Picks Office

04 Feb 2025 17:45

#CBB KANSAS STATE +1.5 -110 | 1u:

Kansas State dominated Iowa State, proving they can handle top-tier competition. Their balanced scoring attack—every starter in double figures—makes them tough to defend. Wildcats shoot 45.5% from the field, solid from deep (8.5 threes per game). Offensive rebounding is key—over nine per game, creating second-chance points. Turnovers (12.4 per game) are a concern, but if they control the ball, offense should flow.

Defense has been serviceable, allowing 70 PPG (101st nationally). Wildcats limit opponents to 43.6% shooting and force nearly eight steals per game—turnovers will be huge. They also allow just 6.9 made threes per game, making it difficult for opponents to get hot from deep. Controlling the glass is the X-factor, as second-chance points have hurt them this season.

Arizona State’s offense is inconsistent—scored just 14 points in the paint vs. Arizona. Sun Devils average 73.3 PPG (164th), decent from three (35.9%) but struggle securing offensive rebounds (bottom 150). Defense allows 72 PPG, weak on the glass, giving up nearly 10 offensive boards per game. Kansas State should dominate inside, win rebounding battle, and dictate tempo.

Picks Office

04 Feb 2025 15:45

#CBB VANDERBILT +12.5 -110 | 1u:

Florida struggles with efficiency – ranks 256th in FG% (46.1%). Shot just 24.5% vs Tennessee, brutal from deep (14.8%). Vanderbilt’s defense isn’t elite, but Florida’s cold streak makes covering a big number tough. Gators also 295th in FT% (67.8%) – can’t extend leads late. Vandy’s offense (81.2 PPG) keeps them in games.

Vanderbilt thrives in transition – 15th in pace, scoring 11.2 fast break PPG. Florida’s defense allows 9.8 fast break PPG, struggles vs tempo. Gators’ half-court offense can be streaky – scored just 44 vs Tennessee, 64 vs Kentucky. If shots aren’t falling, they don’t have elite rebounding (36.5 RPG, 202nd) to generate second chances.

Gators’ defense locks down weak offenses (27.9% Opp 3P%), but Vanderbilt’s scoring depth challenges them. McGlockton (22 pts vs Oklahoma) and Edwards (21 pts) can exploit Florida’s wing defense. Commodores also 68.5% FT shooting – not great, but better than Florida. With Florida’s offensive inconsistencies, +12.5 is too many.

Picks Office

04 Feb 2025 14:30

#NBA Lakers @ Clippers OVER 219.5 -110 | 1u:

Lakers-Clippers is set up for a high-scoring battle. Lakers are clicking—128 points vs. the Knicks, LeBron running the show, Reaves stepping up. They average 112.2 PPG, shooting 48.1% FG (7th in NBA). Clippers just allowed 115 to Toronto. Both teams push pace when engaged—expect a track meet at Intuit Dome.

Clippers offense thrives at home—110.3 PPG, 47.2% FG. Harden facilitating at a high level (412 AST, 10th in NBA), Zubac controlling the paint. Lakers defense? Questionable—112.3 PPG allowed, struggle defending in transition. Last meeting hit 218 points despite a slow pace. Tonight? Higher tempo, LeBron dictating play, buckets coming easy.

Both teams top 10 in transition efficiency, Lakers attacking rim aggressively (26.4 PITP per game). Clippers counter with elite ball movement—Harden-PG-Kawhi pick defenses apart. Even without Luka, Lakers offense won’t slow. Last four Lakers games: 228, 223, 237, 240 total points. Defense optional, OVER the play.

Picks Office

04 Feb 2025 13:00

#NBA RAPTORS +5.5 -105 | 1u:

Raptors catching +5.5 at home with major Knicks injury concerns. OG Anunoby (27 pts last meeting) is out, Josh Hart questionable. Knicks also on a back-to-back with travel—fatigue factor matters. Toronto’s been better at home (12-14) vs. road (4-19). Knicks' offense drops to 112.8 PPG on the road vs. 117.7 overall.

Toronto’s rebounding edge (44.1 RPG vs. NYK’s 41.0) keeps them in games. Poeltl (10 reb last meeting) can control the glass against Towns. Knicks rely on Brunson (1320 pts, 49.3% FG), but Barnes (247 AST) can match his playmaking. Raptors’ defense allows 111.2 PPG—better than Knicks’ 116.3, making this spread too big.

