💡 Ideas For FILUSDT 💰
📈 FILUSDT → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Prepare for growth by 50%
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FILUSDT is still in the bearish trend phase and is squeezed under the global trend resistance against which a pattern is forming that could turn the market

Lately, the coin has been building volume and increasing liquidity, but it is still trading under the pressure of resistance. A symmetrical triangle is forming relative to this line on H4, a break of which resistance is capable of breaking the global trend. Why can the resistance of this figure be broken? Because a pre-breakout consolidation is formed relative to this boundary and the market starts to go beyond it.

Resistance levels: 9.543
Support levels: 8.994

Resistance at 9.543 currently restrains the market from realizing the accumulated potential. But the overall setup hints at the readiness to break this area, which will start forming an upward momentum. Targets in this case could be 11.780 and 14.43
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Hello friends. Today is a holiday in the USA, thus there will be low volatility in the market.
Many brokers may not work or work partially.
Gold market is closed for today.

There will be no ideas on gold today, there may be comments. Let's look at Forex and Cryptocurrencies.

Also, CPI (PCE) is published today and Powell speaks at 15:30 GMT.
It won't affect today's trading, but it may affect the opening of the trading session on Monday. If the news is strong, the market may open with a gap.

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Crescat: global CBs reduce longs in US government bonds and increase in #gold
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Global CBs are buying gold at a record pace (chart)

WGC forecasts record demand for gold this year

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Analysts say concerns about soaring U.S. debt may have helped #BTC and #gold rise to record highs amid rising interest rates around the world
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#EURUSD is entering a busy two-day period with important economic data coming out of the US. The 200-day moving average, the most important long-term trend indicator, was breached again at $1.0830, after which the euro-dollar fell to levels near $1.0800.

Over the past few days, the European currency has been unable to break the technical barrier while dollar supporters have been accumulating their long bets. In addition to the 200-day line, the 50-day and 100-day moving averages are nearby waiting for the euro to challenge them.

Later today, the US gross domestic product for the fourth quarter will be released. Analysts are predicting a 3.2% quarter-on-quarter increase, up from 4.9%. On Friday, when stock exchanges in the U.S. and Europe will be closed due to Good Friday, the U.S. Commerce Department will release the March PCE report. This indicator, which measures inflation excluding food and energy prices, is the Fed favorite price indicator.
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Edward Snowden:
«I am not concerned about the SEC vs Coinbase case»

This doesn't bother me. If the SEC keeps acting in bad faith like this, they're going to lose so hard in court that they'll never be able to do this to anyone ever again. Remember when the SEC got spanked so badly that Gensler had to approve BTC ETFs with tears in his eyes? yeah

Remember when the SEC got spanked so hard that Gensler had to tearfully approve the Bitcoin ETF?

PS:
By the way: the SEC is now tightly working on the proceedings between Ripple, Ethereum, Coinbase
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💡 Ideas For GMTUSDT 🪙
📈 GMTUSDT → the coin is moving into the realization phase
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GMTUSDT is entering the realization phase after a long accumulation. Price is testing resistance for a breakout

On the High timeframe, the coin is testing the resistance area. A breakout and bullish momentum is forming. A price consolidation above 0.4000 will open a new potential for the bulls. The coin is quite far behind the market and if the bulls keep the price in the new zone, a long rally to 1.11 and 1.75 may be waiting for us ahead.
Technically, now we are interested in 0.4060 and the upper boundary of the channel. Possible retest after the breakout, but price consolidation above this zone will form an intermediate bottom, which will favor the market.

Resistance levels: 0.4060, 0.4867
Support levels: 0.2566

The market is ready to turn around and show us strong growth, but for this the bulls need to keep the price in the green zone.
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Hong Kong 🇭🇰 companies have started applying for spot Bitcoin-ETF

The regulator has received documents from SFG and Value Partners funds.

Bloomberg predicts significant capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs from Chinese investors after the SFC is likely to give the green light for listing
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LTC on speculative ETF news:

FOX reporter: I am hearing rumors about potential institutional interest in Litecoin ETF. The SEC may approve it because of its similarities to BTC (LTC is a lite version of BTC). The chances of LTC-ETF approval may be higher than the chances of ETH-ETF approval

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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Trading inside the range. Target is support
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GOLD is trading inside the range. The markmet-maker is liquidating sellers relative to the 2180-2200 area, after which it forms a false breakdown of 2195 and returns to the range again

On D1 everything is the same. The market continues to form a sideways range. There are no reasons for the price to leave 2195-2144. After testing the upper part of the range, the market still has targets below 2166, especially the area of the lower boundary of the flat, as there is a huge amount of liquidity hidden there, which is clearly of interest to traders. Consolidation below 2180 may favorably influence the price down to 2166. A break of 2166 will send the price to 2150 and 2144.

