💡 Ideas For #DOGSUSDT 💰
📈 Double bottom favors resistance breakout
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DOGS is forming a double bottom followed by a breakout of trend resistance. Quite a promising situation, provided the bulls hold their defenses above 0.00081

After the listing, the coin flies to the moon due to the dump, but after the appearance of a strong seller or lack of interest from the buyer, against the background of weakening support of Pavel Durov arrested in France, a market phase change to a “dump” is formed.
Technically, a double bottom is formed on 4H, followed by the renewal of local lows and the breakout of trend resistance, which indicates the formation of a market bottom.
At the moment, the cryptocurrency market shows bullish dynamics, which can affect DOGS accordingly

Resistance levels: 0.000885, 0.000938
Support levels: 0.00081

After the dump the coin has good chances to show already adequate realization. If the bulls keep the defense above 0.00081, we will have chances to get on the train to the north, to the targets 0.00096, 0.001, 0.00117
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#GBPCAD Close half with +120 pips!

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The US #Dollar Index posted its second consecutive winning week as America officially kicked off earnings season, presented by the big banks on Wall Street. It turned out that the US economy is in great shape, with consumers and businesses making a lot of money.

In this light, the mighty dollar once again began to dominate the currency market. More impressively, it ended the week with a 10-day streak of all green candles this week.

Inflation data for September came in at 2.4%, slightly beating expectations of a 2.3% rise. In response, currency traders and speculators increased their long bets on the dollar, as the inflation rate didn't quite match analysts' expectations. And if inflation accelerates, the Fed may slow the pace of interest rate cuts, giving the US dollar more time to remain competitive and earn higher yields.
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💡 Ideas For #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 Active sale. Emphasis on 1.0900
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EURUSD continues to update lows since the fundamental background and uptrend change. Price is descending in a calm and progressive manner, which generally indicates the strength of the trend...

A strong drop from the distribution phase without any pullbacks is an indicator of a strong trend. There is a key liquidity zone ahead, which could form a surge in volume and liquidity that could lead to a small correction. For example to 1.095 - 0.7 fibo. On the Daily chart we see the realization of a failed breakout (false breakout), a strong distribution is formed. The liquidity at 1.077 - 1.067 may become the target of such a movement

Resistance levels: 1.095, 1.100
Support levels: 1.089, 1.077

There is no news until Wednesday, so the fundamental background remains the same. The market may stop and go into consolidation, but with a high probability the fall after the breakthrough of 1.089 will continue...
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#AXLUSDT +45% Target 3 reached! 😉

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There are not direct but possible reasons for the rally:

1) Mt. Gox moved its debt maturity date to October 31, 2025. Previously, this deadline was set to expire on October 31, 2024. According to the official notification:

As it is desirable to make payments to such rehabilitation creditors to the extent reasonably possible, the rehabilitation trustee has changed the payment deadline from October 31, 2024 (Japanese Standard Time) to October 31, 2025 (Japanese Standard Time) with the permission of the court.

PS: This is noteworthy because it eases the immediate selling pressure on BTC.

2) China officially unveiled a fiscal stimulus package aimed at revitalizing the economy. The package is aimed at low-income households, as well as supporting real estate markets and replenishing the capital of state-owned banks.

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❗️ Ahead of the news at 12:30 GMT!
PPI could set the short or medium term tone in the market!

The dovish sentiment around expectations of a Fed rate cut could be checked by the US Producer Price Index report, which will have a significant impact on the value of the US Dollar and the forex market

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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Retest of descending channel resistance in front of PPI..
———————————————
GOLD is forming a double bottom from which a rally towards strong resistance is forming. CPI showed worse than expected data, surprisingly. Manipulation? Price has not yet moved out of the corrective channel. Ahead of PPI

Annual inflation fell from 2.5% to 2.4% (expected 2.3%). The probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November rose to 86% (vs. 0.5%) The disappointing Initial Jobless Claims data in the US overshadowed the hot CPI data for September, keeping the hope of a rate cut in November...
Ahead is PPI, a fairly important report that could affect prices...
The metal is trapped in a descending channel and there is a huge liquidity density above 2645. The bears, the custodians of this liquidity, may put aggressive pressure if PPI shows strong data...