Knicks’ FG% (49.4) is elite, but Raptors hold teams to 46.9%. Without Anunoby, NYK loses a top scorer (61.5% FG last matchup). Quickley (22 pts last meeting) faces his former team, extra motivation. Back-to-back fatigue + Toronto’s home edge = strong cover spot.

Picks Office

03 Feb 2025 21:00

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03 Feb 2025 18:45

#CBB Virginia @ Pittsburgh UNDER 133.5 -110 | 1u:

Pittsburgh’s offense thrives at home but faces a serious test against Virginia’s slow, grinding defense. The Cavaliers allow just 65.2 PPG, rank top 15 in defensive efficiency, and force long possessions. Pitt plays fast (79.6 PPG) but struggles against disciplined defenses, shooting just 38.2% on the season. Virginia also plays at the nation’s 10th-slowest pace—clock drains fast.

Virginia’s offense is another reason to expect the under. The Cavs average just 63.3 PPG (322nd nationally), rank outside the top 200 in FG% (44.0%), and struggle on the boards (27.6 RPG). Pitt’s defense is strong at home, holding teams to 42.9% shooting and 70.9 PPG. The Panthers also play physical, limiting easy buckets inside—expect low-scoring, half-court basketball.

Four reasons for the under: 1) Virginia’s slowest pace in the ACC keeps possessions low. 2) Pitt’s top-50 defense locks down weak offenses. 3) Neither team shoots efficiently—both under 47% FG. 4) Virginia ranks outside the top 300 in scoring. Expect a grind.

Picks Office

02 Feb 2025 20:48

#NHL FLYERS +1.5 -135 | 1u

Flyers' defense has struggled but Colorado isn't shutting teams down either (3.09 GA, 19th). Flyers also rank 7th in shots allowed, limiting quality chances. If Ersson steps up, Philly keeps this tight.

Colorado’s offense is dangerous but inconsistent—just 2.3 goals per game in their last 10. Flyers' PK (77.8%) is below average, but Colorado’s power play isn’t dominant (21%, 18th). Philly has won 3 of their last 5 road games, and Avs are just 5-5 ATS in their last 10. Expect a grind.

Colorado has lost 4 of their last 6 as a favorite. Low-scoring trends—under in 6 of Avs' last 8 at home, 10-1-1 under for Flyers vs. Central teams—point to a tight game. The +1.5 line looks strong.

Picks Office

02 Feb 2025 19:50

#NBA RAPTORS +5 -110 | 1u:

Clippers’ defense is elite but their offense is shaky—23rd in scoring, 25th in threes made. Toronto hung within two points of LAC in their last meeting. Raptors play faster—more transition buckets. Clippers have turnover issues—15th in turnover margin. Raptors take advantage—5th in turnover margin. If LAC struggles from deep, Toronto can keep this close.

Clippers missing size—depth tested. Raptors’ recent form solid—won 7 of last 9. Scottie Barnes playing at an All-Star level. RJ Barrett heating up. Clippers’ offense can stall—only 21st in efficiency. Toronto’s energy at home makes them live dogs. Too many points for LAC to cover.

Picks Office

02 Feb 2025 18:30

#NBA Bulls @ Pistons OVER 233 -110 | 1u:

Detroit's offense is heating up—Cade Cunningham just dropped 40 in their last game. Pistons averaged 112 PPG in January, shooting 46.6% from the field. Chicago's defense is weak, allowing 119.8 PPG (4th worst in NBA). Bulls also struggle guarding the paint—Duren (16 PPG, 13 RPG last game) should feast inside.

Chicago's offense is underrated—116.5 PPG, top 10 in FG% (46.6%), 3P% (37.2%). Bulls just put up 122 on Toronto, even without LaVine. Detroit's defense allows 113.2 PPG and ranks bottom 10 in opponent 3P%. If Giddey and Vucevic keep moving the ball (34 team-assists last game), Chicago can hit the over.

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02 Feb 2025 17:50

#NBA Clippers @ Raptors UNDER 220.5 -110 | 1u:

Clippers’ defense is elite—3rd in points allowed per game, 5th in FG% defense, and 3rd in 3PT defense. They slow the pace, ranking 20th in tempo, and have held four straight opponents under 104 points. Raptors struggle offensively—19th in points per game, 29th in 3PM per game. This one shapes up to be a grind.

