13. Shashank Singh (Value Educator): Khazanchi Jewellers; Organized market in Gold moved from almost 5% in 2000 to 40% in 2025. 90% revenues from B2B and 10% from B2C. 10K sq ft showroom is coming up. Going forward, B2C will become 25% thereby improving the margins. FY25 PAT will be about 40cr. Low debt name. IPO process used for 10K new showroom. Management also has silver business (better margins) and that might get merged; plans to add 6-8 stores of 1000 sq t each in next 2-3 years. Guidance of 30-35% growth for next 3-4 years. Risk is they don't hedge Gold and there is lot of competition in B2C market.
14. Ankit Kanodia (Smart Sync Services): Apcotex; ApcoBuild could be a trump card. Revenue should reach 2000cr in next 2-3 years
15. Vivek Mashrani (TechnoFunda): Jash Engineering; Exports revenue continues to increase; Under promise and over deliver mgmt. H2 > H1 due to the nature of the business. Strong order book. Revenue target of 1000cr for FY28.
16. Nitin Mangal (Trudence Capital): KSB Ltd. Consistently delivering, no debt, good ratios. Indian pumps market is to grow 12.29% between FY24-29. KSB, Kirloskar, WPIL and CRI Pumps control 45% of the market. Topline estimates of 3102cr for FY25 and 3572cr for FY26.
17. Tariq Hussain (The Wrap): Interarch Building Products. This market is growing 11-12% in India and globally. 60% is unorganized and 40% is organized. Within the 40% of organized market, top 6 players control 80% of the market. Kirby is the largest in India and Interarch is the second largest. Mid CY2026,Interarch capacity should overtake current capacity of Kirby. High asset turnovers (a 50-6cr plant can delivery 500cr topline), high ROCE and growing fast. Steel is the only RM and thats at 6 years low. A week ago, they got into a partnership with Jindal Steel which will give them better control on RM cost. 60% of the PAT comes in H2.
18. Amitabh Vatsya (Sadhan): Synergy Green Industries; It's a margin expansion + Top line expansion play; Every DISCOM must purchase certain amount of power from Wind until 2030 (WIND RPO). Wind space is better than Solar. Synergy Green has elite clientele and their GW installations continue to grow. Capacity going by 50% by March 25. They have high MW products and that's where the future is. They could do 500cr by FY27. Most of the future capacity is already booked for. This company has right ingredients to be a multibagger (higher degree of operating leverage). FY26 Estimates: Rev 450cr, EBITDA OF 15% could lead to the MC of 1550 cr (current MC is 730cr)
19. Kumar Saurabh (Scientific Investing): Sangam India; Peak capacity utilization (so demand is not an issue) and new capex coming live. Mgmt Guidance is 4000 cr revenue by FY26 with EBITDA of 12.5%. Even if we assume 4000cr topline will happen by FY27 with 10% EBITDA, 21% CAGR seems quite easy for the stock price. All the bad things to happen have happened!
