💡STRATEGY UPDATE 💡
Many of our Photon Pro members said they are able to successfully anticipate the correct market direction (using our systematic structure framework) and the turning points to play that market direction (POI selection + liquidity) with a high degree of accuracy 🎯
But they were struggling with not being able to fully capitalise on these moves frequently enough due to 'no tags' on the entry models when they set up and/or missing the winners for various reasons (job/psychology etc).
Backtest results and live results are completely different things.
A strategy may be profitable in a backtest where you can execute every valid trade 👍
But if the trade frequency is relatively low, then when you inevitably miss a live trade, this can significantly affect your net monthly performance. 👎
This in turn acts as a catalyst for psychological errors, such as FOMO, which compounds the issue further.... 😫
EURUSD - THU 23/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
Volume will be lower today, particularly during NY with the Thanksgiving bank holiday in the US.
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/c/CYfDCq97.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/2/2kA9qFP6.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/k/K0TVvGSI.png
EURUSD - TUE 21/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/k/kE2crzPv.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/2/2wqDzxwL.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/7/7bpAV8ZO.png
EURUSD - WED 15/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/McCif6b9.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/s/sLpp6Bwk.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/l/LCvX2v3i.png
EURUSD - MON 13/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
The immediate bias on the 4H is very unclear to me.
I do not have high confidence in the directional bias for the day so I will be exercising caution to wait for something clear to develop.
1W: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/w/wRE9llX9.png
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/p/P5EeMXgt.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/u/uvqV9rme.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/n/N6PSSiLb.png
EURUSD - THU 09/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/y/yfk52E0W.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/q/Q8dzrwMP.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/o/oAqKt6RN.png
EURUSD - TUE 07/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/g/GINdw3Tt.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/f/fF7UgfR7.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/v/vbdQRP0o.png
EURUSD - THU 02/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/r/r8eFyO0c.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/8/8VpYdoJ5.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/MTCh5iNs.png
EURUSD - TUE 31/10/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/q/QxZGJVBH.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/7/7VPngGjx.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/z/Zz1dVu8e.png
EURUSD - MON 30/10/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/o/ocpRGkSV.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/z/ZP3ayosM.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/w/wMWI4F4j.png
EURUSD - THU 26/10/23 - LDN outlook
13:15 (UTC+1) -> EUR Rate announcement
13:30 (UTC+1) -> USD Advance GDP q/q
13:45 (UTC+1) -> ECB press conference
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/r/r73VTpPs.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/b/B9T4VMN6.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/i/I8NJrenv.png
M15 UPDATE
M15 strong liquidation
M15 bearish CHoCH
Looking for sells within this M15 supply to target the SSLQ / weak M15 Internal low.
But mindful this is counter M15/4H Swing trend after 4H discount demand mitigation.
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/y/y2wgqHiD.png
EURUSD - TUE 24/10/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
08:15 (UTC+1) -> French PMI
08:30 (UTC+1) -> German PMI
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/g/GfAvYVQH.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/g/gfFHZMec.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/g/gPzD2yhT.png
EURUSD - THU 5/10/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/n/NDRYqdbg.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/5/54V5V6Aa.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/v/v2BMMnLk.png
UPDATE
The 4H is looking like it may close with a bullish retrace candle showing signs a 4H pullback may be starting.
The M15 is showing that v-shape bullish move, so I would advise caution selling from this poorly priced supply unless there is a clear bearish M15 OF shift.
Personally I'm biased towards longs to play the Swing pullback to premium prices but it's looking unlikely anything will set up during LDN.
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/w/W2GYkOXl.png
EURUSD - WED 22/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/1/1Gzf0qgY.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/q/qeqOeLK3.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/a/aW95NaZn.png
EURUSD - THU 16/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/p/pPMU9VAj.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/j/JKCthoSY.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/k/KWdT7la5.png
EURUSD - TUE 14/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
My outlook is essentially the same as yesterday.
The immediate bias on the 4H is unclear with the M15 in a sideways range overall.
Try to stick to the extremes of the range and ideally be trading pro MTF OF/Internal.
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/k/KV9snmtS.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/z/zMmeRs7A.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/x/xuMJ51Nv.png
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EURUSD - WED 08/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/t/TwzLf8Wi.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/f/FO75KLU3.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/z/zDAng9bJ.png
EURUSD - MON 06/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/p/PLvz359N.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/b/blYgDpBU.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/b/bXIU1qBD.png
EURUSD - WED 01/11/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/v/VFuywCDT.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/r/RuMS09pi.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/w/wxQ1H17E.png
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EURUSD - WED 25/10/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/3/3ncyHFgi.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/4/48g7zmYw.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/z/Zz0xVwQC.png
Hello Traders 👋
09 OCT 23 - AUDUSD Swing Trade Recap
This setup was a perfect example of why understanding weak/strong H/Ls is so important to know what can happen next. Using this concept with logic, SD, and LQT concepts, help us to have maximum precision when picking the exact turning points on the LTFs 🎯.
The Photon swing strategy allows you to:
-> look at a few different pairs
-> avoid getting stuck in low probability conditions,
-> diversify your risk
-> increasing the frequency of your trades.
This trade took almost 5 hours to be form giving us enough time to analyse / think properly, to make sure we make well informed decisions, according to our proven & tested trade plan.
Tomás prefers to use a lower R management style to keep a high SR, but many of our members also take advantage of this strategy with higher targets suited to their own personality.
A detailed Trade Recap video will be uploaded for Photon members.
D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/1/1LC2srYl.png
H4: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/l/lkxz6eaw.png
H1: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/n/NQl3QQgW.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/6/6vkxRQ5y.png
(The full analysis for the entry model is not drawn).
EURUSD - WED 4/10/23 - LDN OUTLOOK
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/r/RaOsnU6m.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/u/uPTBF6LW.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/n/nYoerGSc.png
EURUSD - TUE 03 OCT 23 - LDN OUTLOOK
FF open may be a bit slow as it's a German bank holiday.
CHF CPI at 07:30 GMT+1 may cause some short-term volatility to EU.
1D: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/a/AdpT8fBu.png
4H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/f/f4v8F2Xf.png
1H: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/m82QOGsd.png
M15: https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/m/mYWkPt1O.png