Resistance levels: 2645, 2651, 2660
Support levels: 2637, 2623, 2600

Technically, gold is in a correction phase. From the bottom of the channel a strong movement of 2% has been formed and there is not much potential to break through the resistance. The most probable outcome is a decline after a false breakdown or consolidation below 2640. BUT! It is not excluded that a surprise in the news can turn the picture in the opposite direction....
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Great!
Just a bull run, with no pullbacks of any kind
#USDCAD reaches its final target.
+200 pips!
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At 12:30 GMT important inflation news!
Be careful, high volatility is possible

A bigger-than-expected decline in both the annual and monthly CPI inflation data could revive hopes for an outsized Fed rate cut next month, triggering a fresh correction in the US Dollar (USD) against its major rivals. Gold price could stage a strong comeback on aggressive Fed’s easing expectations and the potential USD’s demise.

On the other hand, markets could even dial down bets of a 25 bps rate cut in November, if the US CPI data surprises to the upside across the time horizon. In such a scenario, the non-interest-bearing Gold price could be hit the most while the Greenback is expected to see an extended recovery.

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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Consolidation in correction phase ahead of news...
———————————————
GOLD is in correction phase, but before important news a consolidation is formed due to fear and unpredictability factor. Analysts are expecting a decline in inflation, but what will happen in fact? A bull run or a dump?

Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November. But yesterday's minutes showed that most officials supported an excessive 0.5% rate cut to balance inflation confidence and labor market concerns.
Ahead of CPI, Initial Jobless Claims ...
If CPI shows stronger data, the question among regulators will be in a different vein of “should we cut 0.25?” which will only reinforce the dollar's rally and markets will continue a solid correction.
A larger decline in CPI could revive hopes of an excessive Fed rate cut in November, triggering a correction in the US dollar. Gold could experience a fresh influx of funds.....

Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2637
Support levels: 2605, 2600, 2585

Technically gold is in correction and the pressure from bears continues. In the mid (short) term, I expect a retest of resistance at 2623 (a false breakdown is possible) followed by a decline to 2600-2585. It is not excluded that the news may have an opposite effect...
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The U.S. Department of Justice has indicted 14 individuals and four companies for large-scale cryptocurrency fraud and market manipulation

Among those charged are Gotbit, ZM quant, CLS global and Mytrade
Minerco and its executives are also accused of orchestrating “Pump and Dump” schemes

As part of the investigation against Gotbit and other companies, the U.S. FBI created its own crypto token called NexFundAI and registered a company of the same name to contract with them to prove trading volume inflating and market manipulation

❗️PS: The news of the US Department of Justice accusing market maker Gotbit of market manipulation and the arrest of its CEO caused a lot of turmoil in the crypto market - Santiment review
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#BTC - Focus on $65K: Potential trigger for accelerated growth

BUT! Will it break through? If we come up quickly, there could be a bounce or false breakout....

The new week starts suspiciously similar to the last one: the Asian session brings frenzied optimism and sharp growth to the upper boundary of the current range. At the same time, the mood in the crypto-options market does not differ much from the last review - large players are maintaining moderate optimism, while retail is still as aggressive.
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Will the rally end with a FB? 2670 - liquidity...
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GOLD is growing together with the dollar, the correlation cooled down after the change of fundamental background. The range of 2670 - 2600 is being formed. The metal is rallying to resistance for liquidity

Geopolitical issues. High tensions in the Middle East as well as rising tensions in East Asia between China and Taiwan are worrying investors looking for safe havens.
Last week showed not so good economic data for gold. The dollar rose very strongly during that time. But gold gold traders were most likely paying attention to the dovish remarks by Fed policymakers about lowering interest rates....
Technically gold is in a sideways range and is testing liquidity above 2660. The bears are likely to give a not so warm welcome...

Resistance levels: 2663, 2670, 2685
Support levels: 2650, 2637, 2623

Strong movement from the bottom of the range reaches its upper boundary. Technically, the price has no potential to break through the strong range resistance. A false breakout is possible, the purpose of which may be to capture liquidity, followed by a decline. The situation may be broken by unexpected geopolitical or economic news, but at the moment there is no such news
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The dollar looks quite calm and continues to form an upward base.
Last week's economic data actively supported the dollar index
This general background accordingly affects the market....
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Bitwise presented an overview of the crypto market in 3Q 2024g
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💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 The rally is manipulation. U-turn and down to 52K?
———————————————
BTC confirms the bearish market structure. After the 59K retest, the price rallies 7%. There is no technical or fundamental explanation for this market manipulation: 6K down, $ 4K up, 5K down, $ 4K up within the last two weeks...