Toronto’s offense isn’t built to crack the Clippers’ elite defense. They rank 24th in offensive efficiency and shoot just 34.8% from three (20th). LA struggles from deep too—25th in 3PM per game. Both teams lean on mid-range shots and inside scoring, leading to fewer quick points. Expect long possessions, few transition buckets.

Recent trends favor the under—Clippers have gone under in 11 of their last 15 road games, and the under has hit in 9 of the last 12 meetings.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 17:45

#NBA Hawks @ Pacers OVER 239 -110 | 1u:

Indiana's offense is rolling—scoring 134.5 PPG in their last two. Siakam thriving since trade, Haliburton dishing 8.6 APG. Pacers shoot 49.1% from the field (6th) and face an Atlanta D giving up 118.5 PPG (27th). At home, Indiana plays fast—2nd in pace, 3rd in offensive efficiency.

Atlanta struggles defensively but can score—Trae Young leads a Hawks offense averaging 115.3 PPG. They just gave up 137 to Cleveland, allowing 55% shooting. Indiana dropped 157 on them last meeting, hitting 65% FG. Hawks missing Jalen Johnson, but Zaccharie Risacher stepping up—30 pts on 78.6% FG last game.

Fast pace, weak defenses, elite shot-making. Atlanta allows 47.8% FG (25th), Indiana not much better at 47.3% (22nd). Both teams top 10 in transition PPG. Hawks’ last five games avg. 235 total points. Pacers’ last five: 243. Expect a shootout.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 16:45

#NHL SENATORS ML -140 | 1u:

Ottawa thrives at home—15-7-2-0 this season. They’ve won 5 of their last 6 at Canadian Tire Centre. Meanwhile, Minnesota struggles on the road despite their record, allowing 2.77 GA per game. Wild’s PK ranks 37th in the league—Senators’ PP at 37% will exploit that weakness. Add in Kaprizov’s absence, and Ottawa holds the edge.

Minnesota leans on offense, but without Kaprizov (26 G, 58 P), they lose their primary playmaker. Ottawa’s Ullmark (631 saves) has been solid, limiting high-danger chances. Senators generate 29.2 shots per game, forcing Minnesota’s Gustavsson (962 saves) into heavy workload. Last meeting? Sens controlled play, outshooting Wild 37-31 in a 3-1 win.

Momentum favors Ottawa—won 7 of their last 10. Wild rely on power play (26%), but Sens kill penalties at 32%, neutralizing that threat. Senators also dictate pace at home, controlling possession and limiting scoring chances. With home ice, special teams advantage, and Minnesota missing their star, Ottawa secures the win.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 15:45

#CBB CALIFORNIA -4.5 -110 | 1u:

Cal at home is a different team—9-3 in Berkeley, while Syracuse struggles on the road (1-5). The Golden Bears play at a slower pace but score efficiently—75.7 PPG at 43.1% FG. Syracuse’s defense gives up 77.6 PPG, ranking among the worst in the ACC. With or without Stojakovic, Cal’s offense should control the tempo and find high-quality looks.

Syracuse’s offense is inconsistent. J.J. Starling (17.9 PPG) is the go-to scorer, but he shot 3-for-16 vs. Stanford. The Orange’s 45.3% FG is solid, but they rely on second-chance points (34.1 RPG) against a Cal squad that rebounds better at home. If Mady Sissoko returns, he’ll be a major factor in the paint. Cal’s defense isn’t elite, but it’s enough to disrupt an inefficient Syracuse team.

Cal’s edge? Home-court dominance and depth. They went 3-1 at home in January and limit opponents to 75.6 PPG. Syracuse is trending downward, losing three straight and failing to hit 70 points in their last two. If Starling struggles again, they lack other scoring options. The line is short—Cal -4.5 is the play.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 14:30

#CBB GRAND CANYON -10.5 -110 | 1u:

Grand Canyon dominates at home – 12-1 record, scoring 83.3 PPG while holding opponents to 68.9. Utah Valley struggles on the road, allowing 72.5 PPG. GCU’s defense limits teams to 41.7% FG, while UVU shoots just 45% overall, 30.4% from three. Lopes also own the glass – +5 rebounding edge over UVU.

Offensive firepower favors GCU – 78.7 PPG vs. UVU’s 73.3. They hit 74% from the line, while UVU sits at just 69.9%. Star forward J. Coles shooting 51.4% FG, key mismatch against UVU’s interior. Grand Canyon also forces more turnovers, capitalizing on extra possessions to extend leads. Expect a fast-paced game.

