-
r/FantasyPL [reddit.com/r/fantasyPL] Telegram group chat: @rFantasyPL By @reddit2telegram [Discuss: @r_channels]
Andoni Iraola believes it will take Marcos Senesi between 3-4 months before returning to action... Marcus Tavernier also suffered a serious setback, but his injury will take 'weeks' as opposed to months. Tyler Adams returns after being rested as a precaution at Ipswich.
https://x.com/bendinnery/status/1867557913385984023?s=46&t=k_FBGnsbG2P0PN0vqz37RA
https://redd.it/1hde9kn
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[James Olley] Arteta on Gabriel Mag and Calafiori's availability: "There is a possibility with one of them to be available." Is that Gabriel? "Yes."
https://x.com/JamesOlley/status/1867561939607412855?t=GX1TXwLeI6DK5lXonYPueA&s=19
https://redd.it/1hdcd96
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Assistant Manager - Strategy - Chipseption (Long read) (see TL;DR)
Anyone seen the classic movie with Leonardo DiCaprio, Inception? Yeah me neither. Anyhow, here's a potential strategy for using the Assistant Manager Chip.
**TL;DR - I don’t want to have a template strategy and manager. I think I'm funny, but I'm actually not. I assume a heap of things. I pick a team who could beat a better team, and then have an easy second game. I transfer my manager to a top four manager who has an easy game in the third gameweek. I use my chip in a period where the fixture turns in the third gameweek. Finally, I use points ‘profited’ as an extra wildcard.**
I’ll preface this by saying this strategy assumes the following;
* Majority of the top ranked FPL managers are risk averse in that they’ll select a manager from the winningest teams (Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal and City currently). I’ll safely make this assumption due to template teams being a thing. We’ll call this the Template Strategy.
* Most FPL managers won’t burn a free transfer on a manager in a three week window, particularly since injuries and suspensions do not play a part.
The Chipseption name of this strategy comes about as it opens up the opportunity for a secondary strategy to be played within this one strategy (duh). Whereas the Template Strategy simply keeps you on par with everyone else (yay I picked Liverpool and got 8 points a game!).
Chipseption starts by selecting a team that, in one of their first two games of a run, play a team who will be ranked five or more places above them AND are playing at home. Ideally, we’d like their opponent to be a team outside the top 6, but we can’t all be Saka, Palmer, Haaland and Salah owners can we? As well as a home game against a team like this, we want their other game to be against pretty much an assured win, i’m talking Tottenham when they play City level. Lots of goal potential would be the cherry (no not Bournemouth) on top. We’ll go over which teams could be the best for this later.
Now that we have our team criteria we can look at why I’m telling you to pick Brentford against Tottenham rather than the safety of Slot’s Machine (get it guys, it's a joke about gambling while I'm talking about risk, but it’s also the name of the Liverpool coach… haha). Let’s look at the current top four for wins and their manager’s average points per game, as well as their best three week period. Liverpool averages 8.21 points per game, Arsenal is at 6.8, Chelsea are at 7.13, while City are 6.00. This gives us an average across the four of very close to 7 points per game when you select a top four team. For the best three game streak, Liverpool’s is 31, Arsenal’s is 32, Chelsea also at 32 and City at 29. So we can expect Template Strategists to typically score around 21 points using their chip, but we also wouldn’t be surprised to see them score as high as 30-32 points. Although we should keep in mind none of the four aforementioned teams best streaks came in what we would assume would be a typically easy run of games; Liverpool (Ipswich, Brentford, Man Utd), Arsenal (Forest, West Ham, Man Utd), Chelsea (Villa, Southampton, Spurs), and City (Chelsea, Ipswich, West Ham). For the purposes of this strategy let’s assume we’ll expect around 26 points (Between 21 and 32) from Template Strategists.
