Replete Equities

29 May 2025 05:24

_Morning Snippet:- 29 May 2025_

Index Observation

For the past 9 trading days, Nifty has been static within a 2% band, however the highs of 25000 have been constantly providing supply on index longs. Unless a closing above 25050 is not confirmed, downside swing towards 24300 / 24100 remain open on the index. Nifty has had a run up of nearly 15% in the past 6 weeks without a 2% correction. With the price action seen from the start of this week, it is fair for the index to retest 200 DMA support on downside which currently reads below 24100.

Bank Nifty has broken from its 6 week rising trendline in last week’s trading. This puts the index back on track to retest its polarity support of its original 5 year rising trendline. Targets for this breakdown hint for a 1200-1500 point breakdown from CMP. Negation for this down move is seen only when the index closes above 55600.

Nifty 50 and all stocks derivative monthly expiry is scheduled for today while weekly and monthly closing on charts is seen on Friday.

Interesting Observation

Historically, the Nifty IT Index (lower panel) has maintained a strong directional correlation with the US Nasdaq 100 (upper panel), often trailing the Nasdaq’s moves by a few months, if not immediately. The Nasdaq has typically acted as a leading indicator for Nifty IT.

Recently, the Nasdaq has rebounded from March lows and now trades just 3.7% below its highs, while Nifty IT’s recovery has been comparatively subdued. This divergence suggests a potential lag in performance.

If the Nasdaq consolidates or pushes higher, it could spark a catch-up rally in Nifty IT. However, any reversal or profit booking in the Nasdaq may limit Nifty IT’s upside.

Hence, Nasdaq’s next move will be key in determining whether Nifty IT aligns with global tech strength or continues to underperform.

DERIVATIVES | Trade Setup

Cash Market Activity
FII: ₹ 4,663 crore
DII: ₹ 7,962 crore

Week-to-Date (WTD)
FII: ₹ 5,146 crore
DII: ₹ 19,811 crore

Month-to-Date (MTD)
FII: ₹17,338 crore
DII: ₹54,259 crore

F&O Cues
FIIs have added 11k short contracts in index futures in the last trading session,
taking their net position to 78k short contracts.

In the options segment, the 24700 strike to act as support, while the 25000 strike remains a key resistance.

New 52 Week High Low Data

Large Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 1
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Mid Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 2
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Small Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 3
New 52 Week Lows: 2

NIFTY500:
New 52 Week Highs: 6
New 52 Week Lows: 2

Interesting Observation

Historically, the Nifty IT Index (lower panel) has maintained a strong directional correlation with the US Nasdaq 100 (upper panel), often trailing the Nasdaq’s moves by a few months, if not immediately. The Nasdaq has typically acted as a leading indicator for Nifty IT.

Recently, the Nasdaq has rebounded from March lows and now trades just 3.7% below its highs, while Nifty IT’s recovery has been comparatively subdued. This divergence suggests a potential lag in performance.

If the Nasdaq consolidates or pushes higher, it could spark a catch-up rally in Nifty IT. However, any reversal or profit booking in the Nasdaq may limit Nifty IT’s upside.

Hence, Nasdaq’s next move will be key in determining whether Nifty IT aligns with global tech strength or continues to underperform.

DERIVATIVES | Trade Setup

Cash Market Activity
FII: ₹ 4,663 crore
DII: ₹ 7,962 crore

Week-to-Date (WTD)
FII: ₹ 5,146 crore
DII: ₹ 19,811 crore

Month-to-Date (MTD)
FII: ₹17,338 crore
DII: ₹54,259 crore

F&O Cues
FIIs have added 11k short contracts in index futures in the last trading session,
taking their net position to 78k short contracts.

In the options segment, the 24700 strike to act as support, while the 25000 strike remains a key resistance.

New 52 Week High Low Data

Large Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 1
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Mid Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 2
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Small Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 3
New 52 Week Lows: 2

Replete Equities

26 May 2025 14:15

Made decent money with Friday's BTST strategy in Nifty options.

I did a manual adjustment for this strategy in the last 30 minutes on Friday that worked very well on today's opening.

Replete Equities

26 May 2025 14:12

The volatility we saw nowadays in #Nifty, better to stay away from weekly expiry for sometime.

There is very huge swing in MTM because selling strategies are not working and buying has its own risk:reward and behaviour.

