[Gastón Edul] Manchester United made a move specifically for Emiliano Dibu Martínez.
Negotiations are already underway with Aston Villa.
https://redd.it/1m0n8xy
@r_reddevils
[Dharmesh Sheth] Number of clubs keeping eye on Nicolas Jackson’s situation at Chelsea. Told Manchester United among them. Focus currently on Bryan Mbeumo & sales. Villa boss Unai Emery long-term admirer. Gave him debut at Villarreal. AC Milan keen but gap in valuation.
https://redd.it/1m0by3s
@r_reddevils
[Simon Stone] My understanding is Erik ten Hag felt Carreras was not quick enough for the Premier League and struggled against quick players - and that he was more suited to a back-three defensive formation. There was no queue of PL clubs looking at him, which is how he ended up on loan at Grenada
https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/live/cd6gpg5xn0gt?post=asset%3Abc7726f7-e6b1-48bd-8094-b43c230309ad#post
https://redd.it/1m0eege
@r_reddevils
[ABC Sevilla] Antony returned to Manchester in the last few hours to sort out his future with Betis waiting | The Brazilian ends his vacation & returns to discuss future moves with Utd's management with which he has a contract until 2027. A loan with obligation to buy for a % is one of the solutions
https://www.abc.es/deportes/alfinaldelapalmera/noticias-betis/antony-vuelve-manchester-solucionar-futuro-betis-espera-20250715091125-nts.html
https://redd.it/1m0czsk
@r_reddevils
Fenerbahçe is ready to pay Rashford's €40 million release clause. According to sources close to the club, Fenerbahçe will send a representative to England this weekend to meet with both Rashford and Manchester United's executives.
https://beinsports.com.tr/haber/fenerbahceden-cilgin-hamle-mourinho-istedi-yonetim-harekete-gecti
https://redd.it/1m08f1r
@r_reddevils
Sir Jim counting up the transfer budget for the summer window
https://redd.it/1lzyrlj
@r_reddevils
[Andy Mitten on ToTD] "From people I've spoken to, Bayindir may get a chance at No.1 but I'm doubtful if he'll be able to establish himself. Vitek is highly rated within the club but my understanding is he is not considered ready for the first team"
https://open.spotify.com/episode/6qNseHTw7TXWMqbuJrYJsV?si=23HZrYNeQheoUsDpLjZghA
https://redd.it/1lzud0y
@r_reddevils
True story that one
https://redd.it/1lzyu5i
@r_reddevils
Mods we love you and we are sorry, please comeback
Mods can't be buy
https://redd.it/1lzsii2
@r_reddevils
Summer Series Mods day off.
I'm tired, and was told by /u/D1794 that we can't make megathreads for no reason.
To revolt, we're hereby announcing an unplanned Mods Day Off. Starting now.
See you all in 24 hours.
---
Oh - one thing: the sub's rules will be ignored for the next 24 hours, but we still have to enforce Reddit's Terms of Service. So leave the stuff that'd get you in trouble in real life off the sub, please.
https://redd.it/1lzp28y
@r_reddevils
Axel Tuanzebe suing club over ‘clinical negligence’
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2025/07/14/manchester-utd-defender-axel-tuanzebe-clincial-negligence/
https://redd.it/1lzj898
@r_reddevils
OFFICIAL: Darren Fletcher appointed Man Utd Under-18s lead coach
https://www.manutd.com/en/news/detail/darren-fletcher-appointed-man-utd-under-18s-lead-coach?t=y&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=link_post&utm_campaign=muwebsite
https://redd.it/1lzif9n
@r_reddevils
[Steven Railston] Exclusive: Godwill Kukonki is set to sign a professional contract with United. The youngster is highly rated and will now try make his first-team debut #mufc
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/sport/football/transfer-news/manchester-united-secure-future-exciting-32031900
https://redd.it/1lzfooc
@r_reddevils
Only Manchester City have 'lost' more money in future transfer fees than Manchester United in the PL since 2015
https://redd.it/1lyzfu9
@r_reddevils
Was Last Season as Bad as it Looked? (And Reasons to be Hopeful This Year)
Last season, Manchester United finished in 15th place and collected 42 points (11W-9D-18L). It was the worst point tally and the lowest place for Manchester United since the inception of the Premier League (est. 1992). With all the record-breaking doom and gloom, I wanted to see if the PL table really reflected our performances. Ultimately, the final scores are what they are, but a team's performance doesn't always show up on the scorecard. Modern performance analysis lets us dig deeper: (a) expected goals (xG), (b) luck index, and (c) form tracking reveal what actually happened on the pitch beyond the scoreline.