So we need 26 points from this strategy and what’s the easiest way there? Captaining Sal… I mean the Table Bonus! How many times has this happened this season do you ask? Sixteen times for the win and twenty-one times for the draw. So every 9.31 games (pretty much a game a week on average) there is a table bonus for winning and every 7.10 games there is a table bonus draw. Every 4.02 games (pretty much twice a week) there is a table bonus for one or the other. If we can pick the team that does this we’ll score a minimum of 18 (2-1 win), or we’ll even settle for the draw to give us the 9 points (1-1 draw). If either of these outcomes occur then we’ll be on track with those who went to the template. Unfortunately, if we choose
Price Change Predictions Evaluation — December 13th, 2024
https://redd.it/1hd8wd0
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GAME WEEK 16 - CAPTAIN POLL
GW16 captain poll can be found **HERE**.
Updates in real-time. Discuss your choices here.
You can use the poll as an indication of selections, in order to select a safe captain or a differential captain.
|Gameweek|Poll winner(s)|%|Points|2nd Place|%|Points|3rd Place|%|Points|Thread|Total Votes|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|GW1|Isak|38|5|Salah|28|14|Haaland|19|7|Poll|3319|
|GW2|Haaland|60|17|Salah|22|10|Isak|4|2|Poll|1843|
|GW3|Haaland|46|17|Palmer|21|6|Salah|13|17|Poll|2582|
|GW4|Haaland|62|13|Salah|29|2|Palmer|2|3|Poll|1814|
|GW5|Salah|44|6|Haaland|22|9|Watkins|11|6|Poll|2319|
|GW6|Haaland|45|2|Salah|25|10|Saka|13|3|Poll|2555|
|GW7|Haaland|53|2|Saka|18|16|Palmer|10|6|Poll|2319|
|GW8|Haaland|74|2|Salah|10|12|Saka|5|0|Poll|1213|
|GW9|Haaland|67|6|Mbeumo|10|15|Palmer|9|10|Poll|876|
|GW10|Salah|42|9|Haaland|41|2|Palmer|9|3|Poll|1903|
|GW11|Salah|40|14|Haaland|29|5|Solanke|11|2|Poll|2185|
|GW12|Salah|62|14|Haaland|18|2|Palmer|10|2|Poll|1536|
|GW13|Salah|42|13|Palmer|22|14|Saka|10|18|Poll|2720|
|GW14|Palmer|55|7|Salah|27|18|Haaland|7|5|Poll|2011|
|GW15|Salah|52|-|Palmer|11|18|Saka|11|2|Poll|1361|
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Nick Pope picked up an injury; doubt for Leicester
https://x.com/craighope_dm/status/1867282722231832991?s=46&t=-IZP_XDHRHZnugiPoGwZhw
https://redd.it/1hd0u2x
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Rasmus Hojlund as a risky differential
Hojlund's goals since Amorim took over: 0 goals vs Ipswich (played 22 minutes), 2 goals in EL vs Bodo/Glimt, benched vs Everton, 0 goals vs Arsenal, 1 goal vs Forest and again 2 today in EL vs Viktoria Plzen.
In total 5 goals in 5 matches. Clear improvement over ETH era when he barely had a sniff of the ball and even then he managed to get one or two goals here and there.
I know arguments against it:
\- United is a meme
\- Amorim tactics are uncertain
\- His minutes are uncertain (though Zirkzee is proving to be liability so far)
\- Better forwards in Isak, Cunha etc.
\- Bruno or Amad better options on paper from United
Buuuuuuuuuut then again, Cunha right now is more expensive than him and Wolves are absolutely shambolic; United's fixtures are turning green after City game (one could argue that City game won't be as difficult either) and I think he's the guy that's benefitting the most so far from the manager change.
Anyone willing to take a risk and punt on him?
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[Official PL Reporter Rob Scanlon] Watkins himself says he should be fit for Forest
https://x.com/RobScanlon_TV/status/1867232960543330658
https://redd.it/1hcsw5p
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Gameweek 16 | Predicted Points | Captaincy Pick
https://redd.it/1hcpnxk
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BREAKING: The last Merseyside derby to be played at Goodison Park has been pencilled in for Tuesday 11 February.
https://x.com/AnfieldSector/status/1867232905279520805?s=19
https://redd.it/1hco31n
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Arsenal are hoping Gabriel Magalhães will be fit to return against Everton on Saturday. The player has missed Arsenal’s last three games with a hamstring injury, but is close to returning, despite not being risked in the 3-0 win over Monaco last night. [@SamiMokbel81_DM]
https://x.com/afcstuff/status/1867186095185903646?s=19
https://redd.it/1hckxdb
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Price Change Predictions Evaluation — December 12th, 2024
https://redd.it/1hcihzl
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Gabriel
With Gabriel not in the squad yesterday, what are people going to do with him? Obviously Arteta will give us nothing so we really won't know anymore than we do now.