Replete Equities

26 May 2025 05:34

Photo from Replete Equities

Replete Equities

24 May 2025 10:53

If you want to invest in unlisted shares of NSE, feel free contact us @RepleteEq

Replete Equities

24 May 2025 10:53

https://www.etnownews.com/markets/nse-ipo-drhp-ashish-chauhan-shares-latest-update-on-sebi-noc-draft-papers-article-151702059/amp#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17480150139682&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com

Replete Equities

24 May 2025 06:06

“𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗜 𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗻 𝗯𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘀𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝘁𝗮𝘅 𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆?”

If you’re a high-income professional or business owner, tax planning is as important as investing.

We recently worked with a CA who was investing well—but his tax bill was eating away his profits.

Here’s what we did:

🔸 Allocated investments to structured products (NCDs) like the Nuvama Gem Series, which come with favorable capital gain tax treatment (12% LTCG vs 30% Income Tax)
🔸 Set up option trading strategies that are treated as business income with write-offs
🔸 Added capital gains harvesting techniques to balance his tax slabs

The result?
He saved ₹1.5L+ in taxes last year while improving returns by 3–4%.

You earn your money. Let’s make sure you keep more of it.

📩 DM me “Tax Saving Plan” to explore your personalised options.

#TaxPlanning #CapitalGains #IncomeTaxSavings #TwinWin #OptionsTrading #RepleteEquities #SachinSival

Replete Equities

23 May 2025 05:44

_Morning Snippet: 23rd May 2025_

Index Observation

Nifty ended with 200 pt cut even after a sharp recovery in the last hour of trade due to its weekly expiry panning out. With 24800 breached with heavy volume earlier this week, same is now likely to act as resistance for a sell on rise on the index. Targets on downside are seen at 24300 / 24100, as a 7 day closing low indicates further weakness on the index.

Bank Nifty outperformed broader Nifty all through yesterday’s session. The index remains below its 6 week trendline breakdown seen earlier this week. Targets for this breakdown are seen 1000-1200 point lower from Tuesday’s closing. A follow up move is expected to unfold for sub 54000 targets.

Nifty’s weekly closing on charts is due today.

Interesting Observation

The NASDAQ 100 recently experienced a sharp 25% correction from its all-time high, bottoming in April 2025. Remarkably, the index rebounded within just one month, climbing back to within 3% of its previous peak — marking the fastest recovery of such magnitude in the index’s history.

A review of past drawdowns exceeding 20% shows that while corrections are not uncommon, recoveries towards the 3% zone of the all-time high have historically taken much longer. What makes this instance even more exceptional is that the recovery was faster than the correction itself — a first for the NASDAQ 100.

This unprecedented pace of recovery suggests strong underlying momentum, indicating that despite recent underperformance in U.S. equities, the larger trend remains robust and intact.

DERIVATIVES | Trade Setup

Cash Market Activity
FII: ₹ -5045 crore
DII: ₹ 3715 crore

Week-to-Date (WTD)
FII: ₹-13,385 crore
DII: ₹ 10,899 crore

Month-to-Date (MTD)
FII: ₹10,397 crore
DII: ₹34,197 crore

F&O Cues
FIIs have added 18k short contracts in index futures in the last trading session,
increasing their net position to 55k short contracts.

In the options segment, the 24500 strike continues to act as strong support, while the 25000 strike remains a key resistance.

New 52 Week High Low Data

Large Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 1
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Mid Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 3
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Small Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 3
New 52 Week Lows: 0

NIFTY500:
New 52 Week Highs: 7
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Replete Equities

22 May 2025 06:22

“𝗜 𝘄𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗶𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁, 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗜 𝗱𝗼𝗻’𝘁 𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗮𝗻𝘆𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀.”

This fear is more common than you think.

Teachers, doctors, lawyers—even some business owners—often stay away from investing because it feels complex.

One of our recent clients, a 36-year-old school principal, told me:

“𝘐 𝘸𝘢𝘯𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘐 𝘥𝘰𝘯’𝘵 𝘶𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘴 𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘦𝘤𝘩𝘯𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘺𝘴𝘪𝘴. 𝘐’𝘮 𝘢𝘧𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘥 𝘐’𝘭𝘭 𝘭𝘰𝘴𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘯𝘦𝘺.”

The solution?