First matchup saw GCU shoot just 36.5% in a 72-64 loss. Huge regression spot – they average nearly 8% better at home. Utah Valley riding 10-game win streak, but against weaker competition. GCU’s depth and home-court edge should wear them down late.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 13:15

#CBB Vanderbilt @ Oklahoma UNDER 153.5 -110 | 1u:

Oklahoma thrives on efficiency—30th in 2P% (56.6) and 40th in 3P% (37.2)—but struggles with turnovers (177th in TO%). Vanderbilt forces turnovers on 22.4% of possessions (14th), slowing opposing offenses. Both teams defend well: Oklahoma allows just 42.9% FG, Vanderbilt 43.9%. Tight defensive battle incoming.

Vanderbilt plays a slower pace, ranking outside the top 150 in adjusted tempo. Oklahoma, despite its shooting efficiency, doesn’t push the pace either. The Commodores are fresh after a week off, which typically favors disciplined defensive execution. Vanderbilt also defends the paint well, limiting second-chance points. Expect fewer possessions, tougher shots.

Both teams have scoring depth, but star players have been inconsistent. Fears (OU) struggled last game, and Edwards (Vandy) thrives only when fully healthy. With Oklahoma’s offense reliant on hot shooting and Vanderbilt’s ability to disrupt rhythm, points will be at a premium. Expect a grind-it-out game under the total.

Picks Office

04 Feb 2025 16:30

#CBB OLE MISS -4 -115 | 1u:

Ole Miss at home with a clear edge. Kentucky’s defense is a liability—allows 79.9 PPG (343rd nationally). Wildcats struggle against efficient offenses, and Ole Miss shoots 77.7 PPG. Rebels are 12-1 at home, their only loss coming to #1 Auburn. Kentucky just 2-4 in SEC road games, struggling against physical defenses.

Rebels dominate at the FT line—75.4% as a team (64th), while Kentucky ranks 299th in opponent FT rate. Ole Miss also takes care of the ball—just 10.7 turnovers per game (43rd). Kentucky’s transition defense is weak, ranking 288th in opponent fast-break points. The Wildcats are also 1-3 in their last four, showing inconsistency against top teams.

Ole Miss can dictate the pace. Kentucky wants to run (3rd in scoring), but their defense is a disaster. Wildcats give up 50%+ shooting in SEC play, and Ole Miss plays strong half-court offense. Rebels’ defense forces tough shots (41.9% opp FG, 72nd). At home, with a favorable matchup, Ole Miss covers.

Picks Office

04 Feb 2025 15:15

#NBA Celtics @ Cavaliers OVER 236.5 -110 | 1u:

Boston and Cleveland both bring elite offensive firepower into this matchup, setting up a high-scoring affair. Cleveland leads the NBA in 3PT% (39.6%) and drains 16.3 threes per game. Boston tops the league in made threes (17.8 per game), and both teams rank top 10 in effective FG%. The Cavs just hit 26 threes vs. Dallas—confidence at an all-time high.

Cleveland’s offense has been unstoppable at home, putting up 122.6 PPG in front of their crowd. They shoot 50% from the field, ranking among the best in the league. Boston isn’t far behind, averaging 117.3 PPG while playing at the NBA’s 4th-fastest pace over their last five games. Both teams rank top 10 in offensive rating, and neither has a lockdown defense.

Boston’s last game soared past the total after a 26-point comeback vs. Philly, and Cleveland just dropped 144 points. Both teams are trending over with high shot volume and elite efficiency. The previous two meetings finished at 231 and 226 points—expect another shootout in Cleveland.

Picks Office

04 Feb 2025 13:45

#NBA Pacers @ Trail Blazers OVER 232 -110 | 1u:

Indiana plays at the fastest pace in the league—top 3 in possessions per game. They average 116.2 PPG, 5th in the NBA, with a 49.2% FG (top 6). Haliburton runs an elite offense—leads the league in assists per game. Portland’s defense ranks 24th in points allowed (115.1 PPG) and 26th in opponent FG% (47.4).

Portland struggles defensively but still puts up points—108.8 PPG, even with Simons’ inconsistent efficiency (42.4% FG). Ayton should dominate the glass against an Indiana team allowing 44.2 RPG. Last meeting hit 235 total points, both teams shot above 48%. Fast tempo + bad defense = scoring spike.