I need some advice as an owner myself 😭
https://redd.it/1hch2ys
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🚨 Breaking: Chelsea travelling squad to Astana
https://redd.it/1hcb5cj
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[Squawka] Since the start of November, Manchester City have conceded more goals (21) across all competitions than any other team from Europe's big five leagues.
https://x.com/Squawka_Live/status/1866959829664706570
https://redd.it/1hc5byx
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Nicolas Jackon and Chelsea
Nkunku and Joao Felix did not travel to Astana for Chelsea's Europa Conference League match, suggesting they could be involved in one of the upcoming fixtures. Enzo Maresca said "The target since we started the season is to allow all of them, no matter the competition, to play 90 minutes every week." This indicates that Chelsea are likely to rotate their squad heavily during the winter period.
Given this, outside of Palmer and perhaps Enzo Fernandez as a budget-friendly option, prioritising other Chelsea players in the short term may not be ideal. For strikers, options like Isak and Chris Wood—both of whom have more secure minutes and take penaltiesseem more reliable choices compared to Jackson imo. Thoughts?
https://redd.it/1hdcmgg
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wrong, we’re looking at worst case a big ol’ zero (happens about every third game, so about three times a week). Now let's assume we win the unloseable other game by the worst possible scoreline 2-1 (no CS bonus, and only two goals bonus), that’ll give us an additional 8 points. This is where we look at all potential outcomes.
* **The ‘Michael Scott** (otherwise known as the No! God! Please No!) **Outcome’**: Alright it's all gone horribly wrong. Unsurprisingly, Wolves couldn’t overcome Man City again. We did win our other game, but we’re sitting on only 8 points. We’re going into a 50/50 game for our third week of the Assistant ‘doesn’t have a clue’ Manager Chip. Burn your free transfer and PEPare yourself for another banked 8 point minimum, if not more since we’re changing to a top 4 team manager. This is hypothetically the worst case scenario, unless you manage to achieve the unthinkable and pick a team that not only loses their unloseable game, but also select a top four team who loses too. Let’s use that magic word (assume) again and let’s say you’re on 16 points. It could be worse, you’ve probably only lost 5-10 points on all the templates, and could have picked up extra points from being able to have a third player from that specific team everyone is picking their manager from. And hey, maybe one of the good teams lost.
* **The ‘It Worked, I Am A Genius Outcome’:** Congratulations, you’re on either 26 (both 2-1 wins, so 18+8) or 17 (1-1 draw and 2-1 win). We’re most of the way there. Either back in your manager and don’t use your free transfer on your them or go all out and bring in that top four manager. Either way you’ll likely end up around the template score with a draw, whereas you could make huge inroads on overall ranking with a win.
* **The ‘IT REALLY WORKED, I AM A GENIUS OUTCOME’:** It’s the same as above, but it's all gone right. You’ve won your ‘hard’ game 1-0, and then you’ve won the easy one 2-0. You’re on 29 points already. Let’s now assume the template has stuck to their average, so they’re on 14 points. You’re ahead by a whopping 15 points. That’s nice, the overall rank is looking good, I'm looking good, I might just rest on my laurels and nothing will go wrong at all… No, I'm going to use my free transfer to bring in a top four manager and I'm going to use those 15 extra points as though it were another wildcard. This is the secondary strategy, and what we are ultimately trying to bring about. I’m making up to another 4 transfers (depending on what the actual template has achieved and how many banked transfers I have). Yes, I've giving up my points advantage, but I've gotten an extra team change for a turn of fixtures, which in my opinion MIGHT be more valuable in the long run. This brings me to the next point, which is the ideal time to use it.
From the above, we have already determined that we want to consider a team that has a two period run of a team above them in a home fixture, and an easy game. We would then also want the third game in that streak to align with a top four team having the easiest game possible. Finally, we want a period where the fixtures are about to turn leading into their third gameweek of using the chip.