Understanding the Metrics
Before breaking down the season, here are three key concepts used throughout this report:
Expected Goals (xG)
Expected Goals (xG) is a way of measuring the quality of scoring chances. Every shot is assigned a value between 0 and 1 based on how likely it is to result in a goal. For example, a tap-in from two yards out might be worth 0.9 xG, while a shot from 30 yards could be 0.05 xG. By adding up these values, we get a sense of how many goals a team should have scored (or conceded) based on their chances, regardless of whether the ball actually went in.
Luck Index
The Luck Index measures how much a team's actual goal difference (goals scored - goals conceded) differs from their expected goal difference (xG for - xG against). A positive Luck Index means that you scored more or conceded fewer than expected. A negative Luck Index means you were unlucky: maybe hit the post a lot, ran into great goalkeeping, or conceded wonder goals.
Form Tracking
Form tracking shows how a team is doing over time by smoothing out short-term noise. I used a rolling 5-match average for things like points earned, goal difference, or expected goals.
Data source: xGPhilosophy for all PL matche except our first Brentford match, which was oddly missing, so I used FBref instead. FBRef for the player stats.
Now that we have a foundation, let's dig in.
United's Season: Expected vs Actual Outcomes
United dropped points in matches they should have won based on performance quality. The expected wins \(17\) suggest mid-table form, but wasteful finishing and late goals flipped macthes the wrong way.
Fine margins cost United about 10 points, which would have landed us around the top half. We didn't capitalize, and finished much lower (obviously).
Clinical or Wasteful? xG vs Actual Goals
United weren’t necessariliy poor at creating chances, they were poor at finishing them. Not a mindblowing insight if you watched the matches.
United's xG vs actual demonstrated a weak positive relationship (poor conversion), while our opponents displayed a strong positive relationship (effective conversion). We had 10 matches where our xG was ≥2, and 2 matches where our xG was ≥3.
The Luck Index: A Season of Fine Margins
We experienced our worst periods at the beginning, middle, and ends of the season, with some glimmers of hope sprinkled in between.
We were more often unlucky, than lucky.
Interestingly, we were luckier away from Old Trafford. Ruben Amorim spoke about the team feeling the pressure to perform at home, and often not meeting the expectations of the supporters.
The combination of the plots reflects a complete lack of consistency in performances. With a preseason under their belts and
[Simon Stone] The Man Utd Five: Ousted but not out | As the possibility grows that deals to offload the 'bomb squad' will not be done until much nearer the transfer deadline on 1 September, the question arises as to whether United would look to sell anyone else
https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/articles/cp86p606gvko
https://redd.it/1m0i278
@r_reddevils
[James Ducker] MUFC also set to bank €2.4m (£2.1m) from Maxi Oyedele’s impending €6m move to RC Strasbourg from Legia Warsaw courtesy of 40% sell on. Doesn’t seem a minute since I was watching him on loan at Altrincham
https://redd.it/1m0e12k
@r_reddevils
[Simon Stone] Man Utd trying to get Mbeumo deal over the line and, ideally, want it done before they head off to the United States next Tuesday. And Amorim may well have to look beyond the 5 players up for sale as w/o Europe, Utd are at maximum level of numbers for a manageable squad.
