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LDN UPDATE:
M15 demand is starting to hold at the weak M15 Internal low and supply is starting to fail.
This is a more aggressive long idea as you are buying before the M15 small Internal has switched bullish and before M15 supply has fully failed.
But it's to play the 4H bullish Internal leg from 4H demand.
Ideally you would wait for a bullish M15 ii-BOS first.
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/h/HGN5mT4d.png
EURUSD - WED 27 SEP 23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/k/kAHahSI4.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/e/e6uOGBoV.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/d/dEkbH2uB.png
There was also both M15 and M5 entries that many of our community capitalised on.
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Mid-session update shared with our community:
Price has swept the M15 Internal low.
M15 OF has now switched bullish.
Price is now likely to target the weak M15 Internal high.
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/r/rGb2P0Va.png
When the 4H + M15 are not aligned and there is no R:R to trade against the 4H, this is when setups are much lower probability.
i.e today the M15 Swing is bullish, but 4H Swing + Internal are bearish with price right at the strong 4H Internal high.
So any longs are trying to trade against this in anticipation that the 4H Internal will switch bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing pullback from Daily demand.
It's up to you whether you want to trade in these scenarios or wait.
Phase A longs are always higher probability at the start of the MTF Swing leg (but this happened during Asia) rather than buying right at the MTF Swing range high against HTF bias.
Again, not to say you can't consider longs but be aware and ACCEPT the risks.
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/g/g6IQ1vGv.png
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EURUSD - MON 04 SEP 23 - WEEKLY OUTLOOK
US Bank holiday so volume will be likely be lower.
1W: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/m973R7jk.png
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/j/j3eRCerV.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/9/9sSPiDtl.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/1/1EiiPHpy.png
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EURUSD - WED 09/0/23 - LONDON OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/5/5LE49tZQ.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/z/zFUYBsYc.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/q/qpxCAMql.png
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EURUSD - MON 31/07/23 LONDON OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/e/emngHSlT.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/g/GhQenJBA.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/t/ttXxdPT3.png
EURUSD - MON 02 OCT 23 - WEEKLY OUTLOOK
1W: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/i/Io6PRj7s.png
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/i/iQoaU02l.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/h/hPbFgUK6.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/s/SNL1eEG9.png
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Post-session markup:
M1: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/d/dbydjlym.png
1 loss -> -1R
1 win -> +5R
Net +4R ✅
EURUSD - WED 20/09/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
Pre-session analysis shared with our community:
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/l/L9gV3lgb.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/w/W4AMwyi1.png
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/k/KHUq06XF.png
EURUSD - MON 11 SEP 23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/MoJiW7Vn.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/n/nrII0qWx.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/1/1Y0BWALP.png
LDN MARKUP
Net +4R ✅
1 loss (-1R) + 1 win (+5R)
I took both on the M1 but there was a clean set up on the M5 too.
M1: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/v/Vc0Wi5h0.png
M5: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/k/kgYNPZKR.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/mSvzBqTc.png
(The markups are a lot more detailed for our members)
EURUSD - FRI 1 SEP 23 - LDN OUTLOOK
07:30 GMT+1 -> CHF CPI m/m - this might cause a bit of volatility on EU so just be mindful if looking to enter a LTF position around this time.
13:30 GMT+1 -> USD - NFP - this is high impact so manage your risk accordingly. Often (but not always) price can be quite rangebound before this.
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/b/BlZZpnv7.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/u/uXNcEltP.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/g/GIaH2rnV.png
EURUSD - THU 10/08/23 - LONDON
13:30 GMT+1 -> US CPI
High impact news so please manage risk accordingly.
The 4H + M15 are showing mixed signals so overall directional bias isn't clear to me.
PA can be slow during August and pre high impact news so don't force anything if it isn't clear to you.
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/w/Wi7x1R9J.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/u/uLLIUAux.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/w/WWNwDnOk.png
LDN MARKUP
Nothing for me as I was simply waiting for M15 OF to shift bearish before considering shorts.
Longs were not in an area of value and trading against 4H supply.
Consider trading against M15 OF:
-> in areas when you have high conviction M15 OF will shift in your favour.
-> and/or you have enough R:R to remove risk before M15 S&D is mitigated.
-> and when you at least have a clear entry model
When a Swing H/L is swept, the directional bias becomes a lot less clear. I've written more info about this on the M15 chart.
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/mQrHOzP5.png
M5: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/w/Weuhp8KS.png
M1: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/w/WBHwiVqs.png
EURUSD - TUE 08/08/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/o/oyJEKTrC.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/l/LHxYdKDr.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/b/bv8oB8ac.png
I will post daily analysis all next week.
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