[Andy Mitten on ToTD] "From people I've spoken to, Bayindir may get a chance at No.1 but I'm doubtful if he'll be able to establish himself. Vitek is highly rated within the club but my understanding is he is not considered ready for the first team"
https://open.spotify.com/episode/6qNseHTw7TXWMqbuJrYJsV?si=23HZrYNeQheoUsDpLjZghA
https://redd.it/1lzud0y
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True story that one
https://redd.it/1lzyu5i
@r_reddevils
Mods we love you and we are sorry, please comeback
Mods can't be buy
https://redd.it/1lzsii2
@r_reddevils
Summer Series Mods day off.
I'm tired, and was told by /u/D1794 that we can't make megathreads for no reason.
To revolt, we're hereby announcing an unplanned Mods Day Off. Starting now.
See you all in 24 hours.
---
Oh - one thing: the sub's rules will be ignored for the next 24 hours, but we still have to enforce Reddit's Terms of Service. So leave the stuff that'd get you in trouble in real life off the sub, please.
https://redd.it/1lzp28y
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Axel Tuanzebe suing club over ‘clinical negligence’
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2025/07/14/manchester-utd-defender-axel-tuanzebe-clincial-negligence/
https://redd.it/1lzj898
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OFFICIAL: Darren Fletcher appointed Man Utd Under-18s lead coach
https://www.manutd.com/en/news/detail/darren-fletcher-appointed-man-utd-under-18s-lead-coach?t=y&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=link_post&utm_campaign=muwebsite
https://redd.it/1lzif9n
@r_reddevils
[Steven Railston] Exclusive: Godwill Kukonki is set to sign a professional contract with United. The youngster is highly rated and will now try make his first-team debut #mufc
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/sport/football/transfer-news/manchester-united-secure-future-exciting-32031900
https://redd.it/1lzfooc
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Only Manchester City have 'lost' more money in future transfer fees than Manchester United in the PL since 2015
https://redd.it/1lyzfu9
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Was Last Season as Bad as it Looked? (And Reasons to be Hopeful This Year)
Last season, Manchester United finished in 15th place and collected 42 points (11W-9D-18L). It was the worst point tally and the lowest place for Manchester United since the inception of the Premier League (est. 1992). With all the record-breaking doom and gloom, I wanted to see if the PL table really reflected our performances. Ultimately, the final scores are what they are, but a team's performance doesn't always show up on the scorecard. Modern performance analysis lets us dig deeper: (a) expected goals (xG), (b) luck index, and (c) form tracking reveal what actually happened on the pitch beyond the scoreline.
Understanding the Metrics
Before breaking down the season, here are three key concepts used throughout this report:
Expected Goals (xG)
Expected Goals (xG) is a way of measuring the quality of scoring chances. Every shot is assigned a value between 0 and 1 based on how likely it is to result in a goal. For example, a tap-in from two yards out might be worth 0.9 xG, while a shot from 30 yards could be 0.05 xG. By adding up these values, we get a sense of how many goals a team should have scored (or conceded) based on their chances, regardless of whether the ball actually went in.
Luck Index
The Luck Index measures how much a team's actual goal difference (goals scored - goals conceded) differs from their expected goal difference (xG for - xG against). A positive Luck Index means that you scored more or conceded fewer than expected. A negative Luck Index means you were unlucky: maybe hit the post a lot, ran into great goalkeeping, or conceded wonder goals.
Form Tracking
Form tracking shows how a team is doing over time by smoothing out short-term noise. I used a rolling 5-match average for things like points earned, goal difference, or expected goals.
Data source: xGPhilosophy for all PL matche except our first Brentford match, which was oddly missing, so I used FBref instead. FBRef for the player stats.
Now that we have a foundation, let's dig in.
United's Season: Expected vs Actual Outcomes
United dropped points in matches they should have won based on performance quality. The expected wins \(17\) suggest mid-table form, but wasteful finishing and late goals flipped macthes the wrong way.
Fine margins cost United about 10 points, which would have landed us around the top half. We didn't capitalize, and finished much lower (obviously).
Clinical or Wasteful? xG vs Actual Goals
United weren’t necessariliy poor at creating chances, they were poor at finishing them. Not a mindblowing insight if you watched the matches.