20. Sandeep Singh: Effwa Infra & Research
IAS Summit - Dec 2024 20-20
1. Rashmik Ozha: PVR INOX
2. Aditya Khemka (Incred): Healthcare Global Enterprises
3. Senthil KR (NAFA Assets): Vimta Labs
4. Kedar B (Congruence) - Paramount Communications
5. Dhruvesh Sanghvi: Mayur Uniquoters
6. Vikas Gupta (Omni Science Capital): NHPC
7. Raghav Wadhwa (SamarWealth): Epack Durables
8. Gunjan Kabra (Niveshaay): Danish Power
9. Ishmohit Arora (SOIC) : Samhi Hotels
10. Anuj Jain (Green Portfolio): Steel Strips Wheels
11.Siddhant Bhandari (Persistence Capital): Narayana Hrudayalaya
12. Shubham Sethi - Shankara Building Products
13. Shashank Singh (Value Educator): Khazanchi Jewellers
14. Ankit Kanodia (Smart Sync Services): Apcotex
15. Vivek Mashrani (TechnoFunda): Jash Engineering
16. Nitin Mangal (Trudence Capital): KSB Ltd.
17. Tariq Hussain (The Wrap): Interarch Building Products
18. Amitabh Vatsya (Sadhan): Synergy Green Industries
19. Kumar Saurabh (Scientific Investing): Sangam India
20. Sandeep Singh: Effwa Infra & Research
Mirae Asset Sharekhan sees 22% UPSIDE in Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd- Significant order gain; Maintain Buy
Читать полностью…ICICI Securities sees 73% UPSIDE in PTC Industries- Adding capabilities
Читать полностью…Dolat Capital Result Update on Accenture- Result beat; Status quo commentary; Neutral on Indian IT
Читать полностью…CareEdge Report on Fertiliser sector: Demand to Grow by 2%-3%, While Some Concerns Persist Around Availability of DAP
Читать полностью…Axis Securities Initiating Coverage on Shriram Finance Ltd, with 30% UPSIDE- Merger Drives Less Cyclicity; More Stability!
Читать полностью…Antique on
Birla Corporation: BUY | TP 1500 | Better market mix, cost efficiencies to drive higher profitability
Mirae Asset Sharekhan sees 26% UPSIDE in Tata Power Company Ltd- Renewable business to power growth
Читать полностью…Motilal Oswal Update on Technology- Healthcare vertical: A pause in the party? #sector
Читать полностью…Axis Securities Update on Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Limited - Management Meet
Читать полностью…HDFC Securities Report on BSE: REDUCE | TP 5000 | Shift towards better-margin volumes
Читать полностью…Notes from an investor
IAS Summit 20-20
1. Rashmik Ozha: PVR INOX
2. Aditya Khemka (Incred): Healthcare Global Enterprises; KKR acquiring HCG and that’s the special situation play. Historical acquisitions of KKR have done well and price should dip at some stage because KKR will buy at 10-15% discount. This is the cheapest on the basis of EV/OCF (along with NH) and it's generating healthy FCF; Capex cycle has ended, so, cash flows should further improve.
3. Senthil KR (NAFA Assets): Vimta Labs; Capex/Dep whenever it goes above 1.5, stock price will do well and currently Capex/Dep is on uptrend for Vimta Labs. Topline target of 450CR by FY26. Conservative Target Price 1,746 based on FY27 PAT
4. Kedar B (Congruence) - Paramount Communications (High Risk - High Reward play); Cables and Wired expected to grow at 12-14% over FY24-27. Target of 1800cr topline by FY26; Margins now have been consistent around 8%. QIP of 400cr on the cards. Post QIP, it would trade at 24-25x FY26 EPS
5. Dhruvesh Sanghvi: Mayur Uniquoters; PU (Footwear) can be the future trigger. Slow growth name
6. Vikas Gupta (Omni Science Capital): NHPC; CWIP is 44000 cr. PAT expected to double by FY29 (conservatively)
7. Raghav Wadhwa (SamarWealth): Epack Durables; 2nd largest RAC player (behind Amber), backward integrated. Max sales happen in Q4 and Q1 (due to dependency on RAC). To overcome this seasonality, company is introducing new products; Tie ups with Panasonic, Hisense and Cellecor Gadgets would help the growth; BIS certification requirements would cut down the imports from China and other places. PLI would help as well. Ban on import of gas-charged units would also cut down the imports. Utilization of new plant should pick up in H2. Goal of 1) $1bn over next 5 years and 2) Asset Turnover of 4.5. Working Capital is stretched.
8. Gunjan Kabra (Niveshaay): Danish Power; Transformers take 10% of overall Power capex; Only 10% of the work required for overall transmission lines is completed so far. A lot needs to be done. Lead time in US is 2.5 to 3 years for transformers and in India, it is 12-18 months! Danish has 90% repeat customer base. Opportunity size is still good! FY25 Topline is estimated at 450 cr and for FY26, it is 670cr. Exports can go up from 6% to ~20%. US certification is still due.