We simplified it for her:

🔹 Introduced her to the Nifty 50 Twin Win – a structured equity product designed to deliver strong returns over 3–5 years, without daily monitoring.
🔹 Set up a delta-neutral monthly income strategy, where all risk management and adjustments are done by our team.
🔹 She logs in once a week. No decision fatigue. No panic.

Today, she’s on track to earn better returns than mutual funds, with less volatility—and she doesn’t need to learn candlestick patterns.

Investing isn’t about complexity.
It’s about having the right partners and products.

📩 DM me “Simple Wealth Plan” if this resonates with you.

#BeginnerInvesting #Nifty50 #WealthBuilding #StressFreeInvesting #TwinWin #RepleteEquities #SachinSival

Replete Equities

22 May 2025 05:50

Photo from Replete Equities

Replete Equities

21 May 2025 05:47

_Morning Snippet: 21st May 2025_

Index Observation

Nifty ended at a four day closing low on Tuesday with the index giving away important level of 24800 on a closing basis. With 24800 now lost the same is likely to act as resistance for rise on Nifty as the index is now open to hit 24300 / 24100 on downside. After a 3300+ point rally from its April panic low to May high’s the index has barely retraced 450 odd points from its recent highs. With the price action seen from the start of this week, Nifty can slide to retest 200 DMA support on downside which currently reads below 24100.

Bank Nifty has broken from its 6 week rising trendline in Tuesday’s closing trades. This puts the index back on track to retest its polarity support of its original 5 year rising trendline. Targets for this breakdown hint for a 1000 odd point breakdown from Tuesday’s closing. A 3 day closing low also confirms weakness on the index at this stage on charts.

Nifty’s weekly expiry is scheduled for tomorrow.

Interesting Observation

This table presents a comparison of Q4FY25 earnings expectations against actual earnings surprises for Nifty 50 companies (ex-finance). It focuses on key financial metrics such as Revenue, EBITDA, Adjusted PAT and Adjusted EPS.

The surprise figures, expressed as percentages, indicate the extent to which each company outperformed, underperformed or was in line with estimates.

Among the 27 companies in Nifty 50 (ex-finance) that have reported results so far:
• 15 beat estimates across most or all of the four metrics
• 6 missed expectations, and
• 6 delivered mixed/neutral results.

It will be interesting to see how the overall picture shapes up as the remaining companies report their results.

DERIVATIVES | Trade Setup

Cash Market Activity
FII: ₹-10,016 crore
DII: ₹ 6,738 crore

Week-to-Date (WTD)
FII: ₹-10,541 crore
DII: ₹6,501 crore

Month-to-Date (MTD)
FII: ₹13,240 crore
DII: ₹29,799 crore

F&O Cues
FIIs have added 15k short contracts in index futures in the last trading session,
increasing their net position to 38k short contracts.

In the options segment, the 24500 strike continues to act as strong support, while the 25000 strike remains a key resistance.

New 52 Week High Low Data

Large Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 1
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Mid Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 3
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Small Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 5
New 52 Week Lows: 0

NIFTY500:
New 52 Week Highs: 4
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Replete Equities

20 May 2025 05:56

_Morning Snippet:- 20th May 2025_

Index Observation

Nifty closed with a modest loss of around 75 points on the first trading day of the week, ending the session below the previous day’s low. The index and view remains open for 25400 unless a closing below 24800 is seen.

Bank Nifty ended flat to positive on Monday after reversing from its 5 year trendline support last week. A closing above 55600 is now likely to confirm further bullish breakout in the current set up. On the contrary support is seen only below 54400.

Interesting Observation

This table analyzes S&P 500 returns following instances when over 60% of its constituents hit 4-week highs—a sign of strong market breadth. Historically, this signal has preceded solid forward returns, especially over longer horizons.

While 1-month returns were mixed (average +0.39%, 60% positive outcomes), performance improves significantly over time. At the 3-month mark, returns averaged +5.09% with 80% positive outcomes. At 6 months, returns averaged +10.05%, and 87% of outcomes were positive. Most notably, 12-month returns were positive 100% of the time, averaging +18.72%.

Recently, the market breadth indicator approached 58%, nearing the key 60% threshold. It will be compelling to watch how the S&P 500 evolves in the coming months—especially in light of the historically strong performance that has followed similar signals.