United's xG vs actual demonstrated a weak positive relationship (poor conversion), while our opponents displayed a strong positive relationship (effective conversion). We had 10 matches where our xG was ≥2, and 2 matches where our xG was ≥3.
The Luck Index: A Season of Fine Margins
We experienced our worst periods at the beginning, middle, and ends of the season, with some glimmers of hope sprinkled in between.
We were more often unlucky, than lucky.
Interestingly, we were luckier away from Old Trafford. Ruben Amorim spoke about the team feeling the pressure to perform at home, and often not meeting the expectations of the supporters.
The combination of the plots reflects a complete lack of consistency in performances. With a preseason under their belts and
[AcademyScoop] Manchester United’s U18s played in a pre-season friendly vs QPR this afternoon. Full time score: 8-2 United. Goals by McEvoy, Bradbury, Ibragimov (pen), JJ Gabriel, Ibrovic-Fletcher x2, B. Nkoto, D. Nkoto
https://redd.it/1ly1y6m
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JJ Gabriel's goal for MUFC U18s vs QPR today
https://redd.it/1ly36si
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[Thiago Fernandes, Goal Brazil] Botafogo are preparing for the possible departure of goalkeeper John Victor, who has an offer from Manchester United. United are willing to pay his £5.9m release clause.
https://www.goal.com/br/listas/botafogo-consulta-goleiro-atletico-mg-interesse-united-john/blt83770c4bf7fe9636#csd4a11f55cff7c986
https://redd.it/1ly0l68
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[@ManUtd] Best wishes to Luke Shaw on his 30th birthday! 🫶
https://redd.it/1lxyl7l
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[Di Marzio] Sancho's name resists: he can arrive regardless of Conceição if 2 outsides come out. The Bianconeri reach 10 million + 5 of bonuses
https://gianlucadimarzio.com/calciomercato-juventus-sancho-news-12-luglio-2025/
https://redd.it/1lxjzne
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[Laurie Whitwell] Manchester United in talks to sign teenage midfielders Seth Ridgeon and Tyrese Noubissie | The approaches have been spearheaded by United’s head of academy recruitment Luke Fedorenko and director of academy Nick Cox.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6488590/2025/07/11/manchester-united-transfer-news-ridgeon-noubissie/
https://redd.it/1lxekjo
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[Simon Stone] Man Utd get another £7.5m or so from their sell-on re this. (Alvaro Carreras)
https://redd.it/1lzsxw3
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Had to bring back this classic
https://redd.it/1lzsl0f
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[BILD] Leverkusen preparing €40m bid for Garnacho
https://www.bild.de/sport/fussball/bayer-leverkusen-guten-abend-allerseits-erik-ten-hag-startet-mit-kult-spruch-683467e65f7a8d25a5be2baa
https://redd.it/1lzrps6
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[LiverpoolFC] Manchester United lay Anfield tribute to Diogo Jota and Andre Silva | Flowers were laid by Ruben Amorim, Bruno Fernandes and Diogo Dalot – each compatriots of the Portuguese brothers, who died in a road traffic accident earlier this month
https://www.liverpoolfc.com/news/manchester-united-lay-anfield-tribute-diogo-jota-and-andre-silva
https://redd.it/1lzp9px
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[Mark Critchley] Manchester United’s out-of-favour players have been asked to only report for training after 5pm this week, once head coach Ruben Amorim and the rest of the first-team squad have already left Carrington.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6492846/2025/07/14/manchester-united-rashford-sancho-garnacho-training/?source=twitteruk
https://redd.it/1lzkeko
@r_reddevils
[Simon Stone] Godwill Kukonki set for Manchester United deal | Kukonki is likely to feature for England at the Under-17 World Cup in Qatar in November and it is thought he will remain with United this season rather than go out on loan.
https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/articles/c3en248gygpo
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@r_reddevils
Ella Toone vs Wales: 1 Goal, 2 assists, 100% pass completion.
https://redd.it/1lz45lf
@r_reddevils
having one match per week for much of the season, let's see if the lads can remain laser-focused for the PL and move up the table.