9. Ishmohit Arora (SOIC) : Samhi Hotels; Might report > 40cr PAT in Q3. ROE/ROCE will improve as PAT improves. Cheapest stock in the sector. 9-10X EV/EBITDA 2 years ahead. Second largest hotel chain the country.
10. Anuj Jain (Green Portfolio): Steel Strips Wheels; conservative PAT of 332 cr is estimates for FY26 from an estimates PAT of 256cr from FY25); At a PE of 20 for F27, the market cap could reach 8200 cr in FY27 (3155 on 22nd Dec, 2024)
11.Siddhant Bhandari (Persistence Capital): Narayana Hrudayalaya
12. Shubham Sethi - Shankara Building Products; Operating Leverage and Demerger play; Non-steel segment is growing at 50% CAGR (sanitaryware and tiles) and steel space is growing at 20-25%; They suffered inventory losses in recent past. Stores reduced from 134 to 91 between FY19 to now yet sales are doubled. However, they will now add 3-5 stores per year going forward. Their regional expansion (from South to West and Central) is another growth trigger. Steel prices are more close to bottom and hence inventory losses shouldn't happen as much and even inventory gains might be possible if the prices go up. They are demerging steel tube manufacturing unit and NCLT meeting is scheduled for Feb' 25. A possible doubler in 18-24 months
NSE announces exclusion 0f 16 securities from F&O effective Feb 28
Читать полностью…Mirae Asset Sharekhan sees 20% UPSIDE in Lumax Auto Technologies Ltd- Entering in ‘Green’ with Greenfuel
Читать полностью…Systematix Report on US Economy- FOMC Policy Review - Rate cut with a warning
Читать полностью…Motilal Oswal sees 26% UPSIDE in Devyani International- Near-term pressure persists; focus on store expansion
Читать полностью…Motilal Oswal Update on Technology- Recovery picking up pace
Читать полностью…SBI Securities IPO Note on Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing Ltd
Читать полностью…Motilal Oswal Initiating Coverage on Anant Raj, with 31% UPSIDE- Riding India's data center localization wave
Читать полностью…Kotak Review on
Carborundum Universal: REDUCE | TP 1380 | Beefing up: Takeaways from management meeting
Anand Rathi sees 16% UPSIDE in Dixon Technologies- JV with vivo provides significant headroom for growth; maintaining a Buy
Читать полностью…SBI Securities IPO Note on Senores Pharmaceuticals Ltd
Читать полностью…Mirae Asset Sharekhan Market Outlook 2025- Year to Introspect; Focus on Quality
High Conviction Investment Ideas - Large cap
Bharti Airtel - Buy - TP 1870
DLF - Positive - TP 1,010
ICICI Bank - Buy - 1500
Jubiliant Foods - Buy - TP 765
L&T - Buy - TP 4,550
M&M - Buy - TP 3600
Reliance Industries - Buy - TP 1,827
SBIN - Buy - TP 1,050
Sun Pharma - Buy - TP 2,264
TATA Motors - Buy - TP 1099
TCS - Buy - TP 5230
UltraTech - Buy - TP 13,000
High Conviction Investment Ideas - Midcap and small cap
Allied Blenders and Distillers - Positive -TP 450
Bharat forge - Positive - TP 1,558
Caplin points - Positive -TP 2,510
DEE Development - Positive - TP 450
HAL - Buy - TP 5,476
Hubtown - Positive - TP 363
HUDCO - Positive - TP 350
IPCA Labs - Buy - TP 1,765
ISGEC - Positive - TP 1,885
KOEL - Positive - TP 1,600
LTTS - Buy - TP 6,500
Mastek - Buy - TP 3,610
Persistent system - Buy - TP 7,280
Samhi Hotels - Positive - TP 244
Wonderla Holidays - Buy - TP 991
Motilal Oswal sees 35% UPSIDE in MTAR Technologies- Fueling clean energy liftoff
Читать полностью…SBI Securities Pick of the Day- Radico Khaitan Ltd with 16% UPSIDE
Читать полностью…Kotak Review on
Indiamart: REDUCE | TP 2350 | Higher earnings, slower growth