DERIVATIVES | Trade Setup

Cash Market Activity
FII: ₹-525 crore
DII: ₹-237 crore

Week-to-Date (WTD)
FII: ₹-525 crore
DII: ₹-237 crore

Month-to-Date (MTD)
FII: ₹23,256 crore
DII: ₹23,060 crore

F&O Cues
FIIs added 200 short contracts in index futures in the last trading session, marginally increasing their net position to 23.2k short contracts.

In the options segment, the 24800 strike continues to act as strong support, while the 25200 strike remains a key resistance, indicating a likely trading range in the near term.

New 52 Week High Low Data

Large Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 2
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Mid Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 4
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Small Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 3
New 52 Week Lows: 0

NIFTY500:
New 52 Week Highs: 7
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Replete Equities

19 May 2025 05:55

_Morning Snippet:- 19th May 2025_

Index Observation

Post completion of its initial target upside at 24900, Nifty has given a close above the same for two consecutive days. Nifty is now open to scale further towards 25400 which has been the case for the past 3 sessions now. On the flip side, support can now be trailed higher to 24800 as Nifty holds at a 6 month high now.

Bank Nifty ended absolutely flat on Friday, after having reversed from its 5 year trendline polarised support. A closing above 55600 is now likely to confirm further bullish breakout in the current set up while on downside index is likely to find support only below 54400. Hence, for now a support and resistance range of 54400 - 55600 has been formed on Bank Nifty.

BSE Sensex weekly expiry is scheduled for tomorrow while Nifty’s weekly expiry is scheduled for Thursday.

Interesting Observation

The daily ratio chart of Nifty 50 versus Nifty Smallcap 100 is highlighting a noteworthy technical development. After trading within a defined range for most of 2025, the ratio has now broken decisively below a key support level that had been tested multiple times over the past few months.

This breakdown challenges the relative strength that large-cap stocks (represented by Nifty 50) have shown so far and potentially marks the beginning of a shift in market leadership. If sustained, this move could signal an outperformance phase for small-cap stocks over their large-cap counterparts in the near term.

This shift should be monitored closely and it could have meaningful implications for portfolio allocation and sector rotation.

DERIVATIVES | Trade Setup

Cash Market Activity
FII: ₹8,831 crore
DII: ₹5,187 crore

Week-to-Date (WTD)
FII: ₹15,925.94 crore
DII: ₹9,555.53 crore

Month-to-Date (MTD)
FII: ₹23,781.94 crore
DII: ₹23,296.53 crore

F&O Cues
FIIs have added around 9k short contracts in index futures in the last trading session, increasing their net short position to 23k contracts.

In the options segment, the 24,500 strike remains strong support, indicated by the highest put open interest, while 25,500 holds as a key resistance, marked by the highest call open interest.

New 52 Week High Low Data

Large Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 4
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Mid Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 5
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Small Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 4
New 52 Week Lows: 0

NIFTY500:
New 52 Week Highs: 13
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Replete Equities

19 May 2025 05:03

Market is changing so as your strategies too.

Nowadays we can see huge manipulation in indices expecially on expiry day.

So better reduce risk on expiry. If can't handle the risk, better avoid trading on expiry.

We will also reduce our exposure on indices. And focus more on stock specific strategies.

Replete Equities

19 May 2025 05:02

Nuvama Wealth Research
Nifty50s Earnings Update

39 out of Nifty50 companies has reported 4QFY25 results , PAT grew 5% YoY and 4% higher than estimates. BFSI /RIL has reported good numbers while IT has reported weak numbers along with weak guidance.

FYTD PAT has grown 4% which suggest most probable EPS for FY25 will be around INR 1020. As per Bloomberg for FY26E/FY27E EPS would be INR 1147/1251 which is downgraded avg 4% from the end of 3QFY25 result season (INR 1202/1306).

Replete Equities

29 May 2025 05:22

Photo from Replete Equities

Replete Equities

26 May 2025 14:13

In the last 2 months of live trading, I have observed that only Buying strategies has made money and selling is just reducing the drawdown.

Out of 10 trades, 7 buying and only 2/3 selling trades profitable.

But the challenge with buying is: Wild swing in MTM. Within seconds a Profitable trade can convert into losing one.

One need a strong discipline, psychology and position sizing skills to manage it manually.

One thing you have to understand now that the days are gone when we get a smooth theta decay.

Now we need to optimise our strategies based on the current market conditions.

Slowly slowly I'm moving my strategies from selling to buying for intraday and will shift my major capital in stock specific options hedging strategies for the rest of this year 2025.