Both teams trending over—Indiana 7 of last 10, Portland 6 of last 8. Pacers allow 114.6 PPG, meaning Blazers should get theirs. Haliburton pick-and-roll will shred Portland’s weak perimeter D. Indiana on the road = even worse defense. Everything points to points.

Picks Office

04 Feb 2025 10:38

#NHL Hurricanes @ Jets UNDER 6 -130 | 1u:

Winnipeg’s defense remains elite—2.43 GA/G, 28 shots allowed per game, and a .925 SV% from Hellebuyck. Carolina limits chances even more—2.72 GA/G, just 24.9 shots against. Both teams thrive on the PK, Winnipeg at 79%, Carolina at 86.3%. Limited high-danger looks expected, keeping this game tight.

Carolina’s offense dips on the road—2.88 G/G vs. 3.32 at home. Winnipeg’s recent scoring surge isn’t sustainable, riding a 15.4% shooting clip in the last five. Head-to-head trends support the Under—6 of the last 9 meetings stayed under. Jets also playing their 11th game in 22 days, fatigue could slow them down.

Goaltending still favors the Under—Kochetkov (19-9-3, .903 SV%) has been solid, and Hellebuyck (33-7-2, .925 SV%) is elite. Carolina’s last 6 games? Four have gone Under.

Picks Office

03 Feb 2025 19:30

#CBB Northern Arizona @ Weber State UNDER 143.5 -110 | 1u:

Weber State struggles offensively—220th in FG% (43.5), weak from deep (32.5%), and poor at the line (69.1%). NAU isn’t much better—229th in FG% (43.2), shaky from the stripe (66.5%). Both teams play at a moderate pace, but neither is efficient. Last meeting hit 157, but that came with elite shooting nights.

Weber averages just 67.9 PPG at home, while NAU puts up 71.0 on the road—both below national averages. Defensively, Weber allows 75.9 at home, and NAU gives up 74.6 away, but both teams have held opponents below 70 in recent matchups. Weber’s rebounding (32.9 RPG) and NAU’s (34.3 RPG) suggest limited second-chance points.

Weber’s 2-7 conference record shows struggles against familiar defenses. NAU’s offense relies on T. McLaughlin (40.6 FG%), but Weber has held opponents under 70 in three of their last five. Expect regression from last game’s hot shooting—under is the play.

Picks Office

03 Feb 2025 18:15

#NBA PELICANS +12 -110 | 1u:

Denver wins, but 12 points is too much. New Orleans just took Boston to the wire as +12 dogs. Denver didn't cover 12.5 vs. Charlotte. New Orleans’ offense isn’t efficient (44.6 FG%), but volume keeps them in games. Nuggets’ D allows 46.7 FG%, vulnerable inside. Jokic dominates, but New Orleans keeps pace.

Last matchup was a 132-129 shootout—New Orleans nearly won outright. Their rebounding (46.3 RPG) can compete with Denver’s 45.4, limiting second chances. Denver’s defense gives up 118.1 PPG, 21st in the league—won’t pull away easily. New Orleans’ 109.8 PPG isn't great, but they scrap. If McCollum and Hawkins hit shots, this stays close.

Denver thrives at home, but New Orleans plays up to competition. Nuggets only 4-4 in division, inconsistent vs. familiar foes. New Orleans’ defense (48.3 opp FG%) is weak, but Denver’s pace can let teams hang. Westbrook, Watson out—bench depth takes a hit. Too many points to lay.

Picks Office

02 Feb 2025 20:15

#NHL Canadiens @ Ducks Over 6 -115 | 1u:

Montreal’s defense has struggled—allowing 3.35 GA per game (27th in NHL). Anaheim’s offense is weak, but they’ve averaged 3.8 goals over the last five. Ducks generating 30.6 shots per game lately, and Montreal giving up 35. Habs’ PK is solid (82.1%, 8th), but Ducks have been capitalizing more at 16.7% last five.

Anaheim’s defense is equally shaky—3.12 GA/game, 31st in shots allowed (32.3). Montreal scores 2.92 goals/game, but Anaheim’s poor PK (74.1%, 27th) could give their PP (20.1%, 20th) opportunities. Ducks’ last five: Over in 3 of 5, averaging 3.2 GA. Habs’ last five: 3.6 GA/game, over in 2 of 3 road games.

Pace should be high—both teams allow plenty of shots. Habs’ offense struggled last game, but Anaheim’s defense should provide chances. Previous matchup hit 5, but with current trends, expect more offense. Late-game empty netter potential.