That brings us to the candidates, and honestly I haven’t thought about them enough yet. But, that could be a second post to this if everyone didn’t get sick of me in this one? Off the top of my head (without being a fortune teller for the league table) I like Brentford from GW24 - 25 into Arsenal GW26. Brentford (at Home) v Spurs, Brentford (Away) v West Ham \[Not so much an unloseable game, but..\] and Arsenal (at Home) v West Ham. Irrelevant of if this is or isn’t the strategy I go with or if it is or isn’t a good strategy, I did have a lot of fun writing this. Hope you enjoyed it too!
https://redd.it/1hd9hcg
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Assistant Manager - Strategy - Chipseption (Long read) (see TL;DR)
Anyone seen the classic movie with Leonardo DiCaprio, Inception? Yeah me neither. Anyhow, here's a potential strategy for using the Assistant Manager Chip.
TL;DR - I don’t want to have a template strategy and manager. I think I'm funny, but I'm actually not. I assume a heap of things. I pick a team who could beat a better team, and then have an easy second game. I transfer my manager to a top four manager who has an easy game in the third gameweek. I use my chip in a period where the fixture turns in the third gameweek. Finally, I use points ‘profited’ as an extra wildcard.
I’ll preface this by saying this strategy assumes the following;
Majority of the top ranked FPL managers are risk averse in that they’ll select a manager from the winningest teams (Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal and City currently). I’ll safely make this assumption due to template teams being a thing. We’ll call this the Template Strategy.
Most FPL managers won’t burn a free transfer on a manager in a three week window, particularly since injuries and suspensions do not play a part.
The Chipseption name of this strategy comes about as it opens up the opportunity for a secondary strategy to be played within this one strategy (duh). Whereas the Template Strategy simply keeps you on par with everyone else (yay I picked Liverpool and got 8 points a game!).
Chipseption starts by selecting a team that, in one of their first two games of a run, play a team who will be ranked five or more places above them AND are playing at home. Ideally, we’d like their opponent to be a team outside the top 6, but we can’t all be Saka, Palmer, Haaland and Salah owners can we? As well as a home game against a team like this, we want their other game to be against pretty much an assured win, i’m talking Tottenham when they play City level. Lots of goal potential would be the cherry (no not Bournemouth) on top. We’ll go over which teams could be the best for this later.
Now that we have our team criteria we can look at why I’m telling you to pick Brentford against Tottenham rather than the safety of Slot’s Machine (get it guys, it's a joke about gambling while I'm talking about risk, but it’s also the name of the Liverpool coach… haha). Let’s look at the current top four for wins and their manager’s average points per game, as well as their best three week period. Liverpool averages 8.21 points per game, Arsenal is at 6.8, Chelsea are at 7.13, while City are 6.00. This gives us an average across the four of very close to 7 points per game when you select a top four team. For the best three game streak, Liverpool’s is 31, Arsenal’s is 32, Chelsea also at 32 and City at 29. So we can expect Template Strategists to typically score around 21 points using their chip, but we also wouldn’t be surprised to see them score as high as 30-32 points. Although we should keep in mind none of the four aforementioned teams best streaks came in what we would assume would be a typically easy run of games; Liverpool (Ipswich, Brentford, Man Utd), Arsenal (Forest, West Ham, Man Utd), Chelsea (Villa, Southampton, Spurs), and City (Chelsea, Ipswich, West Ham). For the purposes of this strategy let’s assume we’ll expect around 26 points (Between 21 and 32) from Template Strategists.
So we need 26 points from this strategy and what’s the easiest way there? Captaining Sal… I mean the Table Bonus! How many times has this happened this season do you ask? Sixteen times for the win and twenty-one times for the draw. So every 9.31 games (pretty much a game a week on average) there is a table bonus for winning and every 7.10 games there is a table bonus draw. Every 4.02 games (pretty much twice a week) there is a table bonus for one or the other. If we can pick the team that does this we’ll score a minimum of 18 (2-1 win), or we’ll even settle for the draw to give us the 9 points (1-1 draw). If either of these outcomes occur then we’ll be on track with those who went to the template. Unfortunately, if we choose
Rate My Team, Quick Questions & General Advice Daily Thread
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FPL Gameweek 16 Preview - New Chip Thoughts, Triple Captain Salah, & More!