Resistance levels: 2180, 2186
Support levels: 2166, 2150, 2144

Technically, the local trend is neutral. It is acceptable to trade both buying and selling. But the market has an unclosed gestalt within the range trading: liquidity area 2150-2144
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A good realization of potential. #GBPJPY after forming a pre-breakout consolidation breaks the resistance area quite quickly and reaches the first target in a few hours and the second target in a few days.
Good trade at 130 pips ⚡️

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large wallets returned to active BTC accumulation mode - Santiment data

The cryptocurrency market has recently been more focused on inflows into spot BTC-ETFs rather than others. The recent outflow may be related to Genesis Global's bankruptcy liquidation involving the sale of approximately 35.9 million GBTC - Coinbase review
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Range trading. What is the importance of the 2144 area?
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GOLD is trading inside the global range, forming a small flat inside. Consolidation continues and at the moment there is no reason for the price to leave the 2195-2144 channel

On D1 and H4 we see a sideways channel, a range. The market is clearly bullish, but at the moment the price is standing still. On the left side of the chart we see local liquidity zones, which the market maker will gradually reach. But, the most interesting thing is that the main gestalt is not closed yet: the strong support at 2144 has not been tested yet, and neither has the liquidity in this zone. On H1 we see an upward movement. The target of such a move could be the 2180-2185 area, or range resistance with a subsequent decline to targets below. A standard trading situation inside the range is being formed.

Resistance levels: 2186, 2180, 2195
Support levels: 2166, 2150, 2144

Within the mentioned flat, the price is trading between the zones, levels, forming consolidation. There is an important area inside the range, which has not been tested yet, hence, the market may head from the resistance to the indicated liquidity zone below
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#XAUUSD 👑
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💡Ideas For AUDUSD 🇦🇺🇺🇸
📈 AUDUSD → Price is getting ready to break support
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AUDUSD is forming a downtrend amid the growing dollar index. The currency pair is under pressure from sellers

Support level 0.64039 is forming on D1, which continues to hold the market. But, the buyers' urge may be broken, as the price continues to squeeze to the support and is gaining potential for this. On the background of the rising USD and weakening Aussie, the sellers have high chances. The target in this case will be the area of 0.6443 and 0.6352.

Resistance levels: 0.6540
Support levels: 0.6504, 0.6443

Technically, the currency pair has a negative background and most likely the decline will continue. A break of this support will give a bearish impulse.
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Hedge funds have record short positions in yen - BBG

Central Bank of Japan very close to starting yen intervention - Standard Chartered
Yen in historic intervention zone by central bank - BBG
Japan's central bank and currency regulator to meet on markets - BBG

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Following recent comments from the new head of the Japanese Central Bank, strategists have begun to expect further JPY weakness against the USD. Barclays, Goldman now expect the CB to change its yield curve control policy (tightening - bullish for JPY) at its July meeting (vs. June meeting previously)
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US - GDP (4Q 2023Y) = +3.4% QoQ (expected +3.2% / previously +4.9%)

US - Initial Jobless Claims = 210k (expected 212k / previously 212k)

All in all, everything is according to the described plan :)

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There are several important news today: US GDP, Initial Jobless Claims and Chicago PMI.
These indicators can influence the medium-term outlook of the market.

Analysts expect GDP to be 1.7% lower than in the previous period. In general, it is possible against the background of the general environment and previous indicators, but the more likely scenario is that the actual data may be higher, which may favor the USD.

Initial Jobless Claims are expected without strong changes. Actual data could also be relatively neutral.
A reading above the expected 212K will be negative for the USD, and vice versa.
Chikago PMI is expected to be higher than previous but still poor relative to the neutral 50.0. The market is clearly struggling.

The dollar is in a bullish trend and continues to be supported by regulators on the back of general policy.
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Buyer imbalance within the range. Liquidation?
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GOLD is testing resistance once again very slowly and gradually, protecting local support zones, below which a huge pool of liquidity is formed. What to expect from the market maker?

On the background of growth and retest of the range resistance we see low volumes. The range is narrowing and technically this could indicate a willingness to break resistance. But I stick to the format that the market maker is gathering all buyers to further liquidate. The chart shows localized areas of liquidity and none of them have been tested in the last 2 weeks. The market will never let the crowd make money. A retest of the far resistance is possible before further liquidation of all buyers inside the range.

Resistance levels: 2195, 2212, 2222
Support levels: 2186, 2180, 2166, 2150, 2144

Technically, there is a huge imbalance of buyers inside the range, clearly, the market maker has a "liquidate buyers" item set on the checklist. Price is still in the range, and I am still waiting for a retest of the lower liquidity areas, which for many on the current chart may seem unacceptable. Let's see
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The Australian dollar fell below $0.652, nearing three-week lows, as weaker-than-expected inflation data from the country pressured the currency.

The data showed that Australia's monthly consumer price index came in at 3.4% in February 2024, unchanged from the previous two months and missing forecasts for a slight rise to 3.5%.
Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia kept the money rate at a 12-year high of 4.35%, unchanged for the third consecutive meeting.