Picks Office

02 Feb 2025 19:09

#NBA Mavericks @ Cavaliers UNDER 237 -110 | 1u:

Dallas' offense has been inconsistent, but Cleveland’s defense is elite—ranked 4th in opponent FG% (46.0%) and allowing just 112.0 PPG. Mavs are potentionally missing key scorers, and Kyrie will be forced to carry. Cleveland’s pace is slower at home (109.9 PPG allowed), limiting transition buckets.

Cavs' offense is strong, but their efficiency takes a slight dip against disciplined defenses. Dallas may struggle to create second-chance points—Cavs hold opponents to 10.9 offensive rebounds per game. Cleveland also ranks top 10 in defensive rebounding and opponent 3PT% (37.0%). Last meeting was a high-scoring outlier (134-122), but expect a regression here.

Pace factor leans under—Dallas plays slower without Luka, and Cleveland controls tempo at home. Both teams rank middle of the pack in assists per game, suggesting more iso-heavy possessions. Mavs’ road shooting drops to 46.2% FG and 38.5% 3PT. Cleveland has gone under in 4 of their last 6 meetings with Dallas.

Picks Office

02 Feb 2025 18:03

#NBA Grizzlies @ Bucks OVER 244 -105 | 1u:

Memphis leads the NBA in pace – 104.4 possessions per game. They attack in transition, ranking top 10 in fast-break points. Milwaukee isn’t far behind, 10th in pace, 3rd in 3P%. Both teams attack the rim and get to the line – Memphis 2nd in OREB%, Milwaukee top 5 in FTA. Expect a high-tempo shootout.

Memphis games are trending over – 8-2-1 last 11, 15-5-1 as an underdog. Milwaukee has also hit the over in 9 of its last 11. Both teams are top 10 in offensive efficiency, but Memphis struggles defensively – 115.7 opp PPG, 45.1% opp FG. Bucks just gave up 144 to the Spurs, defense slipping badly.

Recent matchups favor points – last 5 meetings, 3 went over 230. Memphis dropped 122 on Milwaukee earlier this season. Bucks' last 5 games: 120.4 opp PPG. With Giannis & Lillard pushing tempo and Memphis playing fast, 244 is very reachable.

Picks Office

02 Feb 2025 16:58

#NBA CAVALIERS -12.5 -110 | 1u:

Cavs are 32-16 ATS, best in the NBA. At home? 17-9 ATS, covering 65.4% of the time. Dallas? 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Mavs also just shipped Luka in a blockbuster trade—chemistry will be shaky. Cleveland, meanwhile, has won 3 straight by 15+ PPG, dominating both sides of the floor.

Cavs’ offense is rolling—122.2 PPG (1st in NBA), 49.8% FG (4th). At home? Even better: 122.4 PPG, 50.2% FG. Dallas’ defense is a mess, allowing 116.5 PPG on the road (25th). Over last 5? Giving up 119.6 PPG. Cleveland already torched them for 134 points last month—expect another blowout.

Cavs' size & ball movement key here. Allen & Mobley own the paint, while Garland & Mitchell lead a top-5 passing offense (29.1 APG). Kyrie can’t do it alone. They’re 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs. winning teams. Cavs should cruise.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 17:15

#NBA PACERS -7.5 -115 | 1u:

Indiana is rolling—10-2 in January, back-to-back wins, and averaging 134.5 PPG in their last two. Siakam is thriving, fresh off a 37-point game on 56.8% shooting. Haliburton orchestrating at 18.3 PPG, 8.6 APG. Hawks defense? Bottom 10 in points allowed (118.5 PPG). Atlanta’s lost 7 straight—Pacers should roll.

Hawks are unraveling. Jalen Johnson (18.9 PPG, 10 RPG) is out for the season, leaving Young to carry the offense. He’s still elite, but his 40.2% FG is inefficient. Atlanta just gave up 137 to Cleveland, now faces a Pacers squad shooting 49.1% (5th in NBA). Indy also swept ATL last season, including a 157-point explosion.