Greetings all, and welcome to a pretty jam-packed preview for Gameweek 16.
You can read our brilliant analysis / inane ramblings (delete as appropriate), in all their glory, right here:
[https://full90fpl.com/fpl-gameweek-16-preview-2024/](https://full90fpl.com/fpl-gameweek-16-preview-2024/)
Alternatively, as always, there's a TLDR below.
\---
# When to Triple Captain (Salah)
Liverpool's postponed game has been rescheduled to Tuesday 11th February. That means a Double Gameweek 24 for Liverpool, against Everton and Bournemouth.
Might there be other double gameweeks later on? Perhaps, but we all probably wanted to TC Salah at some point anyway... and now we know when to do it!
Unless something dramatic happens between now and Gameweek 24, this definitely feels like the safest time to play your Triple Captain.
# When to Wildcard
If you've still got your wildcard... firstly, congratulations on the enormous self-restraint.
But also, you should probably use it around Gameweek 18 or 19. City, Fulham, and Palace all start good fixture runs then, so you can chuck their players in alongside the usual Arsenal and Liverpool assets (who also have good long-term fixtures - see below).
# New Chip Thoughts
I won't copy-and-paste my whole take on the Assistant Manager here, but you can read it in the full article.
Some of the basic points are:
* The chip itself is fine
* The timing is ridiculous (I don't buy the Mystery Chip pre-season gimmick... I think they just didn't have it ready until now)
* I'd much rather they started fixing the problems with the current game than keep adding new features, like five transfers, Assistant Manager, and so on
# Best Attacking Fixtures
Here are the sides with the best attacking fixtures over the next five gameweeks:
* Liverpool
* Newcastle
* Man City
* Wolves
* Arsenal
And over the next 10 gameweeks:
* Liverpool
* Arsenal
* Palace
* Man City
* Newcastle
# Best Defensive Fixtures
This lot have the top defensive matchups in the next five weeks:
* Chelsea
* Bournemouth
* Man City
* Wolves
* Arsenal
And in the next 10:
* Liverpool
* Chelsea
* Newcastle
* Arsenal
* Villa
# Should I Buy?
Here's a super-quick look at the most-bought players in FPL, ahead of Gameweek 16. There's more analysis on all these players in the actual article!
**Yes:** Saliba/Timber, Isak, Enzo (as enabler), Salah/Saka/Palmer, Jackson, JP
**Maybe:** Wood, Vardy, Cunha, Trent, Van Dijk
**No:** Wissa, Mbeumo, Munoz, Raya
# Should I Sell?
And, here are quick takes on the most-sold players ahead of GW 16. Should you follow the crowd? Let's find out!
**Yes:** Watkins, Haaland, Welbeck, Gvardiol, Diaz
**Maybe:** Smith Rowe, Mbeumo (wouldn't buy him, but wouldn't rush to sell him either), Bruno
**No:** Gabriel, Jackson, Cunha
# Captaincy Corner
I'll be following my **Just Captain Salah** strategy.
That said, a **Palmer** captaincy makes plenty of sense. Brentford are rubbish defensively, and terrible on the road in general.
Famous last words... but I wouldn't captain **Haaland**, even if he'll probably score against Man U. He hasn't had a double-digit return since Gameweek 4.
# That's It
Cheers for reading, everybody!
If you've got any questions or comments, please just fire away and we'll get back to you.
In the meantime, best of luck in Gameweek 16!