Replete Equities

26 May 2025 05:34

_Morning Snippet: 26th May 2025_

Index Observation

Nifty recouped all of its previous day’s losses in Friday’s session to end the week on a high note. However on a week to week basis, the index lost little over half a percent as Nifty hovered near the crucial 24800 mark. Currently a bearish head and shoulder formation is seen on daily and hourly charts however the index would now wait for a breakdown below 24600 to trigger. Targets on downside remain open for 24300 / 24100 unless a closing above 25050 is not confirmed.

Bank Nifty is lacking triggers for a follow up move downside, after the midweek breakdown seen in the index. Negation on this bearish formation is seen on closing above 55600 on charts - above which the index could confirm a bullish flag breakout.

BSE Sensex weekly expiry is scheduled for today, while all stock and index derivatives monthly expiry is up for coming Thursday.

Interesting Observation

The spread between India and US 10-year yields has reached a critical low, last seen in 2004, signalling a notable shift in global macro landscape. Indian bond yields have been declining driven by contained inflation and improved macro stability. In contrast, the US yields have been at elevated levels, triggered by the recent credit downgrade to Aa1 by Moody’s and inflation worries.

India looks to benefit from this setup in the following ways:
• Improved macro fundamentals
• ⁠Attractiveness of Indian bonds
• ⁠Reduced cost of government borrowing
• ⁠INR stability

While the lower spread may limit carry trade appeal, the overall implication is India’s risk premium is falling, aligning it closer to developed market standards - a vote of confidence in India’s long-term economic resilience.

DERIVATIVES | Trade Setup

Cash Market Activity
FII: ₹ 1794 crore
DII: ₹ 299 crore

Week-to-Date (WTD)
FII: ₹-11,591 crore
DII: ₹ 11,198 crore

Month-to-Date (MTD)
FII: ₹12,191 crore
DII: ₹34,497 crore

F&O Cues
FIIs have added 1k long contracts in index futures in the last trading session, increasing their net position to 54k short contracts.

In the options segment, the 24500 strike continues to act as strong support, while the 25000 strike remains a key resistance.

New 52 Week High Low Data

Large Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 2
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Mid Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 3
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Small Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 4
New 52 Week Lows: 0

NIFTY500:
New 52 Week Highs: 9
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Replete Equities

25 May 2025 06:22

“𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗶𝗳 𝗺𝘆 𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗽𝘀 𝘁𝗼𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗼𝘄?”

This is the fear that keeps many of us awake at night—and rightly so.

We helped a 45-year-old IT professional build a complete financial safety net in under a year.

Here’s the strategy:

✔️ 6-month emergency fund in liquid debt instruments
✔️ Monthly passive income using delta-neutral options
✔️ Long-term capital growth via Nifty 50 Twin Win
✔️ Term insurance + health insurance protection

Now, even if something unexpected happens, his family is secure and his lifestyle won’t suffer.

Wealth isn’t just about returns.
It’s about resilience.

📩 DM me “Financial Security Plan” and let’s make sure you’re protected.

#EmergencyFund #FinancialFreedom #PassiveIncome #SafeInvesting #TwinWin #OptionsIncome #RepleteEquities #SachinSival

Replete Equities

24 May 2025 10:53

NSE vs BSE

Price: 1630 | 7300
Mcap: 3.9L Cr | 85k Cr
PE: 48 | 91
PB: 16.7 | 24
PS: 24 | 30
ROE: 35% | 20%
OPM: 80% | 55%

NPM: 60% | 40%
PEG: 4 | 5.5
Expected growth: 12% | 17%
Dividend yield: 1% | 0.25%
Market share: 90%+ | <10%
Derivatives share: 75% | 25%

Replete Equities

24 May 2025 10:52

https://www.etnownews.com/markets/nse-ipo-drhp-ashish-chauhan-shares-latest-update-on-sebi-noc-draft-papers-article-151702059/amp#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&amp;aoh=17480150139682&amp;csi=0&amp;referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com

Replete Equities

23 May 2025 06:18

“𝗜 𝗱𝗼𝗻’𝘁 𝘄𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗹𝗼𝗰𝗸 𝗺𝘆 𝗺𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘆 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝟱 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿𝘀!”

We get this a lot. People want good returns but don’t like long lock-in periods.