Pacers feast at home (13-8) while the Hawks struggle on the road (11-14). Indiana leads the league in assists per game, thrives in transition, and has the deeper bench. Hawks lack interior defense—Turner (16.8 PPG) and Siakam should dominate inside. Atlanta’s skid continues—Pacers cover with ease.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 16:11

#CBB George Washington @ La Salle OVER 147.5 -110 | 1u:

La Salle pushes tempo at home – 76.4 PPG in Philly, a full 5 PPG boost vs their season average. GW struggles on the road defensively, giving up 73.0 PPG. Both teams rank outside the top 200 in FG%, but La Salle’s volume (63.9 FGA per game) compensates. GW’s efficiency (43.7%) is the best offensive metric on the floor.

Both defenses have major holes. GW allows 41.4% shooting, but La Salle is worse at 45.7%. Neither dominates the glass – La Salle (34.3 RPG), GW (33.0 RPG) – meaning second-chance points should be available. GW's bench outperforms La Salle’s, providing scoring depth. La Salle’s 70.6% FT shooting is solid, key for an Over.

La Salle games at home have been shootouts – averaging 147.8 total points. GW’s road defense has been leaky, allowing teams to hit 41.4% FG. Neither team defends the perimeter well, and both rely on transition buckets. Pace, efficiency, and poor defense all point to points.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 15:15

#CBB UCONN +6.5 +100 | 1u:

Marquette’s defense forces turnovers (10.2 steals/game, No. 2 TO margin), but UConn takes care of the ball—strong guard play limits giveaways. Huskies’ size advantage matters: 6.8 blocks/game (No. 2 NCAA). Marquette struggles vs elite interior defenses, and UConn locks down the paint. History matters—Huskies won 8 of last 10 H2H, including last year’s sweep.

Huskies’ offense is explosive—80.0 PPG, 49% FG. Marquette’s defense allows 43.7% shooting, vulnerable against efficient scoring teams. UConn has proven resilience—rallied from 14 down vs DePaul, showing late-game composure. Marquette thrives in transition (19.7 Pts off TOs/game), but UConn’s rebounding edge (31.7 RPG) limits fast-break chances.

Marquette’s top scorer Kam Jones (18.9 PPG) struggled last meeting (13 pts, 29% FG). UConn’s defense is physical, ranking 2nd in blocks and contesting everything inside. Huskies have covered this spread in 4 of last 5 vs Marquette. Expect a close battle—+6.5 is too many points in a rivalry game.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 13:45

#CBB TOWSON -6.5 -115 | 1u:

Towson is rolling—seven straight wins, dominant at home (7-1). Their defense locks teams down, holding opponents to 65.9 PPG at TU Arena. Drexel, while solid on the road (6-4), struggles against top-tier defensive units. Towson already crushed them 93-82 earlier this season, shooting 54.7% in that game. Momentum, home-court edge, and defense all favor the Tigers.

Drexel’s offense is solid (44.8% FG), but Towson’s defense is even better—holding teams to just 43.6% from the field. Tigers own the rebounding battle (33.1 RPG vs. 29.1 RPG), key in controlling pace. Towson also shares the ball better (D. Williamson leads with 7 assists last game). Drexel’s 67.7 PPG allowed on the road doesn’t hold up against a Towson team surging in conference play.

Last matchup was all Towson—outshot, out-rebounded, and out-assisted Drexel. Expect the same here, especially with Towson’s 8-1 conference record. Drexel has lost 5 of 9 in conference play and struggles against elite defenses. With Towson’s size and defensive pressure, they should cover comfortably at home.

Picks Office

01 Feb 2025 12:45

#CBB VANDERBILT +2.5 -105 | 1u:

Oklahoma relies on efficient shooting—48.3% FG, 37.2% from deep—but struggles when forced into bad shots. Vanderbilt’s defense holds opponents to 43.9% FG and thrives on creating turnovers, ranking 14th nationally in forced TO%. The Sooners cough it up on 17.4% of possessions (177th), a bad recipe vs. Vandy’s aggressive defense.

Vanderbilt’s offense is balanced—four players averaging double figures—making it tough to key in on one scorer. Jason Edwards (17.3 PPG) is a dynamic threat, hitting 39.2% from three. Oklahoma leans on Jalon Moore (18.2 PPG), but when he’s slowed, they struggle. Vandy also dominates the glass, with a +2.4 rebounding edge, limiting second-chance points.

The Commodores are battle-tested—wins over No. 6 Tennessee & No. 9 Kentucky prove they can handle tough road spots. Oklahoma, just 4-7 ATS at home, lacks consistency. Vandy’s 9.9 steals per game disrupts rhythm, and their experience (seven upperclassmen in the rotation) helps in tight matchups. Too many edges to ignore.