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Price Changes 13/12
https://redd.it/1hd14zf
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Top 10 Net Transfers In and Out 12/12/2024 - 13/12/2024
###Most Net Transfers In
|Name|Net Transfers|Change %|Ownership %|
|:--|--:|--:|--:|
|Isak|58348|2.6%|21.0%|
|Enzo|42738|7.4%|5.7%|
|Saliba|41634|1.4%|27.7%|
|Saka|30080|0.6%|43.2%|
|Palmer|30016|0.4%|61.3%|
|M.Salah|28565|0.4%|61.4%|
|J.Timber|18941|3.0%|6.0%|
|Wood|16359|0.7%|22.9%|
|Alexander-Arnold|12426|0.5%|21.4%|
|Vardy|11160|1.2%|8.6%|
###Most Net Transfers Out
|Name|Net Transfers|Change %|Ownership %|
|:--|--:|--:|--:|
|Watkins|-57194|-2.3%|22.2%|
|Haaland|-41967|-0.9%|41.7%|
|Gabriel|-28336|-1.1%|23.1%|
|Gvardiol|-26503|-1.0%|25.2%|
|Lewis|-25825|-2.5%|9.4%|
|Smith Rowe|-22809|-1.0%|19.8%|
|B.Fernandes|-16472|-1.0%|14.9%|
|Mbeumo|-15460|-0.5%|28.8%|
|Konaté|-12518|-2.2%|5.2%|
|Luis Díaz|-10845|-0.6%|16.6%|
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Federico Chiesa and Diogo Jota, back in training with Liverpool squad.
https://x.com/fabrizioromano/status/1867251711599161350?s=46&t=k_FBGnsbG2P0PN0vqz37RA
https://redd.it/1hcpkzb
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Chelsea XI vs FC Astana
https://redd.it/1hcn7sv
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Scout Selection GW16
https://redd.it/1hckyrj
@r_FantasyPL
Liverpool defense discussion
With upcoming fixtures and DGW in the future, Liverpool defense should be discussed.
TAA: most expensive, but he probably gets most attacking returns and bonus points. A bit rotation risk.
VVD: most nailed, and will play every game unless injured. However, his price is only £0.6m different than TAA. It makes me feel unsure about him.
Gomez: probably go back to bench once Konate returns. Cheapest route to get him in though.
Alisson: I'm looking at him as well, but not sure about his injuries records. Last year, I brought him in for DGW, then he was injured and play 0 mins. He seems injury more often now.
What do you think? Let's discuss!
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Rate My Team, Quick Questions & General Advice Daily Thread
We have a **reputation system**. Reply !thanks to someone who has helped you and this rewards them with a point, shown next to their username.
This thread is for:
RMT (rate my team)
X vs Y
Advice
Quick Questions
If any of the above are posted outside this thread it will be removed. Before posting, use the search function to check if your question has been answered already.
For advice with your team, please include a screenshot with your team & ask your specific question or concerns if any.
Please upvote the users who are helping and be respectful during the discussion.
Please try to contribute too by helping others when possible.
____
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To compare players check out the incredible FantasyPL_Bot commands available **here**)! For example:!fplbot <player_name> vs. <team_name> <optional: number of fixtures>
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Spurs have 14 available players and 1 fit centre back until Jan/Feb (actually 13 for SOU as Bissouma is suspended) worth targeting opposition attack?
https://redd.it/1hcgx68
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Player Price Changes (December 12, 2024)
### Risers (2)
| Name | Team | Position | Ownership | Price | ∆ | Form |
| :------- | :------ | :--------- | --------: | ----: | ----: | ---: |
| J.Timber | Arsenal | Defender | 5.8% | £5.7 | +£0.1 | 5.8 |
| Saka | Arsenal | Midfielder | 43.0% | £10.6 | +£0.1 | 9.0 |
### Fallers (3)
| Name | Team | Position | Ownership | Price | ∆ | Form |
| :------- | :------ | :--------- | --------: | ----: | ----: | ---: |
| James | Chelsea | Defender | 0.2% | £4.8 | -£0.1 | 0.0 |
| Harrison | Everton | Midfielder | 0.1% | £5.2 | -£0.1 | 0.7 |
| Eriksen | Man Utd | Midfielder | 0.2% | £5.3 | -£0.1 | 0.5 |
^∆, ^= ^price ^change ^this ^gameweek. ^Form ^= ^average ^points ^last ^5 ^gameweeks.
---
^Made ^by ^/u/esoemah.
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Callum Wilson set for two months out with hamstring issue
https://x.com/CraigHope_DM/status/1866936506767773900
https://redd.it/1hc301p
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