Traditional instruments like ELSS or PPF tie up your funds for years. But what if you want returns with flexibility?

That’s exactly what we helped a client—a 39-year-old marketing consultant—achieve.

Here’s the plan we built:

✅ Gold Twin Win structured product with a 42-month horizon and capital protection
✅ Monthly income from delta-neutral option strategies
✅ Emergency fund and debt allocation for liquidity

Now, his portfolio is earning over 18% annually and can be reallocated every 6–12 months.

Flexibility is freedom—especially in today’s uncertain times.

📩 DM me “Flexible Investing” and I’ll help you set up a similar plan.

#SmartInvesting #WealthCreation #TwinWin #OptionsIncome #LiquidityMatters #SachinSival #RepleteEquities

Replete Equities

23 May 2025 05:43

Photo from Replete Equities

Replete Equities

22 May 2025 05:50

_Morning Snippet: 22nd May 2025_

Index Observation

Nifty had an inside bar formation after closing at a four day closing low on Tuesday. With 24800 breached with heavy volumes earlier this week, the same is now likely to act as resistance for sell on rise on Nifty as the index is now open to hit 24300 / 24100 on downside. After a 3300+ point rally from its April panic low to May high’s the index has barely retraced 450 odd points from its recent highs. With the price action seen from the start of this week, it is fair for the index to retest 200 DMA support on downside which currently reads below 24100.

Bank Nifty has broken from its 6 week rising trendline in Tuesday’s closing trades. This puts the index back on track to retest its polarity support of its original 5 year rising trendline. Targets for this breakdown hint for a 1000-1200 odd point breakdown from Tuesday’s closing. A follow up move on downside breaking Tuesday’s low yesterday also confirms the same.

Nifty’s weekly expiry is scheduled for today while the weekly closing on charts is seen tomorrow.

Interesting Observation

The attached chart illustrates the monthly price moves of Gold Miners (XAU Index) and the JPY/USD currency pair.

While this correlation extends to other currency pairs as well, historical data since the 1990s shows that these two have largely moved in tandem on a medium-term basis.

When gold prices rise, gold mining stocks typically lead the rally, and foreign currencies—particularly those perceived as safe havens—tend to strengthen against a weakening U.S. dollar.

Despite recent strength in the Yen, it continues to lag the gold mining stocks. Historically, such divergences have tended to resolve over several months (eg: mid-2000s).

Since 2023, a notable divergence has emerged, suggesting that a gradual realignment may be expected over the coming months. Continued weakness in the Dollar Index could provide additional tailwinds for both gold miners and the Yen.

DERIVATIVES | Trade Setup

Cash Market Activity
FII: ₹ 2201 crore
DII: ₹ 683 crore

Week-to-Date (WTD)
FII: ₹-8,340 crore
DII: ₹ 7,184 crore

Month-to-Date (MTD)
FII: ₹15,441 crore
DII: ₹30,482 crore

F&O Cues
FIIs have added 1k long contracts in index futures in the last trading session,
increasing their net position to 37k short contracts.

In the options segment, the 24500 strike continues to act as strong support, while the 25000 strike remains a key resistance.

New 52 Week High Low Data

Large Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 2
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Mid Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 2
New 52 Week Lows: 0

Small Cap:
New 52 Week Highs: 1
New 52 Week Lows: 0

NIFTY500:
New 52 Week Highs: 2
New 52 Week Lows: 1

Replete Equities

21 May 2025 06:22

“𝗜 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗶𝘁𝘀, 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗜 𝗹𝗼𝘀𝗲 𝗶𝘁 𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗻𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲.”

If you’ve been trading for a while, you’ve probably been here.

It’s a cycle:
✅ Win some
❌ Lose more
😓 Start over

This usually happens when traders chase returns without a risk-managed framework.

One of our clients, a young entrepreneur from Delhi, came to us with this exact problem. His trading PnL looked like a heartbeat—up and down, with no stability.

We introduced him to delta-neutral option strategies—a game-changer for anyone tired of emotional trading.

Here’s how it works:

1. These strategies aren’t dependent on market direction.

2. They use a combination of options (like straddles/strangles with hedging) to manage exposure.

3. Most importantly, they aim for small, consistent gains.

Now, instead of chasing trades, he follows a system. His portfolio grows 2–4% per month, consistently. He no longer worries about “what the market will do tomorrow.”

Trading isn’t about being right every time.