However, the RBA retracted a previous warning that a further rate hike was not ruled out, signaling confidence that inflation will continue to fall and reinforcing bets that it may start cutting rates later this year.

In the external market, the US dollar strengthened amid growing expectations that US rates could remain elevated for longer, even if other major economies begin to ease policy.
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Three independent sources confirmed that KuCoin (#KCS ) was considered ceasing operations and selling the exchange in 2023 - Colin Wu

yesterday, the DOJ filed charges against the exchange and its founders.

more than $1.2 bln has been withdrawn from the exchange in the last 24 hours. The exchange has $4 bln in total assets - 0xscope data:

1. Violation of anti-money laundering (AML) laws. Federal prosecutors allege the company processed more than $5,000,000,000,000 in suspicious transactions related to illegal activity since 2017.

2. KuCoin did not properly verify user identities until July 2023. Even after that, the company only partially implemented KYC measures. The exchange actively encouraged illegal business by allowing anonymous trading by US customers.

3. In 2019, when the exchange opened the futures market, it was required to register with the CFTC (since BTC, LTC and ETH are commodities).

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💡 Ideas For USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
📈 USDJPY → Rate hike negatively affects JPY
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USDJPY is preparing to continue its bullish trend amid strong sell-offs of the Japanese national currency. Medium-term target could be 155.0

Amid the change of tactics of the Japanese central bank, traders are still negative towards the JPY and are still very much increasing short positions. On D1 the market still has a strong buyer in the currency pair, this can also be interpreted as the absence of a seller.
Previous: The central bank broke out of the negative rate trend by raising the interest rate for the first time in 17 years.

Resistance levels: 151.786
Support levels: 150.800

Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is preparing for the continuation of the bullish trend. A breakout of the nearest resistance will signal a continuation of the upward trend
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#USDJPY 🇺🇸/🇯🇵
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#BTCUSD is quite strong.
The price is a bit faster than expected to form a retest of 0.236 fibo 65500 followed by a breakout and consolidation of the price above the level.
This can be perceived as the presence of a strong and interested buyer below 62500, which continues to hold the price and keep btc away from risk areas.

The price is testing 71K, the idea gave an opportunity to earn 8 to 12%.

At the moment the price is consolidating above 69-70K. If the bulls gain confidence above this area, the next target will be 75K
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We spoke to you recently about #ETH

The price was testing the resistance located inside the range.
The scenario is working as it should :)
Price tests the specified resistance and forms a correction. It accumulates potential, after which it comes back and breaks this resistance.

We are waiting for price consolidation above 3560 with further realization up to 4K
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- Fed officials still expect inflation to slow, but caution grows - RTRS
- Steady inflation complicates Fed rate cut plan - CNBC

PS:
Yes, the overall situation is stalemate. Powell recently stated that all is well, but we need to wait. That's what was said about the planned 0.75% interest rate cut.
But a few days later, Bostic started talking about only one rate cut or even a more negative scenario.

What doesn't fit into these facts is the pressure being put on Powell about regulation by the President's office. People are willing to risk inflation, commodity prices and living standards for the sake of the presidential race. All in all, it's just politics.

I would still be more cautious about the markets at this time, as Powell could suddenly come out with some nonsense that would shake things up
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💡 Ideas For DOGEUSDT 🐶
📈 DOGE → The realization of the breakdown could give us 50-70%
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DOGE is attempting to break through the correction in order to continue the uptrend. On W1 the price enters a new channel and opens a new potential.

On D1 a reversal pattern is forming with the subsequent formation of a pre-breakout formation. The market is buying back the fall in a few days and preparing for realization. This generally indicates a high interest in the coin.
On W1 DOGE enters a new channel 0.16 - 0.34, which in general opens a huge potential for the meme coin in the medium and long term.
On H4, the price breaks the bearish channel resistance (correction channel). A consolidation above the resistance and a retest of the 0.1800 area is being formed. A breakout of this line will open the potential for the coin and also confirm the end of the correction.

Resistance levels: 0.1800, 0.20637
Support levels: 0.16900, 0.14528

I expect the realization of the breakout of resistance with the subsequent distribution of the price to the specified targets
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#DOGEUSDT 🐶
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A huge misconception for many 🤔: learn the patterns and I'll be rich. No!

❌ When patterns do not work: if they are not tied to anything, and we are talking about strong liquidity zones, reversal, support, resistance, consolidation and so on. W, M, H&S and so on drawn in the air do not work. It's just market noise and price fluctuation.

✅ When patterns work: When your pattern is tied to some strong zone, it is better to pay attention to liquidity zones, resistances, range boundaries, channels.
Often people trade reversal patterns, with the goal of catching a trend reversal and all the strong movement.
So if you find the point of trend reversal, the point of stopping a strong movement or some strong place, which globally reflected on the price movement, draw this reversal zone on the chart, you will understand where you should wait for the reversal and where you need to open a deal.

Good luck in trading ⚡️
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