Bitcoin is still trading within a sideways range of 65K - 52K. The last resistance retest ended in a false breakdown and a price drop of 11% to 59K. Also, the local change of the market character (price confirms the downtrend) to bearish and formation of the downtrend channel (I remind about the downtrend on D1-W1) plays an important role.
Emphasis on resistance 63400, 64130, 65000, possible retest or false breakdown followed by downside realization as we still have not reached the key liquidity zones....

Resistance levels: 63400, 64130
Support levels: 61320, 59000

The price is testing the resistance zone as part of the rally. There is no accumulation or technical potential to overcome this area for further growth. Within the bearish trend, the buyer does not show dominant signs and with high probability it will be stopped in the key zone. A reversal and decline to the lower zone of the sideways range is possible...
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US - PPI (September)
mom = 0% (previously +0.2%)
y/y = +1.8% (previously +1.7%)

core PPI = +2.8% yoy ( previously +2.4%)

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#EURUSD started Friday's trading on an optimistic note, having recovered some of Thursday's losses. Yesterday, the currency exchange rate was under strong pressure when the US released a report on the consumer price index for September. It turned out that inflation did not quite obey investors' expectations - consumer prices rose more than expected, increasing by 2.4% year-on-year against 2.3% predicted by analysts.

Against the backdrop of this news, there was an initial jump in the valuation of the dollar, but it was quickly reversed. Soon after, the dollar began to lose points against its main competitors in the currency market.

PPI will be released today and traders are expecting a 0.1% month-on-month increase for September. The annualized PPI is expected to rise 1.6%. The Producer Price Index is important to traders and the Federal Reserve because it measures inflation at the wholesale level. It tracks the prices at which manufacturers sell their goods and services, from raw materials to finished goods.
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💡Ideas For GBPJPY 🇬🇧🇯🇵
📈 Buyers increase positions to break 195.5 ↑
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPJPY continues to climb purposefully towards 195.5, forming a consolidation in the form of an ascending triangle. The goal of this maneuver is to break the resistance with further continuation of the upward movement..

The bulls are trying to keep the defense above the key support at 193.5. The change of the fundamental background for JPY strengthens the sales of the national currency, which favorably affects, in our case, GBP. As a consequence, the market starts testing 195.5 with the aim of a breakout. GDP in UK remained at the same level of 0.2%. There is important news ahead - PPI. Based on the previous economic data, we can assume that PPI will also support the dollar, which will negatively affect the JPY. On the background of this influence, the bulls will be able to overcome the key resistance.

Support levels: 193.5, 191.7, 190.0
Resistance levels: 195.5

The acutal situation on the chart is directed towards the continuation of the movement. The market structure is changing, the fundamental background is on the side of the buyer. We are waiting for the breakthrough of the key resistance (trigger) and the continuation of growth...
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#Bitcoin failed to test resistance and consolidate you bullish zone or buy zone.
The market is not showing strong bullish assumptions yet. And lately there has been some bad news in general, related to hacks, scams and manipulations, which will have a temporary but negative impact on the markets....

The price reversed exactly in the zone I indicated.
At the moment the price has passed almost $4K or 6% 🔥
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US - CPI (September)

m/m = +0.2% (expected +0.1%)
y/y = +2.4% (expected +2.3%)

Core CPI = +3.3% y/y (expected +3.2%)
----------------
US - Initial Jobless Claims = 258k (expected 231k)

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The U.S. dollar index is persevering on the upside. Continuing the strong streak that began last week, the US dollar continued its rally, ending Wednesday's eighth consecutive day of gains.

Little was able to stand in the dollar's way. New fuel was poured on Friday when the US non-farm payrolls data came out showing a monstrous 254K increase in jobs in September. Now that the dollar is nearing a fresh three-month high, inflation data scheduled for release today could either boost the buck's valuation across the board or extinguish the hot rally, depending on what the numbers show.

September's consumer price index is expected to show a further decline in the rate of price growth to 2.3% from 2.5% in August. If that happens, the index would be even closer to the Fed's 2% target. The Fed also just released the minutes of its meeting from three weeks ago, which show that policymakers were divided on whether to cut interest rates by half a point.
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💡 Ideas For #ETHUSD 🔷
📈 Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓
———————————————
ETH continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone...

As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness.
On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline.

Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA
Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111

So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500.
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At 18:00 GMT news.
Be careful, high volatility is possible!

U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes are a detailed record of the committee's policy-setting meeting held about three weeks earlier. The minutes offer detailed insights regarding the FOMC's stance on monetary policy, so currency traders carefully examine them for clues regarding the outcome of future interest rate decisions

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