It’s about having a plan that protects you when you’re wrong.

📩 DM me “Consistent Trading” to get started with a system that works.

#OptionsTrading #DeltaNeutral #RiskManagement #TradingMindset #RepleteEquities #SachinSival

Replete Equities

20 May 2025 06:00

“𝗙𝗗𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝘀𝗮𝗳𝗲, 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗜’𝗺 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗵𝗮𝗽𝗽𝘆 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝟲% 𝗿𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗻𝘀…”

Sound familiar?

A recently retired PSU employee told me:

“𝘐’𝘷𝘦 𝘢𝘭𝘸𝘢𝘺𝘴 𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘥 𝘮𝘺 𝘴𝘢𝘷𝘪𝘯𝘨𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘧𝘪𝘹𝘦𝘥 𝘥𝘦𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘪𝘵𝘴. 𝘐𝘵’𝘴 𝘴𝘢𝘧𝘦… 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘯𝘰𝘸 𝘐’𝘮 𝘣𝘢𝘳𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘣𝘦𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯𝘧𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯.”

This is a very real concern. Your money might feel “safe,” but if inflation is 6% and your FD gives 6.5%, your real returns are negligible.

Here’s what we did for him:

🔸 We introduced him to the Gold Twin Win strategy. It’s a structured wealth product linked to gold prices with downside protection and potential upside.
🔸 Since he was risk-averse, we avoided stocks and instead used covered call writing on gold ETFs to earn extra yield without compromising safety.
🔸 His capital remained intact—and now he earns 8–10% annually, tax-efficient, and with peace of mind.

📌 Remember: Safety doesn’t have to mean low returns.

With a little planning, you can have both.

📩 DM me “Gold Safety Plan” if you want to upgrade from FDs without stress.

#SafeInvesting #GoldTwinWin #FDAlternatives #CapitalProtection #WealthGrowth #SachinSival #RepleteEquities

Replete Equities

19 May 2025 06:18

"𝗜 𝘄𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗶𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁… 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗜 𝗰𝗮𝗻’𝘁 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗱𝗮𝗶𝗹𝘆!"

This is probably the most common challenge I hear from working professionals.

They’re earning well, they want to grow their money…

But with their 9-to-5 (and often beyond), managing trades or tracking market news just isn’t possible.

A client of ours, a 42-year-old HR manager from Pune, came to us with this exact concern. She told me:

“𝘚𝘢𝘤𝘩𝘪𝘯, 𝘐 𝘸𝘢𝘯𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘐 𝘤𝘢𝘯’𝘵 𝘬𝘦𝘦𝘱 𝘸𝘢𝘵𝘤𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘦𝘯. 𝘐’𝘮 𝘢𝘧𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘥 𝘐’𝘭𝘭 𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘴 𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘰𝘳 𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘬𝘦𝘴.”

So here’s what we did:

🔹 We allocated 60% of her corpus to our structured product – the Nifty 50 Twin Win. This allows her to benefit from long-term equity growth while having built-in downside protection.

🔹 The remaining 40% went into a delta-neutral options strategy. This is a non-directional, hedged setup that we manage with precision. The goal? Monthly income with minimal risk.

We send her regular performance reports and she checks the dashboard once a week—that’s it.

✅ She’s earning 12-15% p.a. on average.

✅ She’s not stressed.

✅ And most importantly—she’s consistent.

You don’t need to monitor markets every day.

You need a system that works even when you're not watching.

📩 DM me “Busy Investor Plan” and we’ll build it for you.

#SmartInvesting #TwinWin #OptionsIncome #PassiveReturns #WealthCreation #SachinSival #RepleteEquities

Replete Equities

19 May 2025 05:54

Photo from Replete Equities

Replete Equities

19 May 2025 05:02

Market is expected to open on a negative note as GIFTNifty is trading at 25071.50 (-0.24%)

Replete Equities

15 May 2025 11:59

One more bad day just hit in our Intraday Basket.

This is the second time in 2025 we hit a 2% max loss in any single day. Whole month profit wiped out in just one day. Very disappointed.

Market is behaving very abnormally in 2025. Need some strong risk management system for 2025.

From the coming week, reducing margin in intraday basket and increasing in positional strategies especially monthly expiry strategies.

5 months have almost gone and this 2025 year seems to be the most stressful year so far.

But that's trading we should keep ourselves ready for the worst. And always remember: Every failure is a new learning.