https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/live/cd6gpg5xn0gt?post=asset%3A2581970e-7ea4-4327-9d66-4c1c0180f27b#post
https://redd.it/1m0dw21
@r_reddevils
[David Ornstein] The gap between Manchester United and Brentford on their valuation of Bryan Mbeumo remains considerable. The two sides are several million pounds apart. There have been no significant developments over the past couple of weeks, and a deal is still not imminent, but talks continue
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6492733/2025/07/15/transfer-news-latest-liverpool-manchester-united-arsenal-real-madrid-analysis/?source=emp_shared_article
https://redd.it/1m0ave4
@r_reddevils
BREAKING: Brentford’s Bryan Mbuemo has been spotted in Turkey amid rumoured Manchester United move
https://redd.it/1m050h0
@r_reddevils
BREAKING: Manchester United and Brentford reach agreement over Mbeumo being bald
https://redd.it/1m03ejh
@r_reddevils
[Simon Stone] Man Utd get another £7.5m or so from their sell-on re this. (Alvaro Carreras)
https://redd.it/1lzsxw3
@r_reddevils
Had to bring back this classic
https://redd.it/1lzsl0f
@r_reddevils
[BILD] Leverkusen preparing €40m bid for Garnacho
https://www.bild.de/sport/fussball/bayer-leverkusen-guten-abend-allerseits-erik-ten-hag-startet-mit-kult-spruch-683467e65f7a8d25a5be2baa
https://redd.it/1lzrps6
@r_reddevils
[LiverpoolFC] Manchester United lay Anfield tribute to Diogo Jota and Andre Silva | Flowers were laid by Ruben Amorim, Bruno Fernandes and Diogo Dalot – each compatriots of the Portuguese brothers, who died in a road traffic accident earlier this month
https://www.liverpoolfc.com/news/manchester-united-lay-anfield-tribute-diogo-jota-and-andre-silva
https://redd.it/1lzp9px
@r_reddevils
[Mark Critchley] Manchester United’s out-of-favour players have been asked to only report for training after 5pm this week, once head coach Ruben Amorim and the rest of the first-team squad have already left Carrington.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6492846/2025/07/14/manchester-united-rashford-sancho-garnacho-training/?source=twitteruk
https://redd.it/1lzkeko
@r_reddevils
[Simon Stone] Godwill Kukonki set for Manchester United deal | Kukonki is likely to feature for England at the Under-17 World Cup in Qatar in November and it is thought he will remain with United this season rather than go out on loan.
https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/articles/c3en248gygpo
https://redd.it/1lzhwor
@r_reddevils
Ella Toone vs Wales: 1 Goal, 2 assists, 100% pass completion.
https://redd.it/1lz45lf
@r_reddevils
having one match per week for much of the season, let's see if the lads can remain laser-focused for the PL and move up the table.
Form Tracker: How It Felt vs How It Really Was
There were three main inflection points where our xG-Based points would have saw the team flying, but were often far from reality \(particularly in November\/December and April\/May\).
Another visualization showing a lack of consistency. **sigh**
What's the Verdict? Probably not as bad as the Table Reflects
Despite finishing 15th, United’s season tells the story of a mid-table team plagued by poor conversion and bad luck (and costly injuries to starters).
Reasons to be Hopeful:
Matheus Cunha outperformed his non-penalty xG in each of the last two seasons: +2.3 in 23/24 and +6.4 in 24/25.
Bryan Mbeumo underperformed his non-penalty xG in 23/24 (-1.4) and outperformed in (+7.5) in 24/25.
These two attackers could play a huge role IF we sign Bryan AND are given time to build chemistry with each other and the rest of the squad.
By comparison (PL stats):
Alejandro Garnacho underperformed his non-penalty xG in each of the last two seasons: -1.3 in 23/24 and 24/25.
Mason Mount underperformed his non-penalty xG in 23/24 (-1.3) and outperformed it in 24/25 (+0.6).
Marcus Rashford underperformed his non-penalty xG in 23/24 (-0.8) and outperformed it in 24/25 (+2.3; MUFC data only here).
Bruno Fernandes underperformed his non-penalty xG in each of the last two seasons: -0.1 in 23/24 and -2.6 in 24/25.
Rasmus Hojlund outperformed his non-penalty xG in 23/24 (+2.4) and underperformed it in 24/25 (-1.3).
Joshua Zirkzee underperformed his non-penalty xG in 24/25 (-1.8).
Amad outperformed his non-penalty xG in each of the last two seasons: +0.5 in 23/24 and +3.3 in 24/25.
TLDR; We performed like a mid-table team, but didn't get the results. The squad as a whole needs to be more clinical, and we are targeting players that were lethal last season.
I hope you enjoyed the write-up. Please let me know if there are future projects you guys are intersted in. #GGMU #LUHG
https://redd.it/1lyvc24
@r_reddevils
[Mike McGrath] Alejandro Garnacho has rejected opportunity to pursue move to Al Nassr in Saudi Arabia. Cristiano Ronaldo's team had initial discussions to be part of SPL title challenge but 21yo to prioritise Europe. MUFC have allowed him to look at moves
https://redd.it/1lymo4e
@r_reddevils
