). Additionally, observing the 1-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals a pronounced bearish divergence. While divergence isn't as reliable for predicting tops as it is for bottoms, its presence is noteworthy. Crypto Twitter is in a state of moonstruck optimism. Market dynamics often trigger emotional responses prior to trend reversals, which is a natural phenomenon. However, it's crucial not to base trading decisions on emotions. Many traders experience similar doubts, questioning their own predictions about market tops. It's beneficial to rely on specific trading levels and strategies rather than emotions to guide trading decisions. I am not going to call a top until we see a first break below micro support. We all know too well that crypto rallies can extend beyond what we all think is realistic.
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RUNE: The price is progressing nicely within the fifth wave of the blue scenario, which is also our preferred scenario. Currently, the price seems to be in the third wave of this fifth wave. The target range for this third wave is still set between $6.80 and $7.25 and the price is now deep in the target area. The critical support zone, essential for maintaining the upward trend, lies now between $$6.15 and $6.40. If the price remains within or above this bracket, we can expect a potential rise to $7.70 or more, completing the larger wave 5 of the third circle wave.
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LINK: The current analysis indicates that the LINK price has completed three upward waves but needs a total of five to confirm a more bullish trend. The short-term trend is upward and it seems that wave 4 is now unfolding as a sideways correction. A correction phase was expected, and a deeper pullback into the orange support zone is preferred, ideally around $11. This aligns with a 38.2% retracement level of the third wave completed in November.
In the vey short-term, it seems that the price is unfolding within a triangle structure within a larger ABC structure.
BTC: The Bitcoin price has just registered a new 2023 high.
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LDO: As long as $1.64 support holds, generally higher prices are expected in a third wave. In the short-term, the price has either formed a high b-wave and we will see another test of the yellow support area in wave c of ii, or wave i is still unfolding. If wave i is still unfolding, then we should see a more substantial correction once wave (5) of wave i in the white wave structure is complete.
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STX: The price can still form a 5th wave in this diagonal structure. Ideally, the 5th wave reaches $0.85+. The price move into the March 2023 highs was a 5-wave move, so the price could form a 1-2 1-2 setup here.
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INJ: The price seems to be working on a small bullish flag pattern, which seems to be unfolding in a wave 4 correction. As long as $11.45 support holds I am watching for $21.41 or even $27.76 to be reached.
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✅ The confidential circle members receive 5-10 signals on daily basis available to noone outside the circle.
✅ The signals are short- and medium-term.
✅ Specified entry, take profit and stop loss objectives.
✅ Dedicated mentor available 24x7 via chat.
✅ Tutorials and courses for beginner traders showing everything step by step - VALUE -$8000
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LDO: it takes a break above $2.47 to indicate that all of wave ii is already complete. Until then I assume this is just a b-wave rally.
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@everyone
MINDSET MONDAY:
Hi all, it is Monday again and the entire team wishes you all a great start to a new trading week. As it is Monday it is time again to train our mindset muscles. Always remember, the right mindset is sometimes even more important than good analysis.
In our community we embrace the journey of trading with a mindset focused on learning and growth. Understand that trading is a marathon, not a sprint, and everyone, including the most seasoned traders, has faced their share of challenges and mistakes. These experiences are not just inevitable; they are crucial lessons in mastering the art of trading. While mistakes can be frustrating, they are an important part of the learning process. Let me share some ideas that might help you along your journey:
Embrace the Learning Curve: Trading is a learning journey filled with trials and triumphs. Every trader, including myself, has a story of mistakes and learning. Remember, these mistakes are your stepping stones to success. I, too, have had my share of horror stories, but they have been critical in teaching me the true value of risk management over mere profit chasing.
Risk Management: The Heart of Trading: Learning from mistakes teaches you that managing risks is more valuable than targeting profits alone. It's not about becoming a multimillionaire overnight; it’s about sustainable growth and learning to manage the risks effectively. Many people know how to trade, and anyone can learn. Mistakes are a natural part of learning. When you are careful, you can recover quickly.
Understand and Accept the 'Shoulda/Coulda' Moments: Every trader has moments of regret or self-doubt. It's part of the journey. Use these experiences to learn and grow, not to punish yourself. Repeating mistakes is natural, but the goal is to learn from them and move forward.
Learn from the Past, But Don't Dwell on It: Focusing on past failures can trap you in a cycle of pain and loss. For instance, you might regret selling a position early, but consider that there are always other setups available.
Zoom Out for Better Perspective: Part of effective trading involves looking at the bigger picture. If your strategy extends beyond quick trades, it’s crucial to consider long-term trends and movements and not be too concerned with the smallest price fluctuations.
The Psychological Aspect: Mindset is key. Understanding the psychological aspects of trading can help you better navigate the markets. Reading materials like "Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas and also our Mindset Monday posts can offer valuable insights into this aspect.
Scaling and Position Sizing: Adopting a strategy of scaling into positions can enhance your trading resilience. This approach provides a buffer for market volatility and can be more forgiving for new traders. Having the right sense of where the market is going provides you with an advantage, but position sizing also provides you with an edge.
Avoiding Overpositioning: Many new traders fall into the trap of overpositioning, leading to high stress and potential mistakes. Learning to size your positions correctly is critical.
Utilizing Statistical Edge and Trading Plans: Remember, no one can predict the future. The goal is to have a statistical edge and a solid trading plan. This approach allows you to be a winner in the markets, steadily making gains over time.
Tackling the Emotional Challenges: The biggest mistakes often come from not accepting losses gracefully or from trading out of fear of missing out. Understanding and overcoming these emotional hurdles is vital for your trading success.
Continuous Learning and Adaptation: Always keep learning and adapting. Whether it’s chart analysis, understanding market trends, or refining strategies, the learning never stops. Even seasoned traders make mistakes, but the key is to learn and evolve from them.
Don't Try to Catch Every Trade: Be selective in your trades. Not every opportunity is worth pursuing. This selectiveness is a crucial part of your growth and development as a trader.