BTC: The price has formed a healthy third wave now. However, the $59,900 could offer some resistance now. It is the level at which the sell-off started yesterday.
Читать полностью…BTC: The price is trying to hold above the trend line. Just to clarify, if the white 5-wave pattern to the upside unfolds, then it would need to be a diagonal, which, as we all know, is a fragile structure, which is likely going to change a few time. The only way I can see the $56,280 support hold is if this diagonal pattern completes. For now, the local invalidation point for the diagonal pattern is the wave (2) low at $57,150, but ideally the price holds above $57,600. A break below $57,600 is a first warning that the structure is collapsing.
Читать полностью…BTC: Bitcoin is likely to test $56,280 after invalidating its 1-2 pattern in the C-wave to the upside. If the price drops below $56,280, the next support level is at $54,600, which is the invalidation point for the AB-structure, and therefore this is not strong support. If $54,600 breaks, I anticipate a move down to the mid $40,000 region. However, there is one more support level left at $51,900, which I have just added to the chart. Overall the price has only moved up and down in chaotic ways in the last few days, without being able to successfully break out to the upside. Remember that I warned about the fragility of the structure, and that chaotic movements have to be expected. So, the fact that we are back in the support zone for wave B is not particularly surprising.
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Читать полностью…ETH: Wave c is still unfolding and resistance for downside trend continuation is now located in the region between $2,582 and $2,594.
Читать полностью…MATIC: The price could still easily form one more low. A break above $0.461 would be a first signal that a more substantial low has formed in either white wave ii or yellow wave 3. It remains my view that this chart has a lot to prove. At the moment, the price is consolidating below the 50% retracement level, which is an ideal level to start a wave 5 from.
Читать полностью…ONDO: The structure that has developed from the Monday low does not look too bad, but only a 5-wave pattern, which reaches $1.25+ would indicate that wave b/ii has bottomed.
Читать полностью…ADA: The i-ii, 1-2 setup as highlighted in orange is possible as long as the price holds above $0.3241. Below this level $0.2911 becomes the key support for a wider i-ii setup as shown in yellow. If the price follows the accelerated bullish scenario, then wave iii should reach $0.423+ next.
Читать полностью…ETH: The price should still extend a little higher in wave c of (A), but these are all corrective structures in my view.
Читать полностью…MOTHER: (Request) I am not sure if wave (b) has bottomed. Circle wave 1 does not look like an impulse, but we may be dealing with a diagonal pattern as long as the price holds above $0.029.
Читать полностью…BTC: It is possible that wave (B) has started after the break above the trend line. However, it is a bit too early to confirm.
Читать полностью…AVAX: The price has now reached the 38.2% retracement level at $21.36. It is possible that the price is forming a reversal already without another low, but it takes a higher low to confirm this further, and ideally a break above $22.74 and above the descending trend line. On the smaller time frame, we can see that the price could be working on a 1-2 setup.
Читать полностью…COIN: While the sell-off happened as expected, the c-wave in wave iv would look best with one more low. That being said, the sell-off could have completed all of wave iv. I can identify a possible 1-2 setup with support at $168.39.
Читать полностью…XRP: Looking at the bigger picture, the price is likely working on circle wave C in the white scenario or wave (d) in the yellow scenario, of a still unfolding triangle pattern. The upside breakout point is located at $2.06. However, further sideways price action seems likely as per the triangle pattern. In the short-term, the price could work on this local upside pattern within the triangle as long as the support area holds, as shown on the short-term chart. Short-term support is located in the area between $0.426 and $0.524. Please note that wave A was only a 3-wave move, so the short-term pattern is not clearly bullish, but I am watching for further upside as long as the price holds above $0.426. A 1-2 setup is required, as shown on the 1 hour chart, to indicate that wave C to the upside has started.
Читать полностью…BTC: I repositioned the trend line. Bitcoin has been in consolidation mode throughout the day. I am still watching the white scenario as long as the intraday low holds. However, the current pattern appears to be three waves down. If we see another 3-wave move upward, that would mean three waves up, which is indecisive at best. For the white scenario to stay valid, the price needs to form a diagonal pattern, or alternatively, break yesterday’s low to signal further downside. Just some classic Friday market action.
Читать полностью…SUI: The price is still working its way through the corrective structure. A break above the red trend line could be an early signal that wave (B) has started. Now that we have reached the support zone it is possible that wave 2 is completed directly without a clear ABC structure, but for now I would prefer a clear ABC pattern as shown in yellow.
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BTC: Nice reaction to resistance. Wave 5 could be unfolding, but it is rarely that simple. A wider wave 4 flat correction or triangle is technically possible.
Читать полностью…BTC: No strong signal that wave (4) completed. A triangle breakout is typically followed by aggressive movement. But Bitcoin is just chilling.
Читать полностью…ETH: This seems to be the B-wave pullback I mentioned. A break below $2,394 would indicate that new lows are coming, but this level is still far away. This now is going to be a test for the bullish scenario.
Читать полностью…XRP: The price is still holding above the upper support region, which is defined between $0.562 and $0.58. A break below $0.562 would make a test of the B-wave support area more likely. Remember that news-driven price movements often lead to 3-wave price tops. It would therefore not be a surprise if the price fails to maintain an upside impulse. However, the fibonacci levels will guide us. For now, we can watch if the price reacts to fibonacci support.
Читать полностью…SUI: Due to the break of support I focus on the yellow scenario rather than the white scenario. If wave (b) has bottomed then wave (c) should reach $2.80. A break above the red trend line will be the next objective for the bulls.
Читать полностью…ETH: The price has failed to form a clear 5-wave move to the upside and resistance did not break. I therefore still believe Ethereum needs to form another low at, so I'm not too concerned about it holding wave two support. However, if the price does hold support, we should see an impulsive reversal before the price breaks below $2170. If the price holds support and then breaks above $2670, I think the chances of a bottom being in are pretty decent.
Читать полностью…COTI: The price must break above $0.135 for solid indication that wave (B) has formed a low. Not a great chart, but the yellow scenario has a chance. This does not make it a good setup, however.
Читать полностью…BTC: 3 waves up so far. A break below $52,483 would be a first indication that the attempted reversal to the upside is failing.
Читать полностью…BRETT: Any break below $0.076 will make this chart less clear, because this would indicate a 3-wave price top as per the yellow scenario. A 3-wave price top leaves the door open for new all-time lows, but I would first focus on a larger b-wave pullback as per the yellow scenario.
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