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GOLD HIT TP1 62pips from layer 🌊
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#Gold sell 2671.2-2675.2
Sl :2677.2
Tp1 :2668.7
Tp2 :2667
Slowly scalping sell gold - midrisk
Gold Price Forecast: Inflation Data and Fed Policy in Focus
1. Fundamental View
Dollar Strength & Treasury Yields:
- Trump’s recent election victory strengthened the dollar by 0.6%, which, along with rising Treasury yields (10-year yield at 4.47%), created headwinds for gold as a non-yielding asset.
Fed Rate Cut:
- The Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point rate cut aligns with expectations, but Fed Chair Powell’s cautious forward guidance signals limited scope for future rate cuts, reducing the likelihood of significant easing. This cautious stance keeps bullish sentiment on gold subdued.
Physical Demand:
- Physical demand for gold softened, with lower buying interest post-festival in India, and moderate demand in Japan and Singapore. This dip in demand adds to the bearish tone for gold.
CPI and PPI Data:
- Key inflation indicators—the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on November 13 and the Producer Price Index (PPI)—are likely to impact gold’s direction. A CPI increase to 2.6% could reinforce inflationary concerns, which would support the dollar and possibly signal tighter Fed policy, adding pressure on gold prices.
2. Technical View
- Gold settled at $2684.45, within the range of critical support at $2604.39 and resistance at $2790.17.
- The pivot level at $2697.28 will be crucial for determining short-term market direction. A move above this pivot could signal a recovery attempt, while a drop below may confirm further downside.
- Trading below $2604.39, it would confirm a downtrend, while a break above $2790.17 would signal a potential reversal back to an uptrend.
Gold remains under pressure with a bearish outlook as strong dollar fundamentals and inflation data may support continued downside.
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