Form Tracker: How It Felt vs How It Really Was
There were three main inflection points where our xG-Based points would have saw the team flying, but were often far from reality \(particularly in November\/December and April\/May\).
Another visualization showing a lack of consistency. **sigh**
What's the Verdict? Probably not as bad as the Table Reflects
Despite finishing 15th, United’s season tells the story of a mid-table team plagued by poor conversion and bad luck (and costly injuries to starters).
Reasons to be Hopeful:
Matheus Cunha outperformed his non-penalty xG in each of the last two seasons: +2.3 in 23/24 and +6.4 in 24/25.
Bryan Mbeumo underperformed his non-penalty xG in 23/24 (-1.4) and outperformed in (+7.5) in 24/25.
These two attackers could play a huge role IF we sign Bryan AND are given time to build chemistry with each other and the rest of the squad.
By comparison (PL stats):
Alejandro Garnacho underperformed his non-penalty xG in each of the last two seasons: -1.3 in 23/24 and 24/25.
Mason Mount underperformed his non-penalty xG in 23/24 (-1.3) and outperformed it in 24/25 (+0.6).
Marcus Rashford underperformed his non-penalty xG in 23/24 (-0.8) and outperformed it in 24/25 (+2.3; MUFC data only here).
Bruno Fernandes underperformed his non-penalty xG in each of the last two seasons: -0.1 in 23/24 and -2.6 in 24/25.
Rasmus Hojlund outperformed his non-penalty xG in 23/24 (+2.4) and underperformed it in 24/25 (-1.3).
Joshua Zirkzee underperformed his non-penalty xG in 24/25 (-1.8).
Amad outperformed his non-penalty xG in each of the last two seasons: +0.5 in 23/24 and +3.3 in 24/25.
TLDR; We performed like a mid-table team, but didn't get the results. The squad as a whole needs to be more clinical, and we are targeting players that were lethal last season.
I hope you enjoyed the write-up. Please let me know if there are future projects you guys are intersted in. #GGMU #LUHG
https://redd.it/1lyvc24
@r_reddevils
[Mike McGrath] Alejandro Garnacho has rejected opportunity to pursue move to Al Nassr in Saudi Arabia. Cristiano Ronaldo's team had initial discussions to be part of SPL title challenge but 21yo to prioritise Europe. MUFC have allowed him to look at moves
https://redd.it/1lymo4e
@r_reddevils
[Chris Wheeler] Onana is still expected to go on pre-season tour and have treatment in the US, but the injury leaves Utd with a dilemma over whether to sign another keeper before the transfer window closes. Monaco turned down the chance to buy Onana for £30m last month
https://redd.it/1ly1036
@r_reddevils
[Chris Wheeler] Andre Onana set to miss Man Utd’s entire pre-season with a hamstring injury suffered in the first days of training, as per @mcgrathmike Expected to be out 4-6 weeks #mufc
https://redd.it/1ly08vz
@r_reddevils
[Mike McGrath] Excl🧤Andre Onana has suffered a hamstring injury in pre-season 🇺🇸 set to miss tour 🏃race to be fit for start of #EPL season 🤔 #MUFC to weigh up going into keeper market
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2025/07/12/manchester-united-sign-goalkeeper-andre-onana-injury/
https://redd.it/1lxzqcu
@r_reddevils
[VI] Van Gaal gives pleasant update: 'I no longer suffer from cancer'
https://www.vi.nl/nieuws/van-gaal-geeft-fijne-update-ik-heb-geen-last-meer-van-kanker
https://redd.it/1lxmmnu
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[Training Ground Guru] Marcus Hannon has been appointed Head of Sports Nutrition at Manchester United. Hannon has been Lead Performance Nutritionist for the Qatar FA and for the Aspire Academy for the last two years.
Prior to this, Hannon was Head of Nutrition at Aston Villa from 2020 to 2022.
https://trainingground.guru/bulletin-board/
https://redd.it/1lxdaqw
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[AcademyScoop] Manchester United hold a strong interest in Fulham midfielder Seth Ridgeon, and are hopeful of beating Premier League competition to a deal for the 16-year-old. Ridgeon wasn't named in Fulham's recent scholarship intake and is assessing his options ahead of a potential move.
https://redd.it/1